Neutral Approach at Dividend Policy Modeling

Author(s):  
Sergey Krylov

Abstract The article treats a concept of the formalized modeling of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived (stock market position) within neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions as an instrument of the scores analysis and forecasting. The methodology of the research consists of the Dividend Irrelevance theory, Dividend Policy Significance theory and sustainable company development concept. It has been stated that a formalized approach of the dividend policy implementation presumes a construction of the basic relevent scores models characterizing the company dividend policy and its marketing performance as Dividend Payout, Dividend Cover, expected Share Price, Dividend Yield, Price / Earnings Ratio (common stock price/earnings ratio). The formalized models of the scores mentioned are applicable for a forecast-analytical scores evaluation and their variances as well by estimating an impact of the models defining factors exercised by the appropriate factoring analysis method within the neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions. The conclusion is drawn, that the formalized models of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived, having been developed, are an effective instrument for their forecasting and analysis so that proactive decisions to manage the company dividend policy implementation within neutral approach conditions are ensured.

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Sergey Krylov

The article treats a concept of the formalized modeling of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived (stock market position) within neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions as an instrument of the scores analysis and forecasting. The methodology of the research consists of the Dividend Irrelevance theory, Dividend Policy Significance theory and sustainable company development concept. It has been stated that a formalized approach of the dividend policy implementation presumes a construction of the basic relevent scores models characterizing the company dividend policy and its marketing performance as Dividend Payout, Dividend Cover, expected Share Price, Dividend Yield, Price / Earnings Ratio (common stock price/earnings ratio). The formalized models of the scores mentioned are applicable for a forecast-analytical scores evaluation and their variances as well by estimating an impact of the models defining factors exercised by the appropriate factoring analysis method within the neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions. The conclusion is drawn, that the formalized models of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived, having been developed, are an effective instrument for their forecasting and analysis so that proactive decisions to manage the company dividend policy implementation within neutral approach conditions are ensured.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 40-52
Author(s):  
Sergey Krylov

The article treats a concept of the formalized modeling of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived (stock market position) within neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions as an instrument of the scores analysis and forecasting. The methodology of the research consists of the Dividend Irrelevance theory, Dividend Policy Significance theory and sustainable company development concept. It has been stated that a formalized approach of the dividend policy implementation presumes a construction of the basic relevant scores models characterizing the company dividend policy and its marketing performance as Dividend Payout, Dividend Cover, expected Share Price, Dividend Yield, Price / Earnings Ratio (common stock price/earnings ratio). The formalized models of the scores mentioned are applicable for a forecast-analytical scores evaluation and their variances as well by estimating an impact of the models defining factors exercised by the appropriate factoring analysis method within the neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions. The conclusion is drawn, that the formalized models of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived, having been developed, are an effective instrument for their forecasting and analysis so that proactive decisions to manage the company dividend policy implementation within neutral approach conditions are ensured.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Udobi, Philomina I ◽  
Iyiegbuniwe, Wilfred I.

This study empirically tests for the validity of Miller and Modigliani’s dividend irrelevance proposition in the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). Secondary data were obtained from the Nigerian Stock Exchange fact book and firms’ annual audited financial statements for fifteen years (2001-2015). Mediation Analyses, was used to measure the direct and indirect effects of dividend on stock price. Correction of the anomalous use of current dividend and current earnings by the use of naive expectation of dividend and earnings revealed that the direct effect of expected dividend on share price is significant but the indirect effect of expected dividend on share price through earnings is not significant.  The implication of these results is that expected dividend has its unique (direct) effect on share price beyond the effect on share price which it shares with expected earnings (indirect effect). This conclusion suggests that dividend policy is relevant in valuation of shares in NSE. It was therefore recommended that company management should treat dividend as an active corporate finance decision-making variable and should employ dividend in information signalling to capital market investors.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 83-98
Author(s):  
Prem Prasad Silwal ◽  
Samrina Napit

The aim of this study is to ascertain the determinants of the stock market price in Nepalese commercial banks for the period of 2065/66 to 2074/75. It is based on pooled cross-sectional data of ten banks for 10 years whose stocks are listed in Nepal stock exchange. The study employed correlational and causal comparative research design and result reveals that book value per share, price earnings ratio, return on equity have positive relationship with stock price. Dividend yield has positive but minimum influence on the price of the stock whereas size has negative relationship and is statistically insignificant with stock price. Further, it reveals that book value per share is a most influential factor that determines stock price in Nepal.


Author(s):  
Felix Ebun Araoye ◽  
Akinola Michael Aruwaji ◽  
Emmanuel OlusuyiAjayi

This paper seeks to determine the effect of dividend policy and dividend payment on share price volatility in Nigeria. Several literatures have showed evidence that dividend policy vary inversely proportional with share price volatility with duration effect. The study used data from the actively trading companies listed in the Nigeria Securities Exchange for a period of ten (10) years from 2005–2014. The estimation is based on panel data analysis between dividend policy measures (dividend payout, dividend per share, earnings after tax, dividend declared and number of share) and Share price volatility. The findings from the random effects regression results showed dividend per share is the major determinants of share price volatility in NSE (β = 0.6870, ρ<0.05). Dividend payout ratio negatively affect share price volatility (β =0.612, ρ>0.05) and earnings after tax negatively affect share price volatility (β =0.038, ρ>0.05).Thus, the higher the payout ratio the less the share price volatility, and the higher the earnings after tax lower the share price volatility. In conclusion, dividend per share has positive effect and inclusive relationship with market share prices. It is recommended that firms should try and improve on their financial performance that will enable consistent increase in the dividend per share for positive impact on market value.


2019 ◽  
Vol IV (I) ◽  
pp. 506-515
Author(s):  
Ziaullah Shah ◽  
Shehzad Khan ◽  
Muhammad Faizan Malik

The objective of this study is to inspect dividend policy influence on volatility of share prices. For investigation seven Non-financial segment/sectors have been selected. A sample of 137 firms who paid four dividend payments listed at PSX is analysed for the period of 2007-2017.Proxy for policy of dividend are earning per share, Payout ratio, dividend yield, while assets growth and firm size are taken as control variables. OLS regression model has been initially applied on panel data. The outcomes of fixed effect model are focused. Overall outcomes of the study confirmed that prices of stock is significantly influenced by policy of dividend and reject dividend irrelevance theory.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 706
Author(s):  
Nurul Hidayati ◽  
Puji Sucia Sukmaningrum

ABSTRAKTujuan dari penelitian ini yaitu meneliti pengaruh kebijakan dividen, volume perdagangan, volatilitas laba, ukuran perusahaan dan tingkat hutang terhadap volatilitas harga saham di emiten yang terdaftar di JII dari tahun 2015 sampai 2019. Adapun manfaat dari penelitian ini dalam eksistensi pasar finansial secara global karena dapat mengukur tingkat risiko. Penelitian ini dibantu dengan alat analisis Eviews 10. Regresi data panel dipilih dalam penelitian ini. Hasil penelitian membuktikan bahwa secara individual dividend payout ratio, volume perdagangan dan volatilitas laba secara positif memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan, ukuran perusahaan secara negatif memiliki pengaruh signifikan, dan tingkat hutang tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap volatilitas harga saham. Secara simultan, variabel dividend payout ratio, volume perdagangan, ukuran perusahaan, volatilitas laba, dan tingkat hutang signifikan berpengaruh terhadap volatilitas harga saham. Kata Kunci: Volatilitas harga saham, emiten syariah, regresi data panel. ABSTRACTThe purpose of this study is to examine the effect of dividend policy, trading volume, earnings volatility, company size and level of debt on stock price volatility in issuers listed in JII from 2015 to 2019. The benefits of this research are in the existence of global financial markets because it can measure the level of risk. This research is assisted by the analysis tool Eviews 10. Panel data regression. selected in this study. The results showed that partially the dividend payout ratio, trading volume and earnings volatility had a positive and significant effect, company size had a negative and significant effect, and the level of debt had no significant effect on stock price volatility. Simultaneously, the variable dividend payout ratio, trading volume, company size, earnings volatility, and level of debt have a significant effect on stock price volatility. Keywords: Stock price volatility, sharia company, panel data regression. DAFTAR PUSTAKABawono, A., & Shina, A. F. I. (2018). Ekonometrika terapan untuk ekonomi dan bisnis Islam aplikasi dengan Eviews. Salatiga: Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat (LP2M) IAIN Salatiga Press.Brigham, E. F., & Houston, J. F. (2011). Dasar-dasar manajemen keuangan, buku kedua. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.Camilleri, S. J., Grima, L., & Grima, S. (2019). The effect of dividend policy on share price volatility: an analysis of Mediterranean banks’ stocks. Managerial Finance, 45(2), 348–364. https://doi.org/10.1108/MF-11-2017-0451Dewi, S., & Paramita, R. A. S. (2019). Pengaruh kebijakan dividen, volume perdagangan, earning volatility, leverage, dan firm size terhadap volatilitas harga saham perusahaan LQ45. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 7(3), 761–771.Fakhruddin, H. M. (2008). Istilah pasar modal A-Z. Jakarta: Elex Media Komputindo.Gumanti, T. A. (2013). Kebijakan Dividen (Pertama). UPP STIM YKPN.Jahfer, A., & Mulafara, A. H. (2016). Dividend policy and share price volatility: Evidence from Colombo stock market. Internaltional Journal Managerial and Financial Accounting, 8(2), 97–108. DOI:10.1504/IJMFA.2016.077947Jannah, R., & Haridhi, M. (2016). Pengaruh kebijakan dividen, earning volatility, dan leverage terhadap volatilitas harga saham pada perusahaan non-financing yang terdaftar di bursa efek Indonesia tahun 2010-2014. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Akuntansi, 1(1), 133–148.Mehmood, A., Ullah, M. H., & Ul Sabeeh, N. (2019). Determinants of stock price volatility: Evidence from cement industry. Accounting, 5(4), 145–152. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.ac.2019.2.002Muhamad. (2016). Manajemen keuangan syari’ah analisis fiqh & keuangan. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.Novius, A. (2017). Analisis pengaruh kebijakan deviden ( Dividen payout ratio dan devidend yield) terhadap volatilitas harga saham (Studi empiris pada perusahaan kelompok LQ45 yang terdaftar di BEI). Jurnal Al-Iqtishad, 13(1), 67. https://doi.org/10.24014/jiq.v13i1.4389Rowena, J., & Hendra. (2017). Earnings volatility, kebijakan dividen, dan pertumbuhan asset berpengaruh terhadap volatilitas harga saham pada perusahaan manufaktur di BEI periode 2013 – 2015. Jurnal Administrasi Kantor, 5(2), 231–242.Sarmanu. (2017). Dasar metodologi penelitian. Surabaya: Airlangga University Press.Septyadi, M. A., & Bwarleling, T. H. (2020). Pengaruh volume perdagangan saham, leverage, dan kebijakan dividen terhadap volatilitas harga saham, 2, 149–162.Shah, S. A., & Noreen, U. (2016). Stock price volatility and role of dividend policy: Empirical evidence from Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(2), 461–472.Spence. (1973). Job market signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010Tandelilin, E. (2010). Manajemen portofolio dan investasi. Surabaya: Kanisius.Yulinda, E., Pujiastuti, T., & Haryono, S. (2020). Analisis pengaruh dividend payout ratio, leverage, firm size, volume perdagangan, earning volatility, dan inflasi terhadap volatilitas harga saham pada perusahaan yang terdaftar dalam indeks LQ45 tahun 2014-2017. Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia Ilmiah Indonesia, 5(5), 76. DOI:10.36418/syntax-literate.v5i5.1106Zainudin, R., Mahdzan, N. S., & Yet, C. H. (2018). Dividend policy and stock price volatility of industrial products firms in Malaysia. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 13(1), 203–217. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJoEM-09-2016-0250


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuniep Mujati S, Meida Dzulqodah

abstractThe purpose of this study was to determine whether there is influence: 1) earning per share of the debt to equity ratio; 2) price earnings ratio of the debt to equity ratio; 3) earnings per share to the stock price; 4) price earnings ratio of the stock price; 5) debt to equity ratio to stock prices; 6) earnings per share to share prices through debt to equity ratio; 7) price earnings ratio of the stock price through a debt to equity ratio. The study design used is quantitative descriptive. Secondary data types, method of data collection through the documentation. The population used in this study is the enterprise data food and beverage sector in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) as many as 17 companies. The sampling technique purposive sampling method. Analysis of data to test the hypothesis in this study using path analysis (Path analys). Based on the analysis can be concluded that: 1) there is significant negative influences of the Earning Per Share (EPS) of the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); 2) there is no significant positive effect of price earning ratio (PER) of the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); 3) there is a significant negative influence Earning Per Share (EPS) to share price; 4) there is a significant positive effect Price Earning Ratio (PER) on stock prices; 5) there is a significant positive effect Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) on stock prices; 6) there is indirect influence Earning Per Share (EPS) to share price through the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) and 7) There is an indirect effect Price Earning Ratio (PER) on stock prices through the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER).Keywords: Earning Per Share (EPS), Price Earning Ratio (PER), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), the stock price abstrakTujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui apakah terdapat pengaruh : 1) earning per share terhadap debt to equity ratio; 2) price earning ratio terhadap debt to equity ratio; 3) earning per share terhadap harga saham; 4) price earning ratio terhadap harga saham; 5) debt to equity ratio terhadap harga saham; 6) earning per share terhadap harga saham melalui debt to equity ratio; 7) price earning ratio terhadap harga saham melalui debt to equity ratio. Desain penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah deskriptif kuantitatif. Jenis data sekunder, metode pengumpulan data melalui dokumentasi. Populasi yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data perusahaan sektor makanan dan minuman di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) sebanyak 17 perusahaan. Teknik pengambilan sampel dengan metode purposive sampling. Analisis data untuk pengujian hipotesis pada penelitian ini menggunakan analisis jalur (Path Analys). Berdasarkan analisis dan pembahasan dapat disimpulkan bahwa: 1) terdapat pengaruh negatif signifikan Earning Per Share (EPS)  terhadap Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); 2)terdapat pengaruh positif tidak signifikan Price Earning Ratio (PER)  terhadap Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); 3) Terdapat pengaruh negatif signifikan Earning Per Share (EPS)  terhadap harga saham; 4) Terdapat pengaruh positif signifikan Price Earning Ratio (PER)  terhadap harga saham; 5) Terdapat pengaruh positif signifikan Debt to Equity Ratio (DER)  terhadap harga saham; 6) Terdapat pengaruh tidak langsung Earning Per Share (EPS) terhadap harga saham melalui Debt to Equity Ratio (DER)  dan 7) Terdapat pengaruh tidak langsung Price Earning Ratio (PER) terhadap harga saham melalui Debt to Equity Ratio (DER).Kata Kunci : Earning Per Share (EPS), Price Earning Ratio (PER), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), harga sah


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
STIM Sukma

The purpose of this study to determine whether there is influence inflation on stock prices at PT.Siantar Top Tbk. The object of this research is PT.Siantar Top Tbk. Whose share price data is listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The independent variable used in this research is inflation while the dependent variable is stock price. This study uses data from quarter of 2010 up to 2015 with data analysis method used in this research is descriptive quantitative research, while the analysis model used in this research is simple linear regression analysis. Hypothesis testing of this research using coefficient determination test (R2) and partial test (t test). The results showed that partially inflation has a positive and significant effect on stock prices.


Author(s):  
Dr. Muhammad Siddique ◽  

This study aims to test the relationship between dividend policy decisions on the share price Volatility of Modaraba Companies quoted in the Pakistan stock exchange. The data for empirical analysis was collected from the Pakistan stock exchange, Recorder archive, and Ksestocks.com. By using the sampling technique, a sample of 19 Modaraba Companies was taken from 2010 to 2018. The empirical analysis was conducted using multiple regression techniques by employing a fixed effect model on panel data. This study also incorporated four control variables (size, growth, operating earning & level of debt) in empirical analysis to avoid multicollinearity problems between dividend policy measures and spurious regression. The results of the study validate the theory of relevance of dividend policy decisions on share price Volatility. Dividend policy has a negative and significant bearing on Stock price volatility. Higher leverage (debt level) leads to higher instability in stock prices. Firm earning volatility is positively associated with share price volatility. Firm size and firm's growth in terms of assets also has a negative but insignificant impact on share price Volatility


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