scholarly journals Spreading Predictability in Complex Networks

Author(s):  
Na Zhao ◽  
Jian Wang ◽  
Yong Yu ◽  
Junyan Zhao ◽  
Duanbing Chen

Abstract Many state-of-the-art researches focus on predicting infection scale or threshold in infectious diseases or rumor and give the vaccination strategies correspondingly. In these works, most of them assume that the infected probability and initially infected individuals are known at the very beginning. Generally, infectious diseases or rumor has been spreading for some time when it is noticed. How to predict which individuals will be infected in the future only by knowing the current snapshot becomes a key issue in infectious diseases or rumor control. In this paper, a prediction model based on snapshot is presented to predict the potentially infected individuals in the future. Experimental results on synthetic and real networks demonstrate that the predicted infected individuals have rather consistency with the actual infected ones.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Na Zhao ◽  
Jian Wang ◽  
Yong Yu ◽  
Jun-Yan Zhao ◽  
Duan-Bing Chen

AbstractMany state-of-the-art researches focus on predicting infection scale or threshold in infectious diseases or rumor and give the vaccination strategies correspondingly. In these works, most of them assume that the infection probability and initially infected individuals are known at the very beginning. Generally, infectious diseases or rumor has been spreading for some time when it is noticed. How to predict which individuals will be infected in the future only by knowing the current snapshot becomes a key issue in infectious diseases or rumor control. In this report, a prediction model based on snapshot is presented to predict the potentially infected individuals in the future, not just the macro scale of infection. Experimental results on synthetic and real networks demonstrate that the infected individuals predicted by the model have good consistency with the actual infected ones based on simulations.


Author(s):  
Na Zhao ◽  
Jian Wang ◽  
Yong Yu ◽  
Jun-Yan Zhao ◽  
Duan-Bing Chen

AbstractSpreading dynamics analysis is an important and interesting topic since it has many applications such as rumor or disease controlling, viral marketing and information recommending. Many state-of-the-art researches focus on predicting infection scale or threshold. Few researchers pay attention to the predicting of infection nodes from a snapshot. With developing of precision marketing, recommending and, controlling, how to predict infection nodes precisely from snapshot becomes a key issue in spreading dynamics analysis. In this paper, a probability based prediction model is presented so as to estimate the infection nodes from a snapshot of spreading. Experimental results on synthetic and real networks demonstrate that the model proposed could predict the infection nodes precisely in the sense of probability.


2014 ◽  
Vol 644-650 ◽  
pp. 1494-1497
Author(s):  
Han Lin Wang ◽  
Zi Hui Ren ◽  
Li Xia Xue ◽  
Yan Li Luo

A grey prediction model based on Free Searching (FS) () is proposed in this paper. Firstly, FS is applied to optimize the parameters of the model. The convergence of the FS algorithm is proved in order to show the reasonable of optimization with FS. Then, we give the factors which affect the precision of the prediction by analyzing the model. Based on this, the initial array is transformed. Finally, we predict several times used model and obtain the average of the prediction results’ combination. The experimental results show that the model is feasible, reasonable and effective.


Author(s):  
Qunsheng Ruan ◽  
Qingfeng Wu ◽  
Junfeng Yao ◽  
Yingdong Wang ◽  
Hsien-Wei Tseng ◽  
...  

In the intelligently processing of the tongue image, one of the most important tasks is to accurately segment the tongue body from a whole tongue image, and the good quality of tongue body edge processing is of great significance for the relevant tongue feature extraction. To improve the performance of the segmentation model for tongue images, we propose an efficient tongue segmentation model based on U-Net. Three important studies are launched, including optimizing the model’s main network, innovating a new network to specially handle tongue edge cutting and proposing a weighted binary cross-entropy loss function. The purpose of optimizing the tongue image main segmentation network is to make the model recognize the foreground and background features for the tongue image as well as possible. A novel tongue edge segmentation network is used to focus on handling the tongue edge because the edge of the tongue contains a number of important information. Furthermore, the advantageous loss function proposed is to be adopted to enhance the pixel supervision corresponding to tongue images. Moreover, thanks to a lack of tongue image resources on Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM), some special measures are adopted to augment training samples. Various comparing experiments on two datasets were conducted to verify the performance of the segmentation model. The experimental results indicate that the loss rate of our model converges faster than the others. It is proved that our model has better stability and robustness of segmentation for tongue image from poor environment. The experimental results also indicate that our model outperforms the state-of-the-art ones in aspects of the two most important tongue image segmentation indexes: IoU and Dice. Moreover, experimental results on augmentation samples demonstrate our model have better performances.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guocheng Zhu ◽  
Dana Kremenakova ◽  
Yan Wang ◽  
Jiri Militky

Abstract Air permeability is one of the most important properties of non-woven fabrics in many applications. This paper aims to investigate the effects of thickness, porosity and density on the air permeability of needle-punched non-woven fabrics and compare the experimental values with two models which are based on hydraulic radius theory and drag theory, respectively. The air permeability of the samples was measured by an air permeability tester FX3300. The results showed that the air permeability of non-woven fabrics decreased with the increase in thickness and density of samples, increased with the increase of porosity, and the air permeability was not directly proportional to the pressure gradient. Meanwhile, the prediction model based on hydraulic radius theory had a better agreement with experimental values than the model based on drag theory, but the values were much higher than the experimental results, especially for higher porosity and higher pressure gradient.


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 750
Author(s):  
Xiaohan Liu ◽  
Xiaoguang Gao ◽  
Zidong Wang ◽  
Xinxin Ru

Bayesian Networks structure learning (BNSL) is a troublesome problem that aims to search for an optimal structure. An exact search tends to sacrifice a significant amount of time and memory to promote accuracy, while the local search can tackle complex networks with thousands of variables but commonly gets stuck in a local optimum. In this paper, two novel and practical operators and a derived operator are proposed to perturb structures and maintain the acyclicity. Then, we design a framework, incorporating an influential perturbation factor integrated by three proposed operators, to escape current local optimal and improve the dilemma that outcomes trap in local optimal. The experimental results illustrate that our algorithm can output competitive results compared with the state-of-the-art constraint-based method in most cases. Meanwhile, our algorithm reaches an equivalent or better solution found by the state-of-the-art exact search and hybrid methods.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Qiaoyang Li ◽  
Guiming Chen ◽  
Ziqi Li ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Lingliang Xu

To solve the problems of strong infrared radiation, poor continuous combat capability of the system, serious ablation of the launching device, and environmental pollution of the existing missile launching system, electromagnetic launch system (EMLS) has been studied for missile launch system. Combining the situation that the current research on missile electromagnetic launch system (MEMLS) mainly focuses on the key technical points and the deficiencies in the previous research on MEMLS, this paper establishes an effectiveness prediction model based on GRA-PCA-LSSVM, and discusses the investment efficiency of the system based on DEA. The experimental results prove that the established model is reasonable, effective and superior, and provides a reference for the further improvement and development of MEMLS.


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