scholarly journals Predictive analysis of the impact of the time of day on road accidents in Poland

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 142-150
Author(s):  
Anna Borucka ◽  
Edward Kozłowski ◽  
Piotr Oleszczuk ◽  
Andrzej Świderski

AbstractThe steady increase in the number of road users and their growing mobility mean that the issue of road safety is still a topical one. Analyses of factors influencing the number of road traffic accidents contribute to the improvement of road safety. Because changes in traffic volume follow a daily rhythm, hour of the day is an important factor affecting the number of crashes. The present article identifies selected mathematical models which can be used to describe the number of road traffic accidents as a function of the time of their occurrence during the day. The study of the seasonality of the number of accidents in particular hours was assessed. The distributions of the number of accidents in each hour were compared using the Kruskal-Wallis and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests. Multidimensional scaling was used to present the found similarities and differences. Similar hours were grouped into clusters, which were used in further analysis to construct the ARMAXmodel and the Holt-Winters model. Finally, the predictive capabilities of each model were assessed.

2021 ◽  
Vol 341 ◽  
pp. 00059
Author(s):  
Vladimir Rassokha ◽  
Nikolai Nikitin ◽  
Yulia Savina

The main purpose of this study was to identify and analyze the prevailing types of accidents at roundabouts. The relationship was revealed between certain types of accidents, the place of their occurrence, and the configuration of the roundabout. The study analyzed 321 accidents at 19 ring intersections. Four predominant crash types were identified: rear-end collision, collision with vulnerable road users, side swipe collision, and entering circulate collision. The greatest number of accidents occurred at the weaving lane and at the entrances and exits of the roundabout. Dividing the ring intersections into separate sections to determine the location of the accident allows drawing conclusions on the nature of road traffic accidents and the impact of the roundabout design on safety.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 411-420
Author(s):  
Svetlana S. Timofeeva ◽  
◽  
Semen S. Timofeev ◽  
Aleksey А. Taskaev ◽  
◽  
...  

The article deals with the issue of road safety. The aim is to analyze the accident rate on the roads of rkutsk region and assess the risk of road traffic accidents (RTA). The research is based on statistical data. A comparative analysis of the risks of road accidents and the risks of death of road users is carried out. The risk of death in accidents is higher in Slyudyanka district than in Irkutsk region, which is due to the complex route and mountainous areas. The damage caused by road traffic accidents is increasing every year.


2020 ◽  
Vol 02 (10) ◽  
pp. 25-27
Author(s):  
Ikromov Ikboljon Abdukhalilovich ◽  
◽  
Akhunov Javlon Abdujalilovich ◽  

The article presents the analysis of statistical data of drilling road accidents with children. Proposals are given for the development of new technologies for the prevention of injuries to children in road traffic accidents, as well as training them in road safety rules and ensuring the safety of pedestrians on the roads around educational institutions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 127-132
Author(s):  
V.V. Shapovalov (Jr.) ◽  
V.A. Shapovalova ◽  
V.V. Shapovalov

Background. Around the world, drug-related road traffic accidents are one of the leading causes of injury and death among road users. Traffic safety is a system that includes the following components: a person – a person's health condition – the use of dangerous drugs of different classification and legal groups – adverse drug reactions – a vehicle – a road. The share of road traffic accidents under the influence of drugs is more than 75 %, they are also the most socially dangerous, because they have grave consequences, cause irreparable harm to the health and death of the victims. The purpose of the study was to analyze the achievements of forensic and pharmaceutical researches in Ukraine on the impact of drugs on the safety, life and health of road users within the framework of the organization of pharmaceutical business, drug technology, pharmaceutical and medical law in a retrospective aspect. Materials and methods. The materials of the imperative research were legislative, regulatory and legal documents; materials of the formation of the scientific school of forensic pharmacy; scientific publications on the topic of the article; Internet resources, sources of scientific literature. To achieve the set goals, the methods of forensic and pharmaceutical, regulatory, documentary, bibliographic, comparative, historical and graphic analysis were used. Results. The experience of the countries of the world in the prophylaxis and prevention of road traffic accidents under the influence of drugs was analyzed. The causes and conditions for the occurrence and consequences of road traffic accidents are multifactorial in nature and are associated with the victims (driver - pedestrian), vehicle, road conditions, and the use of psychoactive drugs. A system of organizational, regulatory and preventive measures has been developed to provide first medical aid to victims of a road traffic accident. Shown that there is a need for scientifically grounded organizational and legal, clinical and pharmacological, forensic pharmaceutical and socio-economic studies on causal relationships between adverse reactions due to the use of drugs of various classification and legal groups, traffic safety and road traffic accidents. For the first time in Ukraine, a mathematical model was proposed to establish the effect of psychoactive drugs on the driver's condition when driving a vehicle, depending on the calculation of the stopping path of the car in accordance with the selected speed and a decrease in the driver's response. The structure of road traffic accidents under the influence of psychoactive drugs has been investigated. Conclusions. A classification of first-aid kits for providing first medical aid to victims of road traffic accidents was proposed, which made it possible to substantiate the need to improve them both in qualitative and quantitative composition, depending on the type of vehicle and the likelihood of an accident with serious consequences. Recommendations were proposed for providing information on the possibility of obtaining medical care and the signal-calling system on the roads, marking the packages of psychoactive drugs with a special mark in the form of a red triangle. The need for further forensic pharmaceutical research has been proven.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 416
Author(s):  
Pascal Chigblo ◽  
Éric Lawson ◽  
Iréti Fiacre Tidjani ◽  
Adébola Padonou ◽  
Christian Térance Nezien ◽  
...  

Introduction: The increasing number of vehicles and the proliferation of two-wheeled vehicles accentuate the frequency of fractures in our country. The aim of this study is to describe the epidemiology of fractures in Cotonou. Materials and Methods: This prospective two-year study focused on all patients admitted to the emergency department of the National Teaching Hospital of Cotonou for a fracture injury. Results: 1794 fractures were collected in 1432 patients. Fractures accounted for 24.9% of surgical emergencies. The average age was 33.7 years (29 days - 90 years). The dominance was male with a sex ratio of 3.62. Etiological circumstances were dominated by road traffic accidents (75.8%), The etiological circumstances were dominated by road accidents (75.8%), motorcyclists being the most affected (48.5%). The admission average was 27.33 hours (15 minutes - 29 days). Fractures preferentially sat on the lower limbs (64.4%). In descending order of frequency, were distinguished the fractures of leg (32.2%), of the femur (19.8%) and of the forearm (14.8%). Conclusion: fractures are common. The etiologies are dominated by traffic accident. The lesions predominate in the lower limb. The establishment of good road safety policy (improving track conditions, extension of the highway code ...) would reduce their frequency.


In India road accidents are very serious problem because of large population and high traffic density of vehicles. Most of the road accidents occur mainly due to the negligence of driver and poor infrastructure only a few accidents occur due to the technical error of vehicles. The main purpose of this research paper is prevention of road traffic accidents and improvement of road safety in Shimla. Road safety is very important aspect of today’s life, so it is important that everybody should aware about road safety. To do this study a section of 12km length is chosen between Panthaghati to Dhalli in district Shimla on NH 5 where accidents black spots are identified for the section by analyzing secondary data used to prevent road accidents. In this study primary data is used for observing the road conditions and secondary data is used to find accidents black spot. Black Spot is a point or a place on the road where road accident occurs repeatedly one after another which is known as accident black spot. To identify these black spots we use weighted severity index (WSI) method. It is one the most reliable and effective method for determining the most proven accidents black spots. Shimla is a hilly area and it has narrow roads, blind curve and black spots which increase the chances of road traffic accidents. In past recent years road traffic accidents are increasing in Shimla and this study deals with identification of major issues causing road traffic accidents. This research paper helps to improve the road safety in Shimla because in this study the analysis has been done to identify the major problems responsible for gradually increasing road accidents. This research paper is also used in future research paper as reference purpose and it will also provide an overview to other researchers who want do their research on similar kind of topics.


2020 ◽  
pp. 35-38
Author(s):  
Т.М. Линник ◽  
Д.В. Митрошин

В статье представлены результаты исследования основных и относительных показателей дорожно-транспортной аварийности с участием водителей легкового такси, а также причин и условий, способствующих возникновению данных дорожно- транспортных происшествий с 2015 по 2019 год. The article presents the results of a study of the main and relative indicators of road traffic accidents involving drivers of passenger taxis, as well as the causes and conditions that contribute to the occurrence of these road accidents from 2015 to 2019.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shang Yuin Chai ◽  
Gerard Thomas Flaherty

Road traffic accidents are the leading cause of death in international travelers. With the growth of international travel, the number of visitors who rent a vehicle upon arrival at their destination by air or by sea is expected to increase. Jet lag is a well-recognized maladaptation to international travel across multiple time zones. Little is known about the possible influence of jet lag symptoms on the risk of road traffic collisions. Lack of awareness or failure to recognize the debilitating effects of jet lag and driving immediately after a long-haul flight put the driver at risk of a fatal road traffic accident. This article summarizes the available evidence and suggests reasonable approaches which may serve to minimize the risk of jet lag-induced driver fatigue leading to road injuries and deaths. The future research agenda should focus on routinely recording whether jet lag was a co-factor in road traffic accidents, analyzing the effectiveness of public awareness campaigns to highlight this neglected issue, and investigating the impact of jet lag on pedestrian road safety.


2022 ◽  
Vol 1 (15) ◽  
pp. 127-130
Author(s):  
Vera Aslamova ◽  
Polina Kuznetsova ◽  
Aleksandr Aslamov

The article analyzes the indicators of road traffic accidents for 2020 in the Irkutsk region and Russia. The main reasons for the implementation of road accidents are identified. The current state of road safety has been analyzed within the framework of the Safe and High-Quality Roads Project. An excess of the actual values of social and transport risks was established by 1.19 and 1.38 times the corresponding Russian indicators


TRAUMA ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 21-27
Author(s):  
S.O. Guryev ◽  
V.A. Kushnir ◽  
S.P. Satsyk ◽  
V.I. Grebenyuk

Background. The article is devoted to the problem of traffic accidents that occurred against the background of alcohol intoxication. With the development of technology and science over the past decade, the number of victims with severe multisystem damage has increased worldwide. The most common causes of injuries are traffic accidents. According to the WHO, road traffic injuries are one of the leading causes of death among people of working age. The UN Decade of Road Safety (2011–2020) has indicated that road safety is the most painful and difficult issue to address. The purpose of the study was to examine the impact of alcohol intoxication on the circumstances of injuries based on the participation in traffic in victims with multisystem injuries due to traffic accidents. Materials and methods. A scientific retrospective analysis of 312 cases of multisystem injuries in road accident victims who were treated in the Polytrauma Department of the Kyiv City Clinical Ambulance Hospital in 2018–2019 years. Results. The injuries due to road accidents occur in 46 % of people who are intoxicated. There is a probable dependence of road accident victims on the signs of alcohol intoxication and participation in the traffic. In a state of alcohol intoxication, drivers are injured in 46.43 % of cases, pedestrians in 52.53 %, passengers in 31.43 %. The comparative analysis of the risk of death in victims of accidents with and without alcohol intoxication and based on the participation in traffic proved that the risk of death of drivers while intoxicated is more than 2-fold higher than in drivers without alcohol intoxication and is 0.49. Conclusions. Pedestrians have the greatest clinically effective risks of fatalities in the traumatic process, regardless of the presence or absence of alcohol intoxication, such a risk is critical or catastrophic. Alcohol intoxication increases the risk of a fatal traumatic process in active road users (drivers and pedestrians) and does not impact this result in passive road users (passengers)


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document