scholarly journals Bayes Theorem and Forward Chaining Method On Expert System for Determine Hypercholesterolemia Drugs

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 116-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Adi Perbawawati ◽  
Endang Sugiharti ◽  
Much Aziz Muslim

The development of technology capable to imitating the process of human thinking  and led to a new branch of computer science named the expert system. One of the problem that can be solved by an expert system is selecting hypercholesterolemia drugs.  Drug selection starts from find the symptoms and then determine the best drug for the patient. This is consist with the mechanism of forward chaining which starts from searching for information about the symptoms, and then try to illustrate the conclusions. To accommodate the missing fact, expert systems can be complemented with the Bayes theorem that provides a simple rule for calculating the conditional probability so the accuracy of the method approaches the accuracy of the experts. This reseacrh uses 30 training data and 76 testing data of medical record that use hypercholesterolemia drugs from Tugurejo Hospital of Semarang. The variable are common symptoms and some hypercholesterolemia drugs. This research obtained a selection of hypercholesterolemia drugs system with 96.05% accuracy

Author(s):  
Bagus Fery Yanto ◽  
Indah Werdiningsih ◽  
Endah Purwanti

Abstrak— Anak-anak pada usia 2 bulan sampai 5 tahun (Balita) lebih rentan terkena penyakit. Lingkungan sangat mempengaruhi kesehatan Balita. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk membuat sebuah aplikasi sistem pakar diagnosa penyakit pada Balita berbasis mobile. Penelitian ini terdiri dari tiga tahap. Tahap pertama adalah pengumpulan data dan informasi dari Manajemen Terpadu Balita Sakit (MTBS) dan wawancara dengan Bidan. Dari pengumpulan data dan informasi tersebut ditemukan fakta penyakit, keluhan, gejala dan saran penanganan. Tahap kedua adalah pembuatan rule dengan 18 penyakit. Tahap ketiga adalah implementasi aplikasi sistem pakar berbasis mobile dengan fitur diagnosa penyakit, riwayat diagnosa dan kumpulan penyakit. Aplikasi sistem pakar yang dibuat dapat mendiagnosa penyakit dan memberikan saran penanganan. Hasil evaluasi dari 50 data uji coba menghasilkan tingkat akurasi sebesar 82%, dimana 41 hasil diagnosa yang benar dan 9 diagnosa yang salah. Kata Kunci— Sistem Pakar, Forward Chaining, Diagnosa Penyakit, Manajemen Terpadu Balita Sakit, Knowladge BaseAbstract— Children at the age of 2 months to 5 years (toddlers) are more susceptible to disease contagious. Environmental condition significantly influences the children health. This  research aimed to create a mobile-based expert system application to diagnose disease in toddlers. This research consist of three stages. The first stage were data and information collection from Manajemen Terpadu Balita Sakit  (MTBS) and interview with medical staffs. From the first stage, we can discover the disease facts, signs, symptoms and treatment advices. The second stage was the construction of rules for 18 diseases. The third stage was the implementation of mobile-based expert system application with features of disease diagnosis, diagnosis history and collection of disease diagnosis. Expert system application made able to diagnose the disease and provide treatment advice. The results of evaluation using 50 testing data provides the level of accuracy of 82%, where 41 diagnosis result were true and 9 diagnosis were false. Keywords— Expert System, Forward Chaining, Disease Diagnosis, Manajemen Terpadu Balita Sakit, Knowledge Base


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 530-535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sella Marselena ◽  
Ause Labellapansa ◽  
Abdul Syukur

Many pets can be played with, socialize and even live together with humans. Numbers of animal clinics have increased to provide care for pets. This study focuses on Dog as pet. Desease and improper treatment of dog will adversely affect the Dog. In dealing with the problem of Dog disease, Dog owners may experience difficulties due to limited number of clinics and veterinarians, especially in rural areas. As a solution, Artificial Intelligence is used by using expert systems that can help inexperienced medical personnel diagnose early symptoms of Dog disease. The search method used in this research is Forward Chaining and Bayes Theorem method to handle uncertainties that arised. Based on knowledge acquisition, 3 diseases were obtained with 38 simptoms and 60 cases. Based on the tests conducted then obtained the sensitivity value of 80%, the value of accuracy of 88.6% indicates that this expert system is able to diagnose dog diseasesKeywords: Dog, Expert System, Forward Chaining, Bayes Theorem.  


JOUTICA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 205
Author(s):  
Kurniawan Wahyu Haryanto ◽  
Ari Dwi Cahyono

Teeth are organs that are very important and very vital. Therefore dental health is very important. Most of the Indonesian people, the appeal for dental examinations every six months is more often considered a breeze then, because they are more concerned with the health of other organs. Though diseases that attack teeth can have a very significant effect such as appearance problems. This research applies computer science in the medical field, especially for dental disease problems at the UPTD Health Center in Bangil using the expert system concept. Expert system is a system in the form of computer software where the computer is made as if - will think like an expert or expert in the field. The search method used is forward chaining, which is a search where facts are known to support conclusions. This expert system makes it easy for patients to conduct consultations, making it easier for the admin to manage symptom data and their illnesses and patient data, judging from the results of the questionnaire which states that it is very useful, can be used as a temporary doctor.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (29) ◽  
pp. 141-147
Author(s):  
Michael J. Vrhel ◽  
H. Joel Trussell

A database of realizable filters is created and searched to obtain the best filter that, when placed in front of an existing camera, results in improved colorimetric capabilities for the system. The image data with the external filter is combined with image data without the filter to provide a six-band system. The colorimetric accuracy of the system is quantified using simulations that include a realistic signal-dependent noise model. Using a training data set, we selected the optimal filter based on four criteria: Vora Value, Figure of Merit, training average ΔE, and training maximum ΔE. Each selected filter was used on testing data. The filters chosen using the training ΔE criteria consistently outperformed the theoretical criteria.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Putri Taqwa Prasetyaningrum ◽  
Juwita Juwita

The development of information technology is indispensable to help in the sharing of areas of life, one of which is in the field of agriculture. The use of information technology in agriculture can help a wide range of issues, especially the need to get information quickly. The farm is currently the largest community in Indonesia is rice that became staples in the country. Local rice production should be maximized by optimizing the farm itself, but problems in the cultivation of rice, one of the largest pest attacking the rice. Pest identification and handling shall be dealt with as quickly as possible in order not to experience a failed harvest.On this research designed an expert system for rice pest identification with method of bayes theorem and forward chaining to handle. The system is built to provide information on the pests of rice and penangananya on the basis of the symptoms that arise. The success of this research is 85%.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 57 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Muis Alfatah ◽  
Riza Arifudin ◽  
Much Aziz Muslim

The expert system is a computer system that contains set of rules to solve problems like an expert. The lungs are one of the vulnerable respiratory organs. The purpose of this research is to implement decision tree and dempster shafer method on lung disease diagnosis and measure the accuracy of the system. The symptom was searched using forward chaining decision tree and the diagnosis was calculated using dempster shafer method. Dempster Shafer method calculates the possibility of a lung disease based on the density of probability value that possessed by each symptom. This research used 65 data obtained from medical record of Puskesmas Tegowanu Grobogan Regency. General symptoms and types of disease are used as a variable. Based on the results of the study, it can be concluded that the results of the diagnosis using dempster shafer method has an 83.08% accuracy.


2020 ◽  
pp. 155005942096643
Author(s):  
Erhan Bergil ◽  
Mehmet Recep Bozkurt ◽  
Canan Oral

Decreasing the processor load to an acceptable level challenges researchers as an important threshold in the study of real-time detection and the prediction of epileptic seizures. The main methods in overcoming this problem are feature selection, dimension reduction, and electrode selection. This study is an evaluation of the performances of EEG signals, obtained from different channels in the detection processes of epileptic stages, in epileptic individuals. In particular, it aimed to analyze the separation levels of preictal periods from other periods and to evaluate the effects of the electrode selection on seizure prediction studies. The EEG signals belong to 14 epileptic patients. A feature set was formed for each patient using 20 features widely used in epilepsy studies. The number of features was decreased to 8 using principal component analysis. The reduced feature set was divided into testing and training data, using the cross-validation method. The testing data were classified with linear discriminant analysis and the results of the classification were evaluated individually for each patient and channel. Variability of up to 29.48 % was observed in the average of classification accuracy due to the selection of channels.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 185-193
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ilham Insani ◽  
Alamsyah Alamsyah ◽  
Anggyi Trisnawan Putra

Expert Systems is a computer systems that has been entered the base knowledge and a set of rules used to solve problems like an expert. Methods that can be used in the expert systems which is Naïve Bayes and Certainty Factor. Naïve Bayes method can handle quantitative calculations and discreate data and only requires a little research data to estimate the parameters needed in the clasification and Certainty Factor which is suitable for measuring something whether it is certain or not in diagnosing. Diabetes is one of the most frequent diseases suffered in Indonesia. The purpose of this research is implementation expert systems used Naïve Bayes and Certainty Factor in diagnosing diabetes and knowing the level of accuracyof the systems. Data that is used by researchers as much 100 data medical record, obtained from the medical record RSUD Bendan Kota Pekalongan. The variabels used in this research is age, gender, the symptoms of the desease diabetes and result diagnose desease from expert. The accuracy rate of this system derived from the scenario distribution data 70 training data and 30 testing data that is equal to 100% according to the doctor's diagnosis.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
HENGKI TAMANDO SIHOTANG

Chicken disease is a condition in which the body organs of chickens cannot function normally. Diagnosing a disease requires symptoms that appear on the chicken's body. To conduct a disease diagnosis, further examination is needed by specialists (experts). An expert system is a system that uses human knowledge that is entered into a computer to solve problems that are usually resolved by experts. The system created in solving problems uses the Bayes Theorem method in which the inference process uses Forward Chaining. The application was developed using the visual basic 2010 programming language and MySQL database.


2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atikah Ari Pramesti ◽  
Riza Arifudin ◽  
Endang Sugiharti

One of the branches of computer science that is widely used by humans to help her work is the establishment of an expert system. In this study we will design an expert system for determining the type of spectacle lenses using a forward chaining method. In forward chaining method, starting with the initial information (early symptoms) and moved forward to fit more information to find the information in accordance with the rules of the knowledge base and production, and will be concluded in the form of the type of disorder diagnosis of eye disorders and provide solutions in the form of lenses of eyeglasses. Result from this study is that the match calculation of algorithm of forward chaining method between system and manual calculations produce the same output.


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