scholarly journals Neural Network on Stock Prediction using the Stock Prices Feature and Indonesian Financial News Titles

Author(s):  
Nur Ghaniaviyanto Ramadhan ◽  
Imelda Atastina

Stocks are the most popular investments among entrepreneurs or other investors. When investing in stocks these investors tend to learn how to invest stocks correctly and when is the right time. For the problem of how to invest shares correctly can be used a variety of basic theories that already exist, but for the problem when the right time needs further learning. In this paper will purpose about stock price prediction using stock data indicators and financial headline data in Bahasa Indonesia. The machine learning model used is a multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLP-NN) with the highest accuracy produced by 80%.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandre Heiden ◽  
Rafael Stubs Parpinelli

Financial news has been proven to be valuable source of information for the evaluation of stock market volatility. Most of the attention has been given to social media platforms, while news from vehicles such as newspapers are not as widely explored. Newspapers provide, although in a smaller volume, more reliable information than social media platforms. In this context, this research aims to examine the influence of financial news within the stock price prediction problem, by using the VADER sentiment analysis model to process the news and feed the sentiments as a feature into a LSTM-based stock price prediction model, along with the historical data of the assets. Experiments indicate that the model has better results when the news’ sentiments are considered, and the model demonstrates potential to accurately predict stock prices up to around 60 days into the future.


Author(s):  
Manavi Mishra ◽  
Manjushree Patil ◽  
Geetanjali Raut ◽  
Tushar Chaudhari

Stock returns are very fluctuating in nature. They rely upon various factors like previous stock prices, current market trends, financial news, etc. To feature their annual income, people have now started watching stock investments as a remunerative option. There are many tools available to investors using technical analysis to form decisions. With expert guidance and intelligent planning, we will almost double our annual income through stock returns. These days, social media has become a mirror. It reflects people’s thoughts and opinions on any particular event or news. Sentiments of the general public associated with an organization can have an upshot on its stock prices. This paper surveys various machine learning techniques and algorithms employed to boost the accuracy of stock price prediction.


Author(s):  
Anshul Sahu

The stock market prediction is problematic subsequently the stock price is active in environment. To decrease the inappropriate predictions of the stock market and evolution the ability to predict the market actions. To escape the risk and the challenging in predicting stock price. Predicting stock market prices is a difficult task that conventionally contains extensive neural network. Owed to the linked environment of stock prices, conventional batch processing technique cannot be developed competently for stock market analysis. We propose an efficient Learning algorithm that develops a kind of Modified Computational Neural Networks (MCNN) based on BPNN (Back Propagation neural network) filter in training to increase the stock price prediction. Where the weights are adjusted for separate data points using stochastic gradient descent. This will distribute extra precise outcomes when linked to existing stock price prediction algorithms. The network is trained and evaluated for accurateness complete numerous sizes of data, and the results are organized.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eko Riyanto

Stock price prediction is useful for investors to see how the prospects of a company's stock investment in the future. Stock price prediction can be used to anticipate the deviation of stock prices. It can also helps investors in decision making. Artificial Neural Networks do not require mathematical models but data from problems to be solved. Information is conveyed through the data, and the Artificial Neural Network filters the information through training. Therefore, Artificial Neural Network is appropriate to solve the problem of stock price prediction.            Learning method that will be used to predict stock price is Supervised Learning with Backpropagation algorithm. With this algorithm, networks can be trained using stock price data from the previous time, classify it and adjust network link weight as new input and forecast future stock prices. By using ANN, time series prediction is more accurate. After analyzing the problem of stock price movement system, the writer can know the pattern of what variables will be taken for further insert into the stock price forecasting system.            This application can be used for stock price forecasting technique, so it will be useful for beginner investor as well as advanced investor as reference to invest in capital market. Implementing supervised learning backpropagation method will get accurate forecasting results more than 98%.Keyword - artificial neural network, stock, backpropagation.


Author(s):  
Jimmy Ming-Tai Wu ◽  
Zhongcui Li ◽  
Norbert Herencsar ◽  
Bay Vo ◽  
Jerry Chun-Wei Lin

AbstractIn today’s society, investment wealth management has become a mainstream of the contemporary era. Investment wealth management refers to the use of funds by investors to arrange funds reasonably, for example, savings, bank financial products, bonds, stocks, commodity spots, real estate, gold, art, and many others. Wealth management tools manage and assign families, individuals, enterprises, and institutions to achieve the purpose of increasing and maintaining value to accelerate asset growth. Among them, in investment and financial management, people’s favorite product of investment often stocks, because the stock market has great advantages and charm, especially compared with other investment methods. More and more scholars have developed methods of prediction from multiple angles for the stock market. According to the feature of financial time series and the task of price prediction, this article proposes a new framework structure to achieve a more accurate prediction of the stock price, which combines Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and Long–Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM). This new method is aptly named stock sequence array convolutional LSTM (SACLSTM). It constructs a sequence array of historical data and its leading indicators (options and futures), and uses the array as the input image of the CNN framework, and extracts certain feature vectors through the convolutional layer and the layer of pooling, and as the input vector of LSTM, and takes ten stocks in U.S.A and Taiwan as the experimental data. Compared with previous methods, the prediction performance of the proposed algorithm in this article leads to better results when compared directly.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Jaydip Sen

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. On one hand, we have proponents of the Efficient Market Hypothesis who claim that stock prices cannot be predicted, on the other hand, there are propositions illustrating that, if appropriately modelled, stock prices can be predicted with a high level of accuracy. There is also a gamut of literature on technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and profit from it. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, over a period of four years: 2015 – 2018. Based on the NIFTY data during 2015 – 2018, we build various predictive models using machine learning approaches, and then use those models to predict the “Close” value of NIFTY 50 for the year 2019, with a forecast horizon of one week, i.e., five days. For predicting the NIFTY index movement patterns, we use a number of classification methods, while for forecasting the actual “Close” values of NIFTY index, various regression models are built. We, then, augment our predictive power of the models by building a deep learning-based regression model using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a walk-forward validation. The CNN model is fine-tuned for its parameters so that the validation loss stabilizes with increasing number of iterations, and the training and validation accuracies converge. We exploit the power of CNN in forecasting the future NIFTY index values using three approaches which differ in number of variables used in forecasting, number of sub-models used in the overall models and, size of the input data for training the models. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all classification and regression models. The results clearly indicate that CNN-based multivariate forecasting model is the most effective and accurate in predicting the movement of NIFTY index values with a weekly forecast horizon.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaydip Sen ◽  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Gourab Nath

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. On one hand, we have proponents of the Efficient Market Hypothesis who claim that stock prices cannot be predicted, on the other hand, there are propositions illustrating that, if appropriately modeled, stock prices can be predicted with a high level of accuracy. There is also a gamut of literature on technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and profit from it. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using five deep learning-based regression models. We select the NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, over a period of December 29, 2014 to July 31, 2020. Based on the NIFTY data during December 29, 2014 to December 28, 2018, we build two regression models using <i>convolutional neural networks</i> (CNNs), and three regression models using <i>long-and-short-term memory</i> (LSTM) networks for predicting the <i>open</i> values of the NIFTY 50 index records for the period December 31, 2018 to July 31, 2020. We adopted a multi-step prediction technique with <i>walk-forward validation</i>. The parameters of the five deep learning models are optimized using the grid-search technique so that the validation losses of the models stabilize with an increasing number of epochs in the model training, and the training and validation accuracies converge. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all the proposed regression models. The results indicate that while both CNN and LSTM-based regression models are very accurate in forecasting the NIFTY 50 <i>open</i> values, the CNN model that previous one week’s data as the input is the fastest in its execution. On the other hand, the encoder-decoder convolutional LSTM model uses the previous two weeks’ data as the input is found to be the most accurate in its forecasting results.


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