Predicting financial distress in an emerging market: corporate actions, accounting ratios, or both

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3/4) ◽  
pp. 314
Author(s):  
Azhar Mohamad ◽  
Mohamed Azad ◽  
Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Corporate Actions ◽  
Accounting Ratios

scholarly journals An Empirical Test Of The View Of Inventory As A Liability IN Explaining Financial Distress

2011 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin P. Foster ◽  
M. Cathy Sullivan ◽  
Terry J. Ward
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Empirical Test ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Manufacturing Firms ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Financially Distressed ◽  
Accounting Ratios ◽  
Extreme View

<span>This study reports a first attempt in a financial distress context to test the extreme JIT and TOC view that inventory is a liability. We compared inventory levels and the change in inventory for healthy and financially distressed manufacturing firms. We also compared the explanatory power of logistic regression models including traditional accounting ratios to that of models including accounting ratios created by viewing inventory as a liability. We found some support for the extreme view of some JIT and TOC proponents that traditional inventory should be considered a liability.</span>

Indirect financial distress costs in non-financial firms: evidence from an emerging market

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Farooq ◽  
Shahzadah Fahed Qureshi ◽  
Zahra Masood Bhutta
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Intangible Assets ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Investment Policy ◽  
Tobin’S Q ◽  
Optimal Model ◽  
Tobin's Q ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Tangible Assets ◽  
Financially Distressed

Purpose This study aims to analyse 508 financially distressed firm-year observations for the period 2010–2018 of Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) listed firms to examine the magnitude of indirect financial distress costs (IFDC) and to investigate which firm-specific variable is relatively important in explaining these indirect costs. This will not only enrich empirical literature but also helpful in cross-country comparison. Design/methodology/approach Optimal model selection along with panel data analysis technique is used to select the most optimal model to observe the findings. Financial distress is measure through Altman’s Z-score and firm-specific variables cover leverage, level of intangible assets, investment policy, tangible assets, firm’s size, level of liquid assets and Tobin’s Q of sample firms. Findings The findings of this study show that the average size of IFDC for the sample observations is 6.70%. In addition to this, finding further suggest that leverage, the level of intangible assets and changes in investment policy have positive while the size of the firm and Tobin’s Q have a significant negative impact on IFDC. Further, this paper argues that the level of tangible assets and liquid assets are statistically unimportant in observing the IFDC for PSX financially distressed firm-year observations. Practical implications The findings of this study provide more insight to corporate managers and investors about the association between firm-specific financial characteristics and IFDC concerning Pakistani firms. Furthermore, this study contributes to the existing literature by adding new evidence from developing countries such as Pakistan which are helpful for regulatory bodies and policymakers in the formulation of long-term strategies to manage the financial distress costs. Originality/value The study extends the body of existing literature on IFDC regarding Pakistan. The results suggest that policymakers may pay special attention to the quality of a firm’s capital structure strategies while predicting corporate financial distress costs.

The effects of corporate governance on financial performance and financial distress: evidence from Egypt

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. 641-662 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamer Mohamed Shahwan
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Firm Performance ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Content Type

Purpose – This paper aims to empirically examine the quality of corporate governance (CG) practices in Egyptian-listed companies and their impact on firm performance and financial distress in the context of an emerging market such as that of Egypt. Design/methodology/approach – To assess the level of CG practices at a given firm, the current study constructs a corporate governance index (CGI) which consists of four dimensions: disclosure and transparency, composition of the board of directors, shareholders’ rights and investor relations and ownership and control structure. Based on a sample of 86 non-financial firms listed on the Egyptian Exchange, the effects of CG on performance and financial distress are assessed. Tobin’s Q is used to assess corporate performance. At the same time, the Altman Z-score is used as a financial distress indicator, as it measures financial distress inversely. The bigger the Z-score, the smaller the risk of financial distress. Findings – The overall score of the CGI, on average, suggests that the quality of CG practices within Egyptian-listed firms is relatively low. The results do not support the positive association between CG practices and financial performance. In addition, there is an insignificant negative relationship between CG practices and the likelihood of financial distress. The current study also provides evidence that firm-specific characteristics could be useful as a first-pass screen in determining firm performance and the likelihood of financial distress. Research limitations/implications – The sample size and time frame of our analysis are relatively small; some caution would be needed before generalizing the results to the entire population. Practical implications – The findings may be of interest to those academic researchers, practitioners and regulators who are interested in discovering the quality of CG practices in a developing market such as that of Egypt and its impact on financial performance and financial distress. Originality/value – This paper extends the existing literature, in the Egyptian context in particular, by examining firm performance and the risk of financial distress in relation to the level of CG mechanisms adopted.

scholarly journals The COVID-19 Economic Crisis in Mexico through the Lens of a Financial Conditions Index

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
Julio A. Carrillo ◽  
Ana Laura García
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Market Economy ◽  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Financial Conditions ◽  
Real Shocks

The COVID-19 pandemic not only generated real shocks affecting economic activity severely, but also a broad uncertainty that unleashed an extreme shock to financial markets. In this paper, we focus on the financial dimension of the pandemic from the viewpoint of an emerging market economy. Accordingly, we estimate a financial conditions index for Mexico since 1993 and find that the acute turmoil generated by the pandemic stands among the four largest episodes of financial distress experienced by the country. In addition, we find evidence suggesting that real variables have responded differently to shocks that worsen financial conditions than to shocks that improve them.

scholarly journals A study on the financial soundness of Indian automobile industries using Altman Z-Score

Accounting ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 295-298 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. M. Swalih ◽  
K.B. Adarsh ◽  
M.M. Sulphey
Keyword(s):  
Automobile Industry ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Financial Data ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Strength ◽  
Financial Soundness ◽  
Near Future

Altman Z score is an effective tool for measuring a company's financial strength and the possibility of bankruptcy. In this study, the Z score formula was utilized to measure the Indian automobile industry's financial soundness. The financial data of ten automobile companies listed in the National Stoke Exchange (NSE) was taken to analyze both original and emerging market formulae of the Altman Z score. Results suggest that companies of the industry listed in the NSE are financially sound. The study concluded that the Indian automobile industry is sound and robust, and the automobile companies are not prone to financial distress or bankruptcy in the near future.

Materialism in the United Arab Emirates

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 507-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
Damien Arthur ◽  
Claire Eloise Sherman ◽  
Noora Saeed Al Hameli ◽  
Salama Yousef Al Marzooqi
Keyword(s):  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Financial Regulation ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Consumer Society ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Material Values

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the antecedents, cultivation, behaviours and consequences of materialism in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Given the UAE’s dramatic transformation into a developed and commercialised nation, such an investigation is highly warranted. Design/methodology/approach In this study, four focus groups and 25 in-depth interviews with UAE nationals were conducted. A conceptual model theorising the antecedents, cultivation, behaviours and consequences of materialism in the UAE emerged from a grounded theory analysis of the primary data and existing literature. Findings Rapid development, commercialisation and a substantial increase in new wealth have led to the development and socialisation of material values. Conspicuous and status consumption is creating an increasingly judgmental consumer society that is further cultivating material values in an ongoing cycle. Traditional Emirati values are also being expressed through materialistic displays. The consequences of materialism for the Emirati population include both positive and negative impacts on well-being, an increase in financial distress, delayed marriage and family conflict. Practical implications The model guides policy makers beyond constraining consumption via advertising and financial regulation towards breaking the cycles that cultivate harmful materialistic tendencies. The use of a more socio-cultural approach is recommended, which includes building self-esteem, resilience to judgements, use of cultural influencers, re-direction efforts and campaigns raising awareness and recognition of materialism as a social problem. Originality/value This is the first study to develop a comprehensive model of the antecedents, cultivation, behaviours and consequences of materialism in an emerging market.

The financial leverage–financial performance relationship in the emerging market of Turkey: the role of financial distress risk and currency crisis

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ismail Kalash
Keyword(s):  
Firm Performance ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Currency Crisis ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Financial Leverage ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distress Risk

PurposeThe purpose of this article is to examine how financial distress risk and currency crisis affect the relationship between financial leverage and financial performance.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses data of 200 firms listed on Istanbul Stock Exchange during the period from 2009 to 2019, resulting in 1950 firm-year observations. Pooled ordinary least squares, random effects, firm fixed effects and two-step system GMM models are used to investigate the hypotheses of this study.FindingsThe results reveal that financial leverage has negative and significant effect on financial performance, and that this effect is stronger for firms with higher financial distress risk. Furthermore, the findings provide moderate evidence that currency crisis exacerbates the negative association between leverage and performance.Practical implicationsThe results of this study have important implications for firms in emerging markets. Managers can enhance firm performance by reducing the level of financial leverage, especially in firms with higher financial distress risk. These firms incur higher debt costs, and then they can benefit more from the decreases in debt ratio in their capital structure. Moreover, the decreases in debt level have more importance in currency crisis times, when the access to external finance becomes more expensive and more difficult.Originality/valueTo the author's knowledge, this research is the first to examine the effect of currency crisis on the financial leverage–financial performance relationship and is one of few that investigate the role of financial distress risk in determining the linkage between leverage and firm performance.

scholarly journals Tracing the Impact of Bank Liquidity Shocks: Evidence from an Emerging Market

2008 ◽  
Vol 98 (4) ◽  
pp. 1413-1442 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asim Ijaz Khwaja ◽  
Atif Mian
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Small Firms ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Credit Market ◽  
Large Firms ◽  
Liquidity Shocks ◽  
Political Ties ◽  
Nuclear Tests ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Do So

We examine the impact of liquidity shocks by exploiting cross-bank liquidity variation induced by unanticipated nuclear tests in Pakistan. We show that for the same firm borrowing from two different banks, its loan from the bank experiencing a 1 percent larger decline in liquidity drops by an additional 0.6 percent. While banks pass their liquidity shocks on to firms, large firms—particularly those with strong business or political ties—completely compensate this loss by additional borrowing through the credit market. Small firms are unable to do so and face large drops in overall borrowing and increased financial distress. (JEL E44, G21, G32, L25)

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