scholarly journals KAUSALITAS INFRASTRUKTUR JALAN, URBANISASI DAN KESEJAHTERAAN MASYARAKAT DI INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Dini Dwi Syafira ◽  
Mike Triani

This study aims to determine: (1) Causality of road infrastructure and urbanization in Indonesia. (2) Causality of road infrastructure and public welfare in Indonesia. (3) Causality of urbanization and welfare in Indonesia. Type of Data: Secondary data in the form of time series. Sample and research: From 1987-2017. The method used in this research is the Vector Error Correlation Model Method. The results show that: (1) In the short term urbanization and community welfare do not contribute to the variability of road infrastructure in Indonesia. (2) In the long term, urbanization and community welfare each contribute to road infrastructure. (3) In the short term road infrastructure contributes to the variability of urbanization and the welfare of the community does not. (4) In the long run, people's welfare will contribute the most in influencing the variability of urbanization. (5) In the short term as well as in the long term, road infrastructure and urbanization contribute to the variability of the welfare of the people in Indonesia.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Haposan Orlando Napitupulu ◽  
Ana Arifatus Sa'diyah ◽  
Farah Mutiara

This study aims to analyze the integration of the Arabica and Robusta coffee markets in Indonesia with world coffee prices. The study uses secondary data in the form of annual time series data during the period 1985 - 2015. The study uses the VECM analysis method. This method explains the relationship of long-term dynamic equilibrium and short-term equilibrium in a system of equations. The analysis shows that Indonesian and world Arabica coffee is not integrated in the long term or the short term. In Robusta coffee VECM estimation analysis shows that there is a significant value at the 10% level in a long-term relationship with a value of 0.08579, which means that there is a short-term relationship between world Robusta coffee prices and domestic Robusta coffee prices in the previous year, but no relationship in the long run.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-29
Author(s):  
Gery Andrean

The aims of this study to know the determinant that affect bitcoin prices and how bitcoin prices response to the shock from GDP (Gross Domestic Product), inflation, exchange rate, JCI (Jakarta Composite Index. The method that was used in this research was quantitative analysis, with data analysis tools Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Data used in this research was secondary data taken from Bank Indonesia, Bitcoincharts, and Yahoo Finance. The results of this study showed that (1) inflation in short term and in long term has negative significant effect on bitcoin prices, exchange rate in long term has positive significant effect on bitcoin price. In short term and in the long term GDP and JCI do not have significant effect on bitcoin prices (2) The results of IRF shows bitcoin prices respond negatively shock from GDP and exchange rate, while shock from inflation and JCI responded posifively by bitcoin prices.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (7) ◽  
pp. 515
Author(s):  
Dwi Purnamasari ◽  
Raditya Sukmana

This research aims to know the influence of long-term and short-term world gold price, the price of crude oil to the world, and the index of industrial production against the stock index at the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) during the period January to December 2015-2015. The object of this research is the stock index at the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). Types of data used are secondary data. This research method using technical analysis with quantitative method of Error Correction Mechanism (ECM). The results showed that significant influence world gold prices in the long term and the short term against a stock index of JII. While the price of crude oil the world significant negative effect on the long run, and a significant positive effect on the short term. The index of industrial production turned out to be only a significant effect in the long term, but not in the short term.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 369-378
Author(s):  
Nurhayani Nurhayani ◽  
Dearmi Artis ◽  
Parmadi Parmadi

The plantation sector is a major sector that has an important role in Indonesia both in terms of increasing income and in balancing environmental preservation and as an instrument of equitable development of the people. One of the commodities in the plantation sector is Cassiavera. This study aims to determine and analyze the effect of area, production, exchange rate and economic growth on the export volume of Cassiavera. This study uses secondary data and uses the ECM and RCA analysis tools. In the long run, all variables, either simultaneously or partially, affect the Cassiavera export variable. Whereas in the short term partially or individually, only the economic growth variable affects Cassiavera exports and simultaneously or together all variables affect Cassiavera exports. Indonesian Cassiavera has greater competitiveness than China, which is shown by Indonesia's higher RCA value than China.  


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 9
Author(s):  
Nadhiera Ahya Dhiba ◽  
Lavlimatria Esya

<em>This study aims to analyze the factors that influence the growth of Islamic banking assets in Indonesia in the short and long term. <em>This study uses monthly secondary data from 2012 to 2016. The analytical model used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The advantages of this model can explain short-term and long-term behavior. <em>The results showed the Non-Performing Financing (NPF) variable in the short term had a negative and significant relationship while in the long run it had a negative and not significant relationship to the growth of Islamic banking assets in Indonesia. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) variable in the short and long term has a positive and not significant relationship to the growth of Islamic banking assets in Indonesia. Operating Cost Variable to Operating Income (BOPO) in the short and long term has a positive and not significant relationship to the growth of Islamic banking assets in Indonesia. Indonesian Islamic Bank Certificate Variables (SBIS) in the short term have a positive and significant relationship while in the long run have a positive and not significant relationship to the growth of Islamic banking assets in Indonesia.</em></em></em>


2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (9) ◽  
pp. 15-18
Author(s):  
Atul Arun Pathak

Purpose This paper aims to focus on Tata Motors, an automobile company from an emerging market, and its successful acquisition of two global marquee car brands in Jaguar and Land Rover (JLR). It traces the evolution of JLR under the stewardship of Tata Motors over an eight-year long period and examines the strategic reasons for the success of the acquisition. Design/methodology/approach The paper approaches strategic issues in cross-border acquisitions using an illustration of a successful deal. It is based on statements of leaders and secondary data about the acquirer and acquired organizations. The paper explores the strategic challenges faced when emerging market firms carry out cross border acquisition deals. It recommends the short-term and long-term strategies that acquirers can follow to improve the chances of a successful acquisition. Findings Any acquisition is challenging. Cross-border acquisitions face greater challenges, especially if the acquirer is from an emerging market country while the target company is from a developed country. Success of the acquisition, especially over the long run, depends on both internal factors that are under the control of the acquirer’s management, as well as external environmental factors that it needs to address. Both patience and luck are required ingredients for success in such contexts. Practical implications While the general temptation in any acquisition is to extract synergies as quickly as possible, the Tata Motors’ acquisition of JLR is an exception. Tata Motors carefully handled short-term challenges and continued to invest in the core competencies of JLR and reaped benefits over the long run. It was also fortunate that a variety of factors in the external environment turned favorable for Tata Motors and JLR in the eight years since the deal took place. Social implications It concedes that during an M&A deal, the leaders of a seller organization may be nervous about their future. JLR trade union leaders were initially not sure whether jobs in UK would remain secure. To ensure success of the deal, the leaders of the acquirer firm need to balance the interests of multiple stakeholders, both in the short-term, as well as over a longer-term perspective. Originality/value The paper considers the Tata Motors’ acquisition of JLR. It is an example of a large, difficult cross-border acquisition by an emerging market based company. While the acquisition proved difficult in the short term, it has yielded excellent dividends to the parent company over the long term. This paper explores the reasons why this cross-border acquisition succeeded and recommends strategies that other companies considering cross-border acquisitions can consider to improve their chances of success.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Haposan Orlando Napitupulu ◽  
Ana Arifatus Sa’diyah ◽  
Farah Mutiara

This study aims to analyze the integration of the Arabica and Robusta coffee markets in Indonesia and world coffee prices. The study uses secondary data in the form of annual time series data from 1985-2015. The study uses the VECM analysis method. This method explains the relationship between long-term dynamic and short-term equilibrium in a system of equations. The analysis shows that Indonesian and world Arabica coffee did not integrate into the long term or the short term. In Robusta coffee, VECM estimation shows that there is the significant at the 10% level in a long-term relationship with a value of 0.086. It means that there is a short-term relationship between world Robusta coffee prices and domestic Robusta coffee prices in the previous year, but no relationship in the long run.


Author(s):  
Shofal Iman ◽  
Imron Mawardi ◽  
Md Atiqur Rahman Sarker

This study aims to determine the influence of long-term and short-term global stock index on the Indonesian Islamic stock index. The approach used is a quantitative approach and uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. ECM is an analytical model that can be used in time series data to estimate the effect of independent variables on long-term and short-term use variables. The sample used was taken from secondary data, namely global stock index data consisting of the DJIA, N225 and HSI indices, and the Indonesian sharia stock index in the form of the ISSI index in the period of January 2013 to December 2017, so that 60 samples were obtained. The test results show that in the long run, the DJIA and HSI indices have a significant positive effect on the ISSI index, while the N225 index has a significant negative effect on the ISSI index. In the short term, only the DJIA index has a significant positive effect on the ISSI index.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Fadila Arza ◽  
Murtala Murtala

This study aims to analyze the effect of oil product exports and petroleum imports on the economic growth of Indonesia. This study uses secondary data. The method used to analyze the relationship between endogenous and exogenous variables is a dynamic model with the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach. The results in the long-term and short-term show that Oil Products Exports have a positive effect on the Economic Growth of Indonesia. In the long-term and short-term, petroleum imports negatively influence the economic growth of Indonesia.Keywords:Oil Product Exports, Crude Oil Imports, Economic Growth


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 3
Author(s):  
Murti Sari Dewi

This thesis want to see effect of macroeconomics variables of inflation in Indonesia before and after Inflation Targeting Framework Policy period 2002:1 – 2010:12. The data used in this study is a secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia. Variables are in use, among others: the level of inflation (CPI), the money supply, government expenditure, exchange rates against the U.S. dollar, and the dummy variable. Analysis tool used is a dynamic model. This model explains the influence of the relationship between the dependent variable with independent variables in the short and long term. The results of this study concluded that the variables in the money supply, government expenditure , and exchange rates have a significant effect on inflation in the long run, while in the short term had no significant effect on inflation, so that this study produces a long-term equation. Based on the results of previous studies both concluded that the variables in the money supply, government expenditure , and exchange rates have a significant effect on inflation in the long run, while in the short term had no significant effect on inflation.


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