scholarly journals Multimarker Approach in Risk Stratification of Patients with Decompensated Heart Failure

Kardiologiia ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (1S) ◽  
pp. 53-64
Author(s):  
V. N. Protasov ◽  
O. Yu. Narusov ◽  
A. A. Skvortsov ◽  
D. E. Protasova ◽  
T. V. Kuznetsova ◽  
...  

Purpose: to study prognostic value of various biomarkers and their combinations in patients who survived decompensation of chronic heart failure.Materials and methods.Patients (n=159) who were hospitalized with diagnosis of heart failure (HF) decompensation were included in a prospective single-center study. Examination on admission and the day of hospital discharge, included measurement of concentrations of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), copeptin, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2), kopetin, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), and galectin-3. Te combined primary endpoint comprised cardiovascular (CV) death, frst hospitalization because of HF heart failure decompensation, episodes of HF deterioration which required additional i/v diuretics, and CV death with successful resuscitation.Results.During one-year follow-up 56 pts (35.2%) reached the combined primary endpoint. Tere were 78 (49.1%) cardiovascular events. During hospitalization, patients with the decompensation of heart failure experienced a decrease of sST2, NT-proBNP, galectin-3, kopetin, hsTnT and an insignifcant increase of NGAL. ROC analysis identifed signifcant relation between concentrations of NT-proBNP, sST2, copeptin and, to a lesser degree, hsTnT, determined at hospital discharge, and risk of combined primary endpoint during 1-year follow-up: area under the curve (AUC) was 0.733 [95% CI 0.645–0.820], p<0.0001, 0.772 [95% CI 0.688–0.856], p<0.0001, 0.735 [95% CI 0.640–0.830], p<0.0001, and 0.659 [95% CI 0.553–0.764], p=0.005, respectively. Patients who during hospitalization did not achieve cut-off values of NT-proBNP ≤1696 rg/ml, sST2≤37.8 hg/ml, copeptin≤28.31 rmol/L and hsTnT≤28.37 rg/ml, had higher risk of reaching adverse events during 1 year; OR and 95% CI were 2.96 [1.61, 5.42] p<0.0001, 4.31 [2.34, 7.93] p<0.0001, 3.06 [1.59, 5.89] and 2.19 [2.12, 4.27]), respectively. According to Cox regression analysis, risk of the combined primary end point was the highest in patients with 3 or more elevated markers (OR = 6.6 [3.584, 12.158], p<0.0001), average in patients with 2 elevated markers (OR = 1.123 [0.51, 2.48]), p=0.7), and the lowest in patients with no markers increase or increase of only one marker (OR = 0.11 [0.049, 0.241], p<0.0001). In the Kaplan-Mayer survival analysis all three groups were statistically different. In order to identify the most prognostically strong model, a reclassifcation analysis was performed. According to this analysis, the combination of sST2 and NT-proBNP concentrations determined at hospital discharge, exceeded one NT-proBNP (reclassifcation = –8.1%). At the same time, predictive value of only sST2 just insignifcantly less than value of sST2 and NT-proBNP combination (reclassifcation = –1.9%).Conclusion.Patients with three and more elevated markers at hospital discharge have high risk of adverse events. Te biggest prognostic value has combination of sST2 and NT-proBNP concentrations. In order to determine the long-term prognosis of a patient with HF decompensation, it is sufcient to measure concentrations of sST2 and NT-proBNP at hospital discharge. Alternatively, it is possible to limit to sST2 only, which is just insignifcantly inferior to the sST2 and NT-proBNP combination. Patients with concentrations of sST2 ≥37.8 hg/ml and NT-proBNP ≥1696 rg/ml at hospital discharge have maximal 1year risk of death due to recurrent HF decompensation.

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Chen ◽  
Y.H Chan ◽  
M.Z Wu ◽  
Y.J Yu ◽  
Q.W Ren ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Hepatic dysfunction was previously suggested to be related to poor outcome in patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty (TA), the predictive value of liver stiffness (LS) for adverse events is nonetheless uncertain. Purpose The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value and reversibility of LS in patients undergoing TA. Methods A total of 158 patients (age 63, male 35%) who underwent TA during left-sided valve surgery were prospectively evaluated. Transient elastography was used to assess LS. Patients were divided into three groups according to tertiles of LS. Adverse outcome was defined as heart failure requiring hospital admission or mortality. Results The median LS was 13.9 (8.1–22.3) kPa which independently correlates with tricuspid regurgitation severity (assessed by effective regurgitant orifice area), inferior vena cava diameter and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion. During a median follow-up of 31 months, 49 adverse events occurred. Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that LS was an independent predictor of adverse events. Furthermore, a higher LS tertile was predictive for adverse events (Hazard Ratio 4.19, P&lt;0.01) even after adjusting for the other prognosticators. Kaplan-Meier curve showed that patients in the third tertile LS group had the highest percentage of adverse events followed by patients in the second tertile. Significant improvement of LS at 1-year post-TA was noted only in patients who had no adverse events but not in those who experienced heart failure. Conclusions The present study demonstrates that LS is predictive of adverse outcome in patients undergoing TA. These findings suggested that assessing LS, an integrative assessment of right heart condition, may aid the management of patients undergoing TA. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Health and Medical Research Fund from the Food and Health Bureau, the Government of Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ewa Romuk ◽  
Celina Wojciechowska ◽  
Wojciech Jacheć ◽  
Aleksandra Zemła-Woszek ◽  
Alina Momot ◽  
...  

In chronic heart failure (HF), some parameters of oxidative stress are correlated with disease severity. The aim of this study was to evaluate the importance of oxidative stress biomarkers in prognostic risk stratification (death and combined endpoint: heart transplantation or death). In 774 patients, aged 48-59 years, with chronic HF with reduced ejection fraction (median: 24.0 (20-29)%), parameters such as total antioxidant capacity, total oxidant status, oxidative stress index, and concentration of uric acid (UA), bilirubin, protein sulfhydryl groups (PSH), and malondialdehyde (MDA) were measured. The parameters were assessed as predictive biomarkers of mortality and combined endpoint in a 1-year follow-up. The multivariate Cox regression analysis was adjusted for other important clinical and laboratory prognostic markers. Among all the oxidative stress markers examined in multivariate analysis, only MDA and UA were found to be independent predictors of death and combined endpoint. Higher serum MDA concentration increased the risk of death by 103.0% (HR=2.103; 95% CI (1.330-3.325)) and of combined endpoint occurrence by 100% (HR=2.000; 95% CI (1.366-2.928)) per μmol/L. Baseline levels of MDA in the 4th quartile were associated with an increased risk of death with a relative risk (RR) of 3.64 (95% CI (1.917 to 6.926), p<0.001) and RR of 2.71 (95% CI (1.551 to 4.739), p<0.001) for the occurrence of combined endpoint as compared to levels of MDA in the 1st quartile. Higher serum UA concentration increased the risk of death by 2.1% (HR=1.021; 95% CI (1.005-1.038), p<0.001) and increased combined endpoint occurrence by 1.4% (HR=1.014; 95% CI (1.005-1.028), p<0.001), for every 10 μmol/L. Baseline levels of UA in the 4th quartile were associated with an increased risk for death with a RR of 3.21 (95% CI (1.734 to 5.931)) and RR of 2.73 (95% CI (1.560 to 4.766)) for the occurrence of combined endpoint as compared to the levels of UA in the 1st quartile. In patients with chronic HF, increased MDA and UA concentrations were independently related to poor prognosis in a 1-year follow-up.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji Zhang ◽  
Wenhua Li ◽  
Gaojun Cai ◽  
Jianqiang Xiao ◽  
Jie Hui ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In acute heart failure (AHF), elevated carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP) have shown to correlate with adverse events. We sought to quantify their prognostic usefulness in predicting the 6-month combined endpoint of death/heart failure readmission. Methods The study includes 352 patients admitted for AHF. The primary endpoint was 6-month combined endpoint of death/AHF rehospitalization. CA125 and NTproBNP were dichotomized according to the best cut-offs to predict 6-month primary endpoint. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, the independent association of CA125 and NTproBNP with the primary endpoint was assessed, and their incremental prognostic utility evaluated by net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index. Results A total of 47 (13.4%) deaths and 113 (32.1%) AHF rehospitalizations were identified at 6-month follow-up. The subjects with CA125 ≥ 39.7 U/ml and NTproBNP ≥ 3900 pg/ml had significantly higher cumulative event rates (56.1% vs. 33.3% and 53.3% vs. 33.8%, both P < 0.001). Elevated CA125 (HR 1.93; 95%CI [1.32–2.83]; P = 0.001) was associated with higher HR than NTproBNP ≥ 3900 pg/ml (HR 1.71; 95%CI [1.19–2.48]; P = 0.004) after adjusting for established risk factors. Elevated CA125 still independently predicted adverse events when both CA125 and NTproBNP were entered together in the same multivariate model. Furthermore, risk reclassification analyses demonstrated significant improvements in NRI of 22.3% (P = 0.014) and IDI of 2.7% (P = 0.012) when adding CA125 to the base model + NTproBNP. Conclusions Elevated CA125 and NTproBNP predicted adverse outcomes in AHF patients. CA125 added prognostic value to NTproBNP, and thus, their combination conferred greater predictive capacity.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Marques ◽  
A.R Pereira ◽  
I Cruz ◽  
A.R Almeida ◽  
S Alegria ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is the main cause of sudden cardiac death in the young and a cause of heart failure and death at any age. Nevertheless, adverse long-term outcomes are not easy to predict. Objectives To assess the prevalence, predictors and prognostic value of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction in patients (pts) with HCM. Methods Retrospective single-center study of consecutive pts with HCM evaluated in a specialized medical appointment. Selected those submitted to cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as the gold-standard for RV function assessment. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, ventricular arrhythmias with hemodynamic instability and unplanned heart failure admission. Results Were included 112 pts (mean age at first appointment 57±15 years, 63% male). Septal asymmetric phenotype was the most frequent (75%), with a mean septal wall thickness of 18±4 mm. Late gadolinium enhancement was observed in 82%, mostly intramyocardial (67%) and in joint points (47%). RV dysfunction was detected in 6 pts (5.4%) and RV free wall hypertrophy in 3 pts (2.7%); no patient presented RV dilation. Factors associated with RV dysfunction were left atria area (HR 1.07/unit, 95% CI 1.01–1.12, p=0.02), left ventricular ejection fraction (HR 0.91/unit, 95% CI 0.86–0.97, p=0.02) and the presence of left ventricle wall motion abnormalities (HR 7, 95% CI 1.3–38, p=0.03) in cardiac MRI. During a mean follow-up of 60±31 months, the combined primary endpoint occurred in 15 pts (13%), significantly more in pts with RV dysfunction (HR 5.1, 95% CI 1.1–24, p=0.038) (graphic 1). Patients with RV dysfunction also presented more atrial fibrillation / flutter episodes during follow-up (HR 6.4, 95% CI 2.1–20, p=0.001). Conclusions Although not common, right ventricular dysfunction was associated with a higher rate of cardiovascular events. These results support a potential role of right ventricular function in the risk stratification of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji Zhang ◽  
Wenhua Li ◽  
Gaojun Cai ◽  
Jianqiang Xiao ◽  
Jie Hui ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: In acute heart failure (AHF), elevated carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP) have shown to correlate with adverse events. We sought to quantify their prognostic usefulness in predicting the 6-month combined endpoint of death/heart failure readmission.Methods: The study includes 352 patients admitted for AHF. The primary endpoint was 6-month combined endpoint of death/AHF rehospitalization. CA125 and NTproBNP were dichotomized according to the best cut-offs to predict 6-month primary endpoint. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, the independent association of CA125 and NTproBNP with the primary endpoint was assessed, and their incremental prognostic utility evaluated by net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index. Results: A total of 47 (13.4%) deaths and 113 (32.1%) AHF rehospitalizations were identified at 6-month follow-up. The subjects with CA125≥39.7 U/ml and NTproBNP≥3900 pg/ml had significantly higher cumulative event rates (56.1% vs. 33.3% and 53.3% vs. 33.8%, both P<0.001). Elevated CA125 (HR 1.93; 95%CI [1.32-2.83]; P=0.001) was associated with higher HR than NTproBNP≥3900 pg/ml (HR 1.71; 95%CI [1.19-2.48]; P=0.004) after adjusting for established risk factors. Elevated CA125 still independently predicted adverse events when both CA125 and NTproBNP were entered together in the same multivariate model. Furthermore, risk reclassification analyses demonstrated significant improvements in NRI of 22.3% (P=0.014) and IDI of 2.7% (P=0.012) when adding CA125 to the base model + NTproBNP.Conclusions: Elevated CA125 and NTproBNP predicted adverse outcomes in AHF patients. CA125 added prognostic value to NTproBNP, and thus, their combination conferred greater predictive capacity.


2010 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie Neuhold ◽  
Martin Huelsmann ◽  
Guido Strunk ◽  
Joachim Struck ◽  
Christopher Adlbrecht ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Serial measurements of neurohormones have been shown to improve prognostication in the setting of acute heart failure (HF) or chronic HF without therapeutic intervention. We investigated the prognostic role of serial measurements of emerging neurohormones and BNP in a cohort of chronic HF patients undergoing increases in HF-specific therapy. Methods: In this prospective study we included 181 patients with chronic systolic HF after an episode of hospitalization for worsening HF. Subsequently, HF therapy was gradually increased in the outpatient setting until optimized. We measured copeptin, midregional proadrenomedullin, C-terminal endothelin-1 precursor fragment, midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide, and B-type natriuretic peptide before and after optimization of HF therapy. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 24 months. Results: Angiotensin-converting enzyme/angiotensin receptor blocker and β-blockers were increased significantly during the 3-month titration period (P &lt; 0.0001 for both). In a stepwise Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, glomerular filtration rate, diabetes mellitus, and ischemic HF, baseline and follow-up neurohormone concentrations were predictors of the primary endpoint as follows (baseline hazard ratios): copeptin 1.92, 95% CI 1.233–3.007, P = 0.004; midregional proadrenomedullin 2.79, 95% CI 1.297–5.995, P = 0.009; midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide 2.05, 95% CI 1.136–3.686, P = 0.017; C-terminal endothelin-1 precursor fragment 2.24, 95% CI 1.133–4.425, P = 0.025; B-type natriuretic peptide 1.46, 95% CI 1.039–2.050, P = 0.029. Conclusions: In pharmacologically unstable chronic HF patients, baseline values and follow-up measures of copeptin, midregional proadrenomedullin, C-terminal endothelin-1 precursor fragment, midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide, and B-type natriuretic peptide were equally predictive of all-cause mortality. Relative change of neurohormone values was noncontributory.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Akhtar ◽  
D Rangel-Sousa ◽  
J Palomino-Doza ◽  
X Arana Achaga ◽  
Z Bilinska ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Truncating variants in Filamin C (FLNCtv) are associated with arrhythmogenic (AC) and dilated cardiomyopathies (DCM). Affected patients are reported to demonstrate a high incidence of arrhythmic and heart-failure related cardiovascular events. The aim of this study was to determine factors that predict adverse events in mutation carriers. Methods The study cohort comprised 168 FLNCtv carriers followed at 19 European centres. Baseline and longitudinal follow-up clinical data were collected. The primary endpoint was a composite of sudden cardiac death (SCD), aborted SCD, appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) shock, cardiac transplantation (HTx) and mortality from end-stage heart failure (ESHF). Results 47 different pathogenic or likely-pathogenic FLNCtv were identified in 60 unrelated probands. In those with baseline and longitudinal data (160 patients; 57 probands), 114 (71.3%) patients exhibited evidence of cardiac disease at initial evaluation. Gene penetrance was 85% by the age of 40 years. During a median follow-up of 1.5 years (IQR 4.1), 24 individuals (15%) reached the primary endpoint – 16 arrhythmic (SCD/aborted SCD/ICD shock) and 8 heart failure (ESHF/HTx) related-events. Univariable predictors at baseline evaluation of the composite primary endpoint included proband status (HR 4.0, 95% CI: 1.5–10.9, p=0.01), symptoms of dyspnoea (HR 2.8, 95% CI: 1.2–6.4, p=0.02), LV systolic dysfunction (LVSD) (HR 12.4, 95% CI: 2.9–53.2, p=0.001), frequent ventricular ectopy (VE>500) on 24-hour Holter (HR 9.3, 95% CI: 1.2–74.7, p=0.04) and the presence of late gadolinium enhancement on CMR (HR 8.9, 95% CI: 1.2–68.5, p=0.04). Multivariable analysis identified LVSD (LVEF <50%) at baseline as an independent predictor of the primary endpoint with a hazard ratio of 8.6 (95% CI: 1.8–41.5, p=0.007). ROC analysis using LV systolic dysfunction to predict the primary endpoint demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.76–0.91, p<0.001) and identified an optimal LVEF “cut-off” of 47% for predicting adverse events with a Youden's index of 0.61 (sensitivity 0.91; specificity 0.70). Kaplan-Meier plot to demonstrate freedom Conclusions LVSD is associated with an over 8-fold increase in the hazard of a primary endpoint event in FLNCtv gene carriers indicating that these patients should be considered for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation, optimal heart failure medical therapy and close clinical follow-up. Acknowledgement/Funding NIHR Biomedical Research Centre; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; DETECTIN-HF project; Wellcome Trust;CIBERCV; EU Regional Development Fund; FEDER.


Kardiologiia ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (8S) ◽  
pp. 44-55
Author(s):  
E. M. Mezhonov ◽  
Ju. A. Vyalkina ◽  
S. V. Shalaev

Aim. To assess the prevalence and prognostic value of AKI in patients with acute decompensation of chronic heart failure (ADCHF) with a reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) or acute coronary syndrome (ACS), to identify predictors of AKI.Materials and methods. In a prospective study included 863 patients, of which 141 with ADCHF, 446 – non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS) and 276 – ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). AKI was diagnosed according to KDIGO recommendations. The end point was defined as death from cardiovascular causes.Result. During the follow-up from 1 to 37 months (median follow-up was 18 months) for patients with ADCHF in 24,8 % an endpoint was reported. For patients with ACS, the observation time ranged from 1 day to 14 months (median follow-up was 12 months), in 4,3 % – NSTE-ACS, 10,9 % – STEMI the end point was recorded. AKI developed in 14,8 % of patients with ADCHF HFpEF and 11,2 % ADCHF HFrEF, in 23,1 % – STEMI and 21,4 % – NSTE-ACS. AKI increases the risk of death from cardiovascular causes in patients with ADCHF HFrEF (OR 95 % 98,750 (11,158–873,976), р<0,001) and STEMI (OR 95 % 5,395 (2,451–11,878), p<0,001), but did not increase the risk of an endpoint occurrence in patients with ADCHF HFpEF (OR 95 % 1,875 (0,221–15,930), р=0,565) and NSTE-ACS (OR 95 % 1,199 (0,421–3,412), р=0,734). The multivariate analysis revealed risk factors for the development of AKI in patients with ADCHF HFrEF: high albuminuria (AU) from 30 mg / l (OR 95 % 5,763 (1,338–24,819), р=0,019), GFR<45 ml / min initially at admission to hospital (OR 95 % 76,593 (1,193–36,446), p=0,031), age>75 years (OR 15,933 (1,020–248,856), р=0,048). In patients with STEMI: age>75 years (OR 95 % 3,248 (1,476–7,146), p=0,003), female gender (OR 95 % 2,321 (1,190–4,526), p=0,013), acute heart failure (AHF) Killip IV (OR 95 % 10,334 (1,777–60,110), p=0,009). Risk factors for the development of AKI in patients with NSTE-ACS: age>75 years (OR 95 % 1,761 (1,051–2,949), р=0,032), PCI on RCA (OR 95 % 2,565 (1,193–5,517), р=0,016).Conclusion. In patients with ADCHF HFrEF and STEMI development AKI is associated with a poor prognosis, but does not affect the prognosis of patients with ADCHF HFpEF and NSTE-ACS. AKI in patients with ADCHF HFrEF can be predicted using predictors: GFR<45 ml / min, AU more than 30 mg / l and age>75 years. In patients with STEMI, the predictors of AKI were age>75 years, female gender, AHF Killip IV, and in patients with NSTE-ACS age>75 years, PCI on RCA.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 137
Author(s):  
Ewa Romuk ◽  
Wojciech Jacheć ◽  
Ewa Zbrojkiewicz ◽  
Alina Mroczek ◽  
Jacek Niedziela ◽  
...  

We investigated whether the additional determination of ceruloplasmin (Cp) levels could improve the prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in heart failure (HF) patients in a 1-year follow-up. Cp and NT-proBNP levels and clinical and laboratory parameters were assessed simultaneously at baseline in 741 HF patients considered as possible heart transplant recipients. The primary endpoint (EP) was a composite of all-cause death (non-transplant patients) or heart transplantation during one year of follow-up. Using a cut-off value of 35.9 mg/dL for Cp and 3155 pg/mL for NT-proBNP (top interquartile range), a univariate Cox regression analysis showed that Cp (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.086; 95% confidence interval (95% CI, 1.462–2.975)), NT-proBNP (HR = 3.221; 95% CI (2.277–4.556)), and the top quartile of both Cp and NT-proBNP (HR = 4.253; 95% CI (2.795–6.471)) were all risk factors of the primary EP. The prognostic value of these biomarkers was demonstrated in a multivariate Cox regression model using the top Cp and NT-proBNP concentration quartiles combined (HR = 2.120; 95% CI (1.233–3.646)). Lower left ventricular ejection fraction, VO2max, lack of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker therapy, and nonimplantation of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator were also independent risk factors of a poor outcome. The combined evaluation of Cp and NT-proBNP had advantages over separate NT-proBNP and Cp assessment in selecting a group with a high 1-year risk. Thus multi-biomarker assessment can improve risk stratification in HF patients.


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