scholarly journals The Impact of Trade Liquidity on the Rates of Return from Emerging Market Shares Based on the Example of Poland, Austria and Hungary

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (343) ◽  
pp. 137-157
Author(s):  
Agata Gniadkowska - Szymańska

In relation to assets, liquidity generally relates to the ease by which an asset can be sold immediately after purchase without incurring losses of any kind. These losses could be due to price changes or various transaction costs. This can be seen with respect to various instruments (such as stocks or futures contracts), market segments, or even entire exchanges. The importance of liquidity has been acknowledged a long time ago. A considerable number of studies have investigated stock liquidity, providing evidence that more illiquid stocks have higher returns, which may be deemed an “illiquidity premium”. This paper examines various factors which have an effect on liquidity by presenting the results of research concerning relations between liquidity and stock returns on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE), the Budapest Stock Exchange (BSE) and the Vienna Stock Exchange (VSE). The main objective of the study is to determine whether there is a statistically significant relationship between the trading liquidity of the shares and the evolution of the rate of return on these shares. The applied research methodology is similar to that described by Datar, Naik and Radcliffe in their work “Liquidity and Stock Returns: An Alternative Test”.

e-Finanse ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 136-148
Author(s):  
Agata Gniadkowska-Szymańska

AbstractEach type of investment has its own liquidity, i.e. the speed with which it can be converted into money. This can be seen with respect to various instruments (such as stocks or futures contracts), market segments, or even entire exchanges. The importance of liquidity has been acknowledged for a long time. A considerable number of studies have investigated stock liquidity, providing evidence that more illiquid stocks have higher returns, which may be deemed an ‚illiquidity premium’. In this paper I present various factors which have an effect on liquidity by presenting the results of research concerning relations between liquidity and stock return on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) and Nasdaq stock exchanges in Tallinn, Riga and Vilnius.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (324) ◽  
Author(s):  
Agata Gniadkowska-Szymańska

The importance of liquidity has been acknowledged for a long time now. Liquidity is defined as the ease with which an asset can be converted into cash. A considerable number of studies investigated stock liquidity providing evidence that more illiquid stocks yield higher returns which include an illiquidity premium. According to Amihuda and Mendelson (1986b: 43–48), a required rate of return on the shares (gross, i.e. after taking into account the cost of liquidity) should increase with increasing liquidity, but the marginal increase should decrease with an increasing investment horizon, thus decreasing the likelihood of premature termination of the investment. As a result, investors with different investment horizons may require different rates of return per unit of time from the same shares (Huang 2003: 104–129). Investor horizon is the time period for which an investor holds a stock. Most of the research conducted on investment horizon links it to liquidity, supporting the thesis that it is negatively related to liquidity. “Transaction costs and the holding periods for common stocks” written by Atkins and Dyl (1997: 309–325) is one of the first papers to investigate the effects of liquidity on holding period. The aim of this study is to show the dependencies occurring between the phenomena of investment horizon and asymmetric information and the liquidity of shares of a company.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Szymon Stereńczak

Purpose This paper aims to empirically indicate the factors influencing stock liquidity premium (i.e. the relationship between liquidity and stock returns) in one of the leading European emerging markets, namely, the Polish one. Design/methodology/approach Various firms’ characteristics and market states are analysed as potentially affecting liquidity premiums in the Polish stock market. Stock returns are regressed on liquidity measures and panel models are used. Liquidity premium has been estimated in various subsamples. Findings The findings vividly contradict the common sense that liquidity premium raises during the periods of stress. Liquidity premium does not increase during bear markets, as investors lengthen the investment horizon when market liquidity decreases. Liquidity premium varies with the firm’s size, book-to-market value and stock risk, but these patterns seem to vanish during a bear market. Originality/value This is one of the first empirical papers considering conditional stock liquidity premium in an emerging market. Using a unique methodological design it is presented that liquidity premium in emerging markets behaves differently than in developed markets.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Szymon Stereńczak

The effect of stock liquidity on stock returns is well documented in the developed capital markets, while similar studies on emerging markets are still scarce and their results ambiguous. This paper aims to analyze the state-dependent variance of liquidity premium in the Polish stock market. The Polish capital market may serve as a benchmark for other emerging markets in the region of Central and Eastern Europe, hence the results of this research should be of great interest for investors and policy makers in Poland and other post-communist European countries. In the empirical, study a unique empirical methodology has been applied, which guarantees the uniqueness of the results obtained. The results obtained suggest that on the Polish stock market exists stock liquidity premium, which is statistically significant, but constitutes only a small fraction of returns. It also does not increase during periods of bearish market, what results from the lengthening of average holding period when market liquidity decreases.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 621-643
Author(s):  
Muhammad Hanif ◽  
Abdullah Iqbal ◽  
Zulfiqar Shah

Purpose This study aims to understand and document the impact of market-based – market returns and momentum – as well as firm-specific – size, book-to-market (B/M) ratio, price-to-earnings ratio (PER) and cash flow (CF) – factors on pricing of Shari’ah-compliant securities as explanation of variations in stock returns in an emerging market – Pakistan’s Karachi Stock Exchange. Design/methodology/approach Initially, the authors test Fama and French (FF) three-factor model – market risk premium, size and B/M – followed by modified FF model by including additional risk factors (PER, CF and momentum) over a 10-year period (2001-2010). Findings Our results support superiority of FF three-factor model over single-factor capital asset pricing model. However, addition of further risk factors – including PER, CF and momentum – improves explanatory power of the model, as well as refines the selection of risk factors. In this study, CF, B/M and momentum factors remain insignificant. Traditional B/M factor in FF model is replaced by PER. Practical implications Based on the modified FF model, the authors propose a stock valuation model for Shari’ah-compliant securities consisting of three factors: market returns, size and earnings, which explains 76per cent variations in cross sectional stock returns. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study (which combines market-based as well as fundamental factors) on pricing of Islamic securities and identification of risk factors in an emerging market – Karachi Stock Exchange.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 441
Author(s):  
Dao Van Hung ◽  
Nguyen Thi Minh Hue ◽  
Vu Thuy Duong

This paper studies the impacts of COVID-19 on the performance of the Vietnamese Stock Market—a rapidly growing emerging market in a country that has to date successfully controlled the disease outbreak. The study uses a random-effect model (REM) on panel data of stock returns of 733 listed companies on both HOSE (the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange) and HNX (the Hanoi Stock Exchange) from 2 January 2020 to 13 December 2020. The study shows that the number of daily COVID-19 confirmed cases in Vietnam has a negative impact on stock returns of listed companies in the market. The impacts were more severe for the pre-lockdown and second-wave period, compared to impact for the lockdown period. The impacts also differed across sectors, with the financial sector being the most affected. With significant government control and influence over the bank-dominated financial system, the financial sector was expected to absorb some of the negative shocks hitting the real sector. Such expectations were reflected in the stock market movement during the pandemic.


Author(s):  
Nabila Nisha

Many past studies documented a strong evidence of a linkage between stock prices and macroeconomic activities across different stock markets and time horizons. However, most of these studies have focused on developed economies and highlighted the impact of either domestic variables or a few global factors. In recent times, the impact of global macroeconomic factors upon stock returns has garnered a lot of interest due to globalization. The aim of this paper is therefore to examine the combined influence of global and domestic macroeconomic factors upon stock returns and extend this relationship to an emerging market of Bangladesh. Using Vector Autoregression (VAR) model, findings indicate a considerable impact of money supply for the stock returns of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). Additionally, an insignificant influence of the world price index is observed, which implies a complete segmentation of DSE from the global financial markets. Finally, the study highlights regulatory changes and policy-making decisions from the perspective of Bangladesh.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Enung Nurhayati ◽  
Amir Hamzah ◽  
Helmi Nugraha

The purpose of this study is to provide empirical evidence regarding the effect of capital structure, company, size, earnings quality on stock returns with stock liquidity as an intervening variable. The method used in this study is descriptive and verification methods. This study uses 17 listed firms in Indonesia Stock Exchange as the sample specifically for the textile and garment industry over the period of 2014 to 2018 and analyzed by path analysis. The results show that capital structure, firm size, and earnings quality have significant and positive effects directly on stock returns and indirectly through stock liquidity. These findings imply that capital structure, firm size, earnings quality, and stock liquidity shall form positive information to investors under condition high trust of investors as the impact of decreasing asymmetric information. Consistent with signaling theory, this study proves that positive information on investors will be formed if there is an increase in investor confidence as a result of reduced information asymmetry.


Equilibrium ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 211
Author(s):  
Agata Gniadkowska-Szymańska

Research background: The liquidity of assets in the financial market is under-stood gener-ally as costs, and the easiest way in which different types of assets can be converted into cash, or to put it simply, sold at the currently available price on the market. For a considerable period of time this category had not been duly considered in the framework of modern finance theory. As a result, a number of basic models constructed within the framework of this theory in its classical form did not include problems with liquidity. This applies to a number of aspects related to liquidity, with one of the most important being the relationship between the liquidity of trading in shares and the results obtained from these rates of return.Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to determine whether the rate of return on shares increases with the increase in share liquidity and the incremental rate of return on this account decreases with increasing liquidity. The applied re-search methodology is similar to that described by Pastor and Stambaugh (2003). The model used in the empirical study is the expanded model of Fama and Francha (1993) for the liquidity factor.Methods: In this paper I present various factors which will affect the liquidity. The paper will also provide the results of research concerning the relations between spread and stock return on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE). The evidence drawn from WSE stock returns over the period 2004–2012 indicates that Amihuda measure and other variables have a significant effect on stock return using the multifactorial Pastor-Stambaugh.Findings & Value added: In the case of the Polish market, it can be stated that in the analysis based on the Pastor-Stambaugh model not all the variables included in this model are statistically significant. However, directional parameters associated with liquidity risk were statistically significant in all analyzed periods, which allows us to confirm the hypothesis that liquidity has a significant influence on the rate of return on shares listed on the Stock Exchange in Warsaw.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omokolade Akinsomi ◽  
Katlego Kola ◽  
Thembelihle Ndlovu ◽  
Millicent Motloung

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) on the risk and returns of listed and delisted property firms on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The study was investigated to understand the impact of Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) property sector charter and effect of government intervention on property listed markets. Design/methodology/approach – The study examines the performance trends of the listed and delisted property firms on the JSE from January 2006 to January 2012. The data were obtained from McGregor BFA database to compute the risk and return measures of the listed and delisted property firms. The study employs a capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to derive the alpha (outperformance) and beta (risk) to examine the trend amongst the BEE and non-BEE firms, Sharpe ratio was also employed as a measurement of performance. A comparative study is employed to analyse the risks and returns between listed property firms that are BEE compliant and BEE non-compliant. Findings – Results show that there exists differences in returns and risk between BEE-compliant firms and non-BEE-compliant firms. The study shows that BEE-compliant firms have higher returns than non-BEE firms and are less risky than non-BEE firms. By establishing this relationship, this possibly affects the investor’s decision to invest in BEE firms rather than non-BBBEE firms. This study can also assist the government in strategically adjusting the policy. Research limitations/implications – This study employs a CAPM which is a single-factor model. Further study could employ a multi-factor model. Practical implications – The results of this investigation, with the effects of BEE on returns, using annualized returns, the Sharpe ratio and alpha (outperformance), results show that BEE firms perform better than non-BEE firms. These results pose several implications for investors particularly when structuring their portfolios, further study would need to examine the role of BEE on stock returns in line with other factors that affect stock returns. The results in this study have several implications for government agencies, there may be the need to monitor the effect of the BEE policies on firm returns and re-calibrate policies accordingly. Originality/value – This study investigates the performance of listed property firms on the JSE which are BEE compliant. This is the first study to investigate listed property firms which are BEE compliant.


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