scholarly journals Research on Relationship between Financial Inclusion and Economic Growth of Rwanda: Evidence from Commercial Banks with ARDL Approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moïse Bigirimana ◽  
Xu Hongyi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
The Relationship

This study examines the relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth of Rwanda using annual data from 2004 to 2016. We used ARDL as it is a new approach to the problem of testing the existence of a level relationship between a dependent variable and a set of regressors, when it is not known with certainty whether the underlying regressors are trend- or first-difference stationary as developed by Pesaran. The results of our study revealed that there is long-run relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth of Rwanda.

scholarly journals FDI and Economic Growth in EU13 Countries: Cointegration and Causality Tests

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 47-63
Author(s):  
Vlatka Bilas ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
European Union ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Relationship

Foreign direct investments are seen as a prerequisite for gaining and maintaining competitiveness. The research objective of this study is to examine the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in “new” European Union member countries using various unit root, cointegration, as well as causality tests. The paper employs annual data for FDI and gross domestic product (GDP) from 2002 to 2018 for the 13 most recent members of European Union (EU13): Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. An estimated panel ARDL (PMG) model found evidence that there is a long-run equilibrium between the LogGDP, LogFDI and LogFDIP series, with the rate of adjustment back to equilibrium between 3.27% and 20.67%. In the case of the LogFDI series, long-run coefficients are highly statistically significant in all four models, varying between 0.0828 and 0.3019. These coefficients indicate that a 1% increase in LogFDI increases LogGDP between 0.0828% and 0.3019%. Results of a Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test indicated that a relationship between the GDP growth rate and FDI growth rate is only indirect. Finally, only weak evidence was shown that FDI had a statistically significant impact on GDP in the EU13 countries over the period 2002-2018. This report of findings contributes to the literature concerning FDI and economic growth, namely regarding the current understanding of the relationship between these two factors.

scholarly journals Exports and Economic Growth: The Arab Experience

2000 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Ibrahim EL-Sakka ◽  
Naief hamad Al-Murairi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Theoretical Background ◽  
Arab Countries ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Stationarity Tests ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Cointegration Relationship

This paper aims at analysing the relationship between exports and economic growth in the Arab countries using annual data for the period 1970-1999. Section two of this study presents a theoretical background of the relationship between exports and economic growth. Literature review is found in Section 3. In Section 4, the methodological issues of studying this relationship are discussed. Results of stationarity tests using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) as well as Bivariate Johansen-Juseluis tests for cointegration are presented in Section 5. Stationarity tests suggest that time series are non-stationary in their levels and seem to be stationary in their first differences. Testing for long-run cointegration relationship using Johansen-Juseluis approach, it is found that in general there is no cointegration relationship between exports and GDP. For this reason, we abandoned the error correction model and tested for causality using different versions of Granger’s causality test. We found mixed results about the causal relationship between exports and GDP in Arab countries.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in Malaysia: A Revisit from 1982 to 2014

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lee Kok Fong ◽  
◽  
Mori Kogid ◽  
Jaratin Lily ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Financial Decision ◽  
Stationarity Test ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
The Relationship

The study examines the relationship between the development of the stock market and economic growth in Malaysia using annual data from 1982 to 2014. The development of the stock market represented three indicators, namely the turnover ratio, the shares value traded ratio and the market capitalization ratio. Augmented Dickey-Fuller stationarity test was carried outprior to the use of a bound test approach for co-integration and causality testing. The findings of the co-integration analysis showed that there is evidence of a long-run relationshipbetween economic growth andthe development of the stock market. Further examination of the causal relationship showed proof of the short-runinteraction between economic growth andthe development of the stock market. These findings may be of importance to policymakers in formulating growth policy and financial decision-making by investors.

Financial inclusion and economic growth nexus: Evidence from SAARC countries

2020 ◽  
pp. 026272802096460
Author(s):  
Dharmendra Singh ◽  
Nikola Stakic
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Regional Cooperation ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test

This article examines the nexus between financial inclusion index and economic growth in all eight South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries, using annual data from 2004 to 2017. In order to determine the possible long-run relationship between these variables, the study adopted the Pedroni panel co-integration test and two types of co-integration regression methods, the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) and the Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS) methods. The Pedroni panel co-integration test confirms the existence of a long-run relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth in the SAARC countries. The coefficients of FMOLS and DOLS indicate that the index of financial inclusion and selected control variables together support economic growth. In addition, the Granger causality test confirmed bi-directional causality between FI and economic growth.

scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis of the Link between Economic Growth and Exports in Côte d’Ivoire

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 94
Author(s):  
Daouda Coulibaly ◽  
Fulgence Zran Goueu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

This paper aims to analyze the relationship between exports and economic growth in Côte d’Ivoire. In order to achieve this objective, annual data for the period 1960-2017 were tested by using the cointegration approach of Pesaran, Shin and Smith, including the causality test of Breitung and Schreiber. According to our analysis it is only exports that drive economic growth and not the opposite. Exports act positively and significantly on economic growth in the short term as well as in the long term. The causality test of Breitung and schreiber indicates a one-way long-run causal relationship ranging from exports to gross domestic product (GDP). All those results show that exports are a source of Ivorian economic growth.

scholarly journals Analysis of Indonesia Inequality Income Distribution

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fakhruddin . ◽  
Raudhatil Wirda. Z ◽  
Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar ◽  
Fitriyani .
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Income Distribution ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Ideal

The relationship between income distribution inequality and inflation is widely discussed in economics. The different concepts of macroeconomic management in various countries have different implications for each country. This paper aims to examine the relationship between inequality in income distribution and inflation. Panel ARDL with semi-annual data from 33 provinces in Indonesia for the period of 2012-2018 is used in this model. The results show that changes in poverty and economic growth are not statistically significant in affecting the changes of income disparity in short run. Inflation is too low, thus it is less effective at encouraging income inequality in Indonesia. In addition, in the long run, inflation does not affect the inequality of income distribution, it is assumed that the benefits of inflation are concentrated in groups of people with high-income levels. Moreover, economic growth has a negative impact on income inequality and poverty that eventually will aggravate the imbalance in income distribution. Therefore, its is recommended for Indonesia’s economy to be directed at increasing inflation to reach the ideal level in order to be able to reduce the imbalance in income distribution. Keywords: Inequality, inflation, poverty, growth, Panel ARDL

scholarly journals An Empirical Investigation Between Money Supply, Inflation, Capital Expenditure and Economic Growth in Nepal

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-39
Author(s):  
Tilak Singh Mahara
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Ministry Of Finance ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
The Relationship

Background: Money supply, inflation, and capital expenditure along with others are major issues of consideration for policymakers in developing countries given the need to spark internal demand and to encounter the government’s massive fiscal obligations to alleviate poverty and achieve sustainable economic growth. Like other economies, the economic performance of Nepal is also based on these macroeconomic variables.  Objective: The principal objective of the study is to explore the association between money supply, inflation, capital expenditure, and economic growth in Nepal. Method: The study applies the ARDL approach to co-integration to check the relationship between selected variables. The bound test is carried out to see the relationship between variables. Result: The empirical findings of the study show that there is a significant long-run positive relationship between money supply, capital expenditure, and growth. There is a unidirectional causation from money supply and capital expenditure to real economic growth in Nepal. Conclusion: The study concludes that an increase in money supply, capital expenditure, and controlling inflation help to increase the long-run real economic growth of Nepal. Nepal Rastra Bank has to emphasize monetary policy instruments that help to increase the money supply in the long run and the Ministry of Finance (MoF) should be encouraged to increase spending on capital overheads to broaden and enhance the growth of the economy.

scholarly journals Investigation of Causal Correlations Between Higher Education Development and Economic Growth in Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Nguyen Duc Hanh ◽  
Bui Manh Dung
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Education Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Relationship

This work investigated the dynamic relationship between higher education and economic growth in Vietnam using annual data collected ten years from 2010 to 2019. The auto-regressive distributive lag framework was used along with the error correction term to investigate the long-run relationship between real gross domestic product, enrollment in higher education, gross capital formation, and labor. The study used the Granger causality test to assess the relationship between higher education and economic expansion. Follow as the test results, a unidirectional causality running from higher education to economic growth have observed. The necessary diagnostic tests have applied to check the reliability and acceptability of model outputs, and they have been found suitable.

scholarly journals Gas pipeline infrastructure and economic growth of Russian regions: panel cointegration analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
pp. 02002
Author(s):  
Alexander Belinsky
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Distribution Systems ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Central Russia ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

The Russian gas supply system is one of the largest infrastructures in the world. It is continuing to develop at a high rate. Modern methodological approaches and software allow to investigate the relationship between the development of energy infrastructure and economic dynamics of the regions. This paper proposes a methodological approach to the evaluation of the relationship “development of gas distribution systems – economic growth”. The evaluation is based on the concept of cointegration and an error-correction models. This approach identifies both long-run and short-run components of this relationship. In this paper we aim to estimate the relationship using annual data of 17 Central Russia regions for the period 1998-2017. The results indicate that this relationship is statistically significant. It allows to apply proposed approach and the obtained estimates to the problems of analysis and forecasting of the domestic gas market.

scholarly journals Public Debt and Economic Growth Nexus in the Euro Area: A Dynamic Panel ARDL Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 67 (3) ◽  
pp. 291-31ö
Author(s):  
Themba Gilbert Chirwa ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Negatively Associated ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

This study investigates the relationship between public debt and economic growth using panel data from 10 European Countries. Using a panel ARDL approach, the results show that public debt, government consumption, and the real exchange rate are negatively associated with economic growth both in the short- and long-run. Furthermore, investment and the real interest rate were found to be positively associated with economic growth both in the short- and long-run. Inflation and trade openness were found to have mixed results: both were negatively associated with economic growth in the long run while in the short run the relationship was positive and consistent across groups with a few exceptions. Second, the study results also showed that debt is nonlinear at the 70% threshold only in the long-run while in the short run the results were consistently negative and across groups. The study results have significant policy implications for the Stability and Growth Pact of the Euro area. It is recommended that member states should ensure fiscal sustainability by balancing their fiscal budgets to effectively reduce the accumulation of public debt as well as implementing structural reforms that will improve the efficiency of investment as well as macroeconomic stability.

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