scholarly journals PREDICTED DEVELOPMENT OF THE CITY OF NITRA IN SOUTHWESTERN SLOVAKIA BASED ON LAND COVER-LAND USE CHANGES AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONDITIONS

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 987-1008 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. HALADOVÁ
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
The City

scholarly journals PREDIKSI SPASIAL DINAMIKA AREAL TERBANGUN KOTA SEMARANG DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL REGRESI LOGISTIK

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irmadi Nahib
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Open Space ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Rate Of Increase ◽  
The City

<p class="JudulABSInd"><strong>ABSTRAK</strong></p><p class="abstrak">Salah satu indikator perkembangan fisik wilayah kota dapat diidentifikasi melalui fenomena perubahan tutupan lahan bervegetasi menjadi lahan terbangun. Perubahan lahan tersebut dapat berdampak terhadap penurunan kualitas lingkungan, akibat berkurangnya ruang terbuka hijau. Kota Semarang dengan visi terwujudnya Semarang sebagai kota perdagangan dan jasa yang berbudaya menuju masyarakat sejahtera, merupakan  wilayah yang rentan mengalami perubahan penggunaan lahan yang cenderung kearah lahan terbangun. Penelitian ini mengintegrasikan model <em>Cellular Automata</em> (CA) dan regresi logistik biner untuk memprediksi dinamika lahan terbangun di Kota Semarang. Citra yang digunakan adalah Citra Ikonos 2002, Ikonos 2006 dan <em>Quic</em><em>kbird</em> 2012. Model CA pada penelitian ini digunakan untuk memprediksi sebaran penutup lahan tahun 2022 dan 2032 dengan mempertimbangkan jarak terhadap jalan, jarak terhadap sungai, jarak terhadap lahan terbangun, ketinggian, kepadatan penduduk, <em>evidence likelihood </em>perubahan lahan dan indeks pengembangan kelurahan yang diakomodasi dalam peta sub-model transisi hasil model regresi logistik biner. Hasil penyusunan model ini adalah peta prediksi penutup lahan dengan akurasi 78,21 % validitas model yang dihasilkan dapat dikategorikan “<em>moderate</em>” mengindikasikan bahwa peta yang dihasilkan dapat digunakan. Hasil pemodelan menunjukkan bahwa Kota Semarang pada tahun 2022 terjadi pertambahan luas lahan terbangun rata-rata 284 ha/tahun dan pada tahun 2032 rata-rata 226 ha/tahun.</p><p><strong><em>Kata </em></strong><strong><em>k</em></strong><strong><em>unci</em></strong><em>: </em><em>cellular automata, pemodelan, regresi logistik biner, lahan terbangun</em></p><p class="judulABS"><em><strong>ABSTRACT</strong></em></p><p class="Abstrakeng">One indicator of the physical development of the city can be identified by phenomenon of land expansion, vegetated land cover changes to be built-up area. The land use changes can impact to environmental degradation, due to reduced green open space. Semarang as a city of trade and services cultured toward a prosperous community, a region that is vulnerable to changes in land use tends toward small plots. This research integrates the model of Cellular Automata (CA) and binary logistic regression to predict the dynamics of builtup area in the city of Semarang. The image used is a Ikonos imagery (2002), Ikonos imagery (2006) and Quickbird (2012). Model CA in this research use to predict the distribution of land cover 2022 and 2032 with respect to: distance to roads, the distance to the river, the distance to the built-up area, elevation, population density, evidence likelihood of land use change and development villages index were accommodated in the map sub-model transition binary logistic regression model results. The results of this study are predictive maps of built-up area  with an accuracy of 78,21 % so that the validity of the resulting model can be categorized as "moderate", indicates that the probability map is valid. Modeling results showed that Semarang City in 2022 predicted rate of increase of  built-up area an average 284  ha / year and in 2032 rate of increase of built-up area an average 226 ha / year.</p><p><strong><em>Keywords</em></strong><em>: cellular automata, modelling, binary logistic regression, built-up area</em></p>

scholarly journals Impacts of land use changes on soil erosion in Pa Deng sub-district, adjacent area of Kaeng Krachan National Park, Thailand

2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (No. 1) ◽  
pp. 10-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Wijitkosum
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Soil Erosion ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
National Park ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Influential Factors ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Adjacent Area ◽  
Erosion Risk ◽  
Study Results

Soil erosion has been considered as the primary cause of soil degradation since soil erosion leads to the loss of topsoil and soil organic matters which are essential for the growing of plants. Land use, which relates to land cover, is one of the influential factors that affect soil erosion. In this study, impacts of land use changes on soil erosion in Pa Deng sub-district, adjacent area of Kaeng Krachan National Park, Thailand, were investigated by applying remote sensing technique, geographical information system (GIS) and the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE). The study results revealed that land use changes in terms of area size and pattern influenced the soil erosion risk in Pa Deng in the 1990&ndash;2010 period. The area with smaller land cover obviously showed the high risk of soil erosion than the larger land cover did.

scholarly journals Predicting Land Use/Land Cover Changes Using a CA-Markov Model under Two Different Scenarios

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 3421 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rahel Hamad ◽  
Heiko Balzter ◽  
Kamal Kolo
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Chain Model ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Kurdistan Region ◽  
The Past ◽  
Past Trend

Multi-temporal Landsat images from Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM) acquired in 1993, 1998, 2003 and 2008 and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) from 2017, are used for analysing and predicting the spatio-temporal distributions of land use/land cover (LULC) categories in the Halgurd-Sakran Core Zone (HSCZ) of the National Park in the Kurdistan region of Iraq. The aim of this article was to explore the LULC dynamics in the HSCZ to assess where LULC changes are expected to occur under two different business-as-usual (BAU) assumptions. Two scenarios have been assumed in the present study. The first scenario, addresses the BAU assumption to show what would happen if the past trend in 1993–1998–2003 has continued until 2023 under continuing the United Nations (UN) sanctions against Iraq and particularly Kurdistan region, which extended from 1990 to 2003. Whereas, the second scenario represents the BAU assumption to show what would happen if the past trend in 2003–2008–2017 has to continue until 2023, viz. after the end of UN sanctions. Future land use changes are simulated to the year 2023 using a Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov chain model under two different scenarios (Iraq under siege and Iraq after siege). Four LULC classes were classified from Landsat using Random Forest (RF). Their accuracy was evaluated using κ and overall accuracy. The CA-Markov chain method in TerrSet is applied based on the past trends of the land use changes from 1993 to 1998 for the first scenario and from 2003 to 2008 for the second scenario. Based on this model, predicted land use maps for the 2023 are generated. Changes between two BAU scenarios under two different conditions have been quantitatively as well as spatially analysed. Overall, the results suggest a trend towards stable and homogeneous areas in the next 6 years as shown in the second scenario. This situation will have positive implication on the park.

scholarly journals Suelos Y Karst, Origen De Inundaciones Y Hundimientos En Chetumal, Quintana Roo, México

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (14) ◽  
pp. 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Fragoso-Servón ◽  
Alberto Pereira-Corona
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Development Program ◽  
Quintana Roo ◽  
Development Programs ◽  
Mexican Caribbean ◽  
The City ◽  
Over Time

The Mexican Caribbean and its main cities have the highest population growth rate in Mexico. This work goal was to analyze the growth of the city of Chetumal and the geopedological characteristics in which it has been developed, to identify potential hazards and thereby improve development programs. The methodology consisted in the study of geopedological characteristics and the analysis of land use changes in the city over time. The main problems of Chetumal are floods and subsidence. Floods are more common in areas where Gleysols soils are found in low-lying areas. The subsidence is associated to Leptosols with a phreatic mantle at a shallow depth where the precipitations favors dissolution of rock. The extrapolation of the relationships between geopedological conditions and the area occupied by the city, allows us to suppose that areas which the current Urban Development Program proposes for future city expansion will develop the same problems of subsidence and flooding as the areas already built in sites with similar conditions.

scholarly journals Impact of Changes in Land Use and Land Cover in the Contribution Basin of Doutor João Penido Water Supply Reservoir of Juiz de Fora, MG, Brazil

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 108
Author(s):  
Juliana Nazareth de Lana ◽  
Márcio de Oliveira ◽  
Vanessa Romario de Paula ◽  
Cézar Henrique Barra Rocha
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Quality Parameters ◽  
E Coli ◽  
The City ◽  
Water Supply Reservoirs ◽  
Limnological Parameters

Changes in the land use and land cover in areas adjacent to water reservoirs directly affect the quality of this water. This research presents a study on the water quality in the basin of one of the most important public water supply reservoirs in the city of Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais. The main objective of this study was to analyze the behavior of limnological parameters and the correlation with land use and land cover in the contribution basin of the Doutor Jo&atilde;o Penido reservoir (CBJPR). The methodology was based on the analysis of water quality parameters, related to water samples collected from 2012 to 2015. Six sampling points were chosen from different locations: spring, medium course, main tributaries of the reservoir and the reservoir catchment. The parameters analyzed were turbidity, total solids (TS), oxygen consumed (OC), dissolved oxygen (DO), electrical conductivity, total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), E. Coli, temperature, pH and total dissolved solids (TDS). The Kendall&rsquo;s tau test was used to analyze the correlations between the parameters of water quality, land use and land cover in the CBJPR. In general, measured parameters showed better results in spring and in reservoir catchment, showing a worse quality of the water along the tributaries and the dilution power of the reservoir. The correlations pointed to the need for protection and preservation of forests in strategic locations to ensure good water quality.

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