scholarly journals Analysis the Effect of Money Supply and Third-Party Funds to the Inflation Rate through Gross Domestic Product in Indonesia Period 2008-2017

2021 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 463-473
Author(s):  
Anas Iswanto Anwar, Asma Inawahyuni, Sri Undai Nurbayani
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Valid Data

The objective of this research is to determine the effect of money supply and third-party funds to the inflation rate through Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Indonesia. The type of data is secondary data. This research used time series data from 2008 to 2017 from various valid data source.The data then were analyzed by multiple regressionswith Two-Stage Least Square (2SLS) approach processed byEviews 9.0.According to resultsanalysis of this study, there is a positive and significant effect between money supply and third-party funds to GDP directly. Partially, it is found that money supply has no significant effect to inflation through GDP and Third-party funds have negative and significant effect to inflation through GDP.

scholarly journals VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE APPROACH AFTER FIRST DIFFERENCING: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF INFLATION AND ITS DETERMINANTS IN TANZANIA

2021 ◽  
pp. 43-56
Author(s):  
Rachel R. Cheti ◽  
Bahati Ilembo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregressive

The objective of the study was to examine the trend of inflation and its key determinants in Tanzania. We used secondary time series data observed annually from January 1970 to 2020 which are inflation rate, GDP, Exchange rate and money supply. The vector autoregressive (VAR) model was employed for modeling. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF) found that inflation rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), exchange rate and Money supply (M3) were initially non-stationary but they became stationary after first differencing so as to proceed with the analysis. Preliminary tests before obtaining vector auto regressive model were carried out before determining the relationship between the variables. Diagnostic test such as serial correlation, heteroscedasticity, stability and normality were also important to evaluate the model assumptions and investigate whether or not there are observations with a large, undue influence on the analysis. We used Granger causality test (GCT) to determine causal- effect relationship between the variables. The results show that, there is a long run relationship between the variables, also the results showed that exchange rate and money supply (M3) both have a positive impact on inflation rate while gross domestic product (GDP) revealed a negative impact on inflation rate. Finally, the forecast of inflation rate for 15 years ahead was performed. The study recommends that the government should pursue both contractionary monetary policy and fiscal policy in order to control inflation in the country.

scholarly journals The Effect Of Credit To The Inflation Rate Through Gross Domestic Product In Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 78
Author(s):  
Anas Iswanto Anwar ◽  
Ali Akbar
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Working Capital ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Credit Channels ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy

Credit markets are not always balanced because of unbalanced information and other causes. There are two credit channels that influence the transmission of monetary policy from finance to the real sector, namely bank credit channels that are more concerned with the behavior of banks that are more selective in credit selection because of asymmetric information.This study aims to determine the effect of credit that consists of investment credit, working capital credit and consumption credit to the inflation rate through Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Indonesia. The overall data used in this study is secondary data from the result of systematic recording in the form of time series from 2007 to 2016 obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics, Bank Indonesia Report and Indonesian Banking Statistics. Data were analyzed by using multiple regression with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach. Based on the results of the research, simultaneous credit has a positive and significant effect on inflation through GDP and partially found that investment credit and working capital credit have positive and significant effect to inflation through GDP, while consumption credit has positive and insignificant effect.

scholarly journals PENGARUH NISBAH BAGI HASIL, PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO, SUKU BUNGA DEPOSITO DAN INFLASI TERHADAP SIMPANAN MUDHARABAH DI PERBANKAN SYARIAH INDONESIA PERIODE 2004.1­2009.2

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nurjanah Nurjanah ◽  
Sumiyarti Sumiyarti
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Profit Sharing ◽  
Least Square ◽  
The Other ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Main Determinant ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

<span><span><em>This study focused on examination impact of Profit Sharing Ratio (NSM) to Mudharabah</em><br /><span><em>savings in Indonesia Syariah Bank. The model used in this study is the Multiple Linear</em><br /><span><em>Regression OLS methods (Ordinary Least Square) with the time series data in period</em><br /><span><em>2004.1-2009.2. But in this model, we also considerd Gross Domestic Product (PDB), Deposit</em><br /><span><em>Interest Rate (RSK), and Inflation (INF) as control variables. The results of the research</em><br /><span><em>are variables of Profit Sharing Ratio (NSM), Deposit Interest Rate (RSK) and Inflation</em><br /><span><em>(INF) are affected not statistically affected Mudharabah Savings. The other side, the</em><br /><span><em>variable of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) statistically affects Mudharabah Savings. The</em><br /><span><em>interest of people on Mudharabah Savings is not because of the Profit Sharing Ratio that</em><br /><span><em>become the main determinant in Mudharabah Saving but of the more Islamic System.</em></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br /></span></span>

scholarly journals Foreign Debts Strategy Thesis for Improved Living Standard: The Nigerian Experience

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Ayangeadoo Alphonsus Hur-Yagba ◽  
Helen Elena Jekele ◽  
Kasim Umar
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Living Standard ◽  
Significance Level

This study examined whether foreign debts have been able to improve or otherwise Nigeria’s economy towards improving the living standard of her citizenry with respect to the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), USD exchange rate, inflation rate and foreign direct investment (FDI) for the period 1986 to 2017. The study was carried out in Nigeria with respect to other countries doing business with Nigeria. The study also made use of secondary data for the period under consideration. Data obtained were subjected to the cointegration test, which results show that the F-statistic is greater than the lower and upper bound critical value at a five per cent (5%) significance level. Thus, the null hypothesis of no long-run relationship is rejected at a five per cent (5%) significance level. It can, therefore, be inferred that the variables are cointegrated holding the external debt profile as the independent variable. Furthermore, the Ordinary Least Square Linear Multiple Regression Analyses (OLSLMRA) revealed that foreign debt significantly affected adversely, the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), USD exchange rate and foreign direct investment; except for inflation rate. The study, therefore, concluded that foreign debts, though not the best option for countries striving to survive; still have a significant effect on Nigeria’s economy and indeed her living standard. The study recommends diversification of Nigeria’s economy outside the crude oil to include agriculture, solid minerals, manufacturing, trade and industry to improve on her gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate, inflation rate and foreign direct investment (FDI) and thus better the living standard of her citizenry.

scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis of Public Borrowing and Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 243-248
Author(s):  
Ayodele Thomas Duro ◽  
Williams Harley Tega ◽  
Afolabi Taofeek Sola ◽  
Adeyanju David Olanrewaju
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

This study seeks to evaluate the impact of public borrowing on economic growth in Nigeria using time series data from 1980 to 2018. Specifically, the study seeks to analyze the effect of domestic debt (proxy by Federal Government Bonds-FGB) and external debt (proxy by International Monetary Fund Loan-IMFL) on Nigerian’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). To achieve this objective, secondary data was collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulleting and the Debt Management Office of Nigeria. A multiple regression model involving the dependent variable (GDP) and the independent variables (FGB and IMFL) was formulated and subjected to econometric analysis. These variables were adjusted with the Jarque-bera test of normality while the correlation result was used to check the possibility of multi-collinearity among the variables. The t-test was used to answer the research questions and test the formulated hypotheses at the 5percent statistical level. Results from the analysis show that a positive relationship exists between IMF Loan and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, while a negative relationship exists between FG Bonds and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, which violates the Keynesian theory of public debt. The study concludes that both domestic and external debt significantly affect economic growth in Nigeria. Therefore, it was recommended that public borrowing should be efficiently used and contracted solely for economic reasons and not for social or political reasons as this will help to avoid accumulation of debt stock over time.

scholarly journals Money supply and economic growth of Nepal: ARDL approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-94
Author(s):  
Keshar Bahadur Kunwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
P Value ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

There are a number of theories illustrating the relationship between money supply and gross domestic product. Money supply can be defined as the total stock of money circulating in the economy. The circulating money involves the currency, printed notes, money in the deposit accounts, and in the form of other liquid assets. Valuation of money supply helps analysts and policy makers to frame the policy or to alter the existing policy of increasing or reducing the supply of money. The valuation is important as it ultimately affects the business cycle and thereby affecting the economy. This study sought to provide answers to the question, what are the effects of money supply on the gross domestic product in Nepal? The study undertook a causal research design using time series data from the period 1974/75 to 2017/18 to critically investigate the relationship between money supply and economic growth by establishing an empirical relationship that exists between them. The study employed the Augmented Diky fuller test and ARDL- VECM model. The results indicate the existence of a significant long-run relationship between money supply and economic growth as measured by GDP. LNBM is significant to LNGDP and LNGDP is also significant to LNBM so there is bi-directional causality. There is unidirectional relationship existing between LNINF to LNGDP and LNINF to LNBM. ECTcoefficient vale are negative and the p-value of above three approaches are also less than 5 percent which is desirable for the ARDL model.

scholarly journals Nexus between Tourism and Gross Domestic Product in Sri Lanka

2016 ◽  
Vol 71 ◽  
pp. 25-32
Author(s):  
A.L.M. Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Independent Variables

Nowadays, policy makers believe that the tourism is a positive tool for economic growth of nations because which helps to economies of countries by several ways. In Sri Lankan experience it was not statistically confirmed. The aim of this study was to test the nexus between the tourism earnings and the gross domestic product in Sri Lanka. To test this nexus this study used time series data during the period of 1970 to 2014, and employed the multiple regressions model. In this study, the gross domestic product in constant price was used as dependant variable and exchange rate, foreign remittance, tourism earning, and inflation rate were considered as independent variables. Based on the regression outcomes, this study found that the tourism positively maintained the nexus on the gross domestic product in Sri Lanka at five percent significant level.

scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE VALUE OF EXPORT OF INDONESIAN COCOA BEANS IN 1996-2015

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Aditya Fajariskieyanto Hadi ◽  
Wahyu Agung Setyo
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Cocoa Beans ◽  
Domestic Production ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
International Price

The purpose of this research is to analyze the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans, using Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The dependent variable used in this research is the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans, while the independent variables are international price of cocoa beans, exchange rate rupiah to US$, domestic production of Indonesian cocoa beans and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) using time series data from 1996-2015 (20 years). The result shows that the international price variable of cocoa beans has a positive and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans. The rupiah exchange rate against US $ has a negative and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans. Domestic production of Indonesian cocoa beans has a positive and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the world has a positive and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans in 1996-2015.

scholarly journals Determinan dan Trend Kemiskinan di Kabupaten Wonosobo Provinsi Jawa Tengah

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 120
Author(s):  
Farida Nur Isnaini ◽  
Abdul Aziz Ahmad ◽  
Suharno Suharno
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Minimum Wages ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
The Government ◽  
Observation Period

This study aims to analyze the effect of population, education, regional Minimum Wages, inflation, and Gross Regional Domestic Product on poverty and analyze poverty trends in Wonosobo Regency. This study uses secondary data in the form of time series data with an observation period of 2002-2017 and the research method is multiple linear regression with the Ordinary Least Square model. The analysis shows that education, regional minimum wages and gross regional domestic product have a negative and significant impact on poverty in Wonosobo Regency. Population growth, and inflation does not have a significant effect on poverty in Wonosobo Regency. In addition, the future poverty trend of Wonosobo Regency is negative. These findings imply the first need for skills and expertise training programs in improving the quality of education. Second, the government must increase regional minimum wages, so that people can meet their daily needs. The government needs to increase economic growth in all sectors of the economy by using its potential.

scholarly journals Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi ekspor CPO provinsi Jambi ke Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 143-154
Author(s):  
Usman Hardianto ◽  
Siti Hodijah ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Average Development

The purpose of the study was to determine and analyze the development of production, exchange rates, CPO prices, Malaysian GDP, and Jambi Province CPO exports to Malaysia and the effect of production, exchange rates, CPO prices, Malaysian GDP on Jambi Province CPO exports to Malaysia. The data used in this study is secondary data in the form of time series data for 2000-2017. The results show that the average development of Jambi Province CPO exports to Malaysia is 4.10% per year, Jambi Province CPO production is on average 4, 10% per year, the average exchange rate is 2.64% per year, the average CPO price is 8.63% per year, and Malaysia's GDP is 4.89% per year on average. Based on the results of multiple linear analyses, it can be concluded that CPO production, CPO prices, exchange rates, and Malaysian GDP together affect the volume of Jambi Province's CPO exports to Malaysia. While partially production and GDP have a negative and insignificant effect on Jambi Province's CPO exports to Malaysia, the exchange rate and CPO prices positively and significantly impact Jambi Province's CPO exports to Malaysia. Keywords: Production, Price, Exchange rates, Gross Domestic Product

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