Medium-range forecasts of large ice cover discontinuities for hydrometeorological support of navigation in the Arctic basin

2008 ◽  
Vol 33 (9) ◽  
pp. 594-599
Author(s):  
Yu. A. Gorbunov ◽  
L. N. Dyment ◽  
S. M. Losev ◽  
S. V. Frolov
Keyword(s):  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Range Forecasts

scholarly journals Impact of a Reduced Arctic Sea Ice Cover on Ocean and Atmospheric Properties

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 307-319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Sedláček ◽  
Reto Knutti ◽  
Olivia Martius ◽  
Urs Beyerle
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
The North ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract The Arctic sea ice cover declined over the last few decades and reached a record minimum in 2007, with a slight recovery thereafter. Inspired by this the authors investigate the response of atmospheric and oceanic properties to a 1-yr period of reduced sea ice cover. Two ensembles of equilibrium and transient simulations are produced with the Community Climate System Model. A sea ice change is induced through an albedo change of 1 yr. The sea ice area and thickness recover in both ensembles after 3 and 5 yr, respectively. The sea ice anomaly leads to changes in ocean temperature and salinity to a depth of about 200 m in the Arctic Basin. Further, the salinity and temperature changes in the surface layer trigger a “Great Salinity Anomaly” in the North Atlantic that takes roughly 8 yr to travel across the North Atlantic back to high latitudes. In the atmosphere the changes induced by the sea ice anomaly do not last as long as in the ocean. The response in the transient and equilibrium simulations, while similar overall, differs in specific regional and temporal details. The surface air temperature increases over the Arctic Basin and the anomaly extends through the whole atmospheric column, changing the geopotential height fields and thus the storm tracks. The patterns of warming and thus the position of the geopotential height changes vary in the two ensembles. While the equilibrium simulation shifts the storm tracks to the south over the eastern North Atlantic and Europe, the transient simulation shifts the storm tracks south over the western North Atlantic and North America. The authors propose that the overall reduction in sea ice cover is important for producing ocean anomalies; however, for atmospheric anomalies the regional location of the sea ice anomalies is more important. While observed trends in Arctic sea ice are large and exceed those simulated by comprehensive climate models, there is little evidence based on this particular model that the seasonal loss of sea ice (e.g., as occurred in 2007) would constitute a threshold after which the Arctic would exhibit nonlinear, irreversible, or strongly accelerated sea ice loss. Caution should be exerted when extrapolating short-term trends to future sea ice behavior.

scholarly journals Causes and features of long-term variability of the ice extent in the Barents Sea

2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. B. Krasheninnikova ◽  
M. A. Krasheninnikova
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Model Calculations ◽  
The North ◽  
The Barents Sea ◽  
Cross Correlation Analysis

Based on the spectral analysis of a number of estimates of the ice extent of the Barents Sea, obtained from instrumental observational data for 1900–2014, and for the selected CMIP5 project models (MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESMMR and GFDL-CM3) for 1900–2005, a typical period of ~60‑year inter-annual variability associated with the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) in conditions of a general significant decrease in the ice extent of the Barents Sea, which, according to observations and model calculations, was 20 and 15%, respectively, which confirms global warming. The maximum contribution to the total dispersion of temperature, ice cover of the Barents Sea, AMO, introduces variability with periods of more than 20 years and trends that are 47, 20, 51% and 33, 57, 30%, respectively. On the basis of the cross correlation analysis,  significant links have been established between the ice extent of the Barents Sea, AMO, and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) for the  period 1900–2014. A significant negative connection (R = −0.8) of ice cover and Atlantic multi-decadal oscillations was revealed at periods of more than 20 years with a shift of 1–2 years; NAO and ice cover (R = −0.6) with a shift of 1–2 years for periods of 10–20 years; AMO and NAO (R = −0.4 ÷ −0.5) with a 3‑year shift with AMO leading at 3–4, 6–8 and more than 20 years. The periods of the ice cover growth are specified: 1950–1980 and the reduction of the ice cover: the 1920–1950 and the 1980–2010 in the Barents Sea. Intensification of the transfer of warm waters from the North Atlantic to the Arctic basin, under the atmospheric influence caused by the NAO, accompanied by the growth of AMO leads to an increase in temperature, salinity and a decrease of ice cover in the Barents Sea. During periods of ice cover growth, opposite tendencies appear. The decrease in the ice cover area of the entire Northern Hemisphere by 1.5 × 106 km2 since the mid-1980s. to the beginning of the 2010, identified in the present work on NOAA satellite data, confirms the results obtained on the change in ice extent in the Barents Sea.

scholarly journals Phytoplankton distribution in unusually low sea ice cover over the Pacific Arctic

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 2055-2093 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Coupel ◽  
H. Y. Jin ◽  
M. Joo ◽  
R. Horner ◽  
H. A. Bouvet ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
Phytoplankton Distribution ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Phytoplankton Communities ◽  
Ice Retreat ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. A large part of the Pacific Arctic basin experiences ice-free conditions in summer as a result of sea ice cover steadily decreasing over the last decades. To evaluate the impact of ice retreat on the Arctic ecosystem, we investigated phytoplankton communities from coastal sites (Chukchi shelf) to northern deep basins (up to 86° N), during year 2008 of high melting. Pigment and taxonomy in situ data were acquired under different ice regime: the ice -free basins (IFB, 74°–77° N), the marginal ice zone (MIZ, 77°–80° N) and the heavy ice covered basins (HIB, >80° N). Our results suggest that extensive ice melting provided favorable conditions to chrysophytes and prymnesiophytes growth and more hinospitable to pico-sized prasinophytes and micro-sized dinoflagellates. Larger cell diatoms were less abundant in the IFB while dominant in the MIZ of the deep Canadian basin. Our data were compared to those obtained during more icy years, 1994 and to a lesser extent, 2002. Freshening, stratification, light and nutrient availability are discussed as possible causes for observed phytoplankton communities under high and low sea ice cover.

Dynamic–Thermodynamic Sea Ice Model: Ridging and Its Application to Climate Study and Navigation

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (18) ◽  
pp. 3840-3855 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey V. Shoutilin ◽  
Alexander P. Makshtas ◽  
Motoyoshi Ikeda ◽  
Alexey V. Marchenko ◽  
Roman V. Bekryaev
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Circulation Pattern ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Partial Recovery ◽  
Pacific Side ◽  
Pattern Production ◽  
Ice Model

Abstract A dynamic–thermodynamic sea ice model with the ocean mixed layer forced by atmospheric data is used to investigate spatial and long-term variability of the sea ice cover in the Arctic basin. The model satisfactorily reproduces the averaged main characteristics of the sea ice and its extent in the Arctic Basin, as well as its decrease in the early 1990s. Employment of the average ridge shape for describing the ridging allows the authors to suggest that it occurs in winter and varies from year to year by a factor of 2, depending on an atmospheric circulation pattern. Production and horizontal movement of ridges are the focus in this paper, as they show the importance of interannual variability of the Arctic ice cover. The observed thinning in the 1990s is a result of reduction in ridge formation on the Pacific side during the cyclonic phase of the Arctic Oscillation. The model yields a partial recovery of sea ice cover in the last few years of the twentieth century. In addition to the sea ice cover and average thickness compared with satellite data, the ridge amount is verified with observations taken in the vicinity of the Russian coast. The model results are useful to estimate long-term variability of the probability of ridge-free navigation in different parts of the Arctic Ocean, including the Northern Sea Route area.

scholarly journals The Recent Decline of the Arctic Summer Sea-Ice Cover in the Context of Internal Climate Variability

2008 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Dorn ◽  
K. Dethloff ◽  
A. Rinke ◽  
M. Kurgansky
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Internal Climate Variability ◽  
Arctic Summer

By means of a 21-year simulation of a coupled regional pan-Arctic atmosphere-ocean-ice model for the 1980's and 1990's and comparison of the model results with SSM/I satellite-derived sea-ice concentrations, the patterns of maximum amplitude of interannual variability of the Arctic summer sea-ice cover are revealed. They are shown to concentrate beyond an area enclosed by an isopleth of barotropic planetary potential vorticity that marks the edge of the cyclonic rim current around the deep inner Arctic basin. It is argued that the propagation of the interannual variability signal farther into the inner Arctic basin is hindered by the dynamic isolation of upper Arctic Ocean and the high summer cloudiness usually appearing in the central Arctic. The thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover in recent years is likely to be jointly responsible for its exceptionally strong decrease in summer 2007 when sea-ice decline was favored by anomalously high atmospheric pressure over the western Arctic Ocean, which can be regarded as a typical feature for years with low sea-ice extent. In addition, unusually low cloud cover appeared in summer 2007, which led to substantial warming of the upper ocean. It is hypothesized that the coincidence of several favorable factors for low sea-ice extent is responsible for this extreme event. Owing to the important role of internal climate variability in the recent decline of sea ice, a temporal return to previous conditions or stabilization at the current level can not be excluded just as further decline.

scholarly journals Operation of a multi-frequency parametric sidescan sonar in an ice waveguide

2021 ◽  
Vol 254 ◽  
pp. 02011
Author(s):  
Petr Pivnev ◽  
Sergey Tarasov ◽  
Zhu Jianjun ◽  
Vasily Voronin
Keyword(s):  
Acoustic Waves ◽  
Mineral Exploration ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Acoustic Properties ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sidescan Sonar ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Important Place

Hydroacoustic systems for mineral exploration, solving engineering problems and monitoring the ecological state of the world’s oceans are currently being intensively developed. However, the practical use of hydroacoustic systems for solving the problems under consideration, operating in the traditional mode, has some significant limitations. These restrictions are largely related to the state of the marine areas in which such work is carried out. Especially little is known about the patterns of propagation and interaction of acoustic waves in marine basins with ice cover. These areas are rich in minerals and intensive shipping is developing in them. Therefore, an important place in acoustic research is occupied by the study of the acoustic properties of the ice cover of the polar regions of the Earth. This is determined by the fact that the ice sheet is a unique constantly collapsing and renewable natural system. In this regard, the conditions for the propagation of acoustic waves are changing. More than 70% of the Arctic basin is covered with ice, the lower boundary of which has significant irregularities with a standard deviation of up to 3 m, so the scattering of acoustic waves at such a boundary is significant and different at different frequencies. The formation of the acoustic field of the hydroacoustic systems used in these conditions is quite complex. Therefore, the task of assessing changes in the characteristics of the field and the use of appropriate hydroacoustic systems for their effective use is urgent.

scholarly journals Interannual Variability of Arctic Landfast Ice between 1976 and 2007

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 227-243 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanling Yu ◽  
Harry Stern ◽  
Charles Fowler ◽  
Florence Fetterer ◽  
James Maslanik
Keyword(s):  
Arctic Basin ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Interannual Variations ◽  
Early Winter ◽  
Coastal Regions ◽  
Arctic Warming ◽  
Landfast Ice ◽  
The U.S

Abstract Analysis of weekly sea ice charts produced by the U.S. National Ice Center from 1976 to 2007 indicates large interannual variations in the averaged winter landfast ice extent around the Arctic Basin. During the 32-yr period of the record, landfast ice cover was relatively extensive from the early to mid-1980s but since then has declined in many coastal regions of the Arctic, particularly after the early 1990s. While the Barents, Baltic, and Bering Seas show increases in landfast ice area, the overall change for the Northern Hemisphere is negative, about −12.27 (±2.8) × 103 km2 yr−1, or −7 (±1.5)% decade−1 relative to the long-term mean. Except in a few coastal regions, the seasonal duration of landfast ice is shorter overall, particularly in the Laptev, East Siberian, and Chukchi Seas. The decreased winter landfast ice extent is associated with some notable changes in ice growth and melt patterns, in particular the slowed landfast ice expansion during fall and early winter since 1990. The observed changes in Arctic landfast ice could have profound impacts on the Arctic coasts. The challenge is to understand and project the responses of the whole coastal ecosystem to changing ice cover and Arctic warming.

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