scholarly journals What can SVAR models tell us about the impact of Public Expenditure Shocks on macroeconomic variables in algeria? A Slight Hint to the COVID-19 Pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 21-37
Author(s):  
Chellai Fatih
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Energy Factors ◽  
New Feature ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Research background: Public spending is a generator of economic growth as well as its components; this reality is more depicted in the era of the COVID-19 world pandemic where a recession in economic activities has touched all countries. Purpose: In this paper, we tried to study the impact of shocks in public expenditure on some macroeconomic variables in Algeria during the period (1970–2019). Research methodology: The VAR Structural models were used to study the response of these variables to shocks in public spending in Algeria. Results: The results of the modeling indicate a direct response of both exports and imports to a shock in the levels of public expenditure, but this response is relatively weak to the variable value of exports (especially in the short term), which is mainly due to the structure of the Algerian economy that is mainly dependent on the export of oil and gas, which in turn is mainly affected by international energy factors e.g. prices, supply, and demand. For the rate of inflation, there was an inverse response to shocks in the level of public spending. In the context of the global health and economic crisis, we will witness a further faltering of economic growth in Algeria. Novelty: Our contribution is a new feature of the application of the SVAR model in the era of the COVID-19 pandemic that focused on analyzing the impacts of public expenditure on exports and imports

scholarly journals The impact of public expenditures on economic growth of the Republic of North Macedonia

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 249-258
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Nikoloski
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Living Standards ◽  
Living Standard ◽  
Public Expenditures ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
The Impact

Ensuring high and sustainable economic growth is one of the main tasks of public spending policy. In fact, public expenditure plays an important role in the formation of physical and human capital over time. If are properly targeted, they can stimulate economic growth even in the short term, when limited infrastructure of (unskilled) workforce is a barrier to increased production. Therefore, the realized impact of public expenditures on economic growth can be considered as an indicator of their effectiveness. The goal of public expenditure is to increase economic growth by providing more employment opportunities, increasing people's income and living standards. Therefore, if they are well-managed, they can lead to the desired level of economic growth and improvement of the living standard of the population.

scholarly journals THE NEXUS BETWEEN PUBLIC SPENDING ON EDUCATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH OF KOSOVO – ECONOMETRIC APPROACH

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Besime Ziberi ◽  
Mimoza Hodaj
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Secondary Education ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Impact

The main aim of this study is to analyze the trend of public spending dedicated to education in case of Kosovo over the years and to measure the impact of public spending in education on economic growth of Kosovo. In order to achieve the goal, the Pearson Correlation is used and a multifactorial regression model (OLS) has been modified and adapted, where we have determined the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as depended variable and as independent variable in the model conclude: (i) Total public expenditure on education (ii) Public expenditure on Secondary Education and (iii) Public expenditure on Higher Education (University). The data used is secondary data from the Kosovo’s State Budget, Ministry of Finance and Transfers, and Kosovo Agency of Statistics. We come in conclusion that public spending dedicated to the Higher Education (University) has a positive impact on Kosovo's economic growth meanwhile the public spending on secondary education and total public expenditure on education in the model circumstances show no significance. The paper comes with further recommendations on public spending policies dedicated to education in order to influence Kosovo's economic growth.

scholarly journals The Nexus Between Public Spending on Education and Economic Growth of Kosovo (Econometric Approach)

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 285-296
Author(s):  
Besime Ziberi ◽  
Rrezarta Gashi ◽  
Mimoza Hodaj
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Secondary Education ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The main aim of this study is to analyse the trend of public spending dedicated to education in case of Kosovo over the years and to measure the impact of public spending in education on economic growth of Kosovo. In order to achieve the aim, the Pearson Correlation has been used and a multifactorial regression model (OLS) has been modified and adapted, where we have determined the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a dependent variable and as an independent variable in the model: (i) Public expenditure on secondary education and (ii) Public expenditure on higher education (university). The data used are secondary data from the Kosovo’s State Budget, Ministry of Finance and Transfers, and Kosovo Agency of Statistics. We have come to a conclusion that public spending dedicated to higher education (university) has a positive impact on Kosovo’s economic growth meanwhile public spending on secondary education does not show any effect. The paper suggests further recommendations on public spending policies dedicated to education in order to influence Kosovo’s economic growth.

The nexus between financial development and energy consumption: Estimating the role of foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization

2021 ◽  
pp. 0958305X2110453
Author(s):  
Jaleel Ahmed ◽  
Shuja ur Rehman ◽  
Zaid Zuhaira ◽  
Shoaib Nisar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of financial development on energy consumption for a wide array of countries. The estimators used for financial development are foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization. The study employed a panel data regression on 136 countries with time frame of years 1990 to 2019. The model in this study deploys system GMM technique to estimate the model. The results show that financial development has a significant negative impact on energy consumption overall. Foreign direct investment and urbanization has significant impact on energy consumption. Also, economic growth positive impact on energy consumption its mean that economic growth promotes energy consumption. When dividing further the sample into different groups of regions such as Asian, European, African, North/Latin American and Caribbean countries then mixed results related to the nexus between financial development and energy consumption with respect to economic growth, urbanization and foreign direct investment. The policymakers in these different groups of countries must balance the relationship between energy supply and demand to achieving the sustainable economic development.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF DIRECTION FOR COORDINATION OF MONETARY REGULATION OF INVESTMENT IN THE INTEGRATION UNIONS

2021 ◽  
pp. 27-36
Author(s):  
Marina Zelenkevich ◽  
Natallia Bandarenka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Eurasian Economic Union ◽  
National Bank ◽  
Economic Union ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Method Of Correlation

In the context of globalization and regionalization, central banks pursuing monetary policy in the country at the same time become subjects of monetary regulation within the framework of the integrational associations of which they are members. The purpose of the article is to assess the impact of monetary policy on investment and economic growth in integration unions and determine the appropriateness of their coordination. To achieve the goal, a method of correlation-regression analysis is proposed, one which allows for the identifying and assessing of the degree of influence of certain directions of monetary policy of the countries of the integration association on the indicators of investment and economic growth. As a result of the analysis, the expediency of coordination and implementation of a coordinated policy of central banks to stimulate the deposit and credit policy of commercial banks was proved, which positively affects the characteristics of supply and demand in the integrated investment market. The assessment of the directions of the coordination of monetary investments regulation was carried out on the example of an integration association - the Union of Belarus and Russia and can be extended to other integration associations with the participation of Belarus, in particular, to the monetary interaction of countries within the Eurasian Economic Union. The analysis is based on the statistical data of the National Statistical Committee and the National Bank of the Republic Belarus, the EAEU Department of Statistics, as well as statistical information from the Central Bank of Russia and the Union of Russia and Belarus.

scholarly journals Factors affecting stock market index volatility: Empirical study

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 169-176
Author(s):  
Mohammed Ali Al-Rimawi ◽  
Thair Adnan Kaddumi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Impact

How is stock market price volatility affected, and what is the nature of the impact that macroeconomic variables do on the stock market price direction? The main objective of this study is to investigate the impact of some selected macroeconomic variables (inflation rate (INR), interest rate (IR), economic growth rate (EGR), and foreign investment (FI)) on Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) fluctuation for the period 1999–2018. The information is based on the annual data published by industrial companies listed at ASE. The study adopted a descriptive-analytical approach, also simple and multiple linear regression analysis was employed for the mentioned purpose (Nurfadilah & Samidi, 2017). The results revealed that there is no statistically significant impact of INR, IR, EGR, and FI collectively on ASE performance (Niewińska, 2020). Individually, the results indicated that there is a statistically significant impact of all variables (INR, IR, EGR, and FI) on ASE performance. Additionally, the results concluded that foreign investment, portrayed the highest impact factor on ASE performance, followed by a change in average interest rate, then inflation rate, and the least impact attributes to the economic growth rate. Finally, the research recommends that Jordanian banks should reduce the lending interest rate to enhance investment in securities and improve economic growth rate, also Jordanian authorities should encourage foreign direct and indirect investment and make more efforts to attract more foreign investment, either in the form of tax incentives or by extending finance at low-interest rates.

SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN IMPACT OF INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TOWARDS POVERTY IN INDONESIA: ARDL APPROACH

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Ahmadi Murjani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Poverty Alleviation ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

 Poverty alleviation has become a vigorous program in the world in recent decades. In line with the efforts applied by the government in various countries to reduce poverty, some evaluations have been practised. The impacts of macroeconomic variables such as inflation, unemployment, and economic growth have been commonly employed to be assessed for their impact on the poverty. Previous studies in Indonesia yielded mix results regarding the impact of such macroeconomic variables on the poverty. Different methods and time reference issue were the suspected causes. This paper aims to overcome such problem by utilising the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) equipped with the latest time of observations. This paper finds in the long-run, inflation, unemployment, and economic growth significantly influence the poverty. In the short-run, only inflation and economic growth are noted affecting poverty significantly. 

scholarly journals The Impact of Public Expenditure on Economic Growth: A Review of International Literature

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 81-101
Author(s):  
Sheilla Nyasha ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Research background: Although a number of studies have been conducted on the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth, it is difficult to tell with certainty whether or not an increase in public expenditure is good for economic growth. This lack of consensus on the results of the previous empirical findings makes this study of paramount importance as we take stock of the available empirical evidence from the 1980s to date. Purpose: In this paper, theoretical and empirical literature on the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth has been reviewed in detail. Focus was placed on the review of literature that assessed the impact of government spending on economic growth. Research Methodology: This study grouped studies on the impact of public expenditure on economic growth based on their results. Three groups emerged – positive impact, negative impact and no impact. This was followed by a review of each relevant study and an evaluation of which outcome was more prevalent among the existing studies on the subject. Results: The literature reviewed has shown that the impact of government spending on economic growth is not clear cut. It varies from positive to negative; with some studies even finding no impact. Although the impact of government spending on economic growth was found to be inconclusive, the scale tilts towards a positive impact. Novelty: The study provides an insight into the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth based on a comprehensive review of previous empirical evidence across various countries since the 1980s.

scholarly journals DAMPAK REDENOMINASI TERHADAP INFLASI INDONESIA: PENANGANAN MISSING MENGGUNAKAN METODE CASE DELETION, PMM, RF DAN BAYESIAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 272-286
Author(s):  
Windri Wucika Bemi ◽  
Rani Nooraeni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Classification Accuracy ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Case Deletion ◽  
The Third ◽  
Bayesian Linear Regression ◽  
The Impact

Indonesia is the country with the third largest currency digit after Vietnam and Zimbabwe. In 2010, Indonesia conveyed a discourse on the application of rupiah redenomination, but in its implementation it was necessary to estimate the economic factors that would be affected, especially inflation, where inflation was one of the decisive indicators of the success of the redenomination policy of the currency. To estimate the impact of redenomination on inflation, Indonesia can reflect on the historical data of countries that have implemented the policy. Based on historical data, a model can be applied to Indonesia. Historical data includes macroeconomic variables and forms of government. To get a model with better precision, complete data needs to be considered. The historical missing will make the inferencing obtained invalid and important information that can be used for analysis also diminishes. The case deletion method, mean matching predictive, random forest, and bayesian linear regression can be used to handle it. The results showed that there were 38.18% missing data from total observations and the case deletion method as the best method. Then the condition of hyperinflation, economic growth, and the index of government forms significantly impacted inflation after the implementation of redenomination. So, if Indonesia applies redenomination between the period 2010-2017, with the classification accuracy of 64.71%, it is estimated that it will have a negative impact because the inflation will increase after redenomination is implemented.

scholarly journals FOREIGN INVESTMENTS IN THE RUSSIAN OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 199-205
Author(s):  
Svetlana Shumilova
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Oil And Gas Industry ◽  
Retail Trade ◽  
Energy Prices ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Current Price

Foreign investment is the driving force behind the development of the Russian oil and gas complex and the economy as a whole. This was the case until 2014; the current situation has changed somewhat: the inflow of foreign investment in the Russian energy sector is complicated not only by the imposed sanctions, but also by the main obstacle - instability of world energy prices. The current price conjuncture, as well as the situation with supply and demand, is pushing foreign investors to reduce investment proposals. The article analyzes the dynamics, species and sectoral structure of annual flows of foreign investment in the Russian economy, which allows to identify the main trends in attracting foreign capital in the past few years. In the Russian economy, at the moment, the most attractive areas for foreign investors are mining, manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade. These economic activities account for more than 60% of the total foreign investment.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document