scholarly journals A study on COVID-19 transmission dynamics: Stability analysis of SEIR model with Hopf bifurcation for effect of time delay

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.Rasha ◽  
S.Balamuralitharan
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Seir Model ◽  
Stability Theorems ◽  
Asymptotic Stable ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Dynamics Stability ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
Insight Into

Abstract This paper deals with a general SEIR model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with the effect of time delay proposed. We get the stability theorems for disease-free equilibrium and provide adequate situations of the COVID-19 transmission dynamics equilibrium of present and absent cases. A Hopf bifurcation parameter $\tau$ is the effects of time delay and we demonstrate that the locally asymptotic stable is present equilibrium. The Reproduction number is brief in less than or greater than one, and it effectively controlling the COVID-19 infection outbreak, and subsequently reveals insight into understanding the patterns of the flare-up. The numerical experiment is calculated to help the theoretical outcomes.

scholarly journals An SIRS Epidemic Model Incorporating Media Coverage with Time Delay

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huitao Zhao ◽  
Yiping Lin ◽  
Yunxian Dai
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Periodic Orbits ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Media Coverage ◽  
Critical Value ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Sirs Epidemic Model ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Disease Free

An SIRS epidemic model incorporating media coverage with time delay is proposed. The positivity and boundedness are studied firstly. The locally asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is studied in succession. And then, the conditions on which periodic orbits bifurcate are given. Furthermore, we show that the local Hopf bifurcation implies the global Hopf bifurcation after the second critical value of the delay. The obtained results show that the time delay in media coverage can not affect the stability of the disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction numberR0<1. However, whenR0>1, the stability of the endemic equilibrium will be affected by the time delay; there will be a family of periodic orbits bifurcating from the endemic equilibrium when the time delay increases through a critical value. Finally, some examples for numerical simulations are also included.

scholarly journals A study on COVID-19 transmission dynamics: stability analysis of SEIR model with Hopf bifurcation for effect of time delay

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Radha ◽  
S. Balamuralitharan
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Transmission Rate ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Seir Model ◽  
Sensitivity Indices ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper deals with a general SEIR model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with the effect of time delay proposed. We get the stability theorems for the disease-free equilibrium and provide adequate situations of the COVID-19 transmission dynamics equilibrium of present and absent cases. A Hopf bifurcation parameter τ concerns the effects of time delay and we demonstrate that the locally asymptotic stability holds for the present equilibrium. The reproduction number is brief in less than or greater than one, and it effectively is controlling the COVID-19 infection outbreak and subsequently reveals insight into understanding the patterns of the flare-up. We have included eight parameters and the least square method allows us to estimate the initial values for the Indian COVID-19 pandemic from real-life data. It is one of India’s current pandemic models that have been studied for the time being. This Covid19 SEIR model can apply with or without delay to all country’s current pandemic region, after estimating parameter values from their data. The sensitivity of seven parameters has also been explored. The paper also examines the impact of immune response time delay and the importance of determining essential parameters such as the transmission rate using sensitivity indices analysis. The numerical experiment is calculated to illustrate the theoretical results.

scholarly journals Stability and Hopf Bifurcation Analysis of a Vector-Borne Disease with Time Delay

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yuanyuan Chen ◽  
Ya-Qing Bi
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Bifurcation Theory ◽  
Center Manifold ◽  
Local Analysis ◽  
Normal Form Theory ◽  
Form Theory ◽  
Vector Borne ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Delay Differential

A delay-differential modelling of vector-borne is investigated. Its dynamics are studied in terms of local analysis and Hopf bifurcation theory, and its linear stability and Hopf bifurcation are demonstrated by studying the characteristic equation. The stability and direction of Hopf bifurcation are determined by applying the normal form theory and the center manifold argument.

scholarly journals Stability and Hopf Bifurcation Analysis of an Epidemic Model by Using the Method of Multiple Scales

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wanyong Wang ◽  
Lijuan Chen
Keyword(s):  
Periodic Solution ◽  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Multiple Scales ◽  
Method Of Multiple Scales ◽  
Value Of Time ◽  
Nonlinear Incidence Rate ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Bifurcating Periodic Solution

A delayed epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate which depends on the ratio of the numbers of susceptible and infectious individuals is considered. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the effects of time delay on the stability of the equilibria are studied. By choosing time delay as bifurcation parameter, the critical value of time delay at which a Hopf bifurcation occurs is obtained. In order to derive the normal form of the Hopf bifurcation, an extended method of multiple scales is developed and used. Then, the amplitude of bifurcating periodic solution and the conditions which determine the stability of the bifurcating periodic solution are obtained. The validity of analytical results is shown by their consistency with numerical simulations.

scholarly journals Control Scheme for a Fractional-Order Chaotic Genesio-Tesi Model

Complexity ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Changjin Xu ◽  
Peiluan Li ◽  
Maoxin Liao ◽  
Zixin Liu ◽  
Qimei Xiao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Fractional Order ◽  
Characteristic Equation ◽  
Chaotic Systems ◽  
Chaotic Behavior ◽  
Feedback Controllers ◽  
Control Scheme ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Time Delayed Feedback

In this paper, based on the earlier research, a new fractional-order chaotic Genesio-Tesi model is established. The chaotic phenomenon of the fractional-order chaotic Genesio-Tesi model is controlled by designing two suitable time-delayed feedback controllers. With the aid of Laplace transform, we obtain the characteristic equation of the controlled chaotic Genesio-Tesi model. Then by regarding the time delay as the bifurcation parameter and analyzing the characteristic equation, some new sufficient criteria to guarantee the stability and the existence of Hopf bifurcation for the controlled fractional-order chaotic Genesio-Tesi model are derived. The research shows that when time delay remains in some interval, the equilibrium point of the controlled chaotic Genesio-Tesi model is stable and a Hopf bifurcation will happen when the time delay crosses a critical value. The effect of the time delay on the stability and the existence of Hopf bifurcation for the controlled fractional-order chaotic Genesio-Tesi model is shown. At last, computer simulations check the rationalization of the obtained theoretical prediction. The derived key results in this paper play an important role in controlling the chaotic behavior of many other differential chaotic systems.

Hopf Bifurcation of a Delayed Predator–Prey Model with Nonconstant Death Rate and Constant-Rate Prey Harvesting

2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (14) ◽  
pp. 1850179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengrong Zhang ◽  
Xinhong Zhang ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
Changpin Li
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Differential Equations ◽  
Positive Constant ◽  
Death Rate ◽  
Predator Prey ◽  
Predator Prey Model ◽  
Prey Model ◽  
Constant Rate ◽  
The Stability

This paper is concerned with a delayed predator–prey model with nonconstant death rate and constant-rate prey harvesting. We mainly study the impact of the time delay on the stability of positive constant solution of delayed differential equations and positive constant equilibrium of delayed diffusive differential equations, respectively. By choosing time delay [Formula: see text] as a bifurcation parameter, we show that Hopf bifurcation can occur as the time delay passes some critical values. In addition, the direction of Hopf bifurcation and the stability of bifurcating periodic solutions are determined by using the normal form theory and center manifold theorem. Finally, some numerical simulations are carried out to depict our theoretical results.

STABILITY AND HOPF BIFURCATION ON A TWO-NEURON SYSTEM WITH TIME DELAY IN THE FREQUENCY DOMAIN

2007 ◽  
Vol 17 (04) ◽  
pp. 1355-1366 ◽  
Author(s):  
WENWU YU ◽  
JINDE CAO
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Frequency Domain ◽  
Harmonic Balance ◽  
Neuron System ◽  
Bifurcation Theorem ◽  
Nyquist Criterion ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Frequency Domain Approach ◽  
System With Time Delay

In this paper, a general two-neuron model with time delay is considered, where the time delay is regarded as a parameter. It is found that Hopf bifurcation occurs when this delay passes through a sequence of critical value. By analyzing the characteristic equation and using the frequency domain approach, the existence of Hopf bifurcation is determined. The stability of bifurcating periodic solutions are determined by the harmonic balance approach, Nyquist criterion and the graphic Hopf bifurcation theorem. Numerical results are given to justify the theoretical analysis.

Nonresonant Double Hopf Bifurcation in Toxic Phytoplankton–Zooplankton Model with Delay

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (02) ◽  
pp. 1750028 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Yuan ◽  
Weihua Jiang ◽  
Yong Wang
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Periodic Orbit ◽  
Digestion Time ◽  
Normal Form Theory ◽  
Stable Periodic Orbit ◽  
Double Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Toxic Phytoplankton ◽  
Stable Periodic ◽  
The Stability

This paper investigates a toxic phytoplankton–zooplankton model with Michaelis–Menten type phytoplankton harvesting. The model has rich dynamical behaviors. It undergoes transcritical, saddle-node, fold, Hopf, fold-Hopf and double Hopf bifurcation, when the parameters change and go through some of the critical values, the dynamical properties of the system will change also, such as the stability, equilibrium points and the periodic orbit. We first study the stability of the equilibria, and analyze the critical conditions for the above bifurcations at each equilibrium. In addition, the stability and direction of local Hopf bifurcations, and the completion bifurcation set by calculating the universal unfoldings near the double Hopf bifurcation point are given by the normal form theory and center manifold theorem. We obtained that the stable coexistent equilibrium point and stable periodic orbit alternate regularly when the digestion time delay is within some finite value. That is, we derived the pattern for the occurrence, and disappearance of a stable periodic orbit. Furthermore, we calculated the approximation expression of the critical bifurcation curve using the digestion time delay and the harvesting rate as parameters, and determined a large range in terms of the harvesting rate for the phytoplankton and zooplankton to coexist in a long term.

scholarly journals Stability and Hopf Bifurcation Analysis of a Nutrient-Phytoplankton Model with Delay Effect

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinhong Pan ◽  
Min Zhao ◽  
Chuanjun Dai ◽  
Yapei Wang
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Center Manifold ◽  
Center Manifold Theory ◽  
Delay Effect ◽  
Delay Differential System ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Delay Differential ◽  
Manifold Theory ◽  
Two Equilibria

A delay differential system is investigated based on a previously proposed nutrient-phytoplankton model. The time delay is regarded as a bifurcation parameter. Our aim is to determine how the time delay affects the system. First, we study the existence and local stability of two equilibria using the characteristic equation and identify the condition where a Hopf bifurcation can occur. Second, the formulae that determine the direction of the Hopf bifurcation and the stability of periodic solutions are obtained using the normal form and the center manifold theory. Furthermore, our main results are illustrated using numerical simulations.

scholarly journals Chaos and Hopf Bifurcation Analysis of the Delayed Local Lengyel-Epstein System

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Qingsong Liu ◽  
Yiping Lin ◽  
Jingnan Cao ◽  
Jinde Cao
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Bifurcation Analysis ◽  
Center Manifold ◽  
Local Reaction ◽  
Reaction Diffusion ◽  
Critical Value ◽  
Hopf Bifurcations ◽  
The Stability

The local reaction-diffusion Lengyel-Epstein system with delay is investigated. By choosingτas bifurcating parameter, we show that Hopf bifurcations occur when time delay crosses a critical value. Moreover, we derive the equation describing the flow on the center manifold; then we give the formula for determining the direction of the Hopf bifurcation and the stability of bifurcating periodic solutions. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to support the analytical results and the chaotic behaviors are observed.

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