NEXUS BETWEEN FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION, BALANCE OF PAYMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Danladi Jonathan Dastu ◽  
Faweya Kolapo Vincent
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Data Framework ◽  
Official Exchange Rate ◽  
Balance Of Trade

The objectives of this paper are to examine the nexus between financial liberalization, balance of payment and economic growth in Nigeria. The scope of this study due to data availability, especially on measures of balance of payment, covers the period of 1986-2017. This study adopts econometrics techniques of analysis by using Panel Unit Root Tests and Co-integration analysis which is used to determine the long run relationship among economic variables. To test the co-integration relationship this study followed the methodology proposed by Pedroni (1991) who extends the Engle and Granger (1987) two step procedure to heterogeneous panel data framework. The study adopts annual time series secondary data for the period of 1986 to 2017. Balance of payment, Official Exchange Rate, Inflation rate (%), Balance of trade, Trade openness, Real Gross Domestic Product growth, and Term of Trade, all data used were obtained from the World Development Indicators. The findings of this study revealed that an increase in exchange rate,interest rate, inflation rate, and trade openness have negatively affect economic growth. Hence, changes or movements in these variables do not necessarily prompt the liberalization decision in the real sector. Therefore, the need to address balance of payment is important, in accordance with the low rate of development in Nigeria. We therefore, recommend that government should monitor both Fiscal and Monetary policies’ variables that can significantly influence economic growth in Nigeria.That is, adequate balance of payment that can encourage appropriate financial liberalization should be put in place with, Official Exchange Rate, Inflation rate (%), Balance of trade, Trade openness.

Does Financial Liberalization and Trade Openness Promote Growth in South Asia?

2010 ◽  
pp. 101-132
Author(s):  
Muhammad Arshad Kahn
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Real Output ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This chapter examines the hypotheses that trade liberalization and financial liberalization jointly enhances economic growth in the four South Asian countries including Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka for the period 1970-2007 using bounds testing approach to cointegration. The results suggest that in the long-run except for Bangladesh, financial development plays no role in promoting economic growth in these countries. Furthermore, the results suggest that trade openness plays a significant role in promoting economic growth in Bangladesh and India, while exerts negative effect on Pakistan and no effect on Sri Lanka. The share of domestic investment influences real output significantly in Bangladesh, India and Pakistan. In the long- as well as short-run two-way causality between real output, trade openness, share of investment and inflation rate exists for the case of Bangladesh and India. For the case of India two-way causality between finance and growth exists in the short-run. For the case of Pakistan, there is an evidence of long-run causality between real output, finance, trade openness, share of investment and inflation rate. However, in the short-run, two-way causality between real output, trade openness and share of investment is existed and one-way causality between inflation rate, trade openness and share of investment is also observed. No evidence of short-run causality between finance and growth and vice versa for Pakistan has been seen. Finally, for Sri Lanka, an evidence of long-run causality between real output, finance, trade openness and investment share has been found. In the short-run one-way causality between finance-growth, trade-finance, trade-growth and trade-investment has been obtained. These mixed results suggest that the authorities may focuses more and more on the trade liberalization. In addition, there is a need to further deepen the banking and stock markets and provide investment friendly environment to enhance domestic investment which, in turn, promotes economic growth.

scholarly journals The Role and Impact of Remittances on the Economic Growth - Kosovo Case Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
MSc. Jeton Zogjani ◽  
Dr.Sc. Myrvete Badivuku-Pantina
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Research Paper ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Watson Statistic

In this research paper the role and impact of remittances on the economic growth of Kosovo in the recent years (2008 - 2013) through remittances, inflation rate, real effective exchange rate (REER) as independent variables and economic growth as depend variable is analyzed. The secondary data are used which are taken from international and domestic institutions which are analyzed through STATA software (an econometric and statistical program).The reason for writing is that in 2013 the total value of remittances in Kosovo was 620.8 million € and in 2011 Kosovo was among the top 10 countries with the highest level of remittances. The main arguments used in this research paper are: how do remittances affect in overall the economy? What is the impact of remittances on businesses? How do we use it for family consumption? In the research methodology are used secondary data and all of them are analyzed by STATA software which helps in calculation of OLS method of regression, descriptive statistic and correlation matrix.Also this paper research findings show us that if we refer to the result of variables that are included in the paper though OLS methods, the remittances (β1= - 0.017) and the exchange rate (β3= - 0.322) have negative impact and nonsignificant (T < 2) effect on economic growth but the inflation rate has positive (β2= 0.245) and significant (T > 2) effect on economic growth and the coefficient of determination (R²) is 84% then the coefficient of Durbin Watson Statistic (DW) is 2.11, it means there is no autocorrelation.

scholarly journals Financial Liberalization and Nigerian Economic Growth: 1990-2018

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Omopintem, Jerome Idowu ◽  
Chukwu, Kenechukwu Origin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Foreign Portfolio Investment ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate

This study examined the Effect of Financial Liberalization on Nigerian Economic Growth (1990-2018) using secondary data from Statistical bulletin of Central Bank of Nigeria. The research work selected Nigeria as its sample and used the ECM to test the effect of the independent variables (Foreign direct investment, Interest rate, Trade openness, Foreign portfolio investment, Currency exchange rate Aggregate savings) on the dependent variable, economic growth (proxy by Gross Domestic Product). The study found that financial liberalization had negative and insignificant effect on economic growth of Nigeria. The study therefore recommends among others that Government should aim at creating conditions which make private investment attractive, avoid drastic policy reversal and implement appropriate interest rate policies.

scholarly journals PENGARUH FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDO

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 75
Author(s):  
Nia Putri Kunanti ◽  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Private Credit ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to determine how the influence of financial development on economic growth in Indonesia. Financial development indicators are M2 money supply, bank assets, private credit and trade openness. Where inflation and trade openness as a control variable and economic growth as the dependent variable. The data used in this study are secondary data from 2005 quarter 1 to 2018 quarter 4 which were collected through documentation and related agencies. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis and error correction models. The results of this study indicate that: (1) the money supply M2 has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia; (2) Bank assets have a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia; (3) Private credit has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia; (4)) trade openness has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia.

scholarly journals PENGARUH HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA (MODERASI VARIABEL MONETER)

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilda Novita Sari ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Data Analysis Tool ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract: The purpose of this research is to be able to determine the effect of world oil prices on economic growth in Indonesia by applying the exchange rate moderating variable and the BI rate as a connecting variable. Descriptive and associative research is a type of research that is used with data collection techniques through a trusted official agency website that is classified in the quarterly time series secondary data. The data year in this study was from 2006 to 2018. Data analysis was carried out through descriptive and inductive analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) data analysis tool accompanied by a classic assumption test and a t test. Estimation results show that there are two research results; firstly, that the exchange rate has an effect on moderating the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia, secondly, that the BI rate has no influence connecting world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. Keywords: World oil prices, economic growth, exchange rates, BI rate, Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA).

scholarly journals Impact of Exchange Rate Management on the Nigerian Economic Growth: Empirical Validation

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 28-35
Author(s):  
Friday Osaru Ovenseri Ogbomo ◽  
Precious Imuwahen Ajoonu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Exchange Rate Management ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper examined the impact of Exchange Rate Management on economic growth in Nigeria between 1980 and 2015. The study was set to gauge how the management of exchange rate in Nigeria has impacted the economy. The study employed the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method in its analysis. Co-integration and Error Correction Techniques were used to establish the Short-run and Long-run relationships between economic growth and other relevant economic indicators. The result revealed that exchange rate management proxy by various exchange rates regimes in Nigeria was not germane to economic growth. Rather, government expenditure, inflation rate, money supply and foreign direct investment significantly impact on economic growth in Nigeria. It is against this backdrop that the Nigerian economy must diversify her export base to create room for more inflow of foreign exchange.  

scholarly journals Albania's Monetary Policy and the Basic Indicators that Effect the Economic Growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Bernard Balla
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Full Employment ◽  
Price Stability ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Consumer Prices

Macroeconomic policies aim to stabilize the economy by achieving their goal of price stability, full employment and economic growth. Price stability is the responsibility of macroeconomic policies that are developed to maintain a low inflation rate, contribute to the solidity of the domestic product and maintain an exchange rate that can be predictable. The purpose of this paper is to analyze Albania's monetary policy by highlighting the main indicators that can be used as a measurement of the efficiency of this policy in the economic development. The literature review shows that there are many attitudes regarding the factors that need to be taken into consideration when analyzing monetary policies, including the elements of fiscal policies. In the Albanian economy, the prices and the level of inflation are the most important aspects. The Bank of Albania uses the inflation targeting regime, considering that the main indicator of inflationary pressures in the economy is the deviation of inflation forecasted in the medium term by its target level. In numerical terms, the bank intends to maintain its annual growth in consumer prices at the level of 3%. According to the latest reports published by the Bank of Albania in 2019, monetary policy continues to contribute positively to a financial environment with a low interest rate and an annual inflation rate of 2%. Although the inflation rate hit the lowest value of 1.8 % in 2018, a balanced rate was achieved through the reduction of interest rates and risk premiums in financial markets and, more recently, through the tightening of the exchange rate. These monetary conditions are appropriate to support the growth of domestic demand and the strengthening of inflationary pressures.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: A DYNAMIC ECONOMETRIC APPROACH

2021 ◽  
pp. 16-40
Author(s):  
Comfort Akinwolere Bukola ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Balance Of Trade ◽  
Econometric Approach ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in Nigeria. The study covers the period of 1986 to 2019. Using time series data, the methodology adopted is the Vector Error Correction Mechanism to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility on the selected macroeconomic variables. The result indicated that exchange rate volatility has a significant impact on economic growth, specifically it has a positive impact on inflation, unemployment and balance of trade. On the other hand it has a negative impact on economic growth and investment. The recommendations made include; that relevant authorities should try to avoid systematic currency devaluations in order to maintain exchange rate volatility at a rate that allows adjustment of the balance of payments.

scholarly journals KAJIAN AKTIVITAS EKONOMI LUAR NEGERI INDONESIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA PERIODE 1998-2014

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Ryan Hawari ◽  
Fitri Kartiasih
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Error Variance ◽  
Forecast Error Variance

Indonesia is a developing country which adopts an “open economic”. That caused Indonesia economic is strongly influenced by factors that come from outside of Indonesia. External factors in this research is referred to foreign debt, foreign direct investment, trade openness and exchange rate of rupiah with USD. The analytical method in this research used Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) which will focused on Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD). Based on result of IRF, exchange rate had a positive effect to economic growth, while foreign debt, foreign direct investment and trade openness had a negative effect to economic growth. Based on result of FEVD, shock on economic growth in Indonesia affected by economic growth itself (43.21%), followed by foreign debt (26.30%), trade openness (14.16%), foreign direct investment (8.29%) and exchange rate (8.04%) Keywords: economic growth, trade openness, VECM, IRF, FEVD

scholarly journals Investigating Finance-Growth Nexus: Further Evidence from Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adeola Yahya Oyebowale ◽  
Noah Kofi Karley
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Financial Sector Development

This study investigates the influence of financial sector development on economic growth in Nigeria during the period 1982 to 2015. As such, the study obtained annual secondary data from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletins and World Bank financial database. The empirical model for this study examines growth in savings, growth in exchange rate, growth in government expenditure, growth in stock market capitalization, growth in credit to private sector, growth in gross capital formation, growth in trade openness and growth in broad money on economic growth in Nigeria. The multiple regression output reveals that growth in government expenditure and growth in gross capital formation are statistically significant on economic growth in Nigeria at 1% and 10% respectively under the period under investigation while other regressors in the model prove to be statistically insignificant. VAR test shows that there is considerable short-run causality running from lags of regressors to economic growth in Nigeria except for lag 1 of growth in exchange rate and lag 2 of growth in credit to private sector. The granger causality test reveals the existence of bi-directional causality between financial sector development and economic growth in Nigeria during the period under investigation. Hence, this study supports the ‘feedback hypothesis’ view on finance-growth. Based on these empirical results, this study recommends effective channeling of funds to the private sector and autonomy of the Central Bank of Nigeria in the use of monetary policy tools.

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