scholarly journals Dampak Liberalisasi Perdagangan RI-China Terhadap Perubahan Perdagangan dan Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Indonesia: Ssebuah Pendekatan Ekuilibrium Parsial (SMART Model) dan Pemanfaatan Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi 2008

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sulthon Sjahril Sabaruddin

<em>This paper attempts to evaluate the impact of Indonesia-China trade liberalisation in changing Indonesian trade and Indonesian society welfare. To evaluate such impact, the study uses the Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART Model) and Social Accounting Matrix 2008 (SAM 2008). Based on the result of the Indonesia-China trade liberalization scenario analysis, it is found that the net income received by the households due to the foreign trade with China is negative, which means the amount of the household expenditure due to the huge amount of Chinese commodities entering Indonesia is still higher compared to the amount of the household income received as a result of the Indonesian export of its commodities to China. The increased net income is enjoyed by all types of households.</em>

2013 ◽  
Vol 18 (Special Edition) ◽  
pp. 161-182
Author(s):  
Fahd Rehman ◽  
Russel J. Cooper

Engel’s Law states that the share of food in household expenditure declines with households’ total expenditure—a regularity that is clearly evident in Pakistani household income and expenditure data. This study uses an “Engel curve” to incorporate additional social effects—including the impact of education on welfare—to infer the differential impact of education on measures of household wellbeing across income groups and provinces. Our Engel curve specifications close the gap between economic theory and empirical applications critical to evaluating the effects of education on economic wellbeing. The results show that net primary and matriculation education enrolment ratios can bring about a significant improvement in people’s welfare. Accordingly, there is a need to specifically redirect resources to Balochistan where access to educational opportunities is rather low; and to increase access to such opportunities in Sindh and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Data for the period 2008–11 shows that households in the two lowest income groups are worst off in terms of access to educational opportunities. Efforts should thus be stepped up to enhance their access to educational opportunities at the primary and matriculation levels. The study’s predictions are intended to guide policymakers in terms of where to concentrate their efforts and reduce economic distortions, and move the economy onto a sustainable path in the long run.


Author(s):  
H. K. Panta

To assess the impact of commercial rice seed production on rice productivity and household income, a survey study was conducted in Gorkha, Lamjung and Tanahun districts of Nepal covering eight seed production groups. Analyses include probit regression and cost and returns from seed production. Results of the probit model showed that agricultural training, increase in household income, average age of household head, use of modern rice cultivars, household size, and involvement of women in agricultural decision making have significant positive effect on adoption of the modern rice seed production technology. Similarly, significant difference between non-adopters and adaptors was observed in relation to seed productivity. Study showed that yield of improved seed technologies are higher by 2 ton/ha than the traditional rice varieties and net income is around NRs 43,500 per hectare. Study also showed that the improved rice seed technologies, amount of seed applied, area planted, and fertilizer applied are highly significant variables affecting rice productivity.Journal of the Institute of Agriculture and Animal Science. Vol. 33-34, 2015, page:11-18


2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (25) ◽  
pp. 354
Author(s):  
Nouzha Zaoujal ◽  
Rachid El Mataoui

This paper aims to analyze empirically the impact of increased exports of industrial products on employment, household income (rich, average and poor) and sectoral and global economic growth in Morocco. The methodological approach used is the multiplier techniques based on the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). For this we use the 2015 Morocco’s SAM. The results indicate that a generally positive impact on all sectoral and macroeconomic aggregates (production, added value, employment, transactions balance and GDP). For household’s income, the results indicate also that the impact would have benefited to the average households more than rich or poor households.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-52
Author(s):  
Sulthon Sjahril Sabaruddin

This paper is intended to evaluate the impact of Indonesia's trade liberalization with Yemen on the Indonesian economy. In order to evaluate the impact of the Indonesian economy, we analyzed it through the analysis method of Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART) model. The result of the analysis, the scenario of the impact of trade liberalization of RI-Yemen on the economy of Indonesia with complete tariff dismantlement, by utilizing the analysis of consumer surplus change, the change of import and export, and the change of tariff income can be concluded that the liberalization of RI-Yaman trade with zero tariff has very positive impact to the economy Indonesia and quite positively to the Yemeni economy. This passage is a form of anticipation of possible policy changes when the political, economic and security situation in Yemen has recovered.   Tulisan ini dimaksudkan untuk mengevaluasi dampak liberalisasi perdagangan Indonesia dengan Yaman terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Guna mengevaluasi dampak yang ditimbulkan terhadap perekonomian Indonesia, dianalisis melalui pendekatan metode analisis model Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART). Hasil analisis skenario dampak liberalisasi perdagangan RI-Yaman terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dengan complete tariff dismantlement, dengan memanfaatkan analisa perubahan consumer surplus, perubahan impor dan ekspor, serta perubahan pendapatan tarif dapat disimpulkan bahwa liberalisasi perdagangan RI-Yaman dengan nol tarif berdampak sangat positif terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dan cukup positif terhadap perekonomian Yaman. Telahaan ini merupakan bentuk antisipasi kemungkinan perubahan kebijakan manakala situasi politik, ekonomi, dan keamanan di Yaman telah pulih kembali.


INFO ARTHA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-110
Author(s):  
Lestari Kurniawati

Fuel subsidies create a heavy burden for state budget, ineffective as poor social protection, and creating environmental problem. This study using Social Accounting Matrix to analyze the impact of fuel subsidies removal and cash transfer policies to Indonesian economy, household income distribution, and the level of CO2 emission. As the results, fuel subsidy removal with cash transfer compensation, in short term, it will give better effect than non-cash transfer compensation. Another finding was that subsidy removal with sector targeted policy gives better impact for the sector which had direct relation to the fuel subsidy sector than the sector indirect related. Furthermore, diesel subsidy removal gives better affects than gasoline and kerosene subsidy removal.


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 207-226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wisnu Winardi ◽  
Hadi Susanto ◽  
Kadim Martana

Paper ini menganalisis dampak perubahan harga CPO dunia terhadap harga-harga, aktivitas ekonomi, dan distribusi pendapatan rumah tangga di Indonesia dengan pendekatan model CGE. Model pertama mengasumsikan Indonesia tidak mampu memengaruhi harga, sedangkan model kedua mengasumsikan Indonesia mampu memengaruhi harga. Data utama yang digunakan bersumber dari Tabel Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi Indonesia tahun 2008. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan bahwa apabila Indonesia berperan sebagai penerima harga, peningkatan harga CPO dunia diperkirakan akan berdampak pada penguatan nilai tukar, penurunan tingkat harga, dan meningkatkan aktivitas ekonomi, namun sedikit mengurangi kemerataan distribusi pendapatan. Di sisi lain, penurunan harga CPO dunia akan memberikan dampak yang sebaliknya. Apabila Indonesia dapat berperan memengaruhi harga, perubahan harga CPO dunia diperkirakan akan berdampak sama dengan bila Indonesia tidak dapat memengaruhi harga, namun dengan nilai perubahan yang relatif lebih kecil. Hasil ini mengindikasikan bahwa Indonesia sebaiknya dapat berperan sebagai penerima harga ketika harga CPO dunia bertendensi meningkat dan berperan memengahuhi harga ketika harga CPO dunia bertendensi turun. This paper analyzes the impact of world CPO change price towards prices, economic activities, and household income distribution using CGE Models. The first model assumes that Indonesia is a price taker, while the second model assumes that Indonesia could influence the price. The main data were taken from Indonesian Social Accounting Matrix 2008. The simulation results suggest that if Indonesia takes the role as a price taker, an increase in world CPO price will affect exchange rate, decrease prices, and improve economic activities, but it slightly worsened household income distribution. On the other hand, a decrease in world CPO price will bring about the opposite impacts respectively. Conversely, if Indonesia takes the role as a main price influencer, world CPO price change will lead to a similar result with less magnitude impacts. These findings suggest that Indonesia should be able to take the role as a price taker when world CPO price is increasing and as a main price influencer when world CPO price is decreasing.


Author(s):  
Patience Opata ◽  
◽  
Adaku Ezeibe ◽  
Chikwuma Ume ◽  
◽  
...  

The main focus of this paper was to: (i) determine the impact of women’s share of household income on the pattern of expenditure on various categories of basic goods in southeast Nigeria; (ii) explain the pattern of household expenditure using the bargaining model of household behaviour; and (iii) extrapolate the results to the policy implications of gender-specific control of household incomes. We used cross-sectional household data elicited from a sample of 400 households constituting 2 520 members collected from November 2016 to March 2017 and disaggregated by gender. We found that increasing women’s share of incomes raises the budget share for food, children’s clothes, children’s school fees, fuel for household services and other expenditure, although not significantly with the budget shares for alcohol and meals out of the home. Our results suggest that any strategy by policymakers in southeast Nigeria to improve any of the expenditure items should target the empowerment of the gender that will more likely spend their money on the items concerned.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 426-443
Author(s):  
Muhammad Anas ◽  
Wahyu Widodo ◽  
FX Sugiyanto

Kondisi dan daya saing infrastruktur Indonesia belum memadai akibat belanja infrastruktur yang terhambat karena membengkaknya anggaran subsidi BBM. Pada akhir tahun 2014, pemerintah mereformasi anggaran belanja dengan memangkas anggaran subsidi BBM dan meningkatkan anggaran pembangunan infrastruktur. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis dampak realokasi anggaran belanja subsidi BBM untuk pembangunan infrastruktur terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan data yang bersumber dari BPS dan Susenas, penelitian ini menerapkan aplikasi Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi (SNSE) sebagai alat analisis untuk melihat seberapa besar dampak kebijakan bagi pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pendapatan rumah tangga. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan bahwa realokasi anggaran subsidi BBM untuk pembangunan infrastruktur sosial (seperti pendidikan dan kesehatan) berpengaruh lebih besar terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dibandingkan infrastruktur fisik (seperti jalan dan jembatan). Meski pertubuhan ekonomi yang diperoleh melalui hasil simulasi belum mencapai target pembangunan, namun dalam jangka panjang pembangunan infrastruktur diharapkan mampu mengakselerasi pertumbuhan ekonomi. Indonesia’s infrastructure has been inadequate and not competitive due to the lack of infrastructure spending because of the consistently increasing budget for fuel subsidy. Therefore, at the end of 2014, Government of Indonesia (GoI) reformed their budgeting policy by diverting fuel subsidy’s budget to develop infrastructure. The purpose of this study was to analyze the impact of diverting Indonesia’s budgeting policy from fuel subsidy to infrastructure on its economy. Using data from Statistics Indonesia and National Survey of Social and Economy, this study applied Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) as the analytical tool to quantify the magnitude of the impact from the policy on Indonesia’s economic growth and household income. Simulation results indicated that developing social infrastructure (such as education and health) had a bigger impact on Indonesia’s economy than developing physical infrastructure (such as roads and bridges). Although the economic growth resulted from the simulation policy could not meet Indonesia’s target, infrastructure spending is expected to accelerate growth in the long run.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (5) ◽  
pp. 964-990
Author(s):  
N.I. Kulikov ◽  
V.L. Parkhomenko ◽  
Akun Anna Stefani Rozi Mobio

Subject. We assess the impact of tight financial and monetary policy of the government of the Russian Federation and the Bank of Russia on the level of household income and poverty reduction in Russia. Objectives. The purpose of the study is to analyze the results of financial and monetary policy in Russia and determine why the situation with household income and poverty has not changed for the recent six years, and the GDP growth rate in Russia is significantly lagging behind the global average. Methods. The study employs methods of analysis of scientific and information base, and synthesis of obtained data. The methodology and theoretical framework draw upon works of domestic and foreign scientists on economic and financial support to economy and population’s income. Results. We offer measures for liberalization of the financial and monetary policy of the government and the Central Bank to ensure changes in the structure of the Russian economy. The proposed alternative economic and financial policy of the State will enable the growth of real incomes of the population, poverty reduction by half by 2024, and annual GDP growth up to 6 per cent. Conclusions. It is crucial to change budget priorities, increase the salaries of public employees, introduce a progressive tax rate for individuals; to reduce the key rate to the value of annual inflation and limit the bank margin. The country needs a phased program to increase the population's income, which will ensure consumer demand.


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