scholarly journals Study on the effect of crises on economic correlations and macrostability

Author(s):  
Constantin Anghelache ◽  
Mădălina-Gabriela Anghel ◽  
Ştefan Virgil Iacob ◽  
Dana Luiza Grigorescu

Abstract Economic growth is a goal of every country and equally of the European Community. In this sense, all national strategies related and not subordinated to the European Union’s strategy aim at economic growth, which will ensure the improvement of the quality of life. Economic growth is always achieved by the level registered by the Gross Domestic Product (Gross Domestic Product per capita) these being the most important indicators of results calculated at macroeconomic level. The proper functioning of a country’s economy must be based, first of all, on certain correlations that are established between socio-economic variables, a context in which there must be certain proportions. The evolution of the economy in free market conditions reaches imbalances at certain times, a context in which macroeconomic stability is affected. Most often, crises, regardless of their health, economic, economic or financial nature, have the first effect of affecting macroeconomic stability. In the current conditions, when we face the health crisis, combined with the economic and financial crisis, the macroeconomic imbalance is obvious by not respecting some proportions and correlations, which must be established at the macroeconomic level. The analysis of this aspect of crises and their effect on economic correlations and macrostability is the subject of the study in this article.

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (17) ◽  
pp. 58-66
Author(s):  
Branimir Kalaš

The degree of tax burden in the economy is a significant issue for every country. The state and fiscal authorities should provide a stimulating but sustainable tax environment that will cause positive implications for economic growth and development. The aim of this paper is to determine the degree of tax burden from the aspect of direct taxes and indirect taxes, as well as the correlation level with the annual rate of gross domestic product. The subject of this paper is the analysis of the tax burden in EU countries for the period 2006-2018. The results of the analysis indicate that average share of total taxes is 38.18% of gross domestic product, where the average share of direct taxes is 12.77% and the average share of indirect taxes is 13.42% of gross domestic product. Also, the results of correlation matrix show a statistically significant and negative correlation between tax burden and economic growth measured by the annual growth rate of gross domestic product.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (32) ◽  
Author(s):  
Biljana Gojković ◽  
Milenko Krajišnik ◽  
Sonja Josipović ◽  
Sanja Popović

The importance of foreign trade and its impact on the economic growth have been the subject of numerous studies. There is no doubt that exports have a multiplier effect on the growth of gross domestic product, but economists are constantly interested in what the foreign trade multiplier is and why it is not higher. This paper deals with the analysis of foreign trade of Bosnia and Herzegovina, its geographical and production structure and concentration, as well as the causes of high and continuous deficits. The analysis indicates potential opportunities to improve the poor production structure of foreign trade and ways in which foreign trade, and especially exports, could increase in order to improve the foreign trade balance. The analysis is especially focused on determining the foreign trade multiplier, and the results show the great importance of exports for economic growth. It also aims to emphasise how to improve export potential of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the future.


2015 ◽  
Vol 07 (04) ◽  
pp. 52-64
Author(s):  
Chien-Hsun CHEN

The benefits deriving from rapid economic growth have chiefly accrued to capital returns. Consequently, the decline in the share of Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) accounted for by labour income has been most pronounced. To sustain growth, China will have to ensure robust consumption. Increasing the labour share in GDP and hence promoting domestic consumption will play a decisive role in rebalancing China’s economy.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmet Eren Yıldırım ◽  
Mete Dibo

PurposeThis study analyzes the impacts of income inequality after direct taxation on the gross domestic product as a fiscal policy tool in the development process.Design/methodology/approachThe model of the study is based on Munielo-Gallo and Roca-Sagales (2013), which examined the fiscal policy, income inequality and economic growth simultaneously. The study uses two models to analyze the relationship between income inequality and gross domestic production under direct taxation by employing autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for selected emerging market economies.FindingEmpirical results reveal a negative long-run relationship between variables in some countries in line with the literature, despite a positive relationship in others. Moreover, the results exhibit the negative impact of income inequality after direct taxation on the gross domestic product decreases.Originality/valueResults of the study highlight the importance of direct taxation on income inequality concerning the reflects on economic growth. It suggests that when the income distribution is fairer, it may positively affect the gross domestic product. The study provides a new perspective to the related literature by investigating the role of income inequality under direct taxation for gross domestic product.


This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.


Media Wisata ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yulianto

Gross Regional Domestic Product is as the amount of value-added (add value) that are generated by the entire production unit or in a region or the entire amount is the value of final goods and services produced by the economy of the entire unit within a region in a given period, either on the basis of rates in force or on the basis of constant prices. One GRP District of Kebumen is a sector of trade, hotels and restaurants which is an important part of the calculation and the increasing economic growth each year has increased, although not significantly.On the trade sector, the hotel and restaurant viewed from the results of analysis calculation on equation trend for certain years have elevated the quality of the year 2008 amounting to 583, 253.02 in 2009 amounted to 651, 473.61, then increment level trends in2010 719, 694.20, while for the year 2011 for the highest rate of increase in trends, namely of 856, 135.38, then in 2012 has increased the trend 355.97 924, and 2013 for trends 992,576.56.The result of the analysis of the Gross Domestic Product has increased fromKebumen Regency, trade, hotels and restaurants on the basis of the applicable rates in 2008-2013.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  

Total global oil demand is expected to increase year-on-year (YoY) by 4.2 million barrels per day (MMb/d) in 2021 and further grow by 3.5 MMb/d in 2022, returning to 2019 levels by the third quarter (Q3) 2022. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts economic growth of around 5.4% in 2021, compared with a decline in real gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 of -4.4%. However, KOMO estimates a forecast more in line with the OECD’s outlook for growth (4.2%), which presumes that GDP levels will only reach 2019 levels by the end of 2021.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-53
Author(s):  
Karuniana Dianta Arfiando Sebayang ◽  
Belinda Febrina

Economic activities require a transparent regulatory and policy environment that is accessible to all levels of society. This study aims to explain the impact of ease of doing business on economic growth in both ASEAN and the European Union since doing business indicators applied globally. Gross Domestic Product is used as a proxy variable for economic growth as Gross Domestic Product is an indicator to measure economic growth. This study uses a descriptive quantitative research model and uses multiple regressions to determine the effect of ease of doing business on economic growth in ASEAN and the European Union by comparing the result of each ASEAN and European Union. In this study it was found that in ASEAN, there are four indicators of doing business have significant impact to economic growth, while in the European Union five indicators have significant impact to economic growth.  


ETIKONOMI ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-24
Author(s):  
Hadjer Boulila ◽  
Mohamed Benbouziane

Our study is aimed to investigate the effect of austerity measures on the economic growth. Besides that, this research wants to examine whether austerity is the solution of the current oil crisis in Algeria or not. To achieve this aim we have used a Non-Linear Autoregressive Lag Distributed model (NARDL) to illustrate the negative and positive changes in austerity measures and their effects on gross domestic product. The findings of our estimation provides that neither increasing taxes cuts nor reducing expenditures is a solution for the crisis, that what confirms empirically what Keynesian economists approve. Therefore, Algeria’s authorities must quickly find other solution rather than austerity policies.DOI: 10.15408/etk.v17i1.6799


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 56
Author(s):  
Dedy Mainata ◽  
Angrum Pratiwi

<p><em>This study aims to determine the effect of growth in Islamic insurance on economic growth. By using secondary data sources, secondary data in the form of total Islamic insurance assets during 2015-2017 originated from the report of the Non Islamic Bank Financial Industry in the official website. This study analyzes the influence of the growth variables of Islamic insurance on economic growth. With the Independent variable in this study is the growth of Islamic insurance with total assets as an indicator (X). And the dependent variable in this study is Indonesia's economic growth using the indicator Gross Domestic Product (GDP) or Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Y). The results of the study show that the growth variables of Islamic insurance have an effect on Indonesia's economic growth.</em><em></em></p>


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