scholarly journals АNALYTICAL EVALUATION OF INDICATORS OF BANKING SYSTEM CAPITALIZATION AND MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN UKRAINE

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
І. Didenko ◽  
A. Yefimenko

Current trends in economic development of both the state as a whole and its individual sectors lead to a more detailed assessment of indicators of banking sector capitalization as indicators of system financial stability. Also, socio-economic fluctuations at the international level instigate a revision of macroeconomic stability indicators, which will allow analyzing the possibility of further development of Ukraine. It is important to note that a sufficient level of banking system capitalization is the basis for covering potential risks. With a high level of capitalization, the risk of bank default decreases, which has a positive effect on macroeconomic stability. The purpose of the study is to conduct an analytical assessment of capitalization and macroeconomic stability, to determine the forecast values of bank capital and GDP of Ukraine for 2021-2022 and to develop practical recommendations for improving the level of these indicators. The main tools used during the study are: methods of grouping, comparison and generalization, the method of exponential smoothing of time series, construction of an additive model, graphical method. STATISTICA was used for forecasting. The article provides an analytical review of the main indicators of banking system capitalization of Ukraine. Indicators of macroeconomic stability are studied. It is determined that the main indicators of capitalization in Ukraine are: H1 and H2 standards, the amount of balance capital of banks. The forecast of the volume of capital of banks of Ukraine and GDP for 2021-2022 by the method of exponential smoothing is carried out. Forecasting is performed with and without taking into account the seasonal component. The constructed models are adequate, so the results can be used in practice. Having forecast values of capital, banks will be able to adjust their resource policy and determine the deficit or surplus of this indicator. The projected values of GDP will help to adjust the state policy in terms of the formation of the indicator and to develop appropriate measures to further improve its level. Thus, the analytical review should be conducted on an ongoing basis, taking into account changes in the socio-economic policy of the state, fluctuations in the banking sector and changes in the world economy.

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-25
Author(s):  
Oksana Redkva

Introduction. The permanent occurrence of crisis phenomena in the Ukrainian economy requires the state authorities and the National Bank to search for effective and optimal ways to overcome the economic downturn. Among the important elements in building a system of measures to counteract the recession and stimulate stable economic growth is to ensure a high level of financial stability of the banking system of the country. The banking system has key functions in the mechanism of implementation of the state economic policy to counteract the emergence of negative trends in both the real and financial sectors of the economy. In connection with this, the urgency of the issue of ensuring the proper level of functioning of the banking system is violated. Aim and tasks. The purpose of the research is to deepen the theoretical positions regarding the problematic aspects of the activities of banking institutions and to develop practical recommendations for improving the efficiency of their functioning in Ukraine. Research results. The paper examines the current state of functioning of the banking sector. On the basis of the conducted research, the existence of direct and indirect influence on functioning of the banking system in Ukraine was noted. The existence of the relationship between the main macroeconomic factors and functioning of the banking sector has been proved. By means of mathematical tools, a direct correlation between the growth of gross domestic product and the growth of net bank assets was established. The positive foreign experience of countries with transition economies, which managed to ensure the efficient functioning of the banking system has been considered. The promising measures that will promote the improvement of the banking system and stimulate economic development have been outlined. Conclusions. The analysis of the status of banking institutions indicates the need for changes and effective reforms in the banking system. Realization of any type of reforms carries both potential advantages and the possibility of occurrence of certain risk situations. Therefore, it is expedient and consistently to outline a list of measures that will promote the improvement of the banking system and stimulate economic development, namely: a systematic approach to solving the problem of asset quality; increase of the savings base, which will allow to expand lending; strengthening of the requirements for disclosure of information about the financial status, ownership and management structure of banks; increasing financial literacy of the population; provision of corporate governance of banks on the basis of the best world standards; carrying out constant supervision of the degree of concentration of bank capital in terms of the country and its origin.


Author(s):  
Davydenko N. ◽  
Kolodiazhna V.

Today, the basis of financial security of the state is to ensure the stability and security of the banking system, because the decline in confidence in banks causes damage to the financial security of the whole country. The purpose of the article is to study the essence of financial security of the banking sector and develop proposals for its strengthening based on an assessment of the state of the banking sector at this stage of economic development. The primary tasks of the banking system are the stabilization of the monetary system of the state, the accumulation of financial resources of society, ensuring the stability of the national currency, which together have a signi-ficant impact on its financial security. That is why it is necessary to determine the state of the banking sector of the state in terms of its ability to withstand internal and external negative factors in the banking process. Therefore, the state of financial security of the banking system is subject to constant analysis, especially in our time, due to the difficult military-political situation and economic instability in the country, which has negatively affected the activities of commercial banks. The article presents the main indicators of the banking sector of Ukraine during 2014–2019, which provide an opportunity to analyze trends in its state under the influence of internal and external factors. The main characteristic features of the banking system of Ukraine in the conditions of modern challenges are determined. According to the results of the analysis, it can be stated that the state of the banking system of Ukraine is quite unstable, primarily due to the change in the structure of the banking sector and the fact that Ukraine is on the way to overcoming the crisis of the banking system. As a result of the research, measures have been identified to ensure the stability of the banking sector and increase the level of financial security of the banking system. It is established that in order to further ensure the stability of the financial security of the banking system of Ukraine at a high level, considerable attention should be paid to improving the banking management system and tools of state financial monitoring of the banking sector.Keywords: financial security, state, banking system, solvency, financial stability. У статті визначено сучасні підходи до визначення сутності фінансової безпеки банківської системи держави, як основної складової її економічної системи. Визначено основну мету підтримки фінансової безпеки банку та структуру банківського сектору держави в розрізі його платоспроможності. Здійснено оцінку основних показників діяльності банківського сектору держави та проведено аналіз сучасного його стану протягом 2014–2019 рр. на основі офіційної статистичної інформації Національного банку України. Визначено вплив націоналізації ПАТ «Приватбанк» та обґрунтовано основні її наслідки для державної частки банківського сектору. Охарактеризовано ефективність функціонування банківської системи України, а також вплив банківської реформи на нівелювання наслідків кризи банківської системи.Ключові слова: фінансова безпека, держава, банківська система, платоспроможність, фінансова стійкість


2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (12) ◽  
pp. 84-98
Author(s):  
Marta Barna ◽  
Nadiya Ruschyshyn

The relevance of the study lies in the fact that the fulfilment of the potential of the banking system is capable of providing positive structural changes in the economy of Ukraine. The purpose of the study is to analyse the state and trends of the banking system of Ukraine in the focus of its impact on the structural reform of the national economy. The study used methods of statistical analysis (to analyse the state and dynamics of the banking system) and the analogue method (to identify the extent of the development of the banking system on structural changes in the economy). It was substantiated that the effective functioning of the banking system is key to successful economic development of the national economy, in particular its reform. It is proved that a mechanism of redistribution of financial resources and money acts through the banking system; therefore, they are mobilised and involved in economic circulation in those sectors of the economy that need it most. The state and trends of development of the banking system as preconditions of fulfilment of its potential in structural reform of national economy are generalised. As a result of the analysis of the state and trends of the banking system, both their positive and negative features were identified. It is proved that in Ukraine, at the present stage of development of the national economy, the banking system has been cleared of low-liquid and conditionally fictitious banking structures, the volumes of assets, in particular highly liquid ones, are growing, and the loan portfolio of banks is improving, their financial results, liquidity and solvency, resistance to currency shocks, bank lending to the economy increase. The study also demonstrated that the country's banking system is described by a number of systemic shortcomings, especially the high level of concentration of bank capital and deposits in the largest banks, as well as state banks in a number of segments of the banking sector by number of departments, ATMs, terminals, active payment cards. There is a trend to weaken the penetration of the banking sector into the economy, especially in terms of affordable lending to individuals and strategic sectors of the economy. The practical value of the study lies in the fact that based on the identified shortcomings of the banking system and its impact on structural reforms, strategic lines of work for improving government regulation in this area have been identified


Author(s):  
Haider H. Dipheal Shubbar ◽  

This article discusses the methodology the Central Bank of Iraq developed to assess the financial stability of commercial banks. This topic is relevant because, in modern economic conditions, the Central Bank of Iraq is forced to tighten requirements to credit institutions. Banks use not only their own funds, but also the funds of the population, legal entities, so they must be reliable and stable. Financial stability directly characterises the reliability of banks, so it must be strictly controlled. The Central Bank of Iraq has created its own methodology for assessing the financial stability of the banking sector. Its use should improve the quality of the created banking system development strategies and the financial monitoring of these strategies’ implementation. The Iraqi banking sector has a high level of capital adequacy, which helps to reduce the likelihood of financial distress in it.


2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-63
Author(s):  
Tetiana Kubakh ◽  
◽  
Yevhen Rudenko ◽  

Annotation. Introduction. Permanent financial crises, currency fluctuations, inflation expectations, intensification of competition, increasing regulatory requirements for bank capital and risk reserves, military-political instability, globalization processes - all this is pressure for a stable financial condition of the banking system. Given the Anglo-Saxon structure of the financial market of Ukraine, banks are in fact the only internal source of capital for individuals and legal entities, which determines the importance of the impact of the banking system on the financial security of the state. In the conditions of dynamism of the modern world the question of preservation of reliability and efficiency of the modern bank becomes more and more actual. The issue of crisis prevention, threats, risks is given considerable attention in world practice, which is due to the need to maintain public confidence in banking institutions. The resilience of the banking system and its members to internal and external threats cannot be ensured without effective tools for control and influence by the regulator. The state is directly responsible for ensuring not only the stable development of the banking services market, but also the effective functioning of all components of the financial system. Timely analysis of indicators of financial stability of the banking system allows to identify the main problems in the activities of domestic banks and identify areas for their elimination, which will ensure the stability of economic development of the state. Purpose. The purpose of the article is to clarify the essence of the concepts of "financial stability of the banking system" and "financial security of the state", as well as to determine the relationship between financial stability of the banking system and financial security of the state. Results. It is determined that assessing the financial stability of the banking system is an important strategic task to ensure the financial security of the state. The interconnectedness and the place of financial stability of the banking system among such categories as stability, security, efficiency and reliability are substantiated. As a result of the calculation, the place of the banking component in the general structure of the financial security of the state was clarified. The analysis allowed to systematize the main threats to the financial security of the state, the source of which are the factors of the banking sector


Author(s):  
Svetlana Popović ◽  
Velimir Lukić

Financial problems in the banking sector have historically entailed significant government intervention and the allocation of significant funds for its rehabilitation. The recent financial crisis, manifested in Europe primarily as a banking crisis, reaffirmed the unwritten call of the state to intervene extensively to preserve economic and financial stability, but only for a set of old and developed EU Member States. The paper therefore analyzes the reformed role of the state in solving acute problems in transformed banking systems in Eastern Europe in the light of the post-crisis escalation of the volume of nonperforming loans. The focus of the role of the state was shifted from direct fiscal expenditures to raising the quality of the institutional environment and the rule of law, which enabled an impressive reduction in the rates of nonperforming loans. Foreign ownership in the banking sector has played a positive role because the financial backing of foreign subsidiaries has reduced potential fiscal costs on the one hand and on the other hand it contributed to maintaining confidence in the banking system.


2018 ◽  
pp. 80-91
Author(s):  
Natalia TKACHENKO ◽  
Olexander MOMOT

Introduction. Openness to transnational financial flows is one of the most important indicators of the development of banking systems. The advocates of openness of banking systems for the entry of transnational banks as positive characteristics indicate increased competition in the banking sector, increased financial stability and efficiency, application of the newest management methods, diffusion of banking innovations, consolidation of both prudential standards and standards of regulation and supervision of banking activities. The purpose. The purpose of the article is to study the signs of globalization of financial space and the main forms of the presence of foreign banks in the territory of the host country and identify a set of risks and effects arising from the expansion of transnational bank capital. Results. The main consequences of the openness of banking systems for the expansion of transnational bank capital are investigated in the article. The main forms of the presence of foreign banks in the territory of the host country are identified, namely: representation of a foreign bank, a branch of a foreign bank, a bank with foreign participation and a subsidiary bank. The factors influencing the choice by a transnational bank of a certain organizational form of presence in foreign markets are determined. The differences in the behavior of branches of transnational banks and subsidiary banks in the financial markets of the host country are examined. A set of risks emerged in the case of the openness of the banking system and the presence of branches of transnational banks is identified. A set of effects generated by the expansion of transnational bank capital is investigated. Conclusions. The removal of barriers to capital flows must be coordinated with certain measures in macroeconomic policy. Failure to comply with this condition can lead to crisis phenomena, growth of external debt, especially short-term, and threaten the financial stability of the state.


Author(s):  
Leonora Haliti Rudhani ◽  
Driton Balaj

The banking sector in Kosovo continues to have a high level of sustainability and financial stability. Two substantial components for the stability of the banking system appear to be liquidity and liquidity risk. The purpose of this paper is to analyze liquidity management in Kosovo's commercial banks through liquidity risk indicators from 2008 to 2017. By comparing the methodology of the data presented, the study will assess the state of management of the liquidity risk of commercial banks. From 2008 until now, commercial banks in Kosovo have had liquidity reserves at a level higher than the level required by CBK, which means that exposure to liquidity risk was minimal.


Author(s):  
Olha Drachevska

The article is devoted to the analysis of scientific approaches to the interpretation of the concepts of "state regulation", "state regulation of banking", "banking regulation" and the measures on which the state regulation of banking is based. An analysis of the scientific literature in various fields allows us to conclude that scholars ambiguously interpret the term "state regulation of banking." Most often, state regulation of banking is seen as a system of measures by which the state through authorized bodies regulates the activities of banks. The domestic legislator considers the concept of "banking regulation" as one of the functions of the National Bank of Ukraine, which is to create a system of norms governing the activities of banks, determine the general principles of banking, banking supervision, liability for violations of banking legislation. The main purpose of banking regulation is security and financial stability of the banking system, protection of the interests of depositors and creditors. The importance of state regulation of banking as an integral part of public policy is emphasized. Effective state regulation of banking activities should ensure stable and uninterrupted operation of the banking system, guarantee the provision of quality services by banks to depositors and borrowers and protect their interests. Preventive and protective measures on which the state regulation of banking activity in Ukraine is based are considered. Preventive measures should be implemented through the approval of mandatory regulations. The application of protective measures should provide protection against the already threatening situation for the bank. Attention is also paid to the forms in which state regulation of banks by the National Bank is carried out. Such forms are administrative regulation and indicative regulation.


Author(s):  
Nataliia Danik ◽  
Kateryna Novak ◽  
Anastasiia Yakovenko

The article covers the problems of the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine during 2018-2021, as one of the main sectors of the financial market and the national economy as a whole. When analyzing the state of the banking sector, regularities and general trends in the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine have been established, and appropriate calculations have been made. The impact of global financial crises on the activities of banking structures, which must operate in conditions of constant financial instability, is described. Today, the whole world, including Ukraine, is on the verge of a global financial and economic crisis. This raises the question of whether Ukrainian banks have the necessary margin of resilience to vulnerabilities to the financial and economic crisis. In recent years, the functioning and development of the banking system has been characterized by increased financial stability, the level of bank capitalization, liquidity, some improvement in asset quality, reducing risks in banking, as well as the presence of positive structural changes. Today, Ukraine's banking system operates in a complex socio-economic and legal environment, most of which - macroeconomic instability, irrational structure of the industrial complex, the crisis of science and technology, imperfect fiscal and monetary policy, low level of effective demand - complicate sustainable development banking sector and increase competitiveness. In conditions of instability, intensification of turbulent processes, the development of the banking system requires new innovative approaches to determining the mechanisms of effective functioning and stable development based on a system-synergetic approach, which led to the choice and relevance of the chosen topic of this scientific article. Efficiency of banks is a multicomponent, multifaceted, multidimensional system characteristic that depends on many factors and is an effective indicator of performance of functions and achievement of goals and objectives of banks development provided financial stability based on financial stability and dynamic balance, achievement of multiplicative and synergistic effects.


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