Performance of polygenic risk scores for cancer prediction in an academic biobank.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1528-1528
Author(s):  
Heena Desai ◽  
Anh Le ◽  
Ryan Hausler ◽  
Shefali Verma ◽  
Anurag Verma ◽  
...  

1528 Background: The discovery of rare genetic variants associated with cancer have a tremendous impact on reducing cancer morbidity and mortality when identified; however, rare variants are found in less than 5% of cancer patients. Genome wide association studies (GWAS) have identified hundreds of common genetic variants significantly associated with a number of cancers, but the clinical utility of individual variants or a polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from multiple variants is still unclear. Methods: We tested the ability of polygenic risk score (PRS) models developed from genome-wide significant variants to differentiate cases versus controls in the Penn Medicine Biobank. Cases for 15 different cancers and cancer-free controls were identified using electronic health record billing codes for 11,524 European American and 5,994 African American individuals from the Penn Medicine Biobank. Results: The discriminatory ability of the 15 PRS models to distinguish their respective cancer cases versus controls ranged from 0.68-0.79 in European Americans and 0.74-0.93 in African Americans. Seven of the 15 cancer PRS trended towards an association with their cancer at a p<0.05 (Table), and PRS for prostate, thyroid and melanoma were significantly associated with their cancers at a bonferroni corrected p<0.003 with OR 1.3-1.6 in European Americans. Conclusions: Our data demonstrate that common variants with significant associations from GWAS studies can distinguish cancer cases versus controls for some cancers in an unselected biobank population. Given the small effects, future studies are needed to determine how best to incorporate PRS with other risk factors in the precision prediction of cancer risk. [Table: see text]

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (10) ◽  
pp. 2455-2467 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim B. Bigdeli ◽  
◽  
Giulio Genovese ◽  
Penelope Georgakopoulos ◽  
Jacquelyn L. Meyers ◽  
...  

Abstract Schizophrenia is a common, chronic and debilitating neuropsychiatric syndrome affecting tens of millions of individuals worldwide. While rare genetic variants play a role in the etiology of schizophrenia, most of the currently explained liability is within common variation, suggesting that variation predating the human diaspora out of Africa harbors a large fraction of the common variant attributable heritability. However, common variant association studies in schizophrenia have concentrated mainly on cohorts of European descent. We describe genome-wide association studies of 6152 cases and 3918 controls of admixed African ancestry, and of 1234 cases and 3090 controls of Latino ancestry, representing the largest such study in these populations to date. Combining results from the samples with African ancestry with summary statistics from the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium (PGC) study of schizophrenia yielded seven newly genome-wide significant loci, and we identified an additional eight loci by incorporating the results from samples with Latino ancestry. Leveraging population differences in patterns of linkage disequilibrium, we achieve improved fine-mapping resolution at 22 previously reported and 4 newly significant loci. Polygenic risk score profiling revealed improved prediction based on trans-ancestry meta-analysis results for admixed African (Nagelkerke’s R2 = 0.032; liability R2 = 0.017; P < 10−52), Latino (Nagelkerke’s R2 = 0.089; liability R2 = 0.021; P < 10−58), and European individuals (Nagelkerke’s R2 = 0.089; liability R2 = 0.037; P < 10−113), further highlighting the advantages of incorporating data from diverse human populations.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah J. C. Craig ◽  
Ana M. Kenney ◽  
Junli Lin ◽  
Ian M. Paul ◽  
Leann L. Birch ◽  
...  

AbstractObesity is highly heritable, yet only a small fraction of its heritability has been attributed to specific genetic variants. These variants are traditionally ascertained from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), which utilize samples with tens or hundreds of thousands of individuals for whom a single summary measurement (e.g., BMI) is collected. An alternative approach is to focus on a smaller, more deeply characterized sample in conjunction with advanced statistical models that leverage detailed phenotypes. Here we use novel functional data analysis (FDA) techniques to capitalize on longitudinal growth information and construct a polygenic risk score (PRS) for obesity in children followed from birth to three years of age. This score, comprised of 24 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), is significantly higher in children with (vs. without) rapid infant weight gain—a predictor of obesity later in life. Using two independent cohorts, we show that genetic variants identified in early childhood are also informative in older children and in adults, consistent with early childhood obesity being predictive of obesity later in life. In contrast, PRSs based on SNPs identified by adult obesity GWAS are not predictive of weight gain in our cohort of children. Our research provides an example of a successful application of FDA to GWAS. We demonstrate that a deep, statistically sophisticated characterization of a longitudinal phenotype can provide increased statistical power to studies with relatively small sample sizes. This study shows how FDA approaches can be used as an alternative to the traditional GWAS.Author SummaryFinding genetic variants that confer an increased risk of developing a particular disease has long been a focus of modern genetics. Genome wide association studies (GWAS) have catalogued single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with a variety of complex diseases in humans, including obesity, but by and large have done so using increasingly large samples-- tens or even hundreds of thousands of individuals, whose phenotypes are thus often only superficially characterized. This, in turn, may hide the intricacies of the genetic influence on disease. GWAS findings are also usually study-population dependent. We found that genetic risk scores based on SNPs from large adult obesity studies are not predictive of the propensity to gain weight in very young children. However, using a small cohort of a few hundred children deeply characterized with growth trajectories between birth and two years, and leveraging such trajectories through novel functional data analysis (FDA) techniques, we were able to produce a strong childhood obesity genetic risk score.


Author(s):  
Alexander L Richards ◽  
Antonio F Pardiñas ◽  
Aura Frizzati ◽  
Katherine E Tansey ◽  
Amy J Lynham ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Cognitive impairment is a clinically important feature of schizophrenia. Polygenic risk score (PRS) methods have demonstrated genetic overlap between schizophrenia, bipolar disorder (BD), major depressive disorder (MDD), educational attainment (EA), and IQ, but very few studies have examined associations between these PRS and cognitive phenotypes within schizophrenia cases. Methods We combined genetic and cognitive data in 3034 schizophrenia cases from 11 samples using the general intelligence factor g as the primary measure of cognition. We used linear regression to examine the association between cognition and PRS for EA, IQ, schizophrenia, BD, and MDD. The results were then meta-analyzed across all samples. A genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of cognition was conducted in schizophrenia cases. Results PRS for both population IQ (P = 4.39 × 10–28) and EA (P = 1.27 × 10–26) were positively correlated with cognition in those with schizophrenia. In contrast, there was no association between cognition in schizophrenia cases and PRS for schizophrenia (P = .39), BD (P = .51), or MDD (P = .49). No individual variant approached genome-wide significance in the GWAS. Conclusions Cognition in schizophrenia cases is more strongly associated with PRS that index cognitive traits in the general population than PRS for neuropsychiatric disorders. This suggests the mechanisms of cognitive variation within schizophrenia are at least partly independent from those that predispose to schizophrenia diagnosis itself. Our findings indicate that this cognitive variation arises at least in part due to genetic factors shared with cognitive performance in populations and is not solely due to illness or treatment-related factors, although our findings are consistent with important contributions from these factors.


Author(s):  
Federico Canzian ◽  
Chiara Piredda ◽  
Angelica Macauda ◽  
Daria Zawirska ◽  
Niels Frost Andersen ◽  
...  

AbstractThere is overwhelming epidemiologic evidence that the risk of multiple myeloma (MM) has a solid genetic background. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified 23 risk loci that contribute to the genetic susceptibility of MM, but have low individual penetrance. Combining the SNPs in a polygenic risk score (PRS) is a possible approach to improve their usefulness. Using 2361 MM cases and 1415 controls from the International Multiple Myeloma rESEarch (IMMEnSE) consortium, we computed a weighted and an unweighted PRS. We observed associations with MM risk with OR = 3.44, 95% CI 2.53–4.69, p = 3.55 × 10−15 for the highest vs. lowest quintile of the weighted score, and OR = 3.18, 95% CI 2.1 = 34–4.33, p = 1.62 × 10−13 for the highest vs. lowest quintile of the unweighted score. We found a convincing association of a PRS generated with 23 SNPs and risk of MM. Our work provides additional validation of previously discovered MM risk variants and of their combination into a PRS, which is a first step towards the use of genetics for risk stratification in the general population.


Author(s):  
Kaoru Suzuki ◽  
Yoichi Kakuta ◽  
Takeo Naito ◽  
Tetsuya Takagawa ◽  
Hiroyuki Hanai ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Some patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) who were under mesalamine treatment develop adverse reactions called “mesalamine allergy,” which includes high fever and worsening diarrhea. Currently, there is no method to predict mesalamine allergy. Pharmacogenomic approaches may help identify these patients. Here we analyzed the genetic background of mesalamine intolerance in the first genome-wide association study of Japanese patients with IBD. Methods Two independent pharmacogenetic IBD cohorts were analyzed: the MENDEL (n = 1523; as a discovery set) and the Tohoku (n = 788; as a replication set) cohorts. Genome-wide association studies were performed in each population, followed by a meta-analysis. In addition, we constructed a polygenic risk score model and combined genetic and clinical factors to model mesalamine intolerance. Results In the combined cohort, mesalamine-induced fever and/or diarrhea was significantly more frequent in ulcerative colitis vs Crohn’s disease. The genome-wide association studies and meta-analysis identified one significant association between rs144384547 (upstream of RGS17) and mesalamine-induced fever and diarrhea (P = 7.21e-09; odds ratio = 11.2). The estimated heritability of mesalamine allergy was 25.4%, suggesting a significant correlation with the genetic background. Furthermore, a polygenic risk score model was built to predict mesalamine allergy (P = 2.95e-2). The combined genetic/clinical prediction model yielded a higher area under the curve than did the polygenic risk score or clinical model alone (area under the curve, 0.89; sensitivity, 71.4%; specificity, 90.8%). Conclusions Mesalamine allergy was more common in ulcerative colitis than in Crohn’s disease. We identified a novel genetic association with and developed a combined clinical/genetic model for this adverse event.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1169
Author(s):  
Yu-Jer Hsiao ◽  
Hao-Kai Chuang ◽  
Sheng-Chu Chi ◽  
Yung-Yu Wang ◽  
Pin-Hsuan Chiang ◽  
...  

Glaucoma is a progressive and irreversible blindness-causing disease. However, the underlying genetic factors and molecular mechanisms remain poorly understood. Previous genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have made tremendous progress on the SNP-based disease association and characterization. However, most of them were conducted for Europeans. Since differential genetic characteristics among ethnic groups were evident in glaucoma, it is worthwhile to complete its genetic landscape from the larger cohorts of Asian individuals. Here, we present a GWAS based on the Taiwan Biobank. Among 1013 glaucoma patients and 36,562 controls, we identified a total of 138 independent glaucoma-associated SNPs at the significance level of p < 1 × 10−5. After clumping genetically linked SNPs (LD clumping), 134 independent SNPs with p < 10−4 were recruited to construct a Polygenic Risk Score (PRS). The model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.8387 (95% CI = [0.8269–0.8506]), and those within the top PRS quantile had a 45.48-fold increased risk of glaucoma compared with those within the lowest quantile. The PRS model was validated with an independent cohort that achieved an AUC of 0.7283, thereby showing the effectiveness of our polygenic risk score in predicting individuals in the Han Chinese population with higher glaucoma risks.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 319
Author(s):  
Joanne E. Sordillo ◽  
Sharon M. Lutz ◽  
Michael J. McGeachie ◽  
Jessica Lasky-Su ◽  
Scott T. Weiss ◽  
...  

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of response to asthma medications have primarily focused on Caucasian populations, with findings that may not be generalizable to minority populations. We derived a polygenic risk score (PRS) for response to albuterol as measured by bronchodilator response (BDR), and examined the PRS in a cohort of Hispanic school-aged children with asthma. We leveraged a published GWAS of BDR to identify relevant genetic variants, and ranked the top variants according to their Combined Annotation Dependent Depletion (CADD) scores. Variants with CADD scores greater than 10 were used to compute the PRS. Once we derived the PRS, we determined the association of the PRS with BDR in a cohort of Hispanic children with asthma (the Genetics of Asthma in Costa Rica Study (GACRS)) in adjusted linear regression models. Mean BDR in GACRS participants was5.6% with a standard deviation of 10.2%. We observed a 0.63% decrease in BDR in response to albuterol for a standard deviation increase in the PRS (p = 0.05). We also observed decreased odds of a BDR response at or above the 12% threshold for a one standard deviation increase in the PRS (OR = 0.80 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.95)). Our findings show that combining variants from a pharmacogenetic GWAS into a PRS may be useful for predicting medication response in asthma.


Author(s):  
Niccolo’ Tesi ◽  
Sven J van der Lee ◽  
Marc Hulsman ◽  
Iris E Jansen ◽  
Najada Stringa ◽  
...  

Abstract Studying the genome of centenarians may give insights into the molecular mechanisms underlying extreme human longevity and the escape of age-related diseases. Here, we set out to construct polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for longevity and to investigate the functions of longevity-associated variants. Using a cohort of centenarians with maintained cognitive health (N = 343), a population-matched cohort of older adults from 5 cohorts (N = 2905), and summary statistics data from genome-wide association studies on parental longevity, we constructed a PRS including 330 variants that significantly discriminated between centenarians and older adults. This PRS was also associated with longer survival in an independent sample of younger individuals (p = .02), leading up to a 4-year difference in survival based on common genetic factors only. We show that this PRS was, in part, able to compensate for the deleterious effect of the APOE-ε4 allele. Using an integrative framework, we annotated the 330 variants included in this PRS by the genes they associate with. We find that they are enriched with genes associated with cellular differentiation, developmental processes, and cellular response to stress. Together, our results indicate that an extended human life span is, in part, the result of a constellation of variants each exerting small advantageous effects on aging-related biological mechanisms that maintain overall health and decrease the risk of age-related diseases.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tom G. Richardson ◽  
Sean Harrison ◽  
Gibran Hemani ◽  
George Davey Smith

AbstractThe age of large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) has provided us with an unprecedented opportunity to evaluate the genetic liability of complex disease using polygenic risk scores (PRS). In this study, we have analysed 162 PRS (P<5×l0 05) derived from GWAS and 551 heritable traits from the UK Biobank study (N=334,398). Findings can be investigated using a web application (http://mrcieu.mrsoftware.org/PRS_atlas/), which we envisage will help uncover both known and novel mechanisms which contribute towards disease susceptibility.To demonstrate this, we have investigated the results from a phenome-wide evaluation of schizophrenia genetic liability. Amongst findings were inverse associations with measures of cognitive function which extensive follow-up analyses using Mendelian randomization (MR) provided evidence of a causal relationship. We have also investigated the effect of multiple risk factors on disease using mediation and multivariable MR frameworks. Our atlas provides a resource for future endeavours seeking to unravel the causal determinants of complex disease.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roman Teo Oliynyk

AbstractBackgroundGenome-wide association studies and other computational biology techniques are gradually discovering the causal gene variants that contribute to late-onset human diseases. After more than a decade of genome-wide association study efforts, these can account for only a fraction of the heritability implied by familial studies, the so-called “missing heritability” problem.MethodsComputer simulations of polygenic late-onset diseases in an aging population have quantified the risk allele frequency decrease at older ages caused by individuals with higher polygenic risk scores becoming ill proportionately earlier. This effect is most prominent for diseases characterized by high cumulative incidence and high heritability, examples of which include Alzheimer’s disease, coronary artery disease, cerebral stroke, and type 2 diabetes.ResultsThe incidence rate for late-onset diseases grows exponentially for decades after early onset ages, guaranteeing that the cohorts used for genome-wide association studies overrepresent older individuals with lower polygenic risk scores, whose disease cases are disproportionately due to environmental causes such as old age itself. This mechanism explains the decline in clinical predictive power with age and the lower discovery power of familial studies of heritability and genome-wide association studies. It also explains the relatively constant-with-age heritability found for late-onset diseases of lower prevalence, exemplified by cancers.ConclusionsFor late-onset polygenic diseases showing high cumulative incidence together with high initial heritability, rather than using relatively old age-matched cohorts, study cohorts combining the youngest possible cases with the oldest possible controls may significantly improve the discovery power of genome-wide association studies.


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