scholarly journals Optimal vaccine strategy to control COVID-19 pandemic in middle-income countries: Modelling case study of Thailand

Author(s):  
Nantasit Luangasanatip ◽  
Wirichada Pan-Ngum ◽  
Juthamas Prawjaeng ◽  
Sompob Saralamba ◽  
Lisa White ◽  
...  

Abstract Thailand is facing the dilemma of which groups to prioritise for the limited first tranche of vaccinations in 2021. A mathematical modelling analysis was performed to compare the potential short-term impact of allocating the available doses to either the high-risk group (over 65-year-olds) or the high incidence group (aged 20-39). Vaccinating the high incidence group with a vaccine with sufficiently high protection against infection (more than 50%) could provide enough herd effects to delay the expected epidemic peak, resulting in fewer deaths within the 12-month time horizon compared to vaccinating the same number of the high-risk group. After 12 months, if no further vaccination or other interventions were deployed, this strategy would lead to more deaths. With the right vaccine efficacy profile, targeting the high incidence groups could be a viable short-term component of the Thai vaccination strategy. These results and emerging evidence on vaccines and susceptibility suggest prioritisation guidelines should be more nuanced.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingchao Zhang ◽  
Danhong Wu ◽  
Yue Tao ◽  
Yujia Li ◽  
Shufan Zhang ◽  
...  

Stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) are two leading causes of death around the world. It is of great significance to establish novel and non-invasive approaches for evaluating pathological state of blood vessels, so that early interventions may be carried out to prevent incidence of stroke or MI. Our recent studies have suggested that altered Pattern of Autofluorescence (AF) of skin and fingernails are novel biomarkers of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and MI. In particular, our studies have shown characteristic increases in the green AF intensity of the fingernails and certain regions of the skin of AIS patients and MI patients. By determining the green AF of skin of the Healthy Group, the Low-Risk Group for Developing AIS, and the High-Risk Group for Developing AIS, our current study has indicated that the green AF intensity in the fingernails and certain regions of the skin, including the right and left Dorsal Index Fingers, Ventroforefingers, Dorsal Antebrachium and Index Fingernails as well as right Dorsal Centremetacarpus, is highly correlated with the risk to develop AIS. There is also evidence suggesting that increased oxidative stress may account for the increased AF intensity in the Low-Risk Group for Developing AIS and the High-Risk Group for Developing AIS. These findings have suggested that the green AF intensity of the fingernails and certain regions of the skin is a novel biomarker for non-invasive evaluation of the pathological state of blood vessels and the risk for developing AIS or MI.


Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 118 (21) ◽  
pp. 1464-1464
Author(s):  
Min Fang ◽  
Xiaoyu Qu ◽  
Jerry Davison ◽  
Liping Du ◽  
Frederick R. Appelbaum ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 1464 Aberrant DNA methylation has been shown as an important mechanism in the progression from myelodysplasia (MDS) to acute myeloid leukemia (AML), leading to use of the demethylating agents, 5-azacitidine and decitabine, for treatment of both disorders. While these drugs produce responses, the ability to distinguish potential responders from potential non-responders remains limited. The purpose of this work was to bring new technology to study this problem. Recent studies demonstrated that promoter DNA methylation is not randomly distributed in AML blasts but rather is highly organized and associated with biologically distinct AML subtypes. Because cytogenetics at presentation is the most important prognostic factors in predicting response to therapy, remission duration and overall survival in AML, we aimed to identify differentially methylated genomic regions (DMR) in cytogenetically defined risk groups of AML. Published literature suggested that the new comprehensive high-throughput array-based relative methylation analysis (CHARM) has the highest sensitivity and specificity among all the array-based genome profiling methods and should be the most accurate means to identify methylation markers. It is a customized NimbleGen HD2 array of tiled 50mer-probes typically separated by 30–40 bases covering approximately 4.6 million CpG sites across the genome. This assay is highly quantitative for approximately 100,000 independent CpG sites. We performed methylation profiling with CHARM on 15 age-matched patients divided into 3 groups (n=5 in each): (1) high-risk AML, defined as patients with a complex or monosomal karyotype, inv(3)/t(3;3), t(6;9), or FLT3-ITD; (2) intermediate-risk AML, defined as patients with normal karyotype, trisomy 8, t(9;11), or others; (3) low-risk AML, defined as patients with t(8;21) or inv(16). Five age-matched normal individuals served as control. Randomly fractionated DNA was divided into two equal portions with and without McrBC treatment, which cleaves methylated DNA, then size-fractionated, purified and subject to whole-genome amplification prior to hybridization with the CHARM array. Data analysis was performed with R and Bioconductor. AML patients showed a very strong hypermethylation signature as compared with the normal control blood. A unique set of DMRs was identified which distinguishes between any two risk groups. The number of DMRs and those with p -values < 0.01 are shown in Table 1. There were fewer methylation discriminators between low- and mid-risk groups than between high-risk and the other risk groups. Figure 1 shows the comparison between high-risk group and other risk groups highlighting the 12 top DMRs with lowest p -values. In silico validation of the DMRs identified by CHARM verified previously reported aberrant hypermethylation of tumor suppressor genes like p15CDKN2B, discriminating normal from AML patients, CDH1 promoter hypermethylation in high-risk AML compared with mid-risk AML, and HOXB3 hypomethylation in mid-risk AML compared with both low-risk and high-risk AML, etc. Technical validation using quantitative bisulfite pyrosequencing on 8 genes, including DCC, DUOX2, NEFL, and PITX1, demonstrated an 87.5% concordant rate with CHARM. Testing of additional AML samples with validated markers are underway to confirm the top DMRs identified, which may serve as useful biomarkers to predict response to azacitidine and decitabine.Table 1Number of DMRsNumber with p-value < 0.01Normal blood VS at risk3768311Low-risk VS mid-risk156530Low-risk VS high-risk247573Mid-risk VS high-risk2651107Figure 1.Results from the CHARM analysis on AML patients stratified by cytogenetic risk, highlighting comparison between the high-risk and other risk groups. The top twelve differentially methylated regions ( DMRs) with p -value < 0.01 are shown. Box-and-whisker plots to the left of the dashed vertical line in each panel present the log2 methylation ratio of the high-risk group and the other two risk groups combined, in a single region of differential methylation. To the right of the dashed line the high-risk group is compared with each of the other groups. Each panel's header text identifies the genomic region.Figure 1. Results from the CHARM analysis on AML patients stratified by cytogenetic risk, highlighting comparison between the high-risk and other risk groups. The top twelve differentially methylated regions ( DMRs) with p -value < 0.01 are shown. Box-and-whisker plots to the left of the dashed vertical line in each panel present the log2 methylation ratio of the high-risk group and the other two risk groups combined, in a single region of differential methylation. To the right of the dashed line the high-risk group is compared with each of the other groups. Each panel's header text identifies the genomic region. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (10) ◽  
pp. 1427-1439 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARIE-CLAIRE WHYTE ◽  
HEATHER C. WHALLEY ◽  
ENRICO SIMONOTTO ◽  
SUSANNA FLETT ◽  
RICHARD SHILLCOCK ◽  
...  

Background. Verbal declarative memory is a core deficit in schizophrenia patients, seen to a lesser extent in unaffected biological relatives. Neuroimaging studies suggest volumetric differences and aberrant function in prefrontal and temporal regions in schizophrenia patients compared to controls. These deficits are also reflected in the small number of similar investigations in unaffected biological relatives. However, it is unclear the extent to which dysfunction is genetically mediated or a feature of the established illness.Method. Event-related blood-oxygen-level-dependent (BOLD) functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) was used to measure brain activation in 68 biological relatives of schizophrenia patients (of whom 27 experienced transient or isolated psychotic symptoms) and 21 controls during verbal classification and recognition.Results. During word classification, the high-risk group showed a greater response relative to controls in the right inferior frontal gyrus. During correct recognition (relative to correct rejection), the high-risk group showed significantly greater response relative to controls in the right cerebellum. When the high-risk group was split into those with (HR+) and without (HR−) psychotic symptoms, the increased response in the right inferior frontal gyrus was only seen when the HR+ were compared to controls. The greater cerebellar response was seen when both HR groups were compared to controls.Conclusions. Activation increases in the right inferior frontal gyrus and cerebellum in high-risk subjects compared to controls during a relatively low-load memory task are likely to represent compensation for genetically mediated abnormalities. This is consistent with a leftward shift of the inverted ‘U’ load–response model of cognitive function in schizophrenia.


Author(s):  
Sina Mehdizadeh ◽  
Andrea Sabo ◽  
Kimberley-Dale Ng ◽  
Avril Mansfield ◽  
Alastair J. Flint ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Ana Assunção ◽  
Vera Moniz-Pereira ◽  
Carlos Fujão ◽  
Sarah Bernardes ◽  
António P. Veloso ◽  
...  

To determine the short-term associations between biomechanical risk factors and musculoskeletal symptoms in the upper limbs and low back in an automotive company, a longitudinal study with a follow-up of 4 days was conducted in a sample of 228 workers of the assembly and paint areas. Data were analyzed using generalized estimating equations, calculating the crude and adjusted model for age, sex, seniority, and intensity of pain at baseline. The interactions found were the same for both models. Workers were divided in low-risk and high-risk group for posture, force, exposure, percentage of cycle time with the arm at/above shoulder level, and with the trunk flexed or/and strongly flexed. The predictive factors showed by time × group effect were found between pain intensity on the left shoulder for posture (β = 0.221, p < 0.001), percentage of time with the trunk flexed (β = 0.136, p = 0.030) and overall exposure (β = 0.140, p = 0.013). A time × group interactions were observed, namely between neck pain and posture (β = 0.218, p = 0.005) and right wrist and force (β = 0.107, p = 0.044). Workers in the high-risk group were more prone to report unfavorable effects on their self-reported musculoskeletal pain, across a workweek when exposed to specific risk factor, being posture important to neck, right wrist and left shoulder pain.


Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 43-43
Author(s):  
Yuli Cai ◽  
Weiru Liang ◽  
Meihui Yi ◽  
Xiaoyan Zhang ◽  
Fang Liu ◽  
...  

Objective: Juvenile myelomonocytic leukemia (JMML) has both the disease characteristics of myelodysplastic syndrome and myeloproliferative neoplasm. Currently, hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is the only possible cure. Most of the newly diagnosed pediatric patients with JMML have high tumor burden, rapid disease progression, and may not tolerate HSCT. This study explored the short-term efficacy of decitabine combined with low-dose chemotherapy in the treatment of JMML before transplantation. Methods: A retrospective analysis of the patient files of 9 cases of JMML was performed from January 2019 to May 2020. All patients were given decitabine 20mg/m2× 5 days, supplemented with a small dose of cytarabine (50-100mg/m2×3~5 days), and/or etoposide (50mg/m2×3~5 days) chemotherapy. Each treatment interval is 3~4 weeks, bridging with HSCT after 3~4 treatment courses. Results: The median age of onset of 9 cases of JMML was 2 years old (0.5~4 y), male to female ratio was 8:1, the median size of spleen was 6.4cm (2.9~9.8cm) under the costal arch, and WBC was 28.03×109/L (7.3~127.69×109/L), monocytes were 9.25×109/L (1.66~15.79×109/L) at diagnosis. There were 8 cases in the high-risk group and 1 case in the low-risk group. Second-generation sequencing results show that 7 cases carried PTPN11 somatic mutations. Five in 9 cases had two kinds of classic JMML mutations, and 1 case had only NRAS mutation. Seven patients had normal chromosomal karyotypes, and 3 patients had abnormal 8, 11, and 18 chromosomes, respectively. Median treatment courses with decitabine are 3 courses (1~5 courses), the response rate of one course is 77.8% (7/9), the response rate of three courses is 80% (4/5), one case from high-risk group achieved complete remission after treated with 4 courses of decitabine and low-dose chemotherapy. The five-month progression-free survival rate was 77.8% (7/9). Conclusion: Treating JMML with decitabine combined with low-dose chemotherapy, can reduce patients' tumor burden, improve the general condition, and obtain approximately 80% clinical response rate. Decitabine combined with low-dose chemotherapy can be used as a treatment option for JMML before HSCT. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare. OffLabel Disclosure: Safety and effecacy of decitabine applicated in JMML patients have not been confirmed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 122 (4) ◽  
pp. 294-299
Author(s):  
Yavuz Onur Danacıoğlu ◽  
Yusuf Arıkan ◽  
Fatih Akkaş ◽  
Emre Şam ◽  
Deniz Noyan Özlü ◽  
...  

Percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PNL) surgeries are performed with different patient positions, anesthesia methods and different-sized access sheaths in order to reduce the complication rates. Supine positioned PNL can be performed safely in the high-risk group patients with comorbidities. Herein, we present a patient who had a past surgical history of right pneumonectomy and underwent a supine PNL procedure under regional anesthesia for a staghorn renal stone in the right kidney.


2017 ◽  
Vol 176 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-19
Author(s):  
N. A. Yaitsky ◽  
A. Ya. Bedrov ◽  
A. A. Moiseev ◽  
G. V. Rybakov

The article presents the scale developed by authors of prognostic assessment of ischemic colitis evolution in patients after planned resection of infrarenal aortic aneurism. A retrospective analysis of medical histories of 201 operated patients and statistical data manipulation were made at the period from 1985 to 2016. It was stated, that score less than 2 points represents patients of high risk group of ischemic colitis development. The scale of sensitivity consisted of 80% and scale of specificity - 63,4%. The score of developed scale depended of passability and blood flow condition in the inferior mesenteric, the right and left internal iliac arteries being evaluated during surgery. The aim of surgeons is to increase the number of points in the scale using revascularization of the inferior mesenteric and at least one of internal iliac artery in patients of the high risk group of ischemic colitis development.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradyumna Kumar Mishra ◽  
Neha Bunkar ◽  
Radha Dutt Singh ◽  
Rajat Kumar ◽  
Pushpendra Kumar Gupta ◽  
...  

Epigenetic modifications act as an important bridge to regulate the complex network of gene-environment interaction. As these mechanisms determines the gene-expression patterns via regulating the transcriptomic machinery, environmental stress induced epigenetic modifications may interrupt distinct cellular functions resulting into generation of diseased phenotypes. In the present study, we used a multi-city approach to compare the epigenomic signatures of individuals living in two tiers of Indian cities categorized as low-risk and high-risk air pollution zones. The high-risk group reported marked changes in the expression levels of epigenetic modifiers (DNMT1, DNMT3a, EZH2, EHMT2 and HAT), that maintains the levels of specific epigenetic marks essential for appropriate gene functioning. These results also coincided with the observed alterations in the levels of DNA methylation (LINE-1 and % 5mC), and histone modifications (H3 and H4), among the high-risk group. In addition, higher degree of changes reported in the expression profile of a selected miRNA panel in the high-risk group indicated the probability of deregulated transcriptional machinery. This was further confirmed by the analysis of a target gene panel involved in various signalling pathways, which revealed differential expression of the gene transcripts regulating cell cycle, inflammation, cell survival, apoptosis and cell adhesion. Together, our results provide first insights of epigenetic modifications among individuals living in different high and low levels of air pollution zones of India. However, further steps to develop a point-of-care epigenomic assay for human bio-monitoring may be immensely beneficial to reduce the health burden of air pollution especially in lower-middle-income countries.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaojun Zhan ◽  
Chandala Chitguppi ◽  
Ethan Berman ◽  
Gurston Nyquist ◽  
Tomas Garzon-Muvdi ◽  
...  

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