scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN PERM KRAI

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 67-73
Author(s):  
A A Olina ◽  
G K Sadykova ◽  
T A Meteleva

Aim. To estimate the dynamics of the main demographic indices (population, gender and age composition of population, number of born and dead, natural population increase (loss), migration growth of population) in Perm and Perm Krai (PK) over the period of 1990-2016. Materials and methods. The data, presented by the department of population census and demographic statistics of Territorial Board of the Federal Service for State Statistics in PK (Permstat) were analyzed. Results. In Perm Krai - in 2013 and in Perm - in 2012, there was registered increase in the population, confirming the end of depopulation period, observed since the nineties of the XX century. The analyzed period is characterized by growth in birth rate and fall in death rate in Perm and Perm Krai. However, the natural population increase remains insignificant. The detailed characteristic of gender and age structure is presented in the paper; it permits to assess the reproductive potential of the region. Conclusions. The detected tendencies make it possible to determine the strategic directions for improvement of medicodemographic situation in Perm Krai.

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 36-42
Author(s):  
M. Ya. Podluzhnaya ◽  
E. A. Voronova ◽  
N. V. Isaeva ◽  
E. A. Rudakova

Aim. To analyze the demographic indices in connection with aging of the population in Perm Krai and the Russian Federation and as a result – to single out problems and ways of solution. Materials and methods. Calculation and dynamic analysis of reproduction of the population in Perm Krai and the Russian Federation over the period of 2005 – 2017 was performed using official statistic data in connection with gender-and-age-specific characterization of the population. Results. The processes of aging of the population were estimated from demographic positions. Socioeconomic problems, associated with them, were singled out, the ways of their solving were determined in accordance with national projects regarding health and health care. Conclusions. At the expense of growing index of expected average life, decrease in fertility and birth rate there is observed accumulation of older age groups of the population, i.e. process of aging. It, naturally, results in growth of chronic pathology, mortality not only in the older age periods but also in the able-bodied part of the population, thus, reducing working potential.


2021 ◽  
Vol 74 (7) ◽  
pp. 1628-1633
Author(s):  
Alla P. Podavalenko ◽  
Tatjana D. Nessonova ◽  
Victorija I. Zadorozhna ◽  
Larisa М. Hrytsenko

The aim: To improve epidemiological monitoring of pertussis by analyzing the disease morbidity during 1995-2017 in Ukraine, to make a prognosis. Materials and methods: Analysis of the pertussis morbidity during 1995-2017 using the data of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine. The cyclicity was determined by Fourier spectral analysis. The models of prognosis were constructed using polyharmonic regression and an exponential smoothing algorithm. Cartographic analysis and integrated indicators (multiyear index of the prevalence rate, mean square deviation, mean the multiyear pace of the gain in the prevalence rate) were used to determine the areas of risk. Summarized data were used to calculate the generalized coefficient. Results: The pertussis morbidity cycle has 5 years intervals in Ukraine. The prognosis is for increasing the pertussis morbidity from 4.91-5.54 to 5.48-7.06 per 100.000 people. The generalized coefficient was significantly higher in western part (83.3%) than in central (50.0%) and eastern (16.6%) parts. The study showed that population reproduction rates, natural population increase, and the proportion of people against vaccination were higher in the western part than in other parts of the country. Conclusions: The pertussis cyclicity depends on the internal mechanisms of interaction in the ecological system. There is a prognosis of worsening the epidemic situation of pertussis spreading. The risk area is the western part of Ukraine, which is characterized by active demographic processes and a greater number of people who are negative about vaccination.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 899-907
Author(s):  
D. N. Belyanin

The present research featured the agrotechnical prerequisites of the agrarian reform introduced by P. A. Stolypin. The article focuses on the agrotechnical crisis in the rural Russian in the post-reform period. However, the complex and debatable matter of the effect of the community on the crisis was beyond the scope of the study. The author believes that the crisis of the three-field system was connected with the natural population increase and the agricultural overpopulation. The paper describes the methods used by Russian farmers to deal with the lack or agricultural lands and reveals their extensive nature. The author summarized and analyzed options for overcoming the agrotechnical crisis proposed by various state, political, and public figures in the late XIX century. A radical modernization of the Russian village was necessary to overcome the agrotechnical crisis and move on to intensive production forms, and the state policy should have become the instrument of that modernization. The agrarian reform conducted by P. A. Stolypin proved to have some agrotechnical prerequisites.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 10-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirjanka Madjevikj ◽  
Biljana Apostolovska Toshevska ◽  
Svemir Gorin ◽  
Marija Ljakoska

Abstract The Republic of Macedonia covers an area of 25,713 km² and according to data from the census conducted in 2002, it has a population of 2,022,547 inhabitants. In the past, the Republic of Macedonia was characterized by some significant demographic changes, including a decline in the average annual rate of population increase. The enhanced immigration movements and sudden decline in the rates of natural population increase have led to changes in distribution of the population and to a spatial differentiation in the population. The long period of transition in the country has been reflected in the spatial development of the country and its demographic processes and to relocation of the population. The different natural-geographical characteristics, unequal regional development potentials, unequal economic development, and demographic characteristics have led to changes in the demographic situation of certain regions. The regions that continually lose part of its population clearly differ from these regions that are characterized by an increased population which is leading to a greater concentration of people in certain location. Further decades with a declining birth rate, followed by a change in the values of population increase, together with migration movements, particularly from the rural and less developed economic regions, has resulted in a decline in the population. The different zones of depopulation and concentration in a simple way express the complex relationships in the population composition.


2016 ◽  
Vol 130 (2) ◽  
pp. 167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josef Hamr ◽  
Frank F Mallory ◽  
Ivan Filion

Elk (Cervus canadensis) historically inhabited southern Quebec and central Ontario, but, by the early 1900s, the species was extirpated from this region. Attempts to re-establish an Elk population in Ontario during the first half of the 20th century had limited success. We reviewed historical documents, population census records, and a previous study pertaining to Elk reintroduced to Ontario in the early 1900s for clues to the cause(s) of their limited population growth. After an apparent rapid population increase in the 1940s followed by unregulated hunting during the subsequent 3 decades, Elk abundance in Ontario had not appreciably changed from 1970 to 1997, most likely because of the small founding population, unsustainable hunting, and accidental mortality. After the abolition of legal hunting in 1980, natural mortality appeared to be the main limiting factor. A limited sample of pregnancy and calf recruitment rates, body measurements, and physical condition parameters collected in 1993–1997, suggested that adults were healthy, reproducing successfully, and not limited by food availability; thus, it was concluded that remnant Elk populations could be augmented by introducing additional animals. A renewed Elk restoration effort, conducted from 1998 to 2001, imported 443 Elk from Elk Island national Park in Alberta to 4 release areas across central Ontario (Lake of the Woods, Lake Huron North Shore, Nipissing/French River, and Bancroft/North Hastings), resulting in a provincial population of about 800 Elk by 2013.


Stanovnistvo ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 36 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 49-80
Author(s):  
Svetlana Radovanovic

The Sirinic district is located in one of the four mountain valleys (Sirinic, Sredska, Opolje and Gora) in the Sara mountain region. Its geographic boundaries almost match the administrative borders of the commune of Strpce. It is first mentioned in Serb manuscripts of the first half of the XIV century. The census taken in 1455 by the Turks shows a relatively high density of Serb population. The Albanians immigrated to the Sirinic district from northern Albania after the second mass migration of Serb population in 1737. They came from north and east, from southern parts of Kosovo, Kacanicka gorge and the Valley of Skoplje. A larger-scale settlement of Albanians into the Sara mountain region was prevented by massive Islamization of native Serb population in the districts of Gora, Opolje and Sredska. Thus, a multi-ethnic buffer zone was formed during Turkish reign which has been basically preserved until today. For this particular reason the region has attracted interest of many domestic and foreign researchers ever since early XIX century. Elaboration of two multi-disciplinary scientific research projects by the Institute of Geography "Jovan Cvijic" of the Serb Academy of Science and Arts in the period from 1989 to 1994 was based on the same considerations. One of the projects is fully concerned with the Sirinic district and the author of this paper was asked to study migrations and the origins of Albanian population as well as to organize and conduct a population census in the commune of Strpce. Immigration of Albanians to the Sirinic district took place in several phases which ultimately led to the formation of five mixed Serb-Albanian settlements located between a group of four homogenous Albanian and seven such Serb settlements. Thus, a relatively stable ethnic and geographic structure was formed as early as in the XIX century. Its territorial and demographic proportions did not substantially change regardless of all tumultuous historical and political events that had since taken place. A more detailed analysis shows that the share of Albanians in total population of the district rose from about 29% in 1931 to only 33% in 1989 in spite of the natural increase in population in excess of 30 per thousand ever since the early 1980s. However, demographic growth of Albanian population remained much below the level of the biological reproduction rate due to intensive emigration i.e., a negative migratory balance ranging from 21.8 per thousand in 1961 to 26.5 per thousand in 1989. The causes for emigration were economic and, for decades, bound toward Kosovo, Western Macedonia and the Valley of Skoplje. Emigration to Turkey began in late XIX century, resumed during the Balkan Wars and was recorded again in the early 1980s (encouraged by the Balkan Treaty signed by the FPRY, Greece and Turkey) but did not much affect total demographic movement of Albanians in the Sirinic district. Economic emigration of population to Switzerland and Germany has been growing from the 1960s onward. This paper also reviews parallel existence and functioning of two crucially different homeostatic demographic systems - the Albanian and the Serb - in the same compact geographic environment. The paper also points to the preserved awareness of a fixed (tribal) affiliation and finally displays a detailed review of migratory dynamics and origins of Albanian population, number of houses (families) and the number of members of each clan in 1989.


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