scholarly journals Searching for the Peak Google Trends and the COVID-19 Outbreak in Italy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Brunori ◽  
Giuliano Resce ◽  
Laura Serlenga
Keyword(s):  
Error Term ◽  
Excess Mortality ◽  
Google Trends ◽  
Unobserved Components ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Common Shocks ◽  
Italian Regions ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Dynamic Heterogeneous Panel ◽  
Heterogeneous Panel

Abstract One of the difficulties faced by policy makers during the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy was the monitoring of the virus diffusion. Due to changes in the criteria and insufficient resources to test all suspected cases, the number of ‘confirmed infected’ rapidly proved to be unreliably reported by official statistics. We explore the possibility of using information obtained from Google Trends to predict the evolution of the epidemic. Following the most recent developments on the statistical analysis of longitudinal data, we estimate a dynamic heterogeneous panel. This approach allows to takes into account the presence of common shocks and unobserved components in the error term both likely to occur in this context. We find that Google queries contain useful information to predict number patients admitted to the intensive care units, number of deaths and excess mortality in Italian regions.

Biosecurity: tools, behaviours and concepts

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 449-452
Author(s):  
Alan MacLeod ◽  
Nicola Spence
Keyword(s):  
Plant Protection ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Animal Health ◽  
Early Warning Systems ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Surveillance Programs ◽  
Harmful Organisms ◽  
The One ◽  
Biosecurity Practices

COVID 19 has raised the profile of biosecurity. However, biosecurity is not only about protecting human life. This issue brings together mini-reviews examining recent developments and thinking around some of the tools, behaviours and concepts around biosecurity. They illustrate the multi-disciplinary nature of the subject, demonstrating the interface between research and policy. Biosecurity practices aim to prevent the spread of harmful organisms; recognising that 2020 is the International Year of Plant Health, several focus on plant biosecurity although invasive species and animal health concerns are also captured. The reviews show progress in developing early warning systems and that plant protection organisations are increasingly using tools that compare multiple pest threats to prioritise responses. The bespoke modelling of threats can inform risk management responses and synergies between meteorology and biosecurity provide opportunities for increased collaboration. There is scope to develop more generic models, increasing their accessibility to policy makers. Recent research can improve pest surveillance programs accounting for real-world constraints. Social science examining individual farmer behaviours has informed biosecurity policy; taking a broader socio-cultural approach to better understand farming networks has the potential to change behaviours in a new way. When encouraging public recreationists to adopt positive biosecurity behaviours communications must align with their values. Bringing together the human, animal, plant and environmental health sectors to address biosecurity risks in a common and systematic manner within the One Biosecurity concept can be achieved through multi-disciplinary working involving the life, physical and social sciences with the support of legislative bodies and the public.

The ‘Modernisation’ of Scotland and its Impact on Glasgow, 1955–1979: ‘Unwanted Side Effects’ and Vulnerabilities

2016 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 294-316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chik Collins ◽  
Ian Levitt
Keyword(s):  
Side Effects ◽  
Government Policy ◽  
Regional Policy ◽  
Excess Mortality ◽  
Policy Agenda ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Uk Government ◽  
1960S And 1970S ◽  
The 1960S ◽  
The Impact

This article reports findings of research into the far-reaching plan to ‘modernise’ the Scottish economy, which emerged from the mid-late 1950s and was formally adopted by government in the early 1960s. It shows the growing awareness amongst policy-makers from the mid-1960s as to the profoundly deleterious effects the implementation of the plan was having on Glasgow. By 1971 these effects were understood to be substantial with likely severe consequences for the future. Nonetheless, there was no proportionate adjustment to the regional policy which was creating these understood ‘unwanted’ outcomes, even when such was proposed by the Secretary of State for Scotland. After presenting these findings, the paper offers some consideration as to their relevance to the task of accounting for Glasgow's ‘excess mortality’. It is suggested that regional policy can be seen to have contributed to the accumulation of ‘vulnerabilities’, particularly in Glasgow but also more widely in Scotland, during the 1960s and 1970s, and that the impact of the post-1979 UK government policy agenda on these vulnerabilities is likely to have been salient in the increase in ‘excess mortality’ evident in subsequent years.

Tourism and trade in OECD countries. A dynamic heterogeneous panel data analysis

2011 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 533-554 ◽  
Author(s):  
María Santana-Gallego ◽  
Francisco Ledesma-Rodríguez ◽  
Jorge V. Pérez-Rodríguez
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Dynamic Heterogeneous Panel ◽  
Heterogeneous Panel

Cloud Crime and Fraud

2019 ◽  
pp. 1159-1175
Author(s):  
Nimisha Singh
Keyword(s):  
Cloud Computing ◽  
Law Enforcement ◽  
Current Knowledge ◽  
Organizational Level ◽  
Law Enforcement Agencies ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Security Breaches ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Standards And Guidelines ◽  
Developed Nations

Changing trends in IT industry are opening new avenues. With the scalability, flexibility, and economic advantage offered by cloud computing, more and more organizations are moving towards cloud for their applications. With all the benefits of cloud computing, it poses a danger of digital crime and security breaches. These challenges are compounded by the fact that cybercrime and the transgressors transcend geographical boundaries while the law enforcement does not. This paper tries to focus on how cloud computing is rising to the challenges thrown in from cyber space and recent developments to avoid and mitigate cloud fraud and abuse. Taking counter measures at organizational level, will alleviate and up to an extent eliminate security breaches. With current knowledge on policy and standards adopted by developed nations, the policy makers and law enforcement agencies in developing countries can work towards formulating standards and guidelines for awareness on threats, vulnerabilities and effectiveness of security controls to respond to risk.

Cloud Crime and Fraud

2018 ◽  
pp. 1334-1350
Author(s):  
Nimisha Singh
Keyword(s):  
Cloud Computing ◽  
Law Enforcement ◽  
Current Knowledge ◽  
Organizational Level ◽  
Law Enforcement Agencies ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Security Breaches ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Standards And Guidelines ◽  
Developed Nations

Changing trends in IT industry are opening new avenues. With the scalability, flexibility, and economic advantage offered by cloud computing, more and more organizations are moving towards cloud for their applications. With all the benefits of cloud computing, it poses a danger of digital crime and security breaches. These challenges are compounded by the fact that cybercrime and the transgressors transcend geographical boundaries while the law enforcement does not. This paper tries to focus on how cloud computing is rising to the challenges thrown in from cyber space and recent developments to avoid and mitigate cloud fraud and abuse. Taking counter measures at organizational level, will alleviate and up to an extent eliminate security breaches. With current knowledge on policy and standards adopted by developed nations, the policy makers and law enforcement agencies in developing countries can work towards formulating standards and guidelines for awareness on threats, vulnerabilities and effectiveness of security controls to respond to risk.

An exploratory study on how SMEs are open to external sources of information

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 765-789 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moulay Othman Idrissi Fakhreddine ◽  
Yan Castonguay
Keyword(s):  
Design Methodology ◽  
Probit Model ◽  
Significant Heterogeneity ◽  
Sources Of Information ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
External Sources ◽  
Canada Data ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to draw on recent developments in the open innovation literature to explore whether the openness of SMEs to the four categories of external sources of information (ESI) is complementary, substitute or independent, while assessing the determinants of SMEs’ openness to these ESI. Design/methodology/approach This research is based on data from a survey of 451 manufacturing SMEs in the province of Québec, Canada. Data have been elaborated through a multivariate probit model to empirically show that SMEs are considered to be simultaneously open to different ESI. The results of this study show significant heterogeneity in the determinants of SMEs’ openness to these ESI. Findings The study found that the SMEs’ openness to different ESI seems to be complementary rather than substitute; and not all variables included in the model explain the SMEs’ openness to the different ESI. Practical implications The paper provides practical implications for managers and policy makers including the SMEs’ managers’ role to recognize the consolidation of different ESI jointly instead of separately. Furthermore, managers and policy makers should attempt to provide a fair context to SMEs to manage their openness ecosystem. Originality/value This study is virtually the first to investigate both the complementarity and the determinants of SMEs’ openness to different ESI using a sophisticated econometric model.

scholarly journals Geopolitical risk and tourism: Evidence from dynamic heterogeneous panel models

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chien‐Chiang Lee ◽  
Godwin Olasehinde‐Williams ◽  
Seyi Saint Akadiri
Keyword(s):  
Panel Models ◽  
Dynamic Heterogeneous Panel ◽  
Heterogeneous Panel

Aviation and Tourism Policies: Balancing the Benefits

1994 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Costs And Benefits ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Tourism Management ◽  
The World ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
World Tourism Organization ◽  
Effective Policy ◽  
Modern Context ◽  
Tourism Organization ◽  
Radical Transformation

Aviation and tourism have long been seen as interdependent segments of one single industry. Increasingly, the World Tourism Organization and its member governments recognise that developments in aviation will significantly affect the nature and growth of tourism. Aviation and Tourism Policies makes an important contribution to the growing worldwide debate on aviation and tourism policy issues. This publication reviews recent developments in aviation, such as changes in air transport regulation, and examines the rationale behind the various controls imposed on air services and the reasons for the current radical transformation of the industry throughout the world. A review of past and present policies pursued in a representative group of countries helps illustrate the difficulties many governments have in balancing the interests of their national airlines and the optimum development of their tourism industries. In addition, a number of simple models designed to assist countries in evaluating effective policy directions are presented. Aviation and Tourism Policies offers an effective methodology for the measurement and comparison of the costs and benefits of policy options, and will become a vital guide to the dynamics between aviation and tourism in the modern context. It will be of importance for students of tourism management and policy-makers alike.

scholarly journals Co-Production in Business Counselling in Microfinance Setting: A Conceptual Approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (03) ◽  
pp. 299-319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruwan Abeysekera ◽  
Dean Patton ◽  
Andrew Mullineux
Keyword(s):  
Conceptual Model ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Small Enterprises ◽  
Microfinance Institutions ◽  
Conceptual Approach ◽  
Dyadic Relationship ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Micro And Small Enterprises ◽  
Literature Highlight

Recent developments in service literature highlight the importance of co-production between the firm and the client in order to create value. This paper presents a model of co-production within the context of microfinance provision and investigates the dyadic relationship between Counsellors from Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) and the Owner Managers of Micro and Small Enterprises (MSEs). The paper develops a conceptual model that identifies the factors that facilitate co-production between Counsellors and Owner Managers. It also identifies co-production outcomes relating to MSEs and MFIs concerned. The model offers researchers a framework for empirical studies in the microfinance setting. Furthermore, microfinance policy makers can use this model to formulate strategies that offer many benefits to both MFIs and Owner Managers.

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