scholarly journals A Review of the Unemployment - Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria from 1980 to 2015: A Disaggregated Approach

Growth ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-56
Author(s):  
Oyinlola Olaniyi ◽  
Muhammad Ali ◽  
Adesanya Babatunde Moses
Keyword(s):  
Value Chain ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Total Output ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Sector ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bound Test

The phenomenon of jobless growth in Nigeria in recent years has called to question the Okun’s law that the growth of gross domestic product (GDP) reduces unemployment. This study therefore, analyses the nexus between GDP growth and unemployment in Nigeria by disaggregating total output into its sectoral components to analyze the impact of sectoral output on unemployment using data from 1980 to-2015 employing the econometric technique of Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach. Two ARDL models were specified. The first bound test revealed the existence of co integration between unemployment and GDP growth. The growth of GDP is positively related to unemployment in the long run but a negative relationship was found in the short run. The result of the disaggregated model (i.e the second ARDL model) found no long run relationship between unemployment and agriculture, industry, construction, trade, and services. We opined that the findings of the disaggregated model resulted from the disconnection between aggregate demand and aggregate supply of the productive sectors and the lack of direct linkages between the oil sector and other sectors of the economy. The study recommends that such linkages should be forged through enhanced funding of research and development, technological innovation and the development of value chain of agriculture and solid minerals output. Nigerians should be encouraged to consume locally made products. Efforts should be intensified to develop direct linkages between the oil sector and other sectors through input supply contracts and the development of downstream industries in the oil sector.

scholarly journals An analysis of the impact of non-oil exports on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-23
Author(s):  
Lawali Bello Zoramawa ◽  
Machief Paul Ezekiel ◽  
Salisu Umar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Agricultural Export ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Exports ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
Oil Sector ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
Ardl Bound Test

The study assessed the contribution of the non-oil sector to the economic growth in Nigeria between the periods 1981 and 2019. The study employed the ARDL bound test for cointegration to analyze the direction among the variables under review. The results of the analysis revealed that there is a negative and statistically significant relationship between non-oil exports (NOE) and economic growth (RGDP) in Nigeria during the period under investigation in the long-run for Manufacturing (MANX), solid mineral(SOLX) except for Agricultural export (AGRX). There is also a bidirectional causal relationship between non-oil exports and economic growth in Nigeria during the same period. The study, therefore recommended that the Nigerian government and other stakeholders should make a country’s non-oil export commodities more attractive and competitive in the global market which will prompt the demand for Nigeria’s non-oil goods at the international market.  Keywords: Non-Oil exports, Economic Growth,

scholarly journals THE CO-INTEGRATING RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL INCLUSION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 170-188
Author(s):  
Oscar Chiwira ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Information And Communications Technology ◽  
Broadband Internet ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Financial Monitoring ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth in SADC. It uses panel data covering the period between 1995 to 2015 and employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds and the Toda and Yamamoto and Dolado and Lutkepohl (TYDL) models to examine the co-integrating relationship and the direction of causality respectively. The impact of financial inclusion on economic growth, when measured by the mobile penetration rate and the number of bank branches, diminishes in the long run to an extent of having a negative relationship with economic growth. This implies possible thresholds beyond which a negative impact on economic growth is realized. The long-run influence of financial inclusion on economic growth is hinged on financial technologies, measured by fixed broadband internet services, which have great potential to foster unique financial inclusion and shift the economic paradigm, leading to a digitalized economy. Only financial inclusion initiatives that result in increased bank deposit accounts promote economic growth. SADC is encouraged to liberalize its information and communications technology sector in order to fully benefit from financial inclusion initiatives. In addition, SADC should consider embracing international financial monitoring standards so that it does not fall behind the inevitable integration of the financial sectors.

scholarly journals Policy, Institutions and Non-Oil Exports: Evidence from Nigeria

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Martins Iyoboyi ◽  
Abdelrasaq Na-Allah
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Oil Exports ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Oil Sector ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Impact

<p>In this paper, the impact of policy and institutions on non-oil exports in Nigeria is investigated, using data from secondary sources for the period 1961-2012, and implemented through the autoregressive distributed lag framework. Non-oil exports were found to have a long-run equilibrium relationship with policy and institutional variables. Money supply and exchange rate were found to be positively associated with and statistically significant determinants of non-oil exports in the long and short run. Fiscal deficit, interest rate, ‘constraints on the executive’ and openness were found to be inversely related to non-oil exports in both the short and long run. While inflation was found to be negatively related to non-oil exports in the short run, it is the reverse in the long run. An enhanced political institutional framework is required, that is attuned to growth in the non-oil sector of the economy, as a mechanism for improving the country’s non-oil exports.</p>

scholarly journals Effects of Young and Ageing Population on Education Expenditure

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (9) ◽  
pp. 86-105
Author(s):  
Nur Haiza Nordin ◽  
Normaz Wana Ismail ◽  
Nur Naddia Nordin
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ageing Population ◽  
Young Population ◽  
Education Expenditure ◽  
China And India ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bound Test

The motivation of the study is to analyze the impact of young and ageing population on education expenditure in China and India as demographic projection forecast that the percentage of population in India are increasing overtime. The used of long time series data of China and India from 1970 to 2011 helps us to identify the long-run relationship between young and ageing population and education expenditure. The result of the bound test showed that there is a stable long-run relationship between young population and education expenditure, while ageing population is negative relationship with education expenditure. In fact, short-term and long-term result revealed that the young population influences education expenditure in China and India.

scholarly journals Inflationary Effect on Nigeria Economic Growth: The ARDL Bound Test Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 25-36
Author(s):  
B. U. K. Farouk ◽  
I. J. David ◽  
N. S. Agog
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Information Criterion ◽  
Sampled Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Stable Estimation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bound Test

The expectation of any country is to experience a high output but in the presence of increasing inflation such expectation becomes blurring because high inflation is a sign of a low working economic system. In this research the impact of inflation rate (InfR) on Nigeria economic growth (EcoG) is studied for the period of 1986 to 2018 using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test approach to determine the co-integration existence between InfR and EcoG and determine the long run effect through the approach of Error Correction Model (ECM). The results obtained showed that an ARDL (2, 2) model was the best fitted model for the sampled data based on the smallest Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) value obtained. Also, it was found that InfR significantly impacted on Nigeria EcoG negatively on the long and short run dynamics with a stable estimation as portrayed by the CUSUM square chart.

scholarly journals SECTORAL ANALYSIS ON THE IMPACT OF ISLAMIC BANKS TO THE MALAYSIAN ECONOMY

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Imam Wahyudi Indrawan ◽  
Maya Puspa Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Growth Trend ◽  
Agriculture Sector ◽  
Sectoral Analysis ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Malaysia is a well-known Islamic finance hub with a growth trend in its Islamic financial assets. The growth of the Malaysian economy since independence has also been commendable, with a rising contribution from Islamic banking and finance. This study offers a different perspective by undertaking a sectoral analysis on the impact of Islamic banks in Malaysia. It aims to fill the gap in the literature by investigating how Islamic bank financing (IBF) affects economic growth in Malaysia, both overall and at the sectoral level. Three sectors are observed in this study: agriculture, industry and services. Both long-run and short-run analyses are undertaken for the data period 2007Q1 to 2018Q4. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method is utilised where IBF is found to significantly and positively affect the economic growth of Malaysia, at the overall and sectoral level. Nonetheless, there is a negative relationship in the agriculture sector and no cointegration in the industry sector. The results of this study are expected to provide insights for policymakers in encouraging more optimalIslamic financing to economic sectors in Malaysia.

scholarly journals Remittances, Bank Concentration and Credit Availability in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 66-88
Author(s):  
Folorunsho M. Ajide
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Credit Availability ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Money Transfers ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
Bank Concentration

The concentration of the Nigerian financial sector has long been recognised to be an important factor affecting the financial stability and welfare at an individual level in the economy. While various studies have been conducted to examine the sensitivity of this phenomenon to macro economy, little has been done to examine the effect of concentration on credit availability in Nigeria. In addition, no study has investigated the role of remittances on the relationship between bank concentration and availability of credit. Taking motivation from the Nigerian banking consolidation exercise, this article examined the effect of remittances and bank concentration on availability of credit in Nigeria. The author employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test approach for co-integration on Nigerian data for the period of 1986–2015. The results revealed that bank concentration constrains the development of financial sector in Nigeria and remittances improve the level of financial development (credit availability) in the long run but inhibit the availability of credit in the short run. The negative relationship occurs in the short run because of the regulatory framework governing international money transfers in Nigeria, which simply inhibits competition. In the long run, recipients who have received remittances from informal settings would need financial products and services in which those remittances would be banked and further improve the financial sector. It was concluded that since Nigerian financial sector remained underdeveloped, the sector could be driven by encouraging inflow of remittances into the country. Our findings also persist after batteries of robustness check.

Macro-Economic Disequilibrium and Educational Development in Nigeria between 1980-2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (08) ◽  
pp. 20592-21600
Author(s):  
Gbadebo Salako ◽  
Adejumo Musibau Ojo ◽  
Jaji Ayobami Francis
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Educational Development ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stationarity Test ◽  
Level I

This study empirically investigates the effects of macroeconomic disequilibrium on educational development in Nigeria. The study employed time series data between 1980 and 2017. Autoregressive Distributed Lag method of estimation was employed. The result revealed that the variables stationarity test were mixed between the first difference I(I) and level I(0). The cointegration result shows that there exist long run relationship between the variables. The result revealed that Balance of payment, Poverty, Debt rate inflation and unemployment exhibited negative relationship with educational development. The estimation result showed that all explanatory variables account for 88% variation of educational development in Nigeria. It is therefore recommended that government should fast track policies that can stabilize inflation and exchange rate in the country. Also, Policies must be formulated to reduce poverty and unemployment.

Measuring Effectiveness Of Economic Growth On Reducing Infant Mortality Rate In Tamilnadu

2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (4) ◽  
pp. 129-141
Author(s):  
Mr. Y. EBENEZER
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Infant Mortality ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Infant Mortality Rate ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test ◽  
Bound Test

                   This paper deals with economic growth and infant mortality rate in Tamilnadu. The objects of this paper are to test the relationship between Per capita Net State Domestic Product and infant mortality rate and also to measure the impact of Per capita Net State Domestic Product on infant mortality rate in Tamil Nadu. This analysis has employed the ADF test and ARDL approach. The result of the study shows that IMR got reduced and Per capita Net State Domestic Product increased during the study period. This analysis also revealed that there is a negative relationship between IMR and the economic growth of Tamilnadu. In addition, ARDL bound test result has concluded that per capita Net State Domestic Product of Tamilnadu has long run association with IMR.

scholarly journals Mobile Money Use: The Impact of Macroeconomic Policy and Regulation

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Lorna Katusiime
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Macroeconomic Policy ◽  
Mobile Money ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the effects of macroeconomic policy and regulatory environment on mobile money usage. Specifically, we develop an autoregressive distributed lag model to investigate the effect of key macroeconomic variables and mobile money tax on mobile money usage in Uganda. Using monthly data spanning the period March 2009 to September 2020, we find that in the short run, mobile money usage is positively affected by inflation while financial innovation, exchange rate, interest rates and mobile money tax negatively affect mobile money usage in Uganda. In the long run, mobile money usage is positively affected by economic activity, inflation and the COVID-19 pandemic crisis while mobile money customer balances, interest rate, exchange rate, financial innovation and mobile money tax negatively affect mobile money usage.

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