scholarly journals PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE SUBJECT OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Author(s):  
Delya Valeryevna Ulanova ◽  
Mikhail Igorevich Shikulskiy

The article analyzes the features of forecasting analysis of the socio-economic development of the RF subject (the Astrakhan region is taken as an example). The article describes the process of conducting analysis of coming data and forecasting; shows the stages of the process (forming a purpose of the study, collecting participating explanatory variables; accumulation of important statistical data; analyzing forecast figures using a certain predicting method; forming and visualizing analysis and prediction reports), requirements to baseline information and most common methods of socio-economic forecast. The existing relationship and interaction between the forecasting indicators should be taken to consideration in order to obtain well-coordinated and consistent data forecasts. On the basis of the analytical platform Deductor there has been developed the information-analytical system, its purpose is running of the script proposed by an analyst, and creating reports. The system calculates the forecasts, which are then combined into one data set. This method is based on information about the model, which allows selecting the optimal forecast with a minimum error.

2021 ◽  
Vol 274 ◽  
pp. 10006
Author(s):  
Askar Mustafin ◽  
Jaroslav Gonos ◽  
Nataliya Seliverstova ◽  
Margarita Maksimova

The competitiveness of individual economies belongs to the issues frequently discussed among experts as it is closely connected with and reflects the economic situation in different countries. The focus of the present article is the survey of the development of competitiveness of selected economies and the subsequent comparison thereof. In order to further specify this focus, we concentrated on the economies of the Russian Federation and Germany. These economies are regarded as strong and efficient global economies that put emphasis on continuous growth. The economy of the Slovak Republic was selected as the secondary focus of the article as it is an open economy cooperating with major economic players, including the countries representing the subject of this article. The key criterion for the evaluation of the development was the Global Competitiveness Index and the monitored period was 2008-2017. The article contains two basic parts; the first part represents a theoretical framework of the discussed topic and the second part provides the comparison and confrontation of competitiveness in the selected economies. The final part of the article contains the identification of potential weaknesses and strengths of the evaluated economies.


2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 125-134
Author(s):  
Tatiana Frolova

The subject. The article shows the approaches to the process of creating and realizing strategiesof socio-economic development of the largest cities in the Russian Federation. Thestrategies of socio-economic development of the largest cities have been fundamental inthe formation of such city agglomerations as “Big Volgograd” (Volgograd), “Big Rostov”(Rostov), Zhigulevskaya agglomeration (Samara), Nizhegorodskaya agglomeration (NizhnyNovgorod), Chelyabinsk city agglomeration (Chelyabinsk) and these strategies contain themain ways of development which go far beyond the competence of local importance.The purpose. The article addresses the problems that arise in the process of creating strategiesof socio-economic development of the largest cities including the extent of powerbetween public authorities of different levels.The methodology. The systematic approach, methods of formal and comparative analysisof law as well as synthesis are used in the article.Results. Before the adoption of Federal Law “On the Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation”(further down the article 172-FZ) strategic planning was unsystematic and therewere no unitary law-based approaches towards the drafting process of strategic planningdocuments. After the adoption of 172-FZ the situation has not dramatically changed.The analysis of strategic planning in the largest cities shows the lack of unitary approachestowards the drafting process of strategic planning documents, the definitions of missionand strategic goals of development, the assessment of largest cities importance in the contextof over-regional, regional and internal city area development. Also, the peculiarities ofterritorial planning and budgetary process in municipal establishments are not taken intoconsideration.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 1266-1285
Author(s):  
Sn.P. Mongush

Subject. This article explores the various aspects of the concept of Spatial Development. Objectives. The article aims to develop a conceptual basis for the spatial socio-economic development of the collaborating regions. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of comparative and statistical analyses. Results. The article shows how cooperation between the subjects of the Russian Federation increases the potential of economically united regions. Conclusions. When preparing national strategic planning documents, it is necessary to take into account the specifics of regions, their capacity, available resources, and focus on the relationship between regions.


2019 ◽  
pp. 62-68
Author(s):  
I.A. Kirichenko ◽  
R.R. Gumerov

The article analyzes some new requirements to the methodology of medium-term forecasting of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the framework of the «big challenges» model. The main «big challenges» of the global and Russian economy are identified, the main requirements for the medium-term forecasting of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the transition to the model of «big challenges» are considered.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (12) ◽  
pp. 74-78
Author(s):  
A. A. BISULTANOVA ◽  

The author touched upon topical issues of inter-budget alignment, budget provision of regions with financial resources, focusing on factors that directly affect the stability of the budget system, as well as highlighting problems in the budget sphere that require urgent attention from the authorities. It is concluded that the level of interregional differentiation continues to increase, and the modern mechanism of budget equalization requires urgent amendments and adjustments. It is emphasized that the main goals of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation related to the transition to an innovative type of development, changes in the structure of the national economy, set out in strategic documents and messages of the President of the Russian Federation and declared since 2009, are not being implemented, and the effectiveness of state economic policy and Federal budget expenditures for its implementation remains low. This indicates the need to review the current system.


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