scholarly journals Stock Exchange Recommendations and Economic Realities

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-139
Author(s):  
Radosław Pastusiak ◽  
Jakub Keller

AbstractThe aim of this paper is to present the impact of stock recommendations on the prices in the context of excessive optimism heuristic. The main goal of the conducted analysis is to show that investors on the Warsaw Stock Exchange seem to ignore the economic information that comes with the recommendation report. Also, as the analyzed recommendations are set in the specified economic conditions, authors would like to show that reports are biased with excessive optimism. The research of the structure of recommendations was issued for the biggest companies of the Polish market listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2012. The investigation showed that the ambiguity of the creation methods of analytical reports and differences in valuation of companies causes subjectivism in analysts’ assessments, which leads to heuristic effects. According to the authors, the structure of reports and their specificity shows that excessive optimism is an important factor in creation of stock exchange recommendations.

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-79
Author(s):  
Wojciech Kaczmarczyk

Abstract Research purpose: Seven of 10 companies that have won the Polish Forbes edition Merge & Acquisition 2018 Ranking are listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange. The aim of the conducted research was to test if the biggest acquisitions have an impact on stocks value and is it possible for typical investor to create extra profit by using knowledge of acquisition based on public information. Design/Methodology/Approach: Using data from Warsaw Stock Exchange (quotations), typical measures such as rate of return, standard deviation (risk), correlation and transaction volume changes were calculated. Each of the case results obtained for the company was compared with the result for stock market indexes: WIG (Warszawski Indeks Giełdowy – main WSE index), WIG20 (WSE sub-index of the 20 largest companies), mWIG40 (WSE sub-index of 40 medium companies) and sWIG80 (WSE sub-index of 80 small companies). In addition, the outcomes were confronted with public news (from WSE Electronic System for Information Transfer). Findings: Conducted research has shown that generally successful finalisation of acquisition results in changes of stock prices behaviour. Unfortunately, observed reactions were not the same. Acquisitions induced both increases and decreases in stock prices; there was also no rule in case of risk change. Generally, acquisitions and merges had rather good influence in banking sector (which is still concentrating), but there was no common reaction in other sectors. Originality/Value/Practical Implications: The results will be useful for investors acting on Warsaw Stock Exchange, especially for individual investor who are not able to carry out detailed analyses. The research provides results including possible pre-effects and after-effects of making big acquisition by a large company. The negative market reactions were also shown.


2018 ◽  
Vol 55 (3) ◽  
pp. 310-337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karol Marek Klimczak ◽  
Marta Dynel

Professionals and individuals who invest in equity markets rely on financial analysts’ recommendations and reports to decide on what to invest in and when to trade. This study examines the role of two groups of communication strategies, evaluation markers and mitigators, in establishing analysts’ credibility. The sample consists of 80 reports written in Polish for companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland. In this emerging market setting, where credibility is challenged by uncertainty, analysts deploy various strategies depending on the recommendation they make: “buy,” “hold,” or “sell” shares. The findings point toward a specific group of mitigators, namely subjectivization, as a means of communicating expert opinion. Regression results reveal that investors’ reaction to the publication of a recommendation to “hold” or “sell” shares, measured based on the changes in share prices, is stronger when subjectivization is used in a report. The findings carry implications for research into analyst behavior and for the development of professional writing skills.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 158
Author(s):  
Edyta Rutkowska-Tomaszewska ◽  
Aleksandra Łakomiak ◽  
Marta Stanisławska

The study posed a research question: did the situation caused by COVID-19 affect the economic position of energy companies? The aim of the study is to investigate the impact of the situation of the epidemic state introduced in 2020 on the activities of the efficiency of energy sector companies. The subject of the research will be the ten largest Polish power plants in terms of electricity production, including four capital groups to which they belong. Financial data from 2014 to 2020 will be used for the research. To test the effectiveness, the tools of the ratio analysis will be used. The analysis of the financial statements in terms of investments in manufacturing activities confirms the hypothesis that companies investing in new solutions and technologies will be best prepared for an exceptional situation. The results of the research show that those capital groups which in the period preceding the outbreak of the epidemic made the largest investment outlays and at the same time their financial ratios and market valuation on the Warsaw Stock Exchange were the highest, they also achieved the highest financial results during the pandemic—they had the most favorable economic situation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 107 (163) ◽  
pp. 119-136
Author(s):  
Jerzy Gierusz ◽  
Karolina Dąbrowska

The main purpose of this article is to determine the impact of changes in the fair value of assets and liabilities on the overall net result of selected banks listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The research covered the consolidated financial statements of five banks, for the years 2014-2018. Methods of analyzing the literature on the subject, financial statements, and legal acts, including selected IFRS, were used. It has been shown that, on the one hand, fair value revaluations have a significant impact on the financial result of the described entities; on the other hand, the fair value in these entities is determined mainly at the 1st level of the hierarchy. This means that the basis for determining the fair value is observable prices on the market, and that the impact of subjective estimates on the financial result is small.


2021 ◽  
Vol 43 ◽  
pp. 387-403
Author(s):  
Izabela Morawska ◽  

Aim/purpose – This paper aims at investigating whether the International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 15 Revenue from Contracts with Customers implementation in Poland has affected earnings management that uses discretion in revenue recognition to avoid losses and earnings decreases. Design/methodology/approach – The empirical studies were conducted using a sample of 80 entities from four industries listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) in Poland from 2016 to 2019. Caylor’s (2010) revenue-based model was applied, and an econometric model describing the studied relation was built and verified to this end. Findings – The analyzed entities managed earnings using discretion in accrued revenue recognition to avoid reporting losses. The research results did not confirm that the IFRS 15 adoption in Poland influenced revenue-based earnings management aimed at avoiding losses and earnings decreases. Research implications/limitations – This study warns of the role played by discretion in revenue recognition and recommends careful recognition of revenue under IFRS 15. Limitations of this study are generally related to the models’ specification and a relatively small number of the entities studied. Originality/value/contribution – This study contributes to the literature on revenue- -based earnings management and is one of the first studies on the association between IFRS 15 adoption and revenue-based earnings management in Poland. Thus, this study bridges the research gap in Poland. Keywords: IFRS 15, earnings management, revenue recognition, earnings benchmarks. JEL Classification: M40, M41, M48.


Author(s):  
Monika Zielińska-Sitkiewicz

Jednym z etapów wielowymiarowej analizy porównawczej obiektów jest wybór procedury normalizacji zmiennych. W literaturze prezentowanych jest wiele metod transformacji normalizacyjnej. Wybór jednej z nich jest jednym z najważniejszych etapów badania, bowiem może mieć znaczny wpływ na wynik analizy. W artykule wykorzystano i porównano trzy procedury normalizacji zmiennych przy budowie rankingów w oparciu o TMAI dla 15 spółek przemysłu materiałów budowlanych notowanych na Warszawskiej Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych dla lat 2013 i 2014. Przeprowadzone badania wskazują, że stosowanie różnych wzorców normalizacji zmiennych może powodować zmianę wyników klasyfikacji firm, która nie wynika ani ze zmiany struktury danych finansowych, ani z poprawy efektywności ich działania.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanisław Urbański ◽  
Paweł Jawor ◽  
Kacper Urbański

Abstract Oryginality and objective – Research on the pricing of stocks listed on developed markets shows inexplicable deviation from the pricing that could be observed with CAPM validity. A similar anomaly is found on the Polish market. Reasons for inconsistent pricing with CAPM are unknown, and they are the main objective of this research. Method – The study is conducted using stocks listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in 1995–2012. Quintile stock portfolios are formed on the basis of strategies widely used by investors. The study is carried out in several modes. In the subsequent modes penny stocks with the market values below 0.5, 1.5, 5.0 and 15.0 PLN are eliminated. Results – It is conjectured that both penny stocks and improper procedures for the test portfolios forming contribute to inconsistent stock pricing in light of the CAPM. The studies show that results are in line with the extended conjectures. Also, study results indicate that speculative stocks are mostly penny stocks, however, it is not possible to explicitly state that penny stock are speculative.


2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (9) ◽  
pp. 45-56
Author(s):  
Hanna Czaja-Cieszyńska

The purpose of this article is to assess the comparability of non-financial disclosures on the impact of economic activity on the natural environment in reports of selected companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The ten largest listed companies listed in the WIG-20 index were selected for the study. The analysis of the reports was based on the following disclosure categories: Materials and raw materials, Fuels and energy, Water, Biodiversity, Emissions to the atmosphere, Waste and Effluents, and Others. Within these categories, 14 key environmental non-financial indicators were defined. The empirical study carried out confirmed that the non-financial reports analyzed in all of the seven categories of disclosures were not fully comparable. The research methods used were: literature studies, analysis of legal regulations, analysis of secondary data, as well as methods of induction and synthesis.


Ekonomika ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 98 (1) ◽  
pp. 96-110
Author(s):  
Justyna Rój

[full article and abstract in English] The purpose of this research is to examine the factors that determine the dividend policy of non-financial firms listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) in Poland and that of the annually paid dividends. Up to now, many empirical studies related to dividend policy were carried out, showing the differentiation of factors affecting the dividend policy and their interaction. Thus, with this study, it would be possible to give a view on the dividend policy of corporations listed on the WSE for the period from 2008 to 2016. The study covers non-financial companies listed on the WSE in Poland. The Tobit regression is used to identify the impact of factors influencing the companies’ distribution of dividends. The variables that may explain a firm’s dividend decision and that were used in this study are selected based on the theory and available empirical researches and then also determined by data availability. These are profitability, investment opportunities, measures of size, leverage, and liquidity. As a result of this study, the factors that determine the dividend policy of companies were verified in the context of the companies listed on the WSE. Moreover, it indicates which of the existing theories on dividend policy could be applied to the capital markets of Poland. Thus, it provides new insights into the theory of dividend policy.


e-Finanse ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 76-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrzej Zyguła

AbstractThe article analyses the impact of foreign investors, who were the majority shareholders of companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange, on dividend policy of these companies in the years 2004-2014. An evaluation of the direction and strength of the influence of the analysed group of investors, using 2 models, was conducted applying logistic regression. The first – dividend payout policy based on the binary logit model - showed that along with a growing share of a foreign investor in a given company the probability of dividend payment by the company increased significantly. The second – dividend level change model based on the multinominal logit method - showed, however, that with an increasing share of foreign investors the probability that a given company will reduce the paid dividend level was enhanced significantly. Additionally, it should be stated that these results, irrespective of the model used, were to a very large extent in line with conclusions of the pecking order theory. However, in the case of signaling, free cash flow and maturity theories, these results only to a small extent provided evidence supporting these theories.


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