scholarly journals Dampak Penghapusan Subsidi Ekspor Produk Pertanian Terhadap Harga dan Perdagangan Produk Pangan Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-118
Author(s):  
Steven Raja Ingot ◽  
Rahayu Ningsih
Keyword(s):  
World Trade ◽  
Food Products ◽  
Export Subsidy ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Global Trade ◽  
Export Subsidies ◽  
Trade Analysis ◽  
Global Trade Analysis Project ◽  
The Impact

Abstrak Salah satu komitmen terpenting hasil pertemuan Konferensi Tingkat Menteri World Trade Organisation (WTO) di Nairobi tahun 2015 adalah diberlakukannya penghapusan subsidi ekspor produk pertanian negara anggota WTO, baik oleh negara maju (pada 2015) maupun negara berkembang (pada 2018). Studi ini bertujuan untuk melihat dampak penghapusan subsidi ekspor produk pertanian oleh negara asal terhadap harga dan perdagangan produk pangan Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan model Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) disimpulkan bahwa penghapusan subsidi ekspor produk pertanian akan mengakibatkan kenaikan harga beberapa produk pangan impor Indonesia terutama susu. Selain itu, penghapusan subsidi ekspor juga akan berdampak pada menurunnya impor Indonesia untuk produk hortikultura, susu, dan makanan olahan sedangkan ekspor Indonesia untuk daging sapi, gula, susu dan makanan olahan akan naik. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia berpotensi untuk swasembada produk pangan sehingga dapat mengurangi ketergantungan terhadap impor.  Dengan demikian komitmen penghapusan subsidi ekspor oleh negara mitra dagang akan berdampak positif bagi Indonesia jika didukung dengan peningkatan produktivitas produk pangan. Kata Kunci: Subsidi Ekspor, Produk Pertanian, Produk Pangan, GTAP, WTO   Abstract One of the most important commitments of the meeting of the World Trade Organization (WTO) Ministerial Conference in Nairobi 2015 is the abolition of export subsidies for agricultural products of WTO member countries, both developed countries (in 2015) and developing countries (in 2018). This study aims to examine the impact of the elimination of export subsidy on agricultural products by trading partners toward the price and trade pattern of Indonesian food products. Using the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model, the analysis shows that the elimination of export subsidies for agricultural products would lead to higher prices of Indonesian imported food products particularly for milk products. In addition, the abolition of export subsidy would reduce Indonesian imports of horticultural commodities, milk, and processed food while exports of beef, sugar, milk and processed foods would rise. This shows that Indonesia has the potential for self-sufficiency in some food products, thereby reducing dependence on imports, therefore the abolition of export subsidy will given a more positive impact on Indonesia if supported by increasing productivity of food products.   Keywords: Export Subsidy, Agricultural Products, Food Products, GTAP, WTO JEL Classification: D58, F13, Q17, Q18

scholarly journals ASEAN-Kanada Free Trade Agreement (FTA): Peluang Bagi Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Steven Raja Ingot ◽  
Dian Dwi Laksani
Keyword(s):  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Feasibility Study ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Tariff Reduction ◽  
Global Trade ◽  
Trade Facilitation ◽  
Economic Partnership ◽  
Trade Analysis ◽  
Global Trade Analysis Project ◽  
The Impact

Abstrak Senior Economic Officials Meetings (SEOM) ke-8 di Laos menghasilkan komitmen bersama ASEAN dan Kanada untuk melakukan feasibility study dalam kerangka kerja sama ASEAN-Kanada FTA. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menghitung dampak perjanjian perdagangan barang Indonesia pada ASEAN-Kanada FTA dengan model analisis Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) - Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) dengan Data Base versi 9. Penelitian ini menggunakan tiga simulasi yaitu (1) Indonesia bergabung ASEAN-Kanada FTA dengan penurunan tarif untuk semua komoditi sebesar 90% mengadopsi proposal modalitas ASEAN dalam Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), (2) penurunan tarif sebesar 90% tanpa Indonesia bergabung dalam ASEAN-Kanada FTA, (3) serta peningkatan fasilitasi perdagangan dan penurunan hambatan non tarif sebesar 20%. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan bahwa dari sisi Makroekonomi Indonesia akan mendapat dampak positif peningkatan GDP sebesar 0,03% jika bergabung dalam ASEAN-Kanada FTA dibandingkan jika tidak bergabung. Indonesia akan mendapat dampak positif lebih besar jika terdapat peningkatan fasilitasi perdagangan dan penurunan NTM sebesar 3,35% serta peningkatan investasi sebesar 8,53%. Berdasarkan hasil simulasi, penurunan output dan peningkatan impor didominasi oleh impor bahan baku dan barang modal yang digunakan untuk input industri, sehingga keberadaan impor bahan baku tetap diperlukan. Kajian ini merekomendasikan penurunan tarif, peningkatan fasilitasi perdagangan dan penurunan NTM merupakan kebijakan yang sangat diperlukan. Kata Kunci: ASEAN-Kanada FTA, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Perdagangan, Investasi   Abstract At the 8th ASEAN Economic Senior Review Official Meetings (SEOM) in Laos, ASEAN and Canada committed to conduct a feasibility study within the framework of ASEAN-Canada FTA. This study aims to measures the impact of ASEAN-Canada FTA implementation to Indonesia using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model – the 9th version of Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). The study run three different simulations (1) Indonesia joining the ASEAN-Canada with a 90% tariff reduction applied to all goods adopting ASEAN modality in Regional Comprehensice Economic Partnership (RCEP); (2) 90% Tariff reduction without Indonesia joining the ASEAN-Canada FTA, (3) improving trade facilitation and decreasing 20% non-tariff measures. Simulation result shown that from Macroeconomic perspective, Indonesia will get positive impact of increasing 0.03% GDP by joining the FTA instead of not joining. Indonesia will get higher impact by increasing trade facilitation and 8.53% investment and reducing 3.35% of NTM. Based on the results, the declining output and increasing import is dominated by import of raw materials and capital goods, therefore import of raw material remain important. This study recommended reducing tariff and NTM as well as improving trade facilitation are necessary for Indonesia. Keywords: ASEAN-Canada FTA, Economic Growth, Trade, Investment JEL Classification: F12, F13, F15

scholarly journals Barriers against Agricultural Exports from Pakistan: The Role of WTO Sanitary and Phytosanitary Agreement

2003 ◽  
Vol 42 (4II) ◽  
pp. 487-510
Author(s):  
Khalid Mustafa
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
World Trade ◽  
Food Products ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
World Trade Organisation ◽  
Agricultural Exports ◽  
The World ◽  
Sanitary And Phytosanitary Agreement ◽  
The Impact

There has been growing recognition that Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) agreement can impede trade in agricultural and food products. Pakistan, in particular experiences problems in meeting the SPS requirements of developed countries and, it is claimed, this can seriously impede its ability to export agricultural and food products. Attempts have been made to reduce the trade distortive effects of SPS measures through, for example, the World Trade Organisation (WTO) SPS Agreement, although it is claimed that current initiatives fail to address many of the key problems experienced by Pakistan and other developing countries. The present paper explores implications of Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) agreement on exports of agricultural and food products from Pakistan. It identifies the problems that Pakistan faces in meeting SPS requirements and how these relate to the nature of SPS measures and the compliance resources available to Government of Pakistan and the supply chain. The paper examines the impact of SPS agreement on the extent to which SPS measures impede exports from Pakistan. It identifies the problems that limit participation of Pakistan in the SPS agreement and its concerns about the way in which it currently operates.

The Impact of Nontariff Trade Policy of European Union Crude Palm Oil Import on Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Rest of the World Economy: An Analysis in GTAP Framework

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-52
Author(s):  
Rozy A. Pratama ◽  
Tri Widodo
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Palm Oil ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Trade Policies ◽  
The European Union ◽  
The World ◽  
Trade Analysis ◽  
Global Trade Analysis Project ◽  
The Impact

Indonesia and Malaysia are the largest producers and exporters of palm oil in the world vegetable oil market. Palm oil and its derivative products are the highest contributors to foreign exchange in 2018. This study aims to analyze the impact of the European Union import non-tariff trade policies on the Indonesian and Malaysian economies The analysis uses the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of world trade on the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) program. The results of this study found that the non-tariff import policy by the European Union had a negative impact on the economies of Indonesia and Malaysia. Moreover, the policy also has a negative impact on countries in Southeast Asia and the European Union. This shows that the enactment of non-tariff import trade policies for Indonesian and Malaysian palm oil products has a global impact.

scholarly journals Comércio internacional, alocação do trabalho e a questão da desindustrialização no Brasil: uma abordagem utilizando equilíbrio geral computável

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 135-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flávio Tosi Feijó ◽  
Camila Steffens
Keyword(s):  
Global Trade ◽  
Trade Analysis ◽  
Global Trade Analysis Project

<p>O presente artigo objetiva avaliar os impactos na alocação do emprego formal do fator trabalho no Brasil e verificar evidências de desindustrialização, mediante a simulação de cenários de aprofundamento do comércio internacional. O instrumento utilizado para as simulações é o modelo de Equilíbrio Geral Computável GTAP (<italic>Global Trade Analysis Project</italic>). Os resultados obtidos, combinados com os dados da RAIS (Relatório Anual de Informações Sociais), indicaram evidências de desindustrialização, devido à queda do emprego na indústria de transformação brasileira, principalmente no nível de qualificação média. Acordos preferenciais de comércio com a Ásia e com a União Europeia seriam os que mais contribuiriam para a referida redução. Entretanto, haveria ganhos de bem-estar em decorrência da melhor alocação dos recursos produtivos e dos termos de troca.</p>

scholarly journals The Impact of Productivity Increasing in Indonesian Maritim Sector: General Equilibrium Analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Widyastutik Widyastutik
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Analysis ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Equilibrium Analysis ◽  
Productivity Improvement ◽  
Marine Transport ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Increase In Productivity ◽  
Trade Analysis ◽  
Global Trade Analysis Project ◽  
The Impact

The increase in productivity in the maritime sector will realize the maritime sector as a prime mover. This study aims to analyze the impact of the maritime sector productivity improvement on the performance of the economy. This research simulates increased productivity in the maritime sector (consisting of the fisheries, oil, gas sub-sector and marine transport services sector) using the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) version 8. Simulation analysis showed an increase in productivity in the maritime sector has a positive impact on welfare, real GDP, and trade balance of Indonesia. However, the impact of the increase in productivity is not followed by an increase in output in all sectors. This indicates that if the increase in productivity occurs only in the maritime sector alone without being followed by an increase in productivity in other sectors, the sectoral performance is not optimal.DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v5i2.3403

scholarly journals Analysis of the Role of Tariff Concessions in East Asia

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-167
Author(s):  
Kenichi Kawasaki ◽  
Badri G. Narayanan ◽  
Houssein Guimbard ◽  
Arata Kuno
Keyword(s):  
East Asia ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Trade Integration ◽  
Economic Partnership ◽  
Trade Analysis ◽  
Global Trade Analysis Project ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Tariff Reductions

While many studies focus on the impact of trade agreements, the literature has not focused on the extent of their implementation, in terms of the aspects agreed upon therein. In this article, we identify the past achievements of economic partnership agreements (EPAs) in the East Asian region in terms of tariff removals and suggest room for further economic benefits from trade liberalisation in the region. Second, we incorporate the HS6-level tariff concession dataset, which distinguishes between tariff removals agreed in these EPAs in East Asia but not yet implemented, from existing overall tariffs in 2011, in the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) Database, which only incorporates enforced tariff reductions through the base-year applied tariffs. To analyse future trade integration, we include commitments that are not yet implemented. This allows us to analyse partial versus full enforcement of tariff concession commitments. Our results suggest that taking those commitments into account matters economically in East Asia. JEL Classification: D58, F13, F14, F15, F17

The Have Nots Have It: Triumph Of Developing Countries At The World Trade OrganizationMeeting In Geneva

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
RamMohan R. Yallapragada ◽  
Ron M. Sardessai ◽  
Madhu R. Paruchuri
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
World Trade Organization ◽  
World Trade ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Export Subsidies ◽  
G 21 ◽  
The World ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
Farm Subsidies ◽  
The Eu

In July 2004, 147 World Trade Organization (WTO) member countries met in Geneva where the developed countries agreed to cut back and eventually eliminate an estimated $350 billion of their farm and export subsidies. The accord was hammered out by five WTO members including India and Brazil and submitted to the WTOs plenary session where it was finally ratified on July 31, 2004. The Fifth Ministerial Conference of the World Trade Organization held in Cancun in September 2003 collapsed from inside as internal squabbles and irreconcilable philosophical differences developed between the developed countries and the developing countries. The WTO, which started with noble objectives of raising the global standards of living through international trade agreements and cooperation among the WTO member countries, appeared to be teetering on the verge of a complete collapse. Over the past decade, through five ministerial conferences, the WTO member countries gradually got polarized into two main blocks, the haves and the have nots, the developed countries and the still developing countries respectively. One of the important items of contention was the issue of reduction and elimination of the huge farm subsidies in the European Union (EU) and the United States (US). At the 2003 WTO conference in Cancun, 21 of the developing countries formed a group, known as G-21 initiated under the leadership of Brazil and India, and insisted on discussions for elimination of the farm subsidies of the EU-US combine. The EU and US governments give billions of dollars worth of agricultural and export subsidies annually to their farmers that allow them to have a competitive advantage in international markets in effect preventing agricultural producers in developing countries from having access to global markets. The EU delegates insisted that the four Singapore issues must be dealt with first before including any discussions on the issues of farm subsidies on the agenda. The G-21 over night swelled into G-70. The developing countries refused to be pushed into a corner and have proved that they are now a force to reckon with. The WTO Cancun conference came to a dramatic end without any agreement, leaving the negotiations in a deadlock. At the historic July 2004 WTO negotiations in Geneva, an accord has been reached under which the developed countries agreed to reduce and eventually eliminate their export and farm subsidies. The developing countries also agreed to lower their tariffs on imports from EU-US and other developed countries. The accord is expected to pave the way for the resumption of the WTO Doha Round of multilateral negotiations to liberalize world trade.

Regional pacts to facilitate global agriculture trade

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
World Trade ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Trade Agreements ◽  
Agricultural Trade ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Regional Trade ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Food Standards ◽  
Global Agriculture ◽  
The Impact

Subject The impact of preferential trade agreements on global agricultural trade. Significance Bilateral and regional trade agreements have proliferated since the late 1980s. They account for over 50% of world trade and their share is increasing, according to OECD estimates. These agreements are particularly significant for agricultural trade, principally because this sector has the most to gain from low tariff access to markets. Yet they raise the question of whether such agreements are the most effective instruments for reducing barriers to global agricultural trade. Impacts Agricultural products such as sugar and dairy are likely to continue appearing frequently on the 'sensitive products' list in PTAs. Japan's aversion to opening its agricultural sector represents a major hurdle to the TPP. The European Parliament will probably reject any TTIP agreement that requires abandoning the 'precautionary principle' on food standards.

scholarly journals World Trade Organization, Negara Berkembang dan Special and Diferrential Treatment

2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fatma Muthia Kinanti
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
World Trade Organization ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
World Trade ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Differential Treatment ◽  
Global Trade ◽  
Trade Barriers ◽  
Global Society ◽  
The Impact

Perdagangan bebas menjadi isu yang semakin menguat dalam pergaulan global saat ini. Berbagai perjanjian baik multilateral, regional dan bilateral yang mengatur mengenai penekanan hambatan perdagangan semakin banyak. WTO sebagai peraturan induk dan merupakan sumber hukum utama dari perdagangan bebas telah berjalan selama lebih dari satu dekade. Sejak pembentukan WTO terbukti bahwa partisipas masyarakat internasional dalam perdagangan global semakin meningkat. Namun, beberapa kritik muncul terutama dari negara berkembang yang merasa belum mendapatkan manfaat dari perdagangan bebas. Isu ini kemudian muncul dalam negosiasi WTO yang menghasilkan konsep Special and Differential Treatment (SDT) yang diadopsi dalam ketentuan-ketentuan WTO. Penelitian ini mengangkat tema besar mengenai ketentuan-ketentuan dan kerjasama WTO yang mencerminkan perdagangan bebas dan kaitannya dengan negara berkembang. Beberapa hal yang disorot adalah bagaimana pengaturan dalam WTO terkait perlakuan berbeda (Special and Differentiated Treatment) yang diberikan kepada negara-negara berkembang. Selain itu penelitian ini difokuskan juga untuk menganalisis diferensiasi antara negara-negara berkembang dalam WTO. Kemudian, analisis difokuskan terhadap peran dan dampak Doha Development dan Bali Round terkait negara berkembang terutama di sektor agrikultur dan dampak adanya diferensiasi dari negara berkembang.<br /><br />Free trade is an issue that has gained strength in today’s global society. Various multilateral treaties, regional and bilateral governing the suppression of trade barriers more. WTO as a central rule and is the main legal source of free trade has been running for more than a decade. Since the establishment of the WTO proved that the participation and the international community in global trade is increasing. However, some criticism arose primarily from developing countries that have not benefited from free trade. This issue arises in WTO negotiations that resulted in the concept of Special and Differential Treatment (SDT), which was adopted in the WTO provisions. This study raised the major themes of the provisions of the WTO and cooperation that reflects the free trade and its relation to developing countries. Some of the things highlighted was how the settings related to differential treatment in the WTO granted to developing countries. In addition, research is focused also to analyze the differentiation between developing countries in the WTO. Then, the analysis focused on the role and impact of the Doha Development Round and Bali related to developing countries, particularly in the agricultural sector and the impact of the differentiation of developing countries.<br /><br />

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document