scholarly journals A study on Co-integration of Pakistani Stock Market with selected Asian Stock Markets

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 18-24
Author(s):  
Anjum Shezad ◽  
Farzand Ali Jan ◽  
Saqib Gulzar ◽  
M. Akram Ansari
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Equity Markets ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Taiwan Stock Exchange ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run

Pakistani Equity Market has seen many ups and downs since the last two decades. The local investors are feeling themselves much insecure in indigenous investment. The reasons behind are political instability, severe power crises and terrorism which compelled the local investors to go across boarder and need to explore the multiple option of investment in international securities to minimize the investment risk. The main purpose and scope of this study is to explore causal and dynamic linkages of Karachi Stock Exchange, KSE-100 index (Pakistan) with emerging stock markets of Nikkei-225 (Japan), Shanghai Stock Exchange, SSE (China), Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, KLSE (Malaysia) and Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation, TSEC Taiwan. The most recent data is taken from January, 2001 to December, 2013. Monthly stock index observations are taken. Descriptive statistics, Correlation Analysis, Unit Root Test, VAR, Co-integration Test, VECM Test are used to identify the presence of short-term as well as long-term associations. Empirical results indicate that KSE-100 is a volatile market and have suitable level of returns. Moreover, KSE-100 index has not long-term relationship with Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan and China but Taiwan, China and Japan has short run relationships to KSE. The findings conclude that there is a further need of future study to explore the factors of economic integration amongst these equity markets. The study overall exhibits awareness not only for economic and financial decision makers but also for international as well as regional investors about the benefit opportunities of portfolio diversification in these equity markets, funds management and trends of the stock market.

Relationship between Inflation and Stock Returns – Evidence from BRICS markets using Panel Co integration Test

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 647 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vanita Tripathi ◽  
Arnav Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Stationary Characteristic ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run

Stocks are generally considered to be a good hedge against inflation because of their tendency to move together. This paper examines long term relationship between inflation and stock returns in BRICS markets using panel data for the period from March 2000 to September 2013. Correlation results reveal a significant negative relationship between stock index and inflation rate for Russia and a significantly positive relationship for India & China. ADF, PP and KPSS unit root tests indicate non-stationary characteristic of the data. Further we find no long term co-integrating relationship between stock index values and inflation rates using Pedroni panel co integration test. These findings have important implications for policy makers, regulators and investment community at large. There may seem to be short term contemporaneous relationship between inflation and equity returns but in the long run they do not seem to be significantly integrated. Changes in inflation may bring some short run movement in stock return but certainly equity does not seem to be a good hedge against inflation in long run at least in emerging BRICS markets.                       Keywords:  BRICS, Stock Index, Inflation, Unit root test, Pedroni Panel Co integration Test, Johansen Co integration Test.

scholarly journals Interdependence and Risk Comparison of Slovak, Hungarian and Polish Stock Markets: Policy and Managerial Implications

2019 ◽  
Vol 69 (2) ◽  
pp. 273-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florin Aliu ◽  
Besnik Krasniqi ◽  
Adriana Knapkova ◽  
Fisnik Aliu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Average Return ◽  
Monetary System ◽  
Managerial Implications

Risk captured through the volatility of stock markets stands as the essential concern for financial investors. The financial crisis of 2008 demonstrated that stock markets are highly integrated. Slovakia, Hungary and Poland went through identical centralist economic arrangement, but nowadays operate under diverse stock markets, monetary system and tax structure. The study aims to measure the risk level of the Slovak Stock Market (SAX index), Budapest Stock Exchange (BUX index) and Poland Stock Market (WIG20 index) based on the portfolio diversification model. Results of the study provide information on the diversification benefits generated when SAX, BUX and WIG20 join their stock markets. The study considers that each stock index represents an independent portfolio. Portfolios are built to stand on the available companies that are listed on each stock index from 2007 till 2017. The results of the study show that BUX generates the lowest risk and highest weighted average return. In contrast, SAX is the riskiest portfolio but generates the lowest weighted average return. The results find that the stock prices of BUX have larger positive correlation than the stock prices of SAX. Moreover, the highest diversification benefits are realized when Portfolio SAX joins Portfolio BUX and the lowest diversification benefits are achieved when SAX joins WIG20.

scholarly journals AN ANALYSIS OF STOCK MARKET INTEGRATION IN THE ASIAN DEVELOPED AND EMERGING MARKETS

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 1175-1190
Author(s):  
Sadiq Rehman ◽  
Asif Ali Abro ◽  
Ahmed Raza Ul Mustafa ◽  
Najeeb Ullah ◽  
Sanam Wagma Khattak
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run

Purpose of the study: This study investigates Short-run, Long-run, and Casual relationships in the Asian Developed and Emerging stock market indices for the period of 19 years weekly data of stock market indices of Asian Developed and Emerging Markets which are Japan (Nikkei 225), South Korea (KOSPI), Pakistan (KSE 100), China (SSE Composite), Sri Lanka (ASPI), India (BSE 200) and Malaysia (KLSE composite) from January 2001 to December 2019. Methodology: To analyze long-run and short-run relationships among the Asian developed and emerging stock markets, this study practices Descriptive Statistics, Correlation Matrix, Unit Root Test, Johansen Co-Integration Test, Vector Error Correction Model, Granger Causality test, Variance Decomposition and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Main findings: By employing the ADF and P.P. tests, the results specify that the entire variables' data are non-stationary and stationary in exact order, which is 1st difference. The Johnson Co-integration test found one cointegration relationship, where the results are consistent with Granger causality, Variance Decomposition, and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Application of the study: As the current research has focused on finding out the comovements in the Asian developed and emerging markets. So, the applications are that the survey found short-run and long-run relationships in these countries' stock markets. The study's originality: The current study has selected seven Asian developed and emerging stock markets and weekly updated time series data to investigate short-term and long-term linkages. So, this study found long-run comovements in these stock indices, which contributes to the literature. In addition, these stock markets have limited diversification benefits for international investors, while short-term diversification benefits may exist.

scholarly journals Stock market development and investment growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
pp. 99-117
Author(s):  
Idowu Daniel Onisanwa ◽  
◽  
Mercy Ojochegbe Adaji ◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Market Capitalisation ◽  
Investment Growth

Aim/purpose – The poor investment climate is one of the reasons advanced for the slow pace of growth in Nigeria; evidenced by the absence or inadequate amount of investible funds in the productive sectors. While the money market in Nigeria provides very limited investment options, the underdevelopment and underutilisation of the Nigerian Stock Market constitute a drawback to the investment climate. However, any economy desiring sustainable development requires a long-term source of fund. Therefore, this study ascertains the perfor-mance of the stock market and investment growth nexus in Nigeria.Design/methodology/approach – The study is based on the neoclassical growth theory with a slight modification in the wake of Levine’s specification (2003), an augmented investment growth relationship was specified. This study utilises the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) in establishing the co-integration relation between stock market development and investment growth. Gross capital formation was used as a proxy for investment growth while the stock market indicators are market capitalisation ratio, total value traded ratio and turnover ratio. The study utilises data covering 1981 to 2018, sourced from the Nigerian Stock Exchange annual reports and diverse publication of the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics.Findings – The market capitalisation ratio had a negative impact on gross capital for-mation both in the short run and the long run, but its significance is only evident in the short run. The turnover ratio had a negative and significant impact on investment growth. The total value traded ratio exerted a positive and significant impact on gross capital formation both in the short run and the long run. The coefficient of the error cor-rection term was negative and statistically significant. Research implications/limitations – The total value traded ratio enhanced investment growth in Nigeria. Both market capitalisation and turnover ratio dampen investment growth. The Stock Exchange is not efficient and does not possess the amount of liquidity required to finance long term investment need in Nigeria. Emphasis on measures geared towards increasing efficiency and liquidity should be intensified by the government. Mean-while, the sectorial analysis of the impact of stock exchange movements in Nigeria and the use of other estimation techniques may create room for more robust relationships.Originality/value/contribution – The study directly investigates the capability of the Nigerian stock market in driving investment, both in the short and long run.

Linkages between India and three ASEAN Stock Markets: A Co-integration Approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Giridhari Singh Rajkumar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Relation ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Investment Choices

Today, an investor has an array of investment choices including the opportunities to approach overseas market which were unavailable a few decades ago. In literature, the integration of stock markets has been widely discussed and analyzed. This paper examines the relationship between Indian stock market and the three stock markets of the ASEAN countries viz. Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore. Using the daily closing prices of the indices over a period of ten years i.e. 2004 to 2014, the study examined the inter-linkages of Indian stock market with the three markets. The Granger-causality and co-integration test were used to check the causal relationship. The study found that there is a significant short-term unidirectional influenced from the Indian stock market to the three ASEAN countries stock markets while no long-term relation (no co-integration) are found between the Indian equity market with that of three ASEAN countries viz. Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore equity markets.

Contagion Effects on Stock Market of Bangladesh

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury ◽  
Md. Mahmudul Haque ◽  
Md. Nazrul Islam
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run

Due to increased globalization and economic integration in the global economy, contagion effects have been considered an important matter for the investors and policymakers. In the wake of the global financial crisis of September 2008, Islamic financial products were thrust into the spotlight as alternatives to the shaken conventional equity markets. The objective of this study is to discover the Islamic stock market dynamics of Bangladesh with the global Islamic stock markets such as Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Europe, UK and Japan. For understanding long run relationship or the theoretical relationships among the Islamic stock market and short run co-movements among Islamic stocks, Johansen co-integration test and Vector Error Correction model (VECM) have been applied respectively. Furthermore, the investigation on short run dynamics is also carried through Impulse Response Function (IRF) analyses. The study found that the Japanese Islamic Stock market is affected to changes in other Islamic stock markets while Kuwait stock market is the leader in the sense it affects other stock market greatly. Bangladeshi Islamic stock market is found to be marginally affecting other stock markets but not as strong as Kuwait. Global Islamic stock market seems to have very little impact to Bangladesh Islamic stock market. The evidence of co-integration and short run dynamics help a diversification benefit may be derived from the cross boarder investment. The empirical evidence of co-integration and short run dynamic relationship found in this study will help investors in making efficient investment decisions and also enhance their understanding of market behavior.

scholarly journals Analysis of Stock Market Integration Among ASEAN Countries by Using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Approach

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reni Lestari
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Vector Error Correction Model ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error

Globalization has driven the economy of countries to relate to each other. It brings relationships in the capital among countries in the world, especially in ASEAN region countries. This study aimed to analyze the integration of the stock market among countries in the ASEAN region. The stock market was analyzed are the Indonesia Stock Exchange, Malaysia Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange, Thailand Stock Exchange, Vietnam Stock Exchange, and Philippine Stock Exchange. This study using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) as the method. The result of this study shows that, in the long term Singapore Stock Index (STI), Malaysia Stock Index (KLSE), Philippines (PSEi), and Indonesia Stock Index (JKSE) are positively correlated. This means the change of stock index price in one country will affect other related countries in the long term. In the short term of VECM estimation, found the Vietnam Stock Index (VNI), Singapore Stock Exchange (STI), Philippine (PSEi) are positively correlated and negatively correlated with Thailand Stock Exchange (SET). For the managerial implication, the result of this study is expected as a reference or basis of consideration of investment decisions. This because long-term stock market movements are important because they impact international portfolio management and risk diversification.

scholarly journals Stock Market Integration in South Asia

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 8-20
Author(s):  
Damber S Kharka ◽  
M.S Turan ◽  
K.P Kaushik
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Stock Market Integration ◽  
Stock Indices ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
One To One ◽  
Test Market

While the topic of stock market integration has been one of the highly researched area in the literature but focus had mostly been on the stock markets of developed economies.  Few have focused on analyzing market integration in South Asian region and no inclusion of Bhutanese stock has been found in the literature in any of the earlier studies. The objective of this paper is to analyze market integration between Bhutanese, Indian and other indices in the region. We also analyzed whether other indices in the region are co-integrated with Indian stock market, as Indian market is more proficient in the region and can be believed to have influences on others. We analyzed all indices in the region on one to one basis (using pairwise co-integration test). We used weekly data from January 2006 to December 2011 period from the stock exchanges of (Bhutan, India, Nepal, Bangladesh, and Pakistan). Applying, Dickey-Fuller method, we tested unit root for each stock indices and used Johansen co-integration approach pairwise to test the long-term relationship between stock indices and multivariate approach to test market integration as a whole. We found that all indices are stationary at I(1) and confirmed no long-term relationship between Bhutanese stock with Indian and other regional stock markets. In fact we find no market integration either on one to one basis or for the south Asian market as a whole. Information on market integration should help market players in managing their investments in capital markets in a sustainable manner.

scholarly journals Volatility Spillover Effect in Indian Stock Market

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 83-101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Surya Bahadur G. C ◽  
Ranjana Kothari ◽  
Rajesh Kumar Thagurathi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Global Markets ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Volatility Spillover ◽  
Volatility Transmission ◽  
Indian Stock Market

The study aims to empirically examine the transmission of volatility from global stock markets to Indian stock market. The study is based on time series data comprising of daily closing stock market indices from National Stock Exchange (NSE), India and major foreign stock exchange of the three countries one each from America, Europe and Asia making the highest portfolio investment in Indian stock market. The study period covers 11 years from 1st January, 2005 to 31st December, 2015 comprising a total of 2731 observations. The Indian stock index used is CNX Nifty 50 and the foreign indices are S & P 500 from USA, FTSE 100 from UK, and Nikkei 225 from Japan. The results reveal that the Indian stock market return is co-integrated with market returns of US, UK and Japanese stock markets. Therefore, the return and hence volatility of Indian stock market is associated with global markets which depicts that it is getting integrated with global financial markets. The results provide empirical evidence for volatility transmission or volatility spillover in the Indian stock market from global markets. There exists inbound volatility transmission from US market to Indian stock market. The Indian and UK stock market have bi-directional volatility transmission. However, there exists presence of only outbound volatility transmission from Indian stock market to Japanese stock market. The volatility transmission from global markets to India is rapid with the spillover effect existing for up to three days only.Janapriya Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Vol. 5 (December 2016), page: 83-101

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