scholarly journals Combined Effect of Hypertension and Alcohol Consumption on the Risk of Death (27‑Year Cohort Prospective Study)

Kardiologiia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-43
Author(s):  
I. V. Dolgalev ◽  
A. Yu. Ivanova ◽  
V. V. Obraztsov ◽  
I. V. Tsimbalyuk ◽  
R. S. Karpov
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Alcohol Consumption ◽  
Prospective Cohort Study ◽  
Prospective Cohort ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Cardiovascular Death ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Total Cohort ◽  
Alcohol Users

Aim      To study the effect of arterial hypertension (AH) in combination with frequent alcohol consumption on the formation of risk for cardiovascular death and all-cause death according to results of a 27-year prospective cohort study.Material and methods  This 27‑year prospective cohort study of an unorganized population of the Tomsk city (1546 people aged 20–59 years, including 630 men and 916 women) investigated AH prevalence and alcohol consumption (1988–1991) and analyzed the predictive significance of the effect of AH in combination with frequent alcohol consumption on the formation of risk for all-cause and cardiovascular death. AH was diagnosed at blood pressure ≥140 / 90 mm Hg. Frequent alcohol users were defined as those who consumed alcohol more than once a week.Results The combination of AH and frequent alcohol consumption increased the risk of all-cause death 4.1 times compared to that for persons without these risk factors (p<0.001). This was true for all age groups of the total cohort (higher relative risk, RR, was observed for persons aged 20–39 years) and for men (except for the group aged 40–59 years). RR of cardiovascular death was 5.3 (p<0.001) for frequent alcohol users with AH. It was established that frequent alcohol consumption additionally increased RR of all-cause death for persons with AH (RR 1.89; p<0.05) primarily at the expense of persons aged 20-39 years. Prediction of 27‑year survival for frequent alcohol users with AH was 35.3 %.Conclusion      A combination of AH with frequent alcohol consumption considerably increases the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death. Frequent alcohol consumption significantly impairs the prediction of 27-year survival for persons with AH by additionally (1.9 times) increasing the risk of all-cause death. Binary AH combinations with frequent alcohol consumption exert a more pronounced adverse effect on young men and women.

scholarly journals Metabolic syndrome and the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality: data of 14-year prospective cohort study in Siberia

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 3821
Author(s):  
G I Simonova ◽  
S V Mustafina ◽  
O D Rymar ◽  
L V Scherbacova ◽  
T I Nikitenko ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Metabolic Syndrome ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Prospective Cohort Study ◽  
Cardiovascular Mortality ◽  
Prospective Cohort ◽  
Cardiovascular Death ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Aim. To study the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with metabolic syndrome (MS) according to a 14-year prospective cohort study in Siberia.Material and methods. Based on the data from the Russian arm of the HAPIEE project, we assessed all-cause deaths occurred by 2017 in the population cohort examined at baseline in 2003-2005 (n=9273). The baseline examination included the assessment of blood pressure (BP), anthropometry, levels of fasting triglycerides, high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and blood glucose. The fatal cases in the studied cohort were identified from “Medical death certificates” for the period from February 1, 2003 to December 31, 2017, based on data from the Department of Civil Registration of Death Acts. Cardiovascular death was established using the International Classification of Diseases, the 10th revision (ICD-10): I (0-99).Results. The mortality rate in subjects with MS was 16,6% — 751 deaths (25,1% in men and 11,5% in women), and it was 20-30% higher than in those without MS. Cardiovascular mortality in subjects with MS was 12,6% — 572 deaths (20,5% in men and 8,9% in women), and it was nearly 30% higher than in those without MS. Multivariable Cox regression revealed that among the components of MS, the elevated BP level even with BP ≥135/80 mm Hg had the major impact on increasing the risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1,7 (1,4; 2,1) in men; HR=2,2 (1,7; 2,8) in women) and increasing the risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR=2,2 (1,5; 3,0) in men and HR=2,8 (1,8; 4.3) in women). Among men, already 1 component of MS increased the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality by 2,0 or more times; among women, 2-4 components of MS increased the risk of death by 3 times, and 5 components — by 4.Conclusion. In the studied population sample, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality during the 14-year follow-up in individuals with MS was about 25-30% higher compared to those without MS. The risk of cardiovascular and all-cause deaths in subjects with MS is comparable to the risk in case of blood pressure ≥135/80 mm Hg. With an increase in the number of MS components from 1 to 5, the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death increases.

scholarly journals Risk Factors for Hospital Admission After a Fall: A Prospective Cohort Study of Community-Dwelling Older People

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica G Abell ◽  
Camille Lassale ◽  
G David Batty ◽  
Paola Zaninotto
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Urinary Incontinence ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Hospital Admission ◽  
Prospective Cohort Study ◽  
Prospective Cohort ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Community Dwelling ◽  
Subdistribution Hazard ◽  
Risk Of Death

Abstract Background Falls in later life that require admission to hospital have well-established consequences for future disability and health. The likelihood and severity of a fall will result from the presence of one or more risk factors. The aim of this study is to examine risk factors identified for their ability to prevent falls and to assess whether they are associated with hospital admission after a fall. Methods Analyses of data from the English Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSA), a prospective cohort study. In a sample of 3783 men and women older than 60 years old, a range of potential risk factors measured at Wave 4 (demographic, social environment, physical, and mental functioning) were examined as predictors of fall-related hospitalizations, identified using International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) code from linked hospital records in the United Kingdom. Subdistribution hazard models were used to account for competing risk of death. Results Several risk factors identified by previous work were confirmed. Suffering from urinary incontinence (subdistribution hazard ratio = 1.49; 95% CI: 1.14, 1.95) and osteoporosis (subdistribution hazard ratio = 1.48; 95% CI: 1.05, 2.07), which are not commonly considered at an early stage of screening, were found to be associated with hospital admission after a fall. Both low and moderate levels of physical activity were also found to somewhat increase the risk of hospital admission after a fall. Conclusions Several predictors of having a fall, severe enough to require hospital admission, have been confirmed. In particular, urinary incontinence should be considered at an earlier point in the assessment of risk.

scholarly journals Parents survive longer after stroke than childless individuals: a prospective cohort study of Swedes over the age of 65

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 1090-1095
Author(s):  
Anna C Meyer ◽  
Jenny Torssander ◽  
Mats Talbäck ◽  
Karin Modig
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Marital Status ◽  
Prospective Cohort Study ◽  
Prospective Cohort ◽  
Functional Limitations ◽  
Relative Survival ◽  
Older Individuals ◽  
Swedish Population ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
Number Of Children

Abstract Background Parents have lower mortality than childless individuals, and one possible explanation is support provided by adult children. Since stroke often results in functional limitations, support from children may be of particular importance. Here, we examine whether the presence of children matters for survival after stroke among older Swedish men and women. Methods This prospective cohort study linked data from several Swedish population registers. Individuals aged 65 years and older hospitalized for their first ischemic stroke between 1998 and 2002 (33 960 men and 36 189 women) were followed 12 years for survival. Hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were calculated by number of children using Cox proportional hazard regression stratified by sex and marital status and adjusted for education, income and comorbidities. Results Childlessness and having only one child was associated with higher mortality after stroke compared with having two children among men and women. The relative survival disadvantage of childless individuals was largest among married women [HR 1.28 (1.18–1.39)] and smallest among married men [1.09 (1.03–1.15)]. The differences in predicted median survival between childless individuals and those with two children were 4 and 7 months among married and unmarried men, and 15 and 9 months among married and unmarried women, respectively. Conclusions Having children is associated with a longer survival after stroke among men and women regardless of marital status. Our findings further suggest that the presence of children is especially connected to married women’s survival. These results may have implications for the improvement of informal care for childless older individuals.

Spontaneous clearance of urogenital, anorectal and oropharyngeal Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae in women, MSM and heterosexual men visiting the STI clinic: a prospective cohort study

2019 ◽  
Vol 95 (7) ◽  
pp. 505-510 ◽  
Author(s):  
Genevieve A F S van Liere ◽  
Christian J P A Hoebe ◽  
Jeanne AMC Dirks ◽  
Petra FG Wolffs ◽  
Nicole H T M Dukers-Muijrers
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Chlamydia Trachomatis ◽  
Neisseria Gonorrhoeae ◽  
Prospective Cohort Study ◽  
Prospective Cohort ◽  
Bacterial Load ◽  
Heterosexual Men ◽  
Spontaneous Clearance ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
Vaginal Swabs

ObjectiveChlamydia trachomatis (CT) and Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) infections can clear without treatment. Despite high prevalence of anorectal infections in men who have sex with men (MSM) and women, studies on anorectal clearance are scarce. Moreover it is unknown whether bacterial load affects urogenital/anorectal CT clearance. In this prospective cohort study, CT and NG clearance is assessed at three anatomical sites of men and women.MethodsCT-positive and NG-positive MSM, heterosexual men and women ≥18 years of age visiting our STI clinic between 2011 and 2013 underwent a repeat test when returning for treatment (n=482). The primary outcome was clearance, defined as a positive nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) at screening-consultation, followed by a negative NAAT at treatment-consultation. Sociodemographics, sexual risk behaviour and CT bacterial load (inhouse quantitative PCR) were tested as determinants for clearance using multivariable logistic regression for CT and Fisher’s exact test for NG.ResultsCT clearance was 9.1% (10/110) for urine, 6.8% (20/292) for vaginal swabs, 12.7% (8/63) for anorectal swabs (ie, 4.0% [1/25] in MSM and 18.4% [7/38] in women) and 57.1% (4/7) for oropharyngeal swabs. For NG this was 33.3% (2/6), 28.6% (2/7), 20.0% (2/10) and 27.3% (6/22), respectively. The number of days between tests (median 10, IQR 7–14) was not associated with clearance. Lower bacterial load at screening was the only predictor for CT clearance (urine mean 1.2 vs 2.6 log CT/mL, p=0.001; vaginal swabs mean 2.1 vs 5.2 log CT/mL p<0.0001; anorectal swabs mean 2.0 vs 3.7 log CT/mL, p=0.002). None of the tested determinants were associated with NG clearance.ConclusionsThis study reports the largest number of anorectal infections tested for CT and NG clearance to date. Clearance in all sample types was substantial: between 7% and 57% for CT, and between 20% and 33% for NG (notwithstanding low absolute numbers). CT clearance was associated with a lower load at screening. However, not all individuals with low bacterial CT load cleared the infection, hampering STI guideline change.

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