scholarly journals Competition of the world leading currencies: Features of the current stage

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 2074-2088
Author(s):  
Vladimir K. BURLACHKOV

Subject. The article analyzes the competition of the world leading currencies in the global economy, specifics of the current stage, trends in the role of particular currencies in the global market. Objectives. The purpose is to review the current positions of the U.S. Dollar, Euro and Yuan in the global financial markets, assess prospects for maintaining the leading role of the U.S. Dollar, development trends in the position of Euro and Yuan. Methods. I applied the content analysis of available sources, provide a historical overview of issues under consideration, scrutinized the estimates of financial analysts. Results. The paper unveils reasons for increased competition of the leading currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yuan) in the global foreign exchange market, which include an increase in the scale of payment transactions in the global financial and commodity markets. It also reveals trends in the use of particular currencies in foreign trade and financial transactions, evaluates prospects for the use of specific world currencies in the global economy. Conclusions. At present, U.S. Dollar maintains its leading positions. However, in the future, an increase in the use of Euro- and Yuan-denominated transactions should be expected in the commodity and financial markets due to enlarged presence of Chinese companies in the global economy. Further development of European integration can ensure the expansion of the single European currency in the global financial market. The share of Yuan in foreign exchange reserves of central banks tends to increase. Private investors' demand for Yuan is also expected to grow.

Author(s):  
Karin Knorr Cetina

AbstractFinancial markets are one of the most iconic and influential structures of our time. The foreign exchange market in particular is also the most genuinely global market—and the largest market worldwide, with an average daily turnover of 1.8 trillion US dollars. The foreign exchange market is also structurally like a massive conversational interaction system; many of its transactions are conducted through electronically mediated ‘conversations’. Transactions not conducted through conversations but through an electronic broker also display a sequential turn-taking structure. In this paper, I analyze the streaming ‘flow’ architecture of this market in terms of its sequential structures and their technological and economic aspects. I also specify and analyze several types of texted sequences that articulate and illustrate the response-based interaction system of this market. I argue that informational sequences are particularly important; the informational liquidity of this market sustains and supports the market's economic liquidity.


FEDS Notes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2998) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carol Bertaut ◽  
◽  
Bastian von Beschwitz ◽  
Stephanie Curcuru ◽  
◽  
...  

For most of the last century, the preeminent role of the U.S. dollar in the global economy has been supported by the size and strength of the U.S. economy, its stability and openness to trade and capital flows, and strong property rights and the rule of law. As a result, the depth and liquidity of U.S. financial markets is unmatched, and there is a large supply of extremely safe dollar-denominated assets.


Author(s):  
Kostyantyn Vozianov

Derivatives markets have long ago started to be an important part of the global market in general and international monetary relations in particular. They make the process of risk management more advanced. It helps bringing the global monetary relations to a higher development level. Global trade in derivatives performs the functions of integration of regional capital markets and helps the global economy participants reduce available risks and concentrate on the further development of international trade and monetary relations. Therefore, the derivatives market contributes to reducing the risk level and balancing the international capital flow. Modern world trends in the derivatives’ market development are studied. The structure of the world derivatives market is determined with the separation of its exchange and over-the-counter parts. The instrumental structure of the market is analyzed with the separation of the most popular underlying assets among the derivatives market participants. The author notes that the share of interest rate and foreign exchange derivatives is constantly growing, with an advantage on the side of interest rate derivatives. The paper determines that there is a gradual shift of trade from exchanges to the over-the-counter market in the market of interest derivatives due to the passage of transactions through central counterparties, as well as the growing share of electronic and automatic trading. Analysis of the dynamics of foreign exchange derivatives reveals that contracts increasingly include currencies that do not belong to the top four (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP). At the same time, the US dollar remains the leading currency in operations with interest rate and foreign exchange derivatives. The cross-border operations with derivatives are analyzed. The paper proves that the global nature of the modern derivatives market can be supported by the recognition and implementation of global standards and the cooperation of regulators around the world.


1988 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 37-62
Author(s):  
Robert Z. Aliber

Nineteen eighty-seven was a year of financial paradox. During the 1980s there was the strong perception that the Americans, the Europeans, and the Japanese were living well, contrasting with the accounting data that suggested the house of cards was about to fall. Three factors dominated the financial economy of 1987: the 25-percent drop in equity prices in mid-October, the apparent collapse of the U.S. dollar in the foreign exchange market, and the formal recognition by the major international banks that their losses on developing country loans would amount to at least $250 billion. The key question at the end of that year was whether the world economy was moving into a period of inflation or deflation. This essay identifies three possible scenarios. First, the decline in the foreign-exchange value of the U.S. dollar would lead to a rapid increase in U.S. net exports, an excessively large increase in demand for U.S. goods, and a run on the U.S. dollar, which would prompt more contractive monetary policies from the Federal Reserve and an increase in interest rates on U.S. dollars. Second, an increase in U.S. net exports would offset the decline in domestic spending from the smaller fiscal deficit and the less rapid growth of consumer spending. Interest rates on U.S. dollar assets would fall, which in turn would facilitate the expansion of income, and the U.S. fiscal deficit would automatically decline. Or, third, a second stock market meltdown might cause consumer and investment spending to decline more than the increase in net exports, resulting in a recession and a decline in the inflation rate and interest rates.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adis Maksic ◽  
◽  
Selma Delalic ◽  
Adem Olovčić

Abstract: This paper situates the 2008 Global Financial Crisis into the wider historical context to argue that the roots of the crisis can be traced back to the dominant economic ideology in the West during the 1970s. It shows that the corresponding financial policies, implemented by the powerful western economies during the four decades that preceded the crisis, created an institutional framework that fostered financial irresponsibility and made the crisis all but inevitable. The paper also explores the ideas that led to the stabilization of the global market as well as the role of China in charting the way ahead. Ultimately, the discussion highlights the inherent tendency of neoliberal economic ideology to create market instabilities whose consequences for the global economy can be devastating.


2013 ◽  
pp. 97-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Apokin

The author compares several quantitative and qualitative approaches to forecasting to find appropriate methods to incorporate technological change in long-range forecasts of the world economy. A?number of long-run forecasts (with horizons over 10 years) for the world economy and national economies is reviewed to outline advantages and drawbacks for different ways to account for technological change. Various approaches based on their sensitivity to data quality and robustness to model misspecifications are compared and recommendations are offered on the choice of appropriate technique in long-run forecasts of the world economy in the presence of technological change.


2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dr. Kamlesh Kumar Shukla

FIIs are companies registered outside India. In the past four years there has been more than $41 trillion worth of FII funds invested in India. This has been one of the major reasons on the bull market witnessing unprecedented growth with the BSE Sensex rising 221% in absolute terms in this span. The present downfall of the market too is influenced as these FIIs are taking out some of their invested money. Though there is a lot of value in this market and fundamentally there is a lot of upside in it. For long-term value investors, there’s little because for worry but short term traders are adversely getting affected by the role of FIIs are playing at the present. Investors should not panic and should remain invested in sectors where underlying earnings growth has little to do with financial markets or global economy.


Author(s):  
Lawrence L. Kreicher ◽  
Robert N. McCauley

AbstractThe United States has ceded to the rest of the world managing the dollar’s value. For a generation, the U.S. authorities have all but withdrawn from the foreign exchange market. Yet the dollar does not float freely as a result of this hands-off U.S. policy. Instead, other authorities manage the dollar exchange rates, albeit separately. These authorities make heavier purchases of dollars in its downswings than in the upswings, damping its decline. Thus, the Fed finds that accommodative monetary policy transmits less to U.S. manufacturing and traded services, and relies on still lower rates to stimulate interest-sensitive housing and auto demand. The current U.S. dollar policy of naming and shaming surplus-running countries accumulating foreign exchange reserves does not seem to work. Three alternatives warrant consideration. First, the U.S. could reinstate its withholding tax on interest income received by non-residents and even add policy criteria to bilateral tax treaties. Second, the U.S. authorities could retaliate by selling dollars against the currencies of dollar-buying jurisdictions running chronic surpluses. However, either the withholding tax or such retaliatory foreign exchange intervention pose huge practical challenges. Third, the U.S. authorities could re-enter the foreign exchange market, making large-scale asset purchases in foreign currency when the dollar rises sharply against its average value. Such a policy would encourage private investment in U.S. traded goods and service production. The challenge is to set ex ante foreign exchange intervention rules to guide market participants’ expectations, even positioning them to do the authorities’ work.


2018 ◽  
Vol 74 (4) ◽  
pp. 402-419
Author(s):  
Krishnakumar S.

With Donald Trump as President of United States, multilateralism in the world economy is facing an unprecedented challenge. The international economic institutions that have evolved since the fifties are increasingly under the risk of being undermined. With the growing assertion of the emerging and developing economies in the international fora, United States is increasingly sceptical of its ability to maneuvre such institutions to suit its own purpose. This is particularly true with respect to WTO, based on “one country one vote” system. The tariff rate hikes initiated by the leader country in the recent past pose a serious challenge to the multilateral trading system. The paper tries to undertake a critical overview of the US pre-occupation of targeting economies on the basis of the bilateral merchandise trade surpluses of countries, through the trade legislations like Omnibus Act and Trade Facilitation Act. These legislations not only ignore the growing share of the United States in the growing invisibles trade in the world economy, but also read too much into the bilateral trade surpluses of economies with United States and the intervention done by them in the foreign exchange market.


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