scholarly journals To Move Home or Move On? Investigating the Impact of Recovery Aid on Migration Status as a Potential Tool for Disaster Risk Reduction in the Aftermath of Volcanic Eruptions in Merapi, Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A. Muir ◽  
Michael R. Cope ◽  
Jorden E. Jackson ◽  
Leslie R. Angeningsih
Keyword(s):  
Risk Reduction ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Forced Migration ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Migration Status ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Financial Recovery ◽  
Potential Tool

Disasters are associated strongly with forced migration. Indeed, migration is a standard survival strategy for those facing disruptions of this kind. Such is the case with Mt. Merapi, Indonesia, where a series of eruptions occurred in 2010. Mechanisms related to forced migration in such scenarios are fairly well understood, yet it remains less clear what factors may influence return migration. Given local interest in facilitating resettlement out of hazardous areas as a means of risk reduction, we seek to better understand the extent to which recovery aid may create incentives for households to move on rather than move home. We draw upon data collected from a pilot study in the aftermath of the 2010 eruptions and use multinomial logistic regression models to explore the influence of various forms of aid on migration status. Of the various forms of aid considered, financial recovery aid provided to households was consistently associated with moving on. The combination of financial recovery aid with remittances resulted in an association with having moved on that was even stronger than just receiving financial recovery aid. Ultimately, analyses of "aid packages'" suggest that a combination of most, if not all, of the aid was relatively more effective in fostering resettlement, suggesting that while food and health recovery aid as well as remittances may not have been sufficient in and of themselves to increase resettlement, they may enhance the effect of financial recovery aid.

scholarly journals Impact of lymphopenia on survival for elderly patients with glioblastoma: A secondary analysis of the CCTG CE.6 (EORTC 26062-22061, TROG03.01) randomized clinical trial.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 2547-2547
Author(s):  
Andrew Jehyun Song ◽  
Keyue Ding ◽  
Normand Laperriere ◽  
James R. Perry ◽  
Warren P. Mason ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Secondary Analysis ◽  
Extent Of Resection ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Short Course ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
The Impact

2547 Background: Lymphopenia (LMP) may lead to worse outcomes for patients with glioblastoma (GBM). This study is a secondary analysis of the CCTG CE.6 trial evaluating the impact of chemotherapy and radiation on LMP, as well as the association of LMP with overall survival. Methods: CCTG clinical trial CE.6 randomized elderly GBM patients (≥ 65 yrs) to short course radiation alone (RT) or short course radiation with temozolomide (RT + TMZ). In this study LMP (mild-mod: grade 1-2; severe: grade 3-4) was defined per CTCAE v3.0 criteria, and measured at baseline, 1 wk and 4 wks post-RT. Pre-selected key factors for the analysis included age, sex, ECOG, extent of resection, MGMT methylation, MMSE, and steroid use. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with LMP and multivariable Cox regression models were used to study effect of LMP on survival. Results: A total of 562 patients were included for analysis (281 RT vs 281 RT+TMZ). At baseline, both arms (RT vs RT+TMZ) had similar rates of mild-mod (21.4% vs 21.4%) and severe (3.2% vs 2.9%) LMP. The 1 wk post-RT LMP rates were also similar (p = 0.25). However, RT+TMZ pts were more likely to develop both mild-mod LMP (18.2% vs 27.9%) and severe LMP (1.8% vs 9.3%) [p < 0.001] at 4 wks post-RT. Developing mild-mod and severe LMP post-RT were both associated with baseline LMP (p < 0.001) and RT+TMZ (p < 0.001). Severe LMP at 4 wks post-RT was also associated with biopsy only (p < 0.02). After adjusting for confounding factors, 4 wks post-RT LMP was not significantly associated with PFS or OS regardless of severity. However, baseline LMP (HR 1.3) was significantly associated with worse OS (HR: 1.30, 95% C.I.: 1.05-1.62, p = 0.02), regardless of MGMT status. Other factors significantly associated with worse outcome included: males (HR 1.41), biopsy only (HR 1.59), and lower MMSE (HR 1.03). Conclusions: Short course RT alone does not lead to LMP after treatment. Development of LMP post-RT is associated with addition of TMZ and baseline LMP. However, only baseline LMP is associated with worse OS regardless of MGMT status. This may be considered as a prognostic biomarker for elderly GBM patients and warrants further validation. Clinical trial information: NCT00482677 .

Destination labels for historic villages: The impact on perception, experience, and satisfaction

2021 ◽  
pp. 146735842110207
Author(s):  
Cecilia Chirieleison ◽  
Alessandro Montrone ◽  
Luca Scrucca
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Personal Involvement ◽  
Destination Competitiveness ◽  
Quality Rating ◽  
Tourism Destinations ◽  
The Impact

Many historic villages are trying to exploit the appeal of cultural heritage, an authentic atmosphere, and beautiful landscapes to emerge as rural tourism destinations. This study investigated the capacity of destination certifications and labels to positively influence tourists’ perceptions, experiences, and satisfaction from the perspective of destination competitiveness. As a case study, we selected an Italian village which was awarded the label of one of ‘The Most Beautiful Villages in Italy’. Multinomial logistic regression models were fitted to investigate differences in the ratings of tourists who were or were not aware of the label. The results suggested that the label could provide a significant competitive advantage to tourism in historic villages. Indeed, tourists who were aware of the label were more likely to rate their experience higher in terms of authenticity, personal involvement, and memorability. They also reported higher overall satisfaction and re-visit intentions. A relationship between tourists’ awareness of the label and the likelihood of a positive quality rating emerged only for those attributes strictly related with the main focus of the label. The findings of this study have important policy implications for historic villages’ tourism development.

The impact of SPY angiography on intraoperative decision making and outcomes for post-mastectomy reconstruction

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-5
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Skin Necrosis ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
P Value ◽  
Flap Necrosis ◽  
Single Institution ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
The Impact

Objective: While the use of intraoperative laser angiography (SPY) is increasing in mastectomy patients, its impact in the operating room to change the type of reconstruction performed has not been well described. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether SPY angiography influences post-mastectomy reconstruction decisions and outcomes. Methods and materials: A retrospective analysis of mastectomy patients with reconstruction at a single institution was performed from 2015-2017.All patients underwent intraoperative SPY after mastectomy but prior to reconstruction. SPY results were defined as ‘good’, ‘questionable’, ‘bad’, or ‘had skin excised’. Complications within 60 days of surgery were compared between those whose SPY results did not change the type of reconstruction done versus those who did. Preoperative and intraoperative variables were entered into multivariable logistic regression models if significant at the univariate level. A p-value <0.05 was considered significant. Results: 267 mastectomies were identified, 42 underwent a change in the type of planned reconstruction due to intraoperative SPY results. Of the 42 breasts that underwent a change in reconstruction, 6 had a ‘good’ SPY result, 10 ‘questionable’, 25 ‘bad’, and 2 ‘had areas excised’ (p<0.01). After multivariable analysis, predictors of skin necrosis included patients with ‘questionable’ SPY results (p<0.01, OR: 8.1, 95%CI: 2.06 – 32.2) and smokers (p<0.01, OR:5.7, 95%CI: 1.5 – 21.2). Predictors of any complication included a change in reconstruction (p<0.05, OR:4.5, 95%CI: 1.4-14.9) and ‘questionable’ SPY result (p<0.01, OR: 4.4, 95%CI: 1.6-14.9). Conclusion: SPY angiography results strongly influence intraoperative surgical decisions regarding the type of reconstruction performed. Patients most at risk for flap necrosis and complication post-mastectomy are those with questionable SPY results.

Poisoning deaths among late-middle aged and older adults: comparison between suicides and deaths of undetermined intent

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (08) ◽  
pp. 1159-1169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Namkee G. Choi ◽  
Diana M. DiNitto ◽  
C. Nathan Marti ◽  
Bryan Y. Choi
Keyword(s):  
Substance Use ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Mental Health Problems ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Accurate Determination ◽  
Health Problems ◽  
Life Stressors ◽  
Manner Of Death ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Poisoning Deaths

ABSTRACTBackground:Given the rapid increase in prescription and illicit drug poisoning deaths in the 50+ age group, we examined precipitating/risk factors and toxicology results associated with poisoning deaths classified as suicides compared to intent-undetermined death (UnD) among decedents aged 50+.Methods:Data were from the 2005–2015 US National Violent Death Reporting System (N = 15,453). χ2 tests and multinomial logistic regression models were used to compare three groups of decedents: suicide decedent who left a suicide note, suicide decedent who did not leave a note, and UnD cases.Results:Compared to suicide decedents without a note (37.7% of the sample), those with a note (29.4%) were more likely to have been depressed and had physical health problems and other life stressors, while UnD cases (32.9%) were less likely to have had mental health problems and other life stressors but more likely to have had substance use and health problems. UnD cases were also more likely to be opioid (RRR = 2.65, 95% CI = 2.42–2.90) and cocaine (RRR = 2.59, 95% CI = 2.09–3.21) positive but less likely to be antidepressant positive. Blacks were more than twice as likely as non-Hispanic Whites to be UnDs. Results from separate regression models in the highest UnD states (Maryland and Utah) and in states other than Maryland/Utah were similar.Conclusions:Many UnDs may be more correctly classified as unintentional overdose deaths. Along with more accurate determination processes for intent/manner of death, substance use treatment and approaches to curbing opioid and other drug use problems are needed to prevent intentional and unintentional poisoning deaths.

scholarly journals High association of COVID-19 severity with poor gut health score in Lebanese patients

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (10) ◽  
pp. e0258913
Author(s):  
Imad Al Kassaa ◽  
Sarah El Omari ◽  
Nada Abbas ◽  
Nicolas Papon ◽  
Djamel Drider ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Equal Proportion ◽  
Gut Health ◽  
Kendall’S Tau ◽  
High Association ◽  
Kendall's Tau ◽  
Health Score ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
The Impact

Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected millions of lives globally. However, the disease has presented more extreme challenges for developing countries that are experiencing economic crises. Studies on COVID-19 symptoms and gut health are scarce and have not fully analyzed possible associations between gut health and disease pathophysiology. Therefore, this study aimed to demonstrate a potential association between gut health and COVID-19 severity in the Lebanese community, which has been experiencing a severe economic crisis. Methods This cross-sectional study investigated SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive Lebanese patients. Participants were interviewed and gut health, COVID-19 symptoms, and different metrics were analyzed using simple and multiple logistic regression models. Results Analysis of the data showed that 25% of participants were asymptomatic, while an equal proportion experienced severe symptoms, including dyspnea (22.7%), oxygen need (7.5%), and hospitalization (3.1%). The mean age of the participants was 38.3 ±0.8 years, and the majority were males (63.9%), married (68.2%), and currently employed (66.7%). A negative correlation was found between gut health score and COVID-19 symptoms (Kendall’s tau-b = -0.153, P = 0.004); indicating that low gut health was associated with more severe COVID-19 cases. Additionally, participants who reported unhealthy food intake were more likely to experience severe symptoms (Kendall’s tau-b = 0.118, P = 0.049). When all items were taken into consideration, multiple ordinal logistic regression models showed a significant association between COVID-19 symptoms and each of the following variables: working status, flu-like illness episodes, and gut health score. COVID-19 severe symptoms were more common among patients having poor gut health scores (OR:1.31, 95%CI:1.07–1.61; P = 0.008), experiencing more than one episode of flu-like illness per year (OR:2.85, 95%CI:1.58–5.15; P = 0.001), and owning a job (OR:2.00, 95%CI:1.1–3.65; P = 0.023). Conclusions To our knowledge, this is the first study that showed the impact of gut health and exposure to respiratory viruses on COVID-19 severity in Lebanon. These findings can facilitate combating the pandemic in Lebanon.

scholarly journals Changes in Illegal Behavior During Emerging Adulthood

10.18060/2125 ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 458-476 ◽  
Author(s):  
Badiah Haffejee ◽  
Jamie Rae Yoder ◽  
Kimberly Bender
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Adulthood ◽  
Emerging Adults ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Work Practice ◽  
Social Work Practice ◽  
Mixed Methods Study ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Illegal Behavior ◽  
Illegal Activities

Emerging adulthood marks a critical developmental juncture during which some individuals disengage from the illegal behavior of their adolescence while others continue to use substances and commit crimes. While risk factors for delinquency during adolescence are well studied, factors that influence persisting or desisting from illegal activities during emerging adulthood have not been fully explored. This mixed methods study utilizes a sample of college students aged 18-25 (N=74) and examines factors differentiating those who abstained from illegal behaviors, desisted from illegal behaviors, and persisted in illegal behaviors. Multinomial logistic regression models indicated peers offending and hours spent studying predicted desisting and peers offending predicted persisting (compared to the abstaining group). Three qualitative themes: family and peer bonds, morals and values, and fear of consequences further explained factors influencing emerging adults’ persisting and desisting choices. Implications for social work practice are explored.

scholarly journals Do RATs save lives? A retrospective analysis of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in an English Ambulance Service

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Pilbery ◽  
M. Dawn Teare
Keyword(s):  
Retrospective Cohort ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Spontaneous Circulation ◽  
Ambulance Service ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Cad System ◽  
Routinely Collected Data ◽  
Collection Period ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Hospital Cardiac Arrest

<h3>Study aim</h3><p>This study aims to determine the impact of the red arrest teams (RATs) on survival to 30 days and return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) at hospital.</p><h3>Methods</h3><p class="FirstParagraph">A retrospective cohort study analysing routinely collected data was undertaken. All adult (≥18 years) OHCAs entered onto the YAS computer aided dispatch (CAD) system between the 1st October, 2015 and 30th September, 2017 were included if the patient was resuscitated, and the cause of the arrest was considered to be medical in origin. Multivariable logistic regression models were created to enable adjustment for common predictors of survival and ROSC.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>During the 2-year data collection period, 15,151 cardiac arrests that were attended by Yorkshire Ambulance Service. After removing ineligible cases, 5,868 cardiac arrests remained. RATs attended 2,000/5,868 (34.1%) incidents, with each RAT attending a median of 13 cardiac arrests (IQR 7–23, minimum 1, maximum 78).</p><p class="FirstParagraph">The adjusted odds ratios suggest that a RAT on scene is associated with a slight increase in the odds of survival to 30 days (OR 1.01, 95%CI 0.74–1.38) and odds of ROSC on arrival at hospital (OR 1.13, 95%CI 0.99–1.29), compared to the odds of not having a RAT present, although neither results are statistically significant.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p class="FirstParagraph">The presence of a RAT paramedic was associated with a small increase in survival to 30 days and ROSC on arrival at hospital, although neither were statistically significant. Larger prospective studies are required to determine the effect of roles such as RAT on outcomes from OHCA</p>

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