Response and outcomes to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in advanced urothelial cancer (aUC) based on prior intravesical BCG.

4537 Background: Little is known regarding response and outcomes to ICI for patients (pts) with aUC who were previously treated with BCG for non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. We hypothesized that prior intravesical BCG would not be associated with changes in objective response or survival in pts with aUC treated with ICI. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study across 25 institutions. Demographic, intravesical BCG history, treatment and outcomes data were collected for pts with aUC who received ICI. Pts with aUC treated with ICIs were included, pts with pure non-UC, those treated with combination or on clinical trials, pts with multiple ICI treatment lines and those with upper tract UC were excluded. Pts were stratified to prior exposure versus no exposure to BCG. We compared overall response rate (ORR) using logistic regression; and progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards. All analyses were performed in the overall population and further stratified by treatment line (first-line [1L] vs salvage [2+L]) and multivariable models. The stratified analysis was also adjusted for an internally developed risk score for 1L and Bellmunt risk score for 2+L; p<0.05 was significant. Results: 1026 aUC pts treated with ICI were identified; 614 pts, 617 pts, and 641 pts were included in ORR, OS and PFS analyses, respectively. Overall, mean age at CPI initiation was 70, 76% were men, 70% were current or former smokers, 75% White, 29% with mixed histology, and 24% had prior exposure to BCG. ORR to ICI in pts with or without prior exposure to BCG was similar, 27% and 28% respectively (OR=0.93 [95% CI 0.61-1.42], p=0.73). Median OS (mOS) for pts with vs without prior BCG exposure was 9 vs 10 mo (HR=1.13 [95% CI 0.88-1.44], p=0.35). Median PFS (mPFS) was 4 months (mo) in both groups (HR=1.02 [95% CI 0.82-1.27], p=0.83). ORR, PFS and OS analyses stratified by ICI treatment line (1L vs 2+L) are listed in the table. Conclusions: In this multi-institutional retrospective analysis, prior intravesical BCG was not associated with objective response or survival in pts with aUC treated with ICI. Limitations of this study include retrospective nature, lack of randomization and possible confounding, but it does provide important preliminary data that selection for ICI treatment should not be impacted by prior exposure to BCG. Further clinical and molecular biomarker exploration is needed to refine patient selection for ICI in aUC.[Table: see text]

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The Relationship of Diabetes Mellitus to Efficacy of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients with Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Oncology ◽

10.1159/000516671 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-7

Author(s):

Oded Jacobi ◽

Yosef Landman ◽

Daniel Reinhorn ◽

Oded Icht ◽

Michal Sternschuss ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Immune Checkpoint ◽

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽

Negative Relationship ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Significant Negative Correlation ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Diabetic Patients

Introduction: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) are the new standard therapy in patients with metastatic NSCLC (mNSCLC). Metformin, previously associated with improved chemotherapy efficacy in diabetic and nondiabetic cancer patients, was recently associated with increased ICI efficacy. In this study, we aimed to explore the correlations between diabetes mellitus (DM), metformin use, and benefit from ICI in mNSCLC patients. Methods: All mNSCLC patients treated with ICI in our center between February 2015 and April 2018 were identified. Demographic and clinical data were extracted retrospectively. Cox proportional hazards regression, t tests, and χ2 tests were employed to evaluate associations of progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), overall response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR), with DM status, metformin use, and HbA1c levels, as appropriate. Results: Of 249 mNSCLC patients treated with ICI, 57 (22.8%) had DM. Thirty-seven (64.9% of all diabetic patients) patients were treated with metformin. A significant negative correlation of DM with PFS and OS was demonstrated (HR 1.5 [1.01–2.06], p = 0.011, and HR 1.5 [1.08–2.08], p = 0.017, respectively). Metformin exposure had no significant correlation with PFS or OS in diabetic mNSCLC patients (HR 1.08 [0.61–1.93], p = 0.79, and HR 1.29 [0.69–2.39], p = 0.42, respectively). There were no differences between groups with respect to ORR and DCR. Conclusion: Our data show a potential negative relationship between DM and ICI efficacy in mNSCLC patients. In contrast to reports with chemotherapy, we found no positive relationship between metformin use and ICI therapy in diabetic patients with mNSCLC. Further studies are needed to evaluate the effect of metformin in nondiabetic mNSCLC patients.

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Differential response rates in early-phase cancer clinical trials (EPCCT).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2021.39.15_suppl.3133 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽

pp. 3133-3133

Author(s):

Rozana Abdul Rahman ◽

Neethu Billy Graham Mariam ◽

Hitesh Mistry ◽

Sreeja Aruketty ◽

Matt Church ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Performance Status ◽

Objective Response ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Response Rates ◽

Primary Objective ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Sustained Response ◽

Phase Ii Trials ◽

Significant Difference

3133 Background: The primary objective of EPCCT (phase I and non-randomised phase II trials) is to determine the safety and tolerability of new therapeutic agents. Response rates (RR) in these trials have typically been reported at around 10-15%. Increasingly RR and survival outcomes are now investigated in EPCCT as primary or secondary objectives. Methods: Retrospective data analysis was performed on patients (pts) enrolled onto an EPCCT between January 2018 and December 2019 at The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, UK. Data on demographics, prior systemic treatment, sites of disease, performance status, comorbidities, types of therapy, RR, progression free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were collected. Statistical analyses were performed with univariable and multivariable models. Objective response rate (ORR) was defined as the proportion of pts with complete response (CR) and partial response (PR). Duration of response (DOR) was from initial response to progressive disease (PD). Disease control rate (DCR) was defined as CR+PR+ stable disease (SD). Results: A total of 247 pts were treated across 46 EPCCTs. Median age 61 years; 57% female. Sixty-six percent of pts had ≥2 lines of treatment and the majority were ECOG PS 0/1 (98%). Eighty-one percent of pts had ≥2 sites of metastatic disease, and 13 major tumour types were included. Monotherapy trials (159 pts) were predominantly targeted therapies (TT; 60%), or immunotherapies (IO; 20%). Combination therapy trials (88 pts) were TT-based (68%) or IO-based (32%). Data for RR analyses was available for 231 pts. ORR across all trials was 15% (CR 2%) and DCR was 63%. The median DOR was 8.3 months (mos) (95% CI: 7.0 – 9.7) with 28% of pts responding for >6 mos and 7% for >12 mos. ORR in pooled IO treated pts was 27%, DCR was 65% with sustained response >6 mos seen in 37% of these pts. ORR in pooled TT treated pts was 9.4%, DCR was 60% and sustained response > 6 mos seen in 25% of pts. ORR for IO v TT treated pts was significantly different, p=0.007 (pearson chi square), but no significant difference was seen for DCR. Median PFS for all patients was 5.0 mos (95% CI: 4.1 – 6.0) and OS was 10.4 mos (95% CI: 8.4 – 13.0). OS for those with a PR is not reached (HR for PR v PD, 0.006 (95% CI: 0.002 – 0.18). Pts with SD appear to have significantly better OS compared to those with PD (14.6 v 4.2 mos, HR 0.2 (95% CI: 0.1 – 0.3). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis for OS was significant for male gender (HR 1.9, p=0.002), presence of liver metastasis (HR 2.0, p=0.001), low Hb (HR 0.8, p=0.03) and log (LDH) (HR 1.9, p<0.001). Conclusions: Two-thirds of pts enrolled on EPCCTs benefitted in terms of DCR with significant OS improvement in those with PR and SD. Higher ORR were seen in pts receiving IO-based treatments however DCR was similar in IO and TT pts. Gender, presence of liver metastases, Hb count and LDH level contributed significantly to survival differences.

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Efficacy outcomes of nivolumab + cabozantinib versus pembrolizumab + axitinib in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma (aRCC): Matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2021.39.15_suppl.4578 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽

pp. 4578-4578

Author(s):

Bradley Alexander McGregor ◽

Daniel M. Geynisman ◽

Mauricio Burotto ◽

Camillo Porta ◽

Cristina Suarez Rodriguez ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Objective Response ◽

Indirect Comparison ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Wald Test ◽

Patient Characteristics ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Published Data ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models

4578 Background: Nivolumab in combination with cabozantinib (N+C) has demonstrated significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and overall survival (OS), compared with sunitinib as a first-line (1L) treatment for aRCC in the phase 3 CheckMate (CM) 9ER trial. As there are no head-to-head trials comparing N+C with pembrolizumab in combination with axitinib (P+A), this study compared the efficacy of N+C with P+A as 1L treatment in aRCC. Methods: An MAIC was conducted using individual patient data on N+C (N = 323) from the CM 9ER trial (median follow-up: 23.5 months) and published data on P+A (N = 432) from the KEYNOTE (KN)-426 trialof P+A (median follow-up: 30.6 months). Individual patients within the CM 9ER trial population were reweighted to match the key patient characteristics published in KN-426 trial, including age, gender, previous nephrectomy, International Metastatic RCC Database Consortium risk score, and sites of metastasis. After weighting, hazards ratios (HR) of PFS, duration of response (DoR), and OS comparing N+C vs. P+A were estimated using weighted Cox proportional hazards models, and ORR was compared using a weighted Wald test. All comparisons were conducted using the corresponding sunitinib arms as an anchor. Results: After weighting, patient characteristics in the CM 9ER trial were comparable to those in the KN-426 trial. In the weighted population, N+C had a median PFS of 19.3 months (95% CI: 15.2, 22.4) compared to a median PFS of 15.7 months (95% CI: 13.7, 20.6) for P+A. Using sunitinib as an anchor arm, N+C was associated with a 30% reduction in risk of progression or death compared to P+A, (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.53, 0.93; P = 0.015; table). In addition, N+C was associated with numerically, although not statistically, higher improvement in ORR vs sunitinib (difference: 8.4%, 95% CI: -1.7%, 18.4%; P = 0.105) and improved DoR (HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.47, 1.31; P = 0.359). Similar OS outcomes were observed for N+C and P+A (HR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.67, 1.44; P = 0.940). Conclusions: After adjusting for cross-trial differences, N+C had a more favorable efficacy profile compared to P+A, including statistically significant PFS benefits, numerically improved ORR and DoR, and similar OS.[Table: see text]

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Evaluation of RAPNO criteria in medulloblastoma and other leptomeningeal seeding tumors using MRI and clinical data

Neuro-Oncology ◽

10.1093/neuonc/noaa072 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 22 (10) ◽

pp. 1536-1544 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Jian Peng ◽

Hao Zhou ◽

Oliver Tang ◽

Ken Chang ◽

Panpan Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Clinical Data ◽

Interobserver Agreement ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Objective Response ◽

Choroid Plexus Papilloma ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Response Assessment ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Treatment Modalities ◽

Leptomeningeal Seeding

Abstract Background Although the Response Assessment in Pediatric Neuro-Oncology (RAPNO) working group has made recommendations for response assessment in patients with medulloblastoma (MBL) and leptomeningeal seeding tumors, these criteria have yet to be evaluated. Methods We examined MR imaging and clinical data in a multicenter retrospective cohort of 269 patients with MBL diagnoses, high grade glioma, embryonal tumor, germ cell tumor, or choroid plexus papilloma. Interobserver agreement, objective response (OR) rates, and progression-free survival (PFS) were calculated. Landmark analyses were performed for OR and progression status at 0.5, 1.0, and 1.5 years after treatment initiation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the associations between OR and progression with overall survival (OS). Subgroup analyses based on tumor subgroup and treatment modality were performed. Results The median follow-up time was 4.0 years. In all patients, the OR rate was .0.565 (95% CI: 0.505–0.625) by RAPNO. The interobserver agreement of OR determination between 2 raters (a neuroradiologist and a neuro-oncologist) for the RAPNO criteria in all patients was 83.8% (k statistic = 0.815; P < 0.001). At 0.5-, 1.0-, and 1.5-year landmarks, both OR status and PFS determined by RAPNO were predictive of OS (hazard ratios [HRs] for 1-year landmark: OR HR = 0.079, P < 0.001; PFS HR = 10.192, P < 0.001). In subgroup analysis, OR status and PFS were predictive of OS for all tumor subtypes and treatment modalities. Conclusion RAPNO criteria showed excellent consistency in the treatment response evaluation of MBL and other leptomeningeal seeding tumors. OR and PFS determined by RAPNO criteria correlated with OS.

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Impact of timing of antibiotic use on clinical outcomes in patients with urothelial cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2020.38.15_suppl.5045 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽

pp. 5045-5045

Author(s):

Chana Weinstock ◽

Pradeep Bandaru ◽

Laura L Fernandes ◽

Elaine Chang ◽

Andrew Girvin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Urothelial Cancer ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Drug Approval ◽

Antibiotic Use ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Exploratory Analysis ◽

Baseline Risk ◽

Study Results

5045 Background: Although recent evidence has suggested that patients who receive antibiotics (ABX) during the course of ICI treatment might decrease overall survival (OS) (1), our previous analysis did not support a difference in OS in urothelial cancer patients who did and did not use ABX during the course of ICI treatment without regard to timing (2). This updated analysis aims to addresses the question of timing; specifically, use of ABX in the 30-day window pre- or post- initiation of ICI treatment. Methods: We pooled data from 7 trials that led to drug approval and which included 1747 patients with advanced urothelial cancer treated with an ICI. Five trials enrolled patients who received prior platinum and 2 enrolled cisplatin-ineligible patients. Concomitant medication datasets were searched for systemic ABX use. The association between ABX use and survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazards regression models stratified by study. Results: Overall, 56% of patients were exposed to antibiotics (ABX+) and 43% were not exposed (ABX-). In an exploratory analysis, median OS was similar between arms: 9.7 vs. 9.3 months in ABX+ vs. ABX- patients, respectively (HR 0.96). However, OS results differed in the 27% of patients who were exposed to antibiotics in the 30-day window pre- or post- initiation of ICI treatment, for whom median OS was 4.7 months vs. 11.5 months in the ABX+ vs. ABX- patients, respectively (HR 1.8). This remained true after controlling for baseline risk prognostic factors (Bajorin and Bellmunt scores). Similar trends were observed for progression-free survival (PFS). Conclusions: Patients treated with ABX while on therapy with an ICI for urothelial cancer had similar OS outcomes to those not treated with ABX. However, in an exploratory analysis looking at ABX use in the 30-day window pre- or post-initiation of ICI treatment, OS appeared decreased in ABX+ vs ABX- patients. Our exploratory analyses appear to show an association of OS/PFS with timing of antibiotics. References: 1) Routy B, Science (2017) 2) Weinstock C, ASCO 2019, abstract. [Table: see text]

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Changing paradigm in oncology clinical trials: Cox-TEL—Adjustment made ready for early crossover and tail tale.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2020.38.15_suppl.e15067 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽

pp. e15067-e15067

Author(s):

Emily Pei-Ying Lin ◽

Chih-Yuan Hsu ◽

Pan-Chyr Yang ◽

Yu Shyr

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽

Survival Curve ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Poor Responders ◽

Term Survival ◽

Study Results ◽

Before And After ◽

Oncology Clinical Trials

e15067 Background: Approvals of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) were made based on positive clinical trial results analyzed by the Cox proportional hazards (PH) model. With ICI data, however, long tails and early crossover in survival curves, which violate the Cox PH assumption, can lead to misinterpretation of clinical significance of findings. Here we introduce the Cox-TEL and show the differences of study results before and after Cox-TEL adjustment using KEYNOTE 042 and 045 as examples. Methods: Cox-TEL is built on the mathematical foundation of Taylor expansion. As an easily implemented alternative of PH cure model, it not only infers associations between survival probabilities of the two study arms among patients without long-term survival (poor-responders), but also estimates differences in proportion (DP) between arms among patients in the long-tail segment of the survival curve (true-responders). Results: In KEYNOTE 042, the Cox-TEL HRs for death were statistically insignificant across all subgroups. The trend of DP, on the other hand, is positively related to that of PD-L1 TPS and inverted related to that of Cox HR when the PD-L1 ≥50% cohort is covered. In KEYNOTE 045, the Cox-TEL HRs suggested that for the poor-responders, pembrolizumab did not do better than chemotherapy in terms of overall survival (OS) and might do harm to the patients in terms of progression-free survival (PFS). For the true-responders, DPs of OS and PFS were both statistically significant (Table). Conclusions: Our data demonstrated the biases derived from insufficient data analyses and strengthened the necessity of analytic model revisits in the new oncology era of which cure for advanced cancers is no longer impossible. [Table: see text]

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Association between rigors and overall survival (OS) in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) patients treated with high-dose interleukin-2 (HD IL-2).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2014.32.4_suppl.487 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽

pp. 487-487

Author(s):

Julia Anne Batten ◽

Wolfram E. Samlowski ◽

Kinjal Parikh ◽

Arun Sendilnathan ◽

Hilda Crispin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Overall Survival ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Objective Response ◽

Interleukin 2 ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

High Dose ◽

University Of Utah ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Grade 3

487 Background: HD IL-2 is associated with an objective response rate of 16-20% with durability of response in select mRCC patients. HD IL-2 is also associated with significant toxicity including vascular leak syndrome and inflammatory side effects. Few predictive markers can identify patients likely to respond to HD IL-2. Methods: Patients treated with HD IL-2 at the University of Utah Huntsman Cancer Institute from 2000 to 2012 with clear cell mRCC were evaluated. Grade of toxicities during HD IL-2 treatment were collected based on provider documentation in the electronic health record. Rates of adverse events (AEs) and overall survival stratified grade 3 AEs were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and Cox proportional hazards models. All AEs were graded per common terminology criteria version 4. Grade 3 rigors were defined as severe rigors requiring opioids. Results: A total of 85 patients were included with a median age of 56 years (range 32-76 years) and 79% (n = 67) were male. Patients belonged to the following MSKCC risk categories: 11 (13%) good, 70 (82%) intermediate, and 4 (5%) poor risk. The mean total dose received was 1097 MIU (range: 160 – 3048 MIU). The prevalence of grade 3 AEs is presented in the table. Median survival of patients with ≥grade 3 rigors after HD IL-2 administration was 1501 days vs 533 days for those without (p = 0.0005, HR 2.54). Presence of rigors was also associated with a significant improvement in progression free survival, time to next treatment and response rates. No other AEs predicted response to HD IL-2. Conclusions: Presence of grade 3 rigors predicts improved survival during HD IL-2 therapy. Notably, grade 3 fever was rarely observed because of our institutional protocol of routinely using scheduled antipyretics to diminish fevers. [Table: see text]

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Amphiregulin (AREG) expression and response to first-line panitumumab (pmab) plus FOLFIRI in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2015.33.3_suppl.731 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽

pp. 731-731

Author(s):

Claus-Henning Kohne ◽

Ralf Hofheinz ◽

Laurent Mineur ◽

Henry Letocha ◽

Richard Greil ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction ◽

Objective Response ◽

Growth Factor Receptor ◽

Treatment Decision ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

First Line ◽

Treatment Benefit ◽

Formalin Fixed Paraffin Embedded

731 Background: Biomarker analyses have shown that patients (pts) with RAS wild-type (WT) mCRC can achieve overall survival (OS) benefits with first-line pmab plus chemotherapy. Other biomarkers may exist that could optimize pt selection. Epidermal growth factor receptor ligand (eg AREG) levels have been correlated with OS during anti-EGFR therapy. Here we investigate the relationship between AREG expression and treatment outcome in a single-arm first-line mCRC study of pmab + FOLFIRI. Methods: Qualified reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) assays were used to measure AREG RNA expression in archival formalin-fixed, paraffin embedded tumor samples from mCRC pts in two pmab trials (STEPP and 314). The STEPP analysis was used to establish a cut-off point in AREG expression that identified the best responders. This cut-off was applied prospectively to samples previously analyzed for KRAS in the 314 trial. Using the KRASMT subgroup as a non-responding comparator, Cox proportional hazards (PH) models were used to evaluate AREG expression levels as a continuous covariate. Decision curves were used to estimate the progression-free survival (PFS) hazard ratio (HR) with increasing levels of baseline AREG expression. Results: In the 314 trial 100 pts had evaluable AREG levels. Among 50 KRAS WT pts, high AREG expression was associated with objective response (OR) (Table). The high AREG group had better PFS HRs (KRAS WT/KRAS MT: 0.30 [95% CI, 0.12–0.75]) compared with the low AREG group (PFS HR 0.49 [95% CI 0.21–1.1]). There was a significant biomarker-by-AREG expression interaction in the Cox PH model (p=0.03). Conclusions: Treatment decision curves based on the PH model suggest that most KRAS WT patients express AREG at levels where treatment benefit is predicted. Future analysis of samples from a RASWT population may provide further insights. Clinical trial information: NCT00508404. [Table: see text]

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Effect of baseline carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level on overall survival (OS) in NAPOLI-1 trial: A phase III study of MM-398 (nal-IRI), with or without 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin (5-FU/LV), versus 5-FU/LV in metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPAC) previously treated with gemcitabine-based therapy.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2016.34.4_suppl.425 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽

pp. 425-425 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Li-Tzong Chen ◽

Jens T Siveke ◽

Andrea Wang-Gillam ◽

Richard Hubner ◽

Shubham Pant ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Overall Survival ◽

Treatment Effect ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Objective Response ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Response To Therapy ◽

Phase Iii ◽

Free Survival ◽

Previously Treated

425 Background: CA19-9 has been shown to correlate with response to therapy and OS in patients with mPAC. NAPOLI-1, a randomized phase 3 study evaluated nal-IRI, a nanoliposomal formulation of irinotecan, with or without 5-FU/LV vs 5-FU/LV in patients with mPAC previously treated with gemcitabine-based therapy. Nal-IRI+5-FU/LV significantly improved OS (primary endpoint) vs 5-FU/LV (6.1 mo vs 4.2 mo; unstratified hazard ratio [HR] = 0.67; P = 0.012). CA19-9 response (≥50% decline from baseline) was superior with nal-IRI+5FU/LV compared with 5-FU/LV (29% vs 9%; P=0.0006). Nal-IRI alone did not show a statistical improvement in survival. Methods: Patients with a recorded baseline CA19-9 measurement were divided into quartiles to evaluate the treatment effect pattern of CA19-9 from nal-IRI+5-FU/LV and 5-FU/LV arms. Quartile ranges were based on 404 available CA19-9 values from randomized patients (N=417). Unstratified Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate HRs and corresponding 95% CIs. Effect of baseline CA19-9 on time to response, progression-free survival, and response will be presented. Results: Of patients randomized to receive nal-IRI+5-FU/LV (n = 117) or 5-FU/LV enrolled contemporaneously (n = 119), 218 received study drug and had a baseline CA19-9 measurement. Results show a greater treatment effect on OS with higher CA19-9 level relative to 5-FU/LV. Conclusions: In patients with mPAC previously treated with gemcitabine-based therapy, nal-IRI+5-FU/LV significantly improved OS supported by progression free survival and objective response rate. The CA19-9 serum level can provide important information with regards to overall survival. Clinical trial information: NCT01494506. [Table: see text]

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Reductions in AFP and PIVKA-II can predict the efficiency of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy in HCC patients

BMC Cancer ◽

10.1186/s12885-021-08428-w ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Xuqi Sun ◽

Jie Mei ◽

Wenping Lin ◽

Ziliang Yang ◽

Wei Peng ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Objective Response ◽

Binary Logistic Regression ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Related Factors ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Before And After

Abstract Background Few biomarkers can predict the efficiency of PD-1 blockade in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of AFP and PIVKA-II in HCC patients receiving anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. Methods A total of 235 HCC patients treated with PD-1 blockade were enrolled. Serum AFP and PIVKA-II levels were collected before and after treatments. The patients were divided into groups based on the reduction in AFP and PIVKA-II: AFP reduction ≤50% vs AFP reduction > 50% and PIVKA-II reduction ≤50% vs PIVKA-II reduction > 50%. The primary endpoints included objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Binary logistic regression analyses were used to explore the related factors of ORR. A Cox proportional hazards model was employed to identify the potential prognostic factors of PFS and OS. Results Among all the patients, 34.9% (82/235) achieved a complete or partial response. There was a positive correlation between AFP reduction > 50% or PIVKA-II reduction> 50% and the ORR of PD-1 blockade (P < 0.001 and = 0.003). PFS was significantly improved in patients with AFP reduction > 50% and PIVKA-II reduction > 50% (p < 0.001 and = 0.021). In addition, AFP reduction > 50% and PIVKA-II reduction> 50% were positively correlated with longer OS (p = 0.003 and 0.006). Conclusion Early reductions in AFP and PIVKA-II can be predictors of the efficacy of PD-1 blockade in HCC patients.

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