scholarly journals Risky Mortgages and Macroprudential Policy: A Calibrated DSGE Model for Lithuania

Ekonomika ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (2) ◽  
pp. 6-39
Author(s):  
Jaunius Karmelavičius
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Mortgage Lending ◽  
Slight Reduction ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Macroprudential Policy ◽  
Credit Cycle ◽  
The Impact

Following the financial crisis of 2009 there was an emergence of macroprudential policy tools, as well as a need to model the macroeconomy and the financial sector in a coherent framework. This paper develops and calibrates a small open economy DSGE model for Lithuania to shed some light on the interactions between the macroeconomy and the banking sector, regulated by macroprudential policy. The model features housing market, and endogenous credit risk a la de Walque et al. (2010), whereby the household can default on mortgage repayments, what leads to housing collateral seizure. Foreign-owned banks, that are subject to risk-sensitive macroprudential capital requirements, take into account not only the mortgage default rate but also the cap on loan to value (LTV) ratio when making lending decisions. Using this mechanism, we show that while a more stringent LTV constraint reduced credit demand, it can also lead to an expansion in credit supply via lower credit risk. Therefore, a tightening of LTV requirement should result in only a slight reduction in mortgage lending, coupled with lower interest rate margins. The article compares the impact of the tightening of three macroprudential tools, namely, bank capital requirements, mortgage risk weights and LTV limit. We find that broad-based capital requirements, such as the counter-cyclical capital buffer, are less efficient in leaning against the housing credit cycle, because of a relatively large cost incurred on the firm sector.

scholarly journals INTERNALISASI SEKTOR PERBANKAN DALAM MODEL DSGE

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-60
Author(s):  
Harmanta Harmanta ◽  
Nur M. Adhi Purwanto ◽  
Fajar Oktiyanto Oktiyanto
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Macroprudential Policy ◽  
Financial Friction ◽  
Policy Bank ◽  
The Impact

We build DSGE model for small open economy with financial friction in the form of collateral constrain on banking sector, designed for Indonesian economy. The constructed model is capable to simulate the monetary policy (Bank Indonesia rate) and macroprudential policy (reserve requirement, capital adequacy ratio – CAR, and loan to value – LTV). By internalizing banking sector into the model, this model also enable us to simulate the impact of any shock originated from banking sector.  Keywords: monetary policy, DSGE with banking sector, macroprudential policy JEL Classification: E32, E44, E52, E58 

scholarly journals Does Banking Management Affect Credit Risk? Evidence from the Indian Banking System

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laxmi Koju ◽  
Ram Koju ◽  
Shouyang Wang
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Operating Efficiency ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Bank Managers ◽  
Credit Standards ◽  
The Impact

This study investigated the impact of banking management on credit risk using a sample of Indian commercial banks. The study employed dynamic panel estimations to evaluate the link between banking management variables and credit risk. The empirical results show that an increase in loan portion over total assets does not necessarily increase problem loans. The findings suggest that high capital requirements and large bank size do not reduce default risk, whereas high profitability and strong income diversification policies lower the likelihood of default risk. The overall empirical results supported the “operating efficiency”, “diversification” and “too big to fail” hypotheses, confirming that credit quality in the banking industry is mainly driven by profitability, banking supervision, high credit standards and strong investment strategies. The findings are relevant to bank managers, investors and bank regulators, in formulating effective credit policies and investment strategies.

scholarly journals The impact of risk factors on the financial performance of the commercial banking sector in Barbados

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Wood ◽  
Shanise McConney
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Country Risk ◽  
Risk Variable ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this paper is to determine the impact of risk factors on the financial performance of the commercial banking sector in Barbados using quarterly data for the period 2000 to 2015. The empirical results indicate that Capital Risk, Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk, Interest Rate Risk and Operational Risk have statistically significant impacts on financial performance. The only risk variable which does not derive this result is Country Risk. In addition, of those variables which proxy external factors, only GDP Growth has a statistically insignificant influence on financial performance. Credit risk exerted a negative impact on the banks’ financial performance, thus the banks must ensure they adopt appropriate measures to minimise the impact of this risk. Higher levels of capital impacted positively on the banking sector’s profitability. This paper is the first effort employing such an extensive dataset based on Barbados’ commercial banking sector and shows the main factors that influence commercial banks’ financial performance in this developing economy.

scholarly journals Determinants of Credit Risk in the Banking Sector of Ghana: A Panel Co-integration Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Appiah ◽  
Frank Bisiw
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Techniques ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

The economic development of any nation hinges on the health of its financial system. In recent years, the health of the Ghanaian Banking sector has been affected severely as a result of high levels of non-performing loans (NPLs), which has been identified as a major threat to the overall profitability and survival of banks. To minimize the impact of NPLs on the financial sector, key stakeholders such as the government, bank officials and regulators are working hard in that regard. However, any policy response aimed at dealing with the high rate of non-performing loans first requires the understanding of the underlying determinants of NPLs. Against this backdrop, this paper apply panel co-integration techniques to investigate the determinants of credit risk (NPLs) in the banking sector of Ghana.  We use NPL as a proxy to measure credit risk and assess how it is influenced by macroeconomic and bank-specific factors. A balanced panel data of 16 universal banks in Ghana from 2010 to 2016 has been analyzed using Panel co-integration techniques such as Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS). Our result shows that growth in the economy, measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has significant influence on the NPLs of banks in the long-run. The results further revealed that capital adequacy, profitability and liquidity of banks are significant predictors of NPLs. However, our results suggest that bank size, inflation and interest rate have statistically insignificant influence on the NPLs of Ghanaian banks. The study recommend, among others, that whereas it is important for government and policymakers to work to improve macroeconomic outcomes, banks should also improve their capital adequacy, profitability, and efficiency position as these bank-specific interventions could significantly improve credit quality and minimize NPLs.

Countercyclical Capital Buffer for Banks: is There a Premise for its Application in Russia?

2018 ◽  
pp. 97-116
Author(s):  
Svetlana Khasyanova
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Management ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Gap Dynamics ◽  
Macroprudential Policy ◽  
Filtration Method ◽  
Minimum Capital ◽  
Macroprudential Policies ◽  
Russian Economy

Recently, the concept of countercyclical regulation in the financial sector has become key for the implementation of macroprudential policies in many countries, while a countercyclical buffer capital of banks is becoming a primary tool of regulation. The purpose of this research is to study the appropriateness and specifics of the countercyclical capital buffer application in Russia’s banking sector based on the analysis of credit aggregates’ dynamics for 2004-2016 and for the mid-term. Drawing on the filtration method, the study shows that the most effective indicator of excessive lending in the Russian economy is credit-to-GDP, the gap dynamics of which testifies a possible activation of capital buffer in 2007 and 2013. At the same time, the size of the buffer appeared to be insignificant, with a short activation period, which suggests the replacement of the buffer with alternative regulative tools. The minimum capital adequacy, taking into account the buffer, is not critical for the banking sector. However, some of the largest banks appeared to be vulnerable to increased capital requirements. The results of this study are of great value both for the implementation of macroprudential policy, and for strategic management of banks capital adequacy.

scholarly journals The Effect of Risks on Banking Safety: Applied Study on Jordanian Traditional Banks (2005-2016)

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 102
Author(s):  
Mohammad Abdel Mohsen Al-Afeef ◽  
Atallah Hassan Al-Ta'ani
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Applied Study ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
The Impact

Banking sector is one of the most important sectors that support the sustainable economic development in Jordan, therefore this study aimed to test the impact of risks; (Liquidity risk, bank credit risk and interest rate risk) on the safety in the banking sector in the Jordanian commercial banks during the period 2005-2016.The results of the study showed that there is a statistically significant impact for each of liquidity risk and interest rate risk on the safety in the banking sector, and there isn't statistically significant impact for credit risk on the safety in the banking sector during the period of this study, and also find that the explanatory of model was 60.5%, which means that 39.5% due to other factors.

scholarly journals Impact of the Basel III bank regulation on US agricultural lending

2020 ◽  
Vol 80 (3) ◽  
pp. 321-337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Nooree Kim ◽  
Ani L. Katchova
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Detailed Examination ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Following the recent global financial crisis, US regulatory agencies issued laws to implement the Basel III accords to ensure the resiliency of the US banking sector. Theories predict that enhanced regulations may alter credit issuance of the regulated banks due to increased capital requirements, but the direction of changes might not be straightforward especially with respect to the agricultural loans. A decrease in credit availability from banks might pose a serious problem for farmers who rely on bank credit especially during economic recessions. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the impact of Basel III regulatory framework implementation on agricultural lending in the USA is examined. Using panel data of FDIC-insured banks from 2008 to 2017, the agricultural loan volume and growth rates are examined for agricultural banks and all US banks. Findings The results show that agricultural loan growth rates have slowed down, but the amount of agricultural loan volume issuance still remained positive. More detailed examination finds that regulated agricultural banks have decreased both the agricultural loan volume and their loan exposure to the agricultural sector, showing a possible sign of credit crunch. Originality/value This study examines whether the implementation of the Basel III regulation has resulted in changes in agricultural loan issuance by US banks as predicted by the lending channel theory.

scholarly journals The Threats of Unsystematic Risks in Jordanian Commercial Banking Sector

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 175
Author(s):  
Ghaith N. Al-Eitan ◽  
Ismail Y. Yamin
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Credit Risk Management ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

The objective of this study is to empirically examine the effect of unsystematic risks on the performance of commercial banks in Jordan, using panel data for the period of 10 years (2005-2015). The study uses earning per share and dividends as dependent variables to represent Banks’ performance. The empirical analysis based on the fixed effect model selected on the basis of Hausman test. The results indicate that the impact of Non-performing loans on commercial banks’ dividends is positive and significant while the impact of capital adequacy is negative and statistically significant on dividends. The results indicate that the credit risk, liquidity risk, non-performing loan and capital adequacy have significant effect on earnings per share and the effects are negative as expected. Based on the study it is recommended that the Jordanian commercial banks needs enhance the process of credit risk management to determine loan defaulter and impose the appropriate legal action against them.

scholarly journals The The Impact of Liquidity, Credit, and Financial Leverage Risks on Financial Performance of Islamic Banks: A Case of Sudanese Banking Sector

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. p59
Author(s):  
Ahmed Nourrein Ahmed Mennawi
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Financial Leverage ◽  
Loan Financing ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to investigate the impact of liquidity, credit, and financial leverage risks on the financial performance of Islam banks in Sudan during the period of 2008 - 2018. Panel dataset of 143 observations from (13) banks has been used in this study. Two models of ROA and NPM have been constructed using robust random effects estimates for testing the study hypotheses. The independent variables consist of liquidity and credit risks plus the financial Leverage ratio. Credit risk that measured by nonperformance of loan (financing) and provision of loan (financing) loss ratios; while the liquidity risk measured by cash to deposits ratio, liquid assets to total assets ratio and total loan (financing) to total deposits ratio. The financial performance of Islamic banks in Sudan measured by the ratios of return on assets and net profit margin. The results reveal that the credit risk and financial leverage have significant and negative impact on the financial performance of Islamic banks in Sudan, whereas the liquidity risk generally found to be insignificant. Despite that, the liquidity risk in term of liquid assets to total assets ratio provides a significant and positive influence on the financial performance of Sudanese banks. Finally, the importance of this study is that it touches the most significant types of risks that Sudanese Islamic banks face during their operational cycles.

scholarly journals Risk, competition, efficiency and its interrelationships: evidence from the Chinese banking industry

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Tan ◽  
Vincent Charles ◽  
Doha Belimam ◽  
Shabbir Dastgir
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking Industry ◽  
Bank Competition ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Frontier Analysis ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Chinese Banking Industry ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Chinese Banking

PurposeThis study investigates the interrelationships between efficiency, competition and risk in the Chinese banking industry.Design/methodology/approachParametric stochastic frontier analysis is used to estimate bank efficiency; the Lerner index is used as the competition indicator; accounting ratios and a translog function are used to measure different types of risk and finally, the three-stage least square estimator is used to investigate the interrelationships.FindingsThe results of this study show that the impact of competition on different types of risk is significant and positive, while there is a significant and positive impact of credit risk, liquidity risk and capital risk on bank competition. In addition, the findings demonstrate that the interrelationships between efficiency and competition are significant and negative. The authors do not find any robust interrelationships between different types of risk and different types of efficiency; the authors find that diversification and higher levels of profitability reduce bank credit risk. The results suggest that a higher developed banking sector reduces the level of bank competition in China.Originality/valueThis is the first piece of research that comprehensively investigates the interrelationships between different types of risk, competition and different efficiencies in China.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document