scholarly journals Algoritma Deep Learning-LSTM untuk Memprediksi Umur Transformator

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 539
Author(s):  
Ayu Ahadi Ningrum ◽  
Iwan Syarif ◽  
Agus Indra Gunawan ◽  
Edi Satriyanto ◽  
Rosmaliati Muchtar
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Service ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error

<p>Kualitas dan ketersediaan pasokan listrik menjadi hal yang sangat penting. Kegagalan pada transformator menyebabkan pemadaman listrik yang dapat menurunkan kualitas layanan kepada pelanggan. Oleh karena itu, pengetahuan tentang umur transformator sangat penting untuk menghindari terjadinya kerusakan transformator secara mendadak yang dapat mengurangi kualitas layanan pada pelanggan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan aplikasi yang dapat memprediksi umur transformator secara akurat menggunakan metode <em>Deep Learning-LSTM. LSTM </em>adalah metode yang dapat digunakan untuk mempelajari suatu pola pada data deret waktu. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini bersumber dari 25 unit transformator yang meliputi data dari sensor arus, tegangan, dan suhu. Analisis performa yang digunakan untuk mengukur kinerja LSTM adalah <em>Root Mean Squared Error</em> (RMSE) dan <em>Squared Correlation (SC</em>). Selain LSTM, penelitian ini juga menerapkan <em>algoritma Multilayer Perceptron, Linear Regression,</em> dan <em>Gradient Boosting Regressor</em> sebagai algoritma pembanding.  Hasil eksperimen menunjukkan bahwa LSTM mempunyai kinerja yang sangat bagus setelah dilakukan pencarian komposisi data, seleksi fitur menggunakan algoritma KBest dan melakukan percobaan beberapa variasi parameter. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa metode <em>Deep Learning-LSTM</em> mempunyai kinerja yang lebih baik daripada 3 algoritma lain yaitu nilai RMSE= 0,0004 dan nilai <em>Squared Correlation</em>= 0,9690.</p><p> </p><p><em><strong>Abstract</strong></em></p><p><em></em><em>The quality and availability of the electricity supply is very important. Failures in the transformer cause power outages which can reduce the quality of service to customers. Therefore, knowledge of transformer life is very important to avoid sudden transformer damage which can reduce the quality of service to customers. This study aims to develop applications that can predict transformer life accurately using the Deep Learning-LSTM method. LSTM is a method that can be used to study a pattern in time series data. The data used in this research comes from 25 transformer units which include data from current, voltage, and temperature sensors. The performance analysis used to measure LSTM performance is Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Squared Correlation (SC). Apart from LSTM, this research also applies the Multilayer Perceptron algorithm, Linear Regression, and Gradient Boosting Regressor as a comparison algorithm. The experimental results show that LSTM has a very good performance after searching for the composition of the data, selecting features using the KBest algorithm and experimenting with several parameter variations. The results showed that the Deep Learning-LSTM method had better performance than the other 3 algorithms, namely the value of RMSE = 0.0004 and the value of Squared Correlation = 0.9690.</em></p>

scholarly journals Prediksi Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Menggunakan Algoritma Neural Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 24
Author(s):  
Imam Halimi ◽  
Wahyu Andhyka Kusuma
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Data Mining ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
T Test ◽  
Sliding Windows ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error

Investasi saham merupakan hal yang tidak asing didengar maupun dilakukan. Ada berbagai macam saham di Indonesia, salah satunya adalah Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) atau dalam bahasa inggris disebut Indonesia Composite Index, ICI, atau IDX Composite. IHSG merupakan parameter penting yang dipertimbangkan pada saat akan melakukan investasi mengingat IHSG adalah saham gabungan. Penelitian ini bertujuan memprediksi pergerakan IHSG dengan teknik data mining menggunakan algoritma neural network dan dibandingkan dengan algoritma linear regression, yang dapat dijadikan acuan investor saat akan melakukan investasi. Hasil dari penelitian ini berupa nilai Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) serta label tambahan angka hasil prediksi yang didapatkan setelah dilakukan validasi menggunakan sliding windows validation dengan hasil paling baik yaitu pada pengujian yang menggunakan algoritma neural network yang menggunakan windowing yaitu sebesar 37,786 dan pada pengujian yang tidak menggunakan windowing sebesar 13,597 dan untuk pengujian algoritma linear regression yang menggunakan windowing yaitu sebesar 35,026 dan pengujian yang tidak menggunakan windowing sebesar 12,657. Setelah dilakukan pengujian T-Test menunjukan bahwa pengujian menggunakan neural network yang dibandingkan dengan linear regression memiliki hasil yang tidak signifikan dengan nilai T-Test untuk pengujian dengan windowing dan tanpa windowing hasilnya sama, yaitu sebesar 1,000.

scholarly journals Linear Regression Algorithm in Machine Learning through MATLAB

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 989-995
Author(s):  
Kalva Sindhu Priya
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Critical Part ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Master Level ◽  
Predicted Model ◽  
The Given

Abstract: In the present scenario, it is quite aware that almost every field is moving into machine based automation right from fundamentals to master level systems. Among them, Machine Learning (ML) is one of the important tool which is most similar to Artificial Intelligence (AI) by allowing some well known data or past experience in order to improve automatically or estimate the behavior or status of the given data through various algorithms. Modeling a system or data through Machine Learning is important and advantageous as it helps in the development of later and newer versions. Today most of the information technology giants such as Facebook, Uber, Google maps made Machine learning as a critical part of their ongoing operations for the better view of users. In this paper, various available algorithms in ML is given briefly and out of all the existing different algorithms, Linear Regression algorithm is used to predict a new set of values by taking older data as reference. However, a detailed predicted model is discussed clearly by building a code with the help of Machine Learning and Deep Learning tool in MATLAB/ SIMULINK. Keywords: Machine Learning (ML), Linear Regression algorithm, Curve fitting, Root Mean Squared Error

scholarly journals Combined Multilateration with Machine Learning for Enhanced Aircraft Localization

Proceedings ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 2
Author(s):  
Benoit Figuet ◽  
Raphael Monstein ◽  
Michael Felux
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Real World ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Accurate Estimate ◽  
Regression Technique ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Using Data

In this paper, we present an aircraft localization solution developed in the context of the Aircraft Localization Competition and applied to the OpenSky Network real-world ADS-B data. The developed solution is based on a combination of machine learning and multilateration using data provided by time synchronized ground receivers. A gradient boosting regression technique is used to obtain an estimate of the geometric altitude of the aircraft, as well as a first guess of the 2D aircraft position. Then, a triplet-wise and an all-in-view multilateration technique are implemented to obtain an accurate estimate of the aircraft latitude and longitude. A sensitivity analysis of the accuracy as a function of the number of receivers is conducted and used to optimize the proposed solution. The obtained predictions have an accuracy below 25 m for the 2D root mean squared error and below 35 m for the geometric altitude.

scholarly journals Imputation of Missing Values in Economic and Financial Time Series Data Using Five Principal Component Analysis (PCA) Approaches

2019 ◽  
pp. 51-73
Author(s):  
Chisimkwuo John ◽  
Emmanuel J. Ekpenyong ◽  
Charles C. Nworu
Keyword(s):  
Private Sector ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Imputation Methods ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error

This study assessed five approaches for imputing missing values. The evaluated methods include Singular Value Decomposition Imputation (svdPCA), Bayesian imputation (bPCA), Probabilistic imputation (pPCA), Non-Linear Iterative Partial Least squares imputation (nipalsPCA) and Local Least Squares imputation (llsPCA). A 5%, 10%, 15% and 20% missing data were created under a missing completely at random (MCAR) assumption using five (5) variables (Net Foreign Assets (NFA), Credit to Core Private Sector (CCP), Reserve Money (RM), Narrow Money (M1), Private Sector Demand Deposits (PSDD) from Nigeria quarterly monetary aggregate dataset from 1981 to 2019 using R-software. The data were collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin. The five imputation methods were used to estimate the artificially generated missing values. The performances of the PCA imputation approaches were evaluated based on the Mean Forecast Error (MFE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Normalized Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) criteria. The result suggests that the bPCA, llsPCA and pPCA methods performed better than other imputation methods with the bPCA being the more appropriate method and llsPCA, the best method as it appears to be more stable than others in terms of the proportion of missingness.

scholarly journals Penerapan Aplikasi RapidMiner Untuk Prediksi Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap US Dollar Dengan Metode Linear Regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-17
Author(s):  
Vincentius Riandaru Prasetyo ◽  
Hamzah Lazuardi ◽  
Aldo Adhi Mulyono ◽  
Christian Lauw
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Us Dollar

Kurs adalah sebuah nilai mata uang suatu negara terhadap mata uang lain. Oleh karena itu, kurs memiliki dua komponen utama yaitu mata uang domestik, dan mata uang asing. Mata uang asing yang sering digunakan sebagai patokan nilai tukar adalah US Dollar. Di berbagai negara termasuk Indonesia, nilai tukar mata uang terhadap US Dollar sangat mempengaruhi perekonomian yang berjalan, terutama harga jual suatu barang. Selain itu, nilai tukar mata uang juga berpengaruh terhadap keputusan seseorang untuk berinvestasi, baik saham, emas, atau yang lain. Penelitian ini mencoba memprediksi nilai tukar rupiah terhadap US Dollar dengan memanfaatkan aplikasi RapidMiner. Aplikasi tersebut merupakan aplikasi freeware yang didalamnya terdapat berbagai macam metode pengolahan data yang siap untuk digunakan secara mudah. Penelitian ini menerapkan metode linear regression yang terdapat pada aplikasi RapidMiner. Metode tersebut akan mengolah data-data yang sudah ada sebelumnya untuk membentuk suatu persamaan yang akan digunakan untuk prediksi nilai tukar rupiah terhadap US Dollar. Atribut yang digunakan untuk melakukan prediksi adalah nilai pembukaan, perubahan, tertinggi, dan terendah dari nilai tukar rupiah terhadap US Dollar. Data yang digunakan pada penelitian ini berasal dari situs investing.com. Dari hasil pengujian yang dilakukan, didapatkan akurasi metode linear regression sebesar 95% dengan nilai threshold adalah 30 rupiah. Selain itu, nilai root mean squared error yang didapatkan sebesar 14,951.

scholarly journals Rainfall Analysis and Forecasting Using Deep Learning Technique

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Pragati Kanchan ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Mean Absolute Percentage Error ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Rainfall Prediction ◽  
Absolute Percentage Error ◽  
Squared Error

Rainfall forecasting is very challenging due to its uncertain nature and dynamic climate change. It's always been a challenging task for meteorologists. In various papers for rainfall prediction, different Data Mining and Machine Learning (ML) techniques have been used. These techniques show better predictive accuracy. A deep learning approach has been used in this study to analyze the rainfall data of the Karnataka Subdivision. Three deep learning methods have been used for prediction such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) - Feed Forward Neural Network, Simple Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) optimized RNN Technique. In this paper, a comparative study of these three techniques for monthly rainfall prediction has been given and the prediction performance of these three techniques has been evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE%) and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE%). The results show that the LSTM Model shows better performance as compared to ANN and RNN for Prediction. The LSTM model shows better performance with mini-mum Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE%) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE%).

Um sistema baseado em machine learning para apoio à decisão no gerenciamento de produção apícola

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 08-19
Author(s):  
Weskley Damasceno Silva ◽  
Silas Santiago Lopes Pereira ◽  
Daniel Santiago Pereira ◽  
Michell Olívio Xavier da Costa
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error

O setor apícola tem ganhado grandes proporções nos últimos tempos em termos de produção e comercialização de produtos, como o mel e seus derivados. O Brasil, apesar de ter acompanhado esse crescimento e possuir boas características para o desenvolvimento da apicultura, ainda sofre com a limitação no uso de ferramentas tecnológicas, o que afeta diretamente os níveis de produção. Este artigo propõe o desenvolvimento de uma ferramenta tecnológica que auxilie o apicultor no gerenciamento eficiente da produção apícola e na tomada de decisão a partir de modelos preditivos baseados em Machine Learning (ML) e integrados a um sistema web. Para tanto, foram utilizados diferentes algoritmos de ML para predição de produção de mel, tais como a Regressão Linear Múltipla, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) e Support Vector Regression (SVR). Os modelos gerados foram avaliados com base no coeficiente de determinação (R2 ou Score) e o cálculo de erro das predições utilizando a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Os resultados desta pesquisa contam com um sistema web em desenvolvimento e resultados dos experimentos realizados, que mostram uma melhor performance da técnica MLP com Score de 0.98 e RMSE de 711196 libras.

scholarly journals Artificial intelligence with deep learning algorithms to model relationships between total tree height and diameter at breast height

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. e013
Author(s):  
İlker Ercanli
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Tree Height ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Diameter At Breast Height ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Hidden Layer ◽  
Total Tree

Aim of Study: As an innovative prediction technique, Artificial Intelligence technique based on a Deep Learning Algorithm (DLA) with various numbers of neurons and hidden layer alternatives were trained and evaluated to predict the relationships between total tree height (TTH) and diameter at breast height (DBH) with nonlinear least squared (NLS) regression models and nonlinear mixed effect (NLME) regression models.Area of Study: The data of this study were measured from even-aged, pure Turkish Pine (Pinus brutia Ten.) stands in the Kestel Forests located in the Bursa region of northwestern Turkey.Material and Methods: 1132 pairs of TTH-DBH measurements from 132 sample plots were used for modeling relationships between TTH, DBH, and stand attributes such as dominant height (Ho) and diameter (Do).Main Results: The combination of 100 # neurons and 8 # hidden layer in DLA resulted in the best predictive total height prediction values with Average Absolute Error (0.4188), max. Average Absolute Error (3.7598), Root Mean Squared Error (0.6942), Root Mean Squared error % (5.2164), Akaike Information Criteria (-345.4465), Bayesian Information Criterion (-330.836), the average Bias (0.0288) and the average Bias % (0.2166), and fitting abilities with r (0.9842) and Fit Index (0.9684). Also, the results of equivalence tests showed that the DLA technique successfully predicted the TTH in the validation dataset.Research highlights: These superior fitting scores coupled with the validation results in TTH predictions suggested that deep learning network models should be considered an alternative to the traditional nonlinear regression techniques and should be given importance as an innovative prediction technique.Keywords: Prediction; artificial intelligence; deep learning algorithms; number of neurons; hidden layer alternatives.Abbreviations: TTH (total tree height), DBH (diameter at breast height), OLS (ordinary least squares), NLME (nonlinear mixed effect), AIT (Artificial Intelligence Techniques), ANN (Artificial Neural Network), DLA (Deep Learning Algorithm), GPU (Graphical Processing Units), NLS (nonlinear least squared), RMSE (root mean squared error), AIC (Akaike information criteria), BIC (Bayesian information criterion), FI (fit index), AAE (average absolute error), BLUP (best linear unbiased predictor), TOST (two one-sided test method). 

Use of reflectance spectroscopy to estimate the organic carbon and CaCO3 contents of soils

2012 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 277-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ádám Csorba ◽  
Vince Láng ◽  
László Fenyvesi ◽  
Erika Michéli
Keyword(s):  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Partial Least Squares ◽  
Partial Least Squares Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Reflectance Spectroscopy ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error

Napjainkban egyre nagyobb igény mutatkozik olyan technológiák és módszerek kidolgozására és alkalmazására, melyek lehetővé teszik a gyors, költséghatékony és környezetbarát talajadat-felvételezést és kiértékelést. Ezeknek az igényeknek felel meg a reflektancia spektroszkópia, mely az elektromágneses spektrum látható (VIS) és közeli infravörös (NIR) tartományában (350–2500 nm) végzett reflektancia-mérésekre épül. Figyelembe véve, hogy a talajokról felvett reflektancia spektrum információban nagyon gazdag, és a vizsgált tartományban számos talajalkotó rendelkezik karakterisztikus spektrális „ujjlenyomattal”, egyetlen görbéből lehetővé válik nagyszámú, kulcsfontosságú talajparaméter egyidejű meghatározása. Dolgozatunkban, a reflektancia spektroszkópia alapjaira helyezett, a talajok ösz-szetételének meghatározását célzó módszertani fejlesztés első lépéseit mutatjuk be. Munkánk során talajok szervesszén- és CaCO3-tartalmának megbecslését lehetővé tévő többváltozós matematikai-statisztikai módszerekre (részleges legkisebb négyzetek módszere, partial least squares regression – PLSR) épülő prediktív modellek létrehozását és tesztelését végeztük el. A létrehozott modellek tesztelése során megállapítottuk, hogy az eljárás mindkét talajparaméter esetében magas R2értéket [R2(szerves szén) = 0,815; R2(CaCO3) = 0,907] adott. A becslés pontosságát jelző közepes négyzetes eltérés (root mean squared error – RMSE) érték mindkét paraméter esetében közepesnek mondható [RMSE (szerves szén) = 0,467; RMSE (CaCO3) = 3,508], mely a reflektancia mérési előírások standardizálásával jelentősen javítható. Vizsgálataink alapján arra a következtetésre jutottunk, hogy a reflektancia spektroszkópia és a többváltozós kemometriai eljárások együttes alkalmazásával, gyors és költséghatékony adatfelvételezési és -értékelési módszerhez juthatunk.

Image Quality Enhancing by Efficient Histogram Equalization

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-58
Author(s):  
Ismail Sh. Baqer
Keyword(s):  
Image Quality ◽  
Contrast Enhancement ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Signal To Noise Ratio ◽  
Histogram Equalization ◽  
Gray Level ◽  
Signal To Noise ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Noise Ratio

A two Level Image Quality enhancement is proposed in this paper. In the first level, Dualistic Sub-Image Histogram Equalization DSIHE method decomposes the original image into two sub-images based on median of original images. The second level deals with spikes shaped noise that may appear in the image after processing. We presents three methods of image enhancement GHE, LHE and proposed DSIHE that improve the visual quality of images. A comparative calculations is being carried out on above mentioned techniques to examine objective and subjective image quality parameters e.g. Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio PSNR values, entropy H and mean squared error MSE to measure the quality of gray scale enhanced images. For handling gray-level images, convenient Histogram Equalization methods e.g. GHE and LHE tend to change the mean brightness of an image to middle level of the gray-level range limiting their appropriateness for contrast enhancement in consumer electronics such as TV monitors. The DSIHE methods seem to overcome this disadvantage as they tend to preserve both, the brightness and contrast enhancement. Experimental results show that the proposed technique gives better results in terms of Discrete Entropy, Signal to Noise ratio and Mean Squared Error values than the Global and Local histogram-based equalization methods

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