scholarly journals The impact of time delay on the transmission of Japanese encephalitis model without vaccination

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vinod Baniya ◽  
Ram Keval
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Japanese Encephalitis ◽  
Transmission Rate ◽  
Equilibrium Points ◽  
Normal Structure ◽  
Infected Mosquito ◽  
Human Populations ◽  
Delay Model ◽  
The Impact

In the manuscript, the influence of time delay on the transmission of Japanese encephalitis model without vaccination model has been studied. The time delay is because of the existence of an incubation period during which the JE virus reproduces enough in the mosquitoes with the goal that it tends to be transmitted by the mosquitoes to people. The motivation behind this manuscript is to assess the influence of the time delay it takes to infect susceptible human populations after interacting with infected mosquitoes. The steady-states and the threshold value R0 of the delay model were resolved. This value assists with setting up the circumstance that ensure the asymptotic stability of relating  equilibrium points. Utilizing the delay as a bifurcation parameter, we built up the circumstance for the presence of a ”Hopf bifurcation”. Moreover, we infer an express equation to decide the stability and direction of ”Hopf bifurcation” at endemic equilibrium by using center manifold theory and normal structure strategy. It has been seen that delay plays a vital role in stability exchanging. In addition, larger values of virus transmission rate from an infected mosquito to  susceptible individuals and the natural mortality of humans of a model affect the existence of ”Hopf bifurcation”. Finally, to understand some analytical outcomes, the delay framework is simulated numerically.

scholarly journals A fractional-order love dynamical model with time delay for synergic couple : Stability analysis and Hopf bifurcation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
SANTOSHI PANIGRAHI ◽  
Sunita Chand ◽  
S Balamuralitharan
Keyword(s):  
Stability Analysis ◽  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Fractional Order ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Equilibrium Points ◽  
Order Model ◽  
Fractional Order Model ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

We investigate the fractional order love dynamic model with time delay for synergic couples in this manuscript. The quantitative analysis of the model has been done where the asymptotic stability of the equilibrium points of the model have been analyzed. Under the impact of time delay, the Hopf bifurcation analysis of the model has been done. The stability analysis of the model has been studied with the reproduction number less than or greater than 1. By using Laplace transformation, the analysis of the model has been done. The analysis shows that the fractional order model with a time delay can sufficiently improve the components and invigorate the outcomes for either stable or unstable criteria. In this model, all unstable cases are converted to stable cases under neighbourhood points. For all parameters, the reproduction ranges have been described. Finally, to illustrate our derived results numerical simulations have been carried out by using MATLAB. Under the theoretical outcomes from parameter estimation, the love dynamical system is verified.

scholarly journals A study on COVID-19 transmission dynamics: stability analysis of SEIR model with Hopf bifurcation for effect of time delay

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Radha ◽  
S. Balamuralitharan
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Transmission Rate ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Seir Model ◽  
Sensitivity Indices ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper deals with a general SEIR model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with the effect of time delay proposed. We get the stability theorems for the disease-free equilibrium and provide adequate situations of the COVID-19 transmission dynamics equilibrium of present and absent cases. A Hopf bifurcation parameter τ concerns the effects of time delay and we demonstrate that the locally asymptotic stability holds for the present equilibrium. The reproduction number is brief in less than or greater than one, and it effectively is controlling the COVID-19 infection outbreak and subsequently reveals insight into understanding the patterns of the flare-up. We have included eight parameters and the least square method allows us to estimate the initial values for the Indian COVID-19 pandemic from real-life data. It is one of India’s current pandemic models that have been studied for the time being. This Covid19 SEIR model can apply with or without delay to all country’s current pandemic region, after estimating parameter values from their data. The sensitivity of seven parameters has also been explored. The paper also examines the impact of immune response time delay and the importance of determining essential parameters such as the transmission rate using sensitivity indices analysis. The numerical experiment is calculated to illustrate the theoretical results.

scholarly journals Hopf Bifurcation of a Delayed Ecoepidemic Model with Ratio-Dependent Transmission Rate

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Wanjun Xia ◽  
Soumen Kundu ◽  
Sarit Maitra
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Center Manifold ◽  
Transmission Rate ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Normal Form Theory ◽  
Center Manifold Theorem ◽  
Form Theory ◽  
Ratio Dependent ◽  
Theoretical Results

A delayed ecoepidemic model with ratio-dependent transmission rate has been proposed in this paper. Effects of the time delay due to the gestation of the predator are the main focus of our work. Sufficient conditions for local stability and existence of a Hopf bifurcation of the model are derived by regarding the time delay as the bifurcation parameter. Furthermore, properties of the Hopf bifurcation are investigated by using the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out in order to validate our obtained theoretical results.

Fear Induced Stabilization in an Intraguild Predation Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (04) ◽  
pp. 2050053
Author(s):  
Mainul Hossain ◽  
Nikhil Pal ◽  
Sudip Samanta ◽  
Joydev Chattopadhyay
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Intraguild Predation ◽  
Equilibrium Points ◽  
Stable Limit ◽  
Interior Equilibrium ◽  
The Rich ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact

In the present paper, we investigate the impact of fear in an intraguild predation model. We consider that the growth rate of intraguild prey (IG prey) is reduced due to the cost of fear of intraguild predator (IG predator), and the growth rate of basal prey is suppressed due to the cost of fear of both the IG prey and the IG predator. The basic mathematical results such as positively invariant space, boundedness of the solutions, persistence of the system have been investigated. We further analyze the existence and local stability of the biologically feasible equilibrium points, and also study the Hopf-bifurcation analysis of the system with respect to the fear parameter. The direction of Hopf-bifurcation and the stability properties of the periodic solutions have also been investigated. We observe that in the absence of fear, omnivory produces chaos in a three-species food chain system. However, fear can stabilize the chaos thus obtained. We also observe that the system shows bistability behavior between IG prey free equilibrium and IG predator free equilibrium, and bistability between IG prey free equilibrium and interior equilibrium. Furthermore, we observe that for a suitable set of parameter values, the system may exhibit multiple stable limit cycles. We perform extensive numerical simulations to explore the rich dynamics of a simple intraguild predation model with fear effect.

A multi-delay model for pest control with awareness induced interventions — Hopf bifurcation and optimal control analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (06) ◽  
pp. 2050047
Author(s):  
Fahad Al Basir
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Time Delays ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Control Analysis ◽  
Agricultural Practice ◽  
Delay Model ◽  
Awareness Campaigns ◽  
Farming Awareness

Farming awareness is an important measure for pest controlling in agricultural practice. Time delay in controlling pest may affect the system. Time delay occurs in organizing awareness campaigns, also time delay may takes place in becoming aware of the control strategies or implementing suitable controlling methods informed through social media. Thus we have derived a mathematical model incorporating two time delays into the system and Holling type-II functional response. The existence and the stability criteria of the equilibria are obtained in terms of the basic reproduction number and time delays. Stability changes occur through Hopf-bifurcation when time delays cross the critical values. Optimal control theory has been applied for cost-effectiveness of the delayed system. Numerical simulations are carried out to justify the analytical results. This study shows that optimal farming awareness through radio, TV etc. can control the delay induced bifurcation in a cost-effective way.

scholarly journals Bifurcations and Dynamics of the Rb-E2F Pathway Involving miR449

Complexity ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Lingling Li ◽  
Jianwei Shen
Keyword(s):  
Steady State ◽  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Bifurcation Theory ◽  
Critical Value ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Delay Model ◽  
Dynamical Behaviors ◽  
Theoretical Results

We focused on the gene regulative network involving Rb-E2F pathway and microRNAs (miR449) and studied the influence of time delay on the dynamical behaviors of Rb-E2F pathway by using Hopf bifurcation theory. It is shown that under certain assumptions the steady state of the delay model is asymptotically stable for all delay values; there is a critical value under another set of conditions; the steady state is stable when the time delay is less than the critical value, while the steady state is changed to be unstable when the time delay is greater than the critical value. Thus, Hopf bifurcation appears at the steady state when the delay passes through the critical value. Numerical simulations were presented to illustrate the theoretical results.

Hopf bifurcation and chaos in time-delay model of glucose-insulin regulatory system

2020 ◽  
Vol 137 ◽  
pp. 109845 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul-Basset A. Al-Hussein ◽  
Fadihl Rahma ◽  
Sajad Jafari
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Regulatory System ◽  
Delay Model ◽  
Bifurcation And Chaos

Hopf Bifurcation in a Delayed Diffusive Leslie–Gower Predator–Prey Model with Herd Behavior

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (04) ◽  
pp. 1950055
Author(s):  
Fengrong Zhang ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
Changpin Li
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Differential Equations ◽  
Periodic Solutions ◽  
Herd Behavior ◽  
Predator Prey ◽  
Predator Prey Model ◽  
Prey Model ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

In this paper, we consider a delayed diffusive predator–prey model with Leslie–Gower term and herd behavior subject to Neumann boundary conditions. We are mainly concerned with the impact of time delay on the stability of this model. First, for delayed differential equations and delayed-diffusive differential equations, the stability of the positive equilibrium and the existence of Hopf bifurcation are investigated respectively. It is observed that when time delay continues to increase and crosses through some critical values, a family of homogeneous and inhomogeneous periodic solutions emerge. Then, the explicit formula for determining the stability and direction of bifurcating periodic solutions are also derived by employing the normal form theory and center manifold theorem for partial functional differential equations. Finally, some numerical simulations are shown to support the analytical results.

Stability and Hopf Bifurcation of Impact Dynamics Considering Delay in a Semi-Active Energy Absorbing Suspension System

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaomin Dong ◽  
Wei Hu ◽  
Miao Yu ◽  
Norman M. Wereley
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Impact Velocity ◽  
Suspension System ◽  
Impact Dynamics ◽  
Ground Vehicles ◽  
Payload Mass ◽  
Energy Absorbers ◽  
Energy Absorbing ◽  
The Impact

In a crash event, such as the crash of an aircraft or the collision of two ground vehicles, the impact dynamics are a function of the impact velocity and payload mass. A typical bumper system on a ground vehicle has passive viscous energy absorbers (PVEAs) that are optimally designed for a specific impact velocity and payload, so that off-design performance may be suboptimal, and may even be unacceptable for large perturbations in sink rate and payload mass from the designed values. This is because the load-stroke profile of the energy absorbing suspension system (EASS) is passive in that spring stiffness and damping of the energy absorbers is fixed. Therefore, in this study, the PVEA in an EASS is replaced by an active or semi-active energy absorber (SAEA), and the effects of time delay in achieving controllable semi-active damping is analyzed in the context of impact dynamics. To accomplish this, a three degree-of-freedom dynamic model of an EASS is presented, and the effect of the time delay in commanding the controllable force of the EA is analyzed. The asymptotic stability and Hopf bifurcation of the trivial steady state response are analyzed for a range of time delay. A technique to stabilize the impact dynamic is developed, and it is shown that the impact dynamics can be stabilized using appropriate feedback control.

scholarly journals Assessing the effect of fungicide treatment on Cocoa black pod disease in Ghana: Insight from mathematical modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 374-385
Author(s):  
Bismark Oduro ◽  
Ofosuhene O Apenteng ◽  
Henrietta Nkansah
Keyword(s):  
Crop Yields ◽  
Transmission Rate ◽  
Equilibrium Points ◽  
Phytophthora Palmivora ◽  
Type Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Fungicide Treatment ◽  
Black Pod ◽  
Black Pod Disease ◽  
The Impact

Black pod disease is caused by fungi of the species Phytophthora palmivora or Phytophthora megakarya. The disease causes darkening of affected areas of cocoa trees and/or fruits and leads to significant reduction in crop yields and decreases lifespan of the plant. This study presents a simple S_1S_2IT-type model with variable population size to assess the impact of fungicide treatment on the dynamics of the black pod disease. We do both theoretical studies and numerical simulations of the model. In particular, we analyze the existence of equilibrium points and their stability, simulate the model using data on reported black pod cases from Ghana. In addition, we perform sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number with respect to the model parameters. The results show that the top three parameters that govern the dynamics of the black pod disease are the treatment rate, transmission rate, and planting rate of new trees

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