The Efficacy of Transarterial Chemoembolization in Downstaging Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma to Curative Therapy: A Predicted Regression Model

Author(s):  
Hao Min LIN ◽  
Fang Yi PENG ◽  
Bin HUANG ◽  
Cheng FANG ◽  
Yu GAN ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) outside the Milan criteria (MC) may be candidates for curative therapy after successful downstaging. However, there have been no studies that have examined the factors affecting the efficacy of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) on downstaging. We aimed to identify the predictors of successful downstaging of unresectable HCC in patients by TACE outside the MC.Methods: We performed a retrospective study on patients with unresectable HCC outside the MC who received downstaging with TACE. Clinical and laboratory variables were recorded. We identified 101 patients with unresectable HCC who underwent initial TACE, and they formed the derivation set of this study. Thirty patients who received TACE treatment with the same selection criteria served as an external validation set. We performed multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify the variables associated with successful downstaging. Then, we created a predictive model and determined its accuracy in predicting the efficiency of TACE.Results: Of the 101 patients in the study, 26 patients (25.7%) were successfully downstaged. Multivariate analysis was performed on the number of tumors (P=0.018), portal vein tumor thrombi (PVTT) (<0.001), the size of tumors (P=0.021), hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) (P=0.014), and a-fetoprotein (AFP, P=0.027), which were considered as significant predictors of successful downstaging of HCC outside the MC. Then, we constructed the predictive model. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) for the predictive equation was 0.908 (95% confidence interval, 0.832-0.957).Conclusions: We found in our study that the number and size of tumors, PVTT, HBsAg, and AFP are good predictors of successful downstaging of unresectable HCC in patients by TACE outside the MC.

Cancers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 509 ◽  
Author(s):  
Young Eun Chon ◽  
Hana Park ◽  
Hye Kyung Hyun ◽  
Yeonjung Ha ◽  
Mi Na Kim ◽  
...  

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has recently been reported to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We explored whether NLR predicted the survival of patients with HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and developed a predictive model. In total, 1697 patients with HCC undergoing TACE as first-line therapy at two university hospitals were enrolled (derivation set n = 921, internal validation set n = 395, external validation set n = 381). The tumor size, tumor number, AFP level, vascular invasion, Child–Pugh score, objective response after TACE, and NLR, selected as predictors of overall survival (OS) via multivariate Cox’s regression model, were incorporated into a 14-point risk prediction model (SNAVCORN score). The time-dependent areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves for OS at 1, 3, and 5 years predicted by the SNAVCORN score were 0.812, 0.734, and 0.700 in the derivation set. Patients were stratified into three risk groups by SNAVCORN score (low, 0–4; intermediate, 5–9; high, 10–14). Compared with the low-risk group, the intermediate-risk (HR 3.10, p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR 7.37, p < 0.001) groups exhibited significantly greater mortality. The prognostic performance of the SNAVCORN score including NLR in patients with HCC treated with TACE was remarkable, much better than those of the conventional scores. The SNAVCORN score will guide future HCC treatment decisions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tian-Cheng Wang ◽  
Tian-Zhi An ◽  
Jun-Xiang Li ◽  
Zi-Shu Zhang ◽  
Yu-Dong Xiao

Objectives: To develop and validate a predictive model for early refractoriness of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Methods: In this multicenter retrospective study, a total of 204 consecutive patients who initially underwent TACE were included. Early TACE refractoriness was defined as patients presented with TACE refractoriness after initial two consecutive TACE procedures. Of all patients, 147 patients (approximately 70%) were assigned to a training set, and the remaining 57 patients (approximately 30%) were assigned to a validation set. Predictive model was established using forward stepwise logistic regression and nomogram. Based on factors selected by logistic regression, a one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to compare progression-free survival (PFS) between patients who were present or absent of early TACE refractoriness. PFS curve was estimated by Kaplan-Meier method and compared by log-rank test.Results: Logistic regression revealed that bilobar tumor distribution (p = 0.002), more than three tumors (p = 0.005) and beyond up-to-seven criteria (p = 0.001) were significantly related to early TACE refractoriness. The discriminative abilities, as determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, were 0.788 in the training cohort and 0.706 in the validation cohort. After PSM, the result showed that patients who were absent of early TACE refractoriness had a significantly higher PFS rate than those of patients who were present (p &lt; 0.001).Conclusion: This study presents a predictive model with moderate accuracy to identify patients with high risk of early TACE refractoriness, and patients with early TACE refractoriness may have a poor prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Liangliang Yan ◽  
Yanqiao Ren ◽  
Kun Qian ◽  
Xuefeng Kan ◽  
Hongsen Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) are effective treatment methods for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is still a lack of clinical research on whether early sequential RFA, compared with late combination therapy, can improve the long-term efficacy of initial TACE treatment. Methods This retrospective study investigated a cohort of patients who underwent combination therapy using TACE and RFA (TACE followed by RFA) from January 2010 to January 2020 at our medical centre. A total of 96 patients underwent TACE combined with early RFA (usually during the first hospitalization), which was called TACE + eRFA. Thirty-four patients received 1–2 palliative TACE treatments first and then underwent TACE treatment combined with late RFA (TACE + lRFA). All patients continued to receive palliative TACE treatments after intrahepatic lesion progression until reaching intolerance. The overall survival (OS) rate, time to tumour progression (TTP), tumour response rate and major complication rates were compared between the two groups. Results There were significant differences in the median OS (46 months vs 33 months; P = 0.013), median TTP (28 months vs 14 months; P < 0.00), objective response rate (ORR) (89.6% vs 61.8%, P = 0.000) and disease control rate (DCR) (94.8% vs 73.5% P = 0.002) between the two groups. Multivariable analysis revealed that the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage was an independent risk factor for OS. Meanwhile, multivariable analysis revealed that TACE + eRFA was associated with an enhanced TTP. Conclusion Early sequential RFA treatment in patients with early-intermediate HCC can improve local tumour control and clinical outcomes while reducing the frequency of TACE treatment. In clinical practice, in HCC patients initially treated with TACE, it is recommended to combine RFA as soon as possible to obtain long-term survival.


Cancers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1721 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Sik Yoon ◽  
Dong Hyun Sinn ◽  
Jeong-Hoon Lee ◽  
Hwi Young Kim ◽  
Cheol-Hyung Lee ◽  
...  

Background: For patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the definition of refractoriness to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), which might make them a candidate for systemic therapy, is still controversial. We aimed to derive and validate a tumor marker-based algorithm to define the refractoriness to TACE in patients with intermediate-stage HCC. Methods: This multi-cohort study was comprised of patients who underwent TACE for treatment-naïve intermediate-stage HCC. We derived a prediction model for overall survival (OS) using the pre- and post-TACE model to predict tumor recurrence after living donor liver transplantation (MoRAL) (i.e., MoRAL score = 11×√protein induced by vitamin K absence-II + 2×√alpha-fetoprotein), which was proven to reflect both tumor burden and biologic aggressiveness of HCC in the explant liver, from a training cohort (n = 193). These results were externally validated in both an independent hospital cohort (from two large-volume centers, n = 140) and a Korean National Cancer Registry sample cohort (n = 149). Results: The changes in MoRAL score (ΔMoRAL) after initial TACE was an independent predictor of OS (MoRAL-increase vs. MoRAL-non-increase: adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 2.18, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.37–3.46, p = 0.001; median OS = 18.8 vs. 37.8 months). In a subgroup of patients with a high baseline MoRAL score (≥89.5, 25th percentile and higher), the prognostic impact of ΔMoRAL was more pronounced (MoRAL-increase vs. MoRAL-non-increase: HR = 3.68, 95% CI = 1.54–8.76, p < 0.001; median OS = 9.9 vs. 37.4 months). These results were reproduced in the external validation cohorts. Conclusion: The ΔMoRAL after the first TACE, a simple and objective index, provides refined prognostication for patients with intermediate-stage HCC. Proceeding to a second TACE may not provide additional survival benefits in cases of a MoRAL-increase after the first TACE in patients with a high baseline MoRAL score (≥89.5), who might be candidates for systemic therapy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Xue ◽  
Wenming Feng ◽  
Hongbin Yu ◽  
Ming Zhu ◽  
Maoyun Fei ◽  
...  

Background. Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), a well-established treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), blocks the arterial blood supply to the tumor, which can be short-lived as development of collateral neovessels, leading to the failure of treatment. Metastasis-associated protein 1 (MTA1) is involved in development of tumors and metastases. However, the role of MTA1 in angiogenesis is still obscure. Methods. We detected the expression of MTA1 and hypoxia-inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α) and microvessel density (MVD) value in liver tumor tissues and tumor periphery before and after TACE treatment. Hepatocellular carcinoma cell line HepG2, tube formation assay, and chorioallantoic membrane (CAM) assay were applied to explore the mechanism of MTA1 in angiogenesis. Results. We found that expression of MTA1 increased after TACE treatment, especially in tumor periphery, which was accompanied by markedly elevated MVD value, indicating a significant correlation between MTA1 and MVD value. Moreover, MTA1 contributed to neovascularization of residual tumors. Cellular experiments further revealed that MTA1 increased the stability and the expression of HIF-1α, and overexpression of MTA1 enhanced tube formation and neovessels of chick embryos. Conclusions. MTA1 is an active angiogenic regulator; our results shed light on better understanding in neovascularization, which are helpful to predict prognosis of TACE, and provide evidences for intervention to improve therapeutic effects on HCC.


Author(s):  
Ghassan K. Abou-Alfa ◽  
Jorge Marrero ◽  
John Renz ◽  
Riccardo Lencioni

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death, with a rising global incidence. The vast majority of HCC cases occur in the setting of liver cirrhosis, mainly due to chronic hepatitis C (HCV) or hepatitis B (HBV) viral infections, alcohol consumption, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. The new approval of curative therapy with two NS5A inhibitors, ledipasvir and sofosbuvir, for the treatment of HCV will no doubt affect HCC incidence and outcome. No studies have evaluated the use of the new antivirals in patients with HCC. Staging and scoring remain an integral part of the management of patients with advanced HCC. Curative therapies for the treatment of HCC are evolving. Improvements in surgical techniques and risk stratification for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) have expanded access and improved the outlook for patients suffering from HCC. Interventional locoregional treatments continue to play a key role in the management of HCC. Transarterial chemoembolization is considered the standard of care for patients with noninvasive multinodular tumors at the intermediate stage. Bland embolization appears to have similar virtues in some studies. Y90 radioembolization represents a promising treatment option for patients unfit or refractory to transarterial chemoembolization. The advent of sorafenib as a standard of care with an improvement in survival sadly remain the only major breakthrough in the treatment of advanced HCC, with mounting negative data from multiple clinical trials. Advances in immunotherapy and customized therapy may hopefully help reverse this tide.


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