scholarly journals Oil Price and Financial Sector in Eastern Europe: A Panel Data Investigation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra Lavinia Horobet ◽  
Georgiana Maria Vrinceanu ◽  
Ana-Maria Barsan
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Price Fluctuations ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Systemic Stress

Our paper investigates the exposure to oil price fluctuations of financial companies listed on stock exchanges from Eastern European countries: Romania, Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia and Croatia. Using monthly datasets covering the period from February 2010 to February 2018, we examine the relationship between stock prices of these financial companies, oil prices and other macroeconomic variables, such as local stock indices, a European stock index designed to measure the performance of companies from this region (FTSE Europe), an indicator of a country’s international price competitiveness (NEER), interest rates and an indicator of systemic stress, named Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress (CISS). Applying the panel data methodology, our results indicate an unexpected fact. We show that there is a significant exposure of financial companies to the oil price fluctuations. We discover that in the financial sector, high oil prices may have indeed positive effects on the stock prices. The price of oil has a higher impact on the stock prices of financial companies than we expected and it proved be a risk factor for this sector. Our results indirectly highlight the pervasive exposure of economies from the region to risk factors through the financial sector channels, which raises serious challenges from the perspective of macroeconomic and financial policies. Keywords: oil price, financial sector, panel data analysis

scholarly journals The Impact of International Oil Prices on the Stock Price Fluctuations of China’s Renewable Energy Enterprises

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
pp. 4630 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao ◽  
Weishun Lin ◽  
Xinyang Wei ◽  
Gaoyun Yan ◽  
Siqi Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Listed Companies ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Price Fluctuations ◽  
The Impact

In order to address a series of issues, including energy security, global warming, and environmental protection, China has ranked first in global renewable investment for the seventh consecutive year. However, developing a renewable energy industry requires a significant capital investment. Also, the international oil price fluctuations have an important impact on the stock prices of renewable energy firms. Thus, in order to provide implications for market investment as well as policy recommendations, this paper studied the spillover effect of international oil prices on the stock prices of China’s renewable energy listed companies. We used a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model with innovations using a Factor-GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) process to evaluate the impact of market co-movements and time-varying volatility and correlation between the international oil price and China’s renewable energy market. The results show that the international oil price has a significant price spillover effect on the stock prices of China’s renewable energy listed companies. Moreover, the fluctuations of international oil prices have an influence on the stock price variations of Chinese renewable energy listed companies.

scholarly journals Oil Price and Stock Prices of EU Financial Companies: Evidence from Panel Data Modeling

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (21) ◽  
pp. 4072 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra Horobet ◽  
Georgiana Vrinceanu ◽  
Consuela Popescu ◽  
Lucian Belascu
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Price Risk ◽  
The Eu

Crude oil is an indispensable resource for the world economy and European Union (EU) countries are strongly dependent on oil imports. In a framework defined by generally positive correlations between oil and stock prices, the paper investigates the relationship between financial companies’ stock prices and crude oil price using a sample of major financial companies headquartered in the EU. The link between stock prices and oil price risk is modelled using a set of macroeconomic variables that includes local stock market indices, the EUR/USD exchange rate, the oil imports dependency, inflation rate, and global volatility indices. We employ panel data as the base econometric model and an ARDL extension that is more appropriated for our research objectives. Our findings show that the EU financial sector is pervasively exposed to oil price changes over the long-run and this exposure is a component of financial companies’ exposure to real economy risk factors, which points towards the key role of the financial sector in the EU economy in transmitting systemic shocks. At the same time, we detect signs of a different behavior of market investors over the short-versus the long-run concerning the valuation of financial companies’ stock prices in relation to oil price and other macroeconomic variables, which raises distressing challenges for financial authorities.

scholarly journals Greening the Financial System in USA, Canada and Brazil: A Panel Data Analysis

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2217
Author(s):  
Ioan Batrancea ◽  
Larissa Batrancea ◽  
Malar Maran Rathnaswamy ◽  
Horia Tulai ◽  
Gheorghe Fatacean ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Financial Systems ◽  
Domestic Credit

Each country designs its own scheme to achieve green financing and, in general, credit is considered to be a fundamental source of greening financial systems. The novelty of this study resides in that we examined green financing initiatives in USA, Canada and Brazil by focusing on major components of the financial systems before, during and after the 2008 world financial crisis. By means of panel data analysis conducted on observations ranging across the period 1970–2018, we investigated variables such as domestic credit from banks, domestic credit from the financial sector, GDP, N2O emissions, CO2 emissions and the value added from agriculture, forest and fishing activities. According to our findings, domestic credit from banks was insufficient to achieve green financing. Namely, in order to increase economic growth while reducing global warming and climate change, the financial sector should assume a bigger role in funding green investments. Moreover, our results showed that domestic credit from the financial sector contributed to green financing, while CO2 emissions remained a challenge in capping global warming at the 1.5 °C level. Our empirical study supports the idea that economic growth together with policies targeting climate change and global warming can contribute to green financing. Over and above that, governments should strive to design sustainable fiscal and monetary policies that promote green financing.

scholarly journals Financial Ratios and Share Prices of JII70 Indexed Companies for the 2018-2020 Period

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Ahmad Fauzan ◽  
Rindang Matoati
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Financial Ratio ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression

  Abstract: The sharia capital market in Indonesia has grown over the last five years. One of the members of the sharia capital market instrument is sharia shares. During the 2015-2020 period, the number of Islamic stock issuers continued to grow. The stock index is used by investors as a tool to choose stocks that suit their needs. IDX has issued three sharia stock indexes, and the most recent one is the JII70 index. A stock index is a collection of statistics about the price movement of a group of stocks that is evaluated periodically. One of the many factors that influence stock prices is the company's financial ratios. This study aims to analyze the influence of financial ratio factors such as Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Total Assets Turnover (TATO), Return on Equity (ROE) and Earning per Share (EPS) on the stock price of JII70 indexed companies. The data used is secondary data in the form of JII70 indexed company financial statements in the 2018-2020 period. The method of determining the sample using purposive sampling. This research uses panel data regression analysis method. The results of this study show a significant effect of the DER and EPS variables on stock prices, while the CR, TATO and ROE variables do not significantly affect stock prices.Keywords: Share Price, JII70, Financial Ratio, Panel Data Regression, Sharia Shares

scholarly journals Oil price fluctuations and economic growth: the case of MENA countries

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mamdouh Abdelmoula Mohamed Abdelsalam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Price Fluctuations ◽  
Mena Countries ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to explore the extreme effect of crude oil price fluctuations and its volatility on the economic growth of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. It also investigates the asymmetric and dynamic relationship between oil price and economic growth. Further, a separate analysis for each MENA oil-export and oil-import countries is conducted. Furthermore, it studies to what extent the quality of institutions will change the effect of oil price fluctuations on economic growth. Design/methodology/approach As the effect of oil price fluctuations is not the same over different business cycles or oil price levels, the paper uses a panel quantile regression approach with other linear models such as fixed effects, random effects and panel generalized method of moments. The panel quantile methodology is an extension of traditional linear models and it has the advantage of exploring the relationship over the different quantiles of the whole distribution. Findings The paper can summarize results as following: changes in oil price and its volatility have an opposite effect for each oil-export and oil-import countries; for the former, changes in oil prices have a positive impact but the volatility a negative effect. While for the latter, changes in oil prices have a negative effect but volatility a positive effect. Further, the impact of oil price changes and their uncertainty are different across different quantiles. Furthermore, there is evidence about the asymmetric effect of the oil price changes on economic growth. Finally, accounting for institutional quality led to a reduction in the impact of oil price changes on economic growth. Originality/value The study concludes more detailed results on the impact of oil prices on gross domestic product growth. Thus, it can be used as a decision-support tool for policymakers.

OIL PRICE FLUCTUATIONS AND STOCK MARKET BEHAVIOR IN A RESOURCE-DOMINANT ECONOMY: CASE OF KAZAKHSTAN

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
MOLDIR MUKAN ◽  
YESSENGALI OSKENBAYEV ◽  
NIKI NADERI ◽  
YERGALI DOSMAGAMBET
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Oil Price Volatility ◽  
Positive Shock ◽  
The Impact

During the past 10 years, the oil market has been very unpredictable and volatile, which created uneasy conditions for market participants. The remedy of increasing oil prices is considered as a positive factor for the economy of the Republic of Kazakhstan as an oil-exporting country. Using structural decomposition of vector autoregression (VAR), this study aims to examine how the whole financial system in Kazakhstan is depending on oil prices. The results suggest that the strongest factor affecting the stock index is aggregate demand, and the impact of oil production shocks on the equity market is, on average, insignificant. Such shocks can be discounted while a fall in oil prices affects financial conditions as a whole, damaging the solvency of Kazakhstan, an oil-exporting country. With the positive shock of aggregate demand, the stock market index tends to rise. There is also an effect of oil price volatility on changes in currency value, which also influences the financial situation of the country. Moreover, oil-exporting countries such as Kazakhstan can secure and support their economies with the help of “stable aggregate demand”. The focus on Kazakhstan as one of the oil-producing countries is interesting for at least two reasons. Importantly, oil-exporting countries supply oil to really strong countries concentrating on manufacturing and other industries. Besides, this study provides useful insights for countries with similar economic conditions, including similar stock market development.

scholarly journals Formulating and Estimating of Dynamic Nonlinear Model of Korea’s Bilateral Trade Balance

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 161
Author(s):  
Heonyong Jung
Keyword(s):  
Trade Balance ◽  
Bilateral Trade ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Integration Test

This paper formulates and estimates the dynamic nonlinear trade model for Korea. We use monthly time series data for the period from 2000 to 2017. We employ EGARCH (1,1)-GED model which allows the positive and negative shocks to have asymmetric influences on volatility. The Johansen co-integration test is applied and finds the long run relationship among oil price, exchange rate and trade balance does exist. With respect to Indonesia as one of oil exporting countries, we find that an increase in oil prices leads to a declined trade balance as imports rise more than exports. Appreciation in IDR also leads to a declined trade balance as exports fall more than imports. For Korea as one of oil importing countries, an increase in oil prices leads to an improved trade balance as exports rise more than imports. Appreciation in KRW leads to a declined trade balance as exports fall more than imports. Oil price volatility reduces trade balance both in Indonesia and Korea. Oil price has negative effects on Indonesia’s trade balance and positive effects on Korea’s trade balance. Indonesian and Korean currency appreciation against US dollar have a negative impact on trade balance in Indonesia and Korea respectively. This information will contribute to Indonesian and Korean policy makers in making policies for their trade.

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