EPILOGUE From Nuclear War to Climate Change

2021 ◽  
pp. 329-340
Keyword(s):  
Eos ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alan Robock ◽  
Stewart Prager

A nuclear war would claim many lives from its direct impacts and cause rapid climate change that would further imperil humanity. Scientists can help shape policies to put us on a safer path.


Author(s):  
О. Shevchenko

In the end XX of century to the traditional threats of international safety took the threat of global nuclear war, nuclear proliferation, religious wars, ethical conflicts and armed separatism. One of main features of international environment of the beginning of XXI of century is transformation of international threats, that arise up both through fault of man and without his interference. The question is about such global calls of international safety, that is caused by the consequences of climate change. Such consequences of climate change are natural cataclysms; formation of useless for life territories; a decrease of the biological variety of planet; lack of drinking-water, hunger and epidemics; increase of level of world ocean. These calls have absolutely measureable political and financial consequences. Realization of these problems at the greatest political level is the first constituent of their decision. Another important instrument of their decision is an informative activity, id explanation to international public of nessesity in adaptation and softening of climatic changes. An author shows, that most global problems related to the change of climate does not exist in itself, they interlace closely, mutually complementing each other, and their decision is an object of international safety and also informative safety.


2006 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-125 ◽  
Author(s):  
MATTHIAS DÖÖRRIES

ABSTRACT Three factors furthered the emergence of the field of volcanism and climate change in the 20th century: trigger events in the form of major volcanic eruptions, which attracted scientific and public attention (Katmai [1912], Agung [1963], Mount St. Helens [1980], El Chichóón [1982], Pinatubo [1991]); the availability of long-term global data obtained by instruments including pyrheliometers, sondes, computers, and satellites, which allowed generalizations and theoretical considerations; and major scientific and public debates that assigned an important place to the theme. No one of these factors alone would have been sufficient; the new object of research emerged only from a specific but not necessarily simultaneous combination of arbitrary events in nature, standardized measurements of global reach, and public demand. The latter comprised many aspects, beginning with the debate around the cause of the ice ages, mutating into an environmental discussion of man-made climate change covering a spectrum of apocalyptic scenarios that pointed up the fragility of human existence on earth, including the possible impact of atmospheric H-bomb tests during the 1950s and 1960s, the environmental and human consequences of a nuclear war between the USSR and the United States, and anthropogenic climate change. Existing historical representations of the research field have so far been written exclusively by scientists themselves. This paper critically examines these accounts while placing the research on the field of volcanism and climate change within its larger social and political history.


Author(s):  
О. Shevchenko

In the end XX of century to the traditional threats of international safety took the threat of global nuclear war, nuclear proliferation, religious wars, ethical conflicts and armed separatism. One of main features of international environment of the beginning of XXI of century is transformation of international threats, that arise up both through fault of man and without his interference. The question is about such global calls of international safety, that is caused by the consequences of climate change. Such consequences of climate change are natural cataclysms; formation of useless for life territories; a decrease of the biological variety of planet; lack of drinking-water, hunger and epidemics; increase of level of world ocean. These calls have absolutely measureable political and financial consequences. Realization of these problems at the greatest political level is the first constituent of their decision. Another important instrument of their decision is an informative activity, id explanation to international public of nessesity in adaptation and softening of climatic changes. An author shows, that most global problems related to the change of climate does not exist in itself, they interlace closely, mutually complementing each other, and their decision is an object of international safety and also informative safety.


2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Matt Boyd ◽  
Nick Wilson

Human civilisation faces a range of existential risks, including nuclear war, runaway climate change and superintelligent artificial intelligence run amok. As we show here with calculations for the New Zealand setting, large numbers of currently living and, especially, future people are potentially threatened by existential risks. A just process for resource allocation demands that we consider future generations but also account for solidarity with the present. Here we consider the various ethical and policy issues involved and make a case for further engagement with the New Zealand public to determine societal values towards future lives and their protection.


Author(s):  
Thomas Faist

Exit through cross-border migration is one of several ways in which people have adapted to both the slow-onset and fast-onset environmental destruction of human habitat in the Anthropocene. This destruction pre-empts and precedes all other aspects of the transnationalized social question. Like the threat of nuclear war, the destruction of ecological foundations underlies human life. So far, two generations of scholarship have discussed the climate change–migration debate in a rather narrow framework, without considering in full that climate change is mainly an add-on to environmental destruction. The first generation dealt with vulnerability, the second with adaptation and resilience. These perspectives have occluded the effects of environmental destruction on different categories of people with respect to social inequalities. Scholars have not fully dealt with the analogy between the exploitation of humans by humans and the exploitation of nature by capitalism.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. e221-e222
Author(s):  
Jack Williamson
Keyword(s):  

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Matt Boyd ◽  
Nick Wilson

Human civilisation faces a range of existential risks, including nuclear war, runaway climate change and superintelligent artificial intelligence run amok. As we show here with calculations for the New Zealand setting, large numbers of currently living and, especially, future people are potentially threatened by existential risks. A just process for resource allocation demands that we consider future generations but also account for solidarity with the present. Here we consider the various ethical and policy issues involved and make a case for further engagement with the New Zealand public to determine societal values towards future lives and their protection.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 723-729
Author(s):  
Roslyn Gleadow ◽  
Jim Hanan ◽  
Alan Dorin

Food security and the sustainability of native ecosystems depends on plant-insect interactions in countless ways. Recently reported rapid and immense declines in insect numbers due to climate change, the use of pesticides and herbicides, the introduction of agricultural monocultures, and the destruction of insect native habitat, are all potential contributors to this grave situation. Some researchers are working towards a future where natural insect pollinators might be replaced with free-flying robotic bees, an ecologically problematic proposal. We argue instead that creating environments that are friendly to bees and exploring the use of other species for pollination and bio-control, particularly in non-European countries, are more ecologically sound approaches. The computer simulation of insect-plant interactions is a far more measured application of technology that may assist in managing, or averting, ‘Insect Armageddon' from both practical and ethical viewpoints.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Millington ◽  
Peter M. Cox ◽  
Jonathan R. Moore ◽  
Gabriel Yvon-Durocher

Abstract We are in a period of relatively rapid climate change. This poses challenges for individual species and threatens the ecosystem services that humanity relies upon. Temperature is a key stressor. In a warming climate, individual organisms may be able to shift their thermal optima through phenotypic plasticity. However, such plasticity is unlikely to be sufficient over the coming centuries. Resilience to warming will also depend on how fast the distribution of traits that define a species can adapt through other methods, in particular through redistribution of the abundance of variants within the population and through genetic evolution. In this paper, we use a simple theoretical ‘trait diffusion’ model to explore how the resilience of a given species to climate change depends on the initial trait diversity (biodiversity), the trait diffusion rate (mutation rate), and the lifetime of the organism. We estimate theoretical dangerous rates of continuous global warming that would exceed the ability of a species to adapt through trait diffusion, and therefore lead to a collapse in the overall productivity of the species. As the rate of adaptation through intraspecies competition and genetic evolution decreases with species lifetime, we find critical rates of change that also depend fundamentally on lifetime. Dangerous rates of warming vary from 1°C per lifetime (at low trait diffusion rate) to 8°C per lifetime (at high trait diffusion rate). We conclude that rapid climate change is liable to favour short-lived organisms (e.g. microbes) rather than longer-lived organisms (e.g. trees).


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