scholarly journals A project of creating atlas aftershocks of strong earthquakes

Author(s):  
A. V. Guglielmi ◽  
A. D. Zavyalov ◽  
O. D. Zotov

The Omori Law, which describes the repeated underground shocks after a strong earthquake, is written in the form of a nonlinear differential equation. An idea of the focal deactivation coefficient after the main shock is introduced. Two advantages of the new wording of the Omori Law are given. Firstly, there is an interesting possibility to naturally take into account exogenous and endogenous triggers affecting the earthquake source. Endogenous triggers in the form of round-the-world seismic echo and free oscillations of the Earth, excited by the main shock, are especially noted. The second advantage is that the differential aftershock equation makes it possible to put the reverse problem of the earthquake source physics. The essence of the inverse problem is to determine the deactivation coefficient from the data on the observed aftershock frequency. Examples of inverse problem solution are given. The project of creation of the Atlas of aftershocks on the basis of the solution of the inverse problem of the source, cooling down after a strong earthquake is offered.

Author(s):  
Э.Г. Геодакян ◽  
С.М. Оганесян ◽  
С.Н. Саргсян ◽  
Дж.К. Карапетян

Изучение спектральных и динамических параметров очагов землетрясений по данным инженерных макросейсмических и инструментальных наблюдений необходимо для решения многих задач фундамен- тальной и прикладной сейсмологии. Это задачи физики очага, процессов подготовки сильных землетря- сений, задачи сейсмического районирования, микрорайонирования, расчета сейсмических воздействий, геофизической защиты территории и т. д. Study of spectral and dynamic parameters of earthquake sources with the help of the data of engineering macroseismic and instrumental observations is necessary for many fundamental and applied seismology problems solving. These are the problems of earthquake source physics, processes of strong earthquakes origination, problems of seismic zoning, microzonation, seismic impacts calculation, geophysical protection of territory etc.


2017 ◽  
Vol 919 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-44
Author(s):  
S.A. Ganiyeva ◽  
J.T. Mehdiyev

It is well-known that strong shallow earthquakes are usually accompanied with series of aftershocks which can be explained by non-complete removal of strains, collected in the center during the main shock. But in some cases after some time interval the repeated strong earthquake happens in the same place. There are different versions for such repeated earthquakes. It is obvious, that all existing versions require presence or accumulation of strain in the active zone after the main shock which stress out the actuality of development of theoretical and methodological basics for assessment of strains on the basis of experimental data on plates motion. The importance of geodynamic research of remained strain at the Earth crust after strong earthquakes by way of calculation of remained strain on the basis of data plates is noted. It is shown, that utilization of GPS system for determination of shifts of plates could lead to error caused by shifts of GPS stations due to various causes.The consideration of the case where the non-stability of atmospheric pressure is a prevailing factor is reasoned. The related formulas for calculation of strain of the Earth crust on the basis of GPS measurements in the triangular network are given.


Author(s):  
Yuri Vinogradov ◽  
Marina Ryzhikova ◽  
Natalia Petrova ◽  
Svetlana Poygina ◽  
Marina Kolomiets

Data on the 2021 first half Earth seismicity at the level of strong earthquakes with magni-tudes mb6.0 according to the Alert Service of the Geophysical Survey RAS are given. The review also includes information on 81 earthquakes in Russia and adjacent territories, felt in the settlements of the Russian Federation. For 14 strong earthquakes, within one or two days after their occurrence, Informational messages were published, and information about the focal mechanisms was giving. The strongest earthquake of the Earth with MS=7.8 (Mw=8.1) occurred on March 4 at the Kermadec Islands, New Zealand. The largest human casualties and material damage during the study period were caused by catastrophic earth-quakes with MS=5.1 (Mw=5.8) and MS=5.9 (Mw=6.3), which occurred on January 14 at the Sulawesi Island, Indonesia. As a result of the earthquakes, 81 people died, 826 were injured. The strongest earthquake in Russia was the March 16 earthquake with MS=6.7 (Mw=6.6) off the eastern coast of Kamchatka. The maximum shaking intensity in Russia (I=6) was manifested by the strong Khuvsgul earthquake with MS=7.2 (Mw=6.8), which took place on January 11 in the Northern Mongolia, near the border with Russia. The position of the main shock and its aftershocks indicate the intensification of the seismic process in the north-western part of the Khuvsgul rift zone. According to the focal mechanisms of the main shock and two strong aftershocks, the stress of the northwest/southeast extension prevails in this zone, and the predominant slip type along the faults of the northeast strike is a nor-mal fault. The global seismic energy released in the 2021 first half remains, as in the previ-ous two years, at a reduced level, relative to the average for the last 11.5 years, which indi-cates a continuing seismic calm.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerald Duma

<p>Based on the comprehensive earthquake catalogue USGS ( HYPERLINK<span>  </span>https://earthquake.usgs.gov) the paper demonstrates that strong earthquake activity, seismic events with M≥6, exhibits a seasonal trend. This feature is the result of<span>  </span>analyses of earthquake data for the N- and S- Earth Hemisphere in period 2010-2019. It can be shown also for single earthquake prone regions as well, like Japan, Eurasia, S-America.</p><p>Any seasonal effect suggests an external influence. In that regard, one can think also of a solar-terrestrial effect, that is suggested already in several studies (e.g<span>  </span>M.Tavares, A.Azevedo, 2011; D.A.E. Vares, M.A.Persinger,2014; G.Duma, 2019). This assumption leads to the question: Which dynamic process can cause a trigger effect for strong earthquakes in the Earth's lithosphere.</p><p>In this study the intensity of solar flares and the resulting radiation, the solar wind, towards the Earth was taken into account. An appropriate parameter which has been regularity measured and reported for many decades and which reflects the intensity of solar radiation is the magnetic index Kp. It is measured at numerous geomagnetic observatories and describes the magnetic disturbances in nT within 3 hour intervals, respectively. Averages of all the measured 3-hour values are then published as Kp, therefore considered a planetary parameter (International Service of Geomagnetic Indices ISGI,France).</p><p>The temporal variations of strong earthquake activity over 10 years and their energy release was compared with the above mentioned index Kp. Actually, a distinct correlation between the two quantities, Kp and earthquake frequency, resulted in cases of different regions as well as globally. Another essential result of the study is that maxima of Kp preceed those of earthquake activity by about 60 to 80 days in most cases. The mechanism has not yet been modeled satisfactorily.</p>


1980 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 559-570 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Uhrhammer

abstract At 1705 UTC on August 6, 1979, a strong earthquake (ML = 5.9) occurred along the Calaveras fault zone south of Coyote Lake about 110 km southeast of San Francisco. This strong earthquake had an aftershock sequence of 31 events (2.4 ≦ ML ≦ 4.4) during August 1979. No foreshocks (ML ≧ 1.5) were observed in the 3 months prior to the main shock. The local magnitude (ML = 5.9) and the seismic moment (Mo = 6 × 1024 dyne-cm from the SH pulse) for the main shock were determined from the 100 × torsion and 3-component ultra-long period seismographs located at Berkeley. Local magnitudes are determined for the aftershocks from the maximum trace amplitudes on the Wood-Anderson torsion seismograms recorded at Berkeley (Δ ≊ 110 km). Temporal and spatial characteristics of the aftershock sequence are presented and discussed. Some key observations are: (1) the first six aftershocks (ML ≧ 2.4) proceed along the fault zone progressively to the south of the main shock; (2) all of the aftershocks (ML ≧ 2.4) to the south of the largest aftershock (ML = 4.4) have a different focal mechanism than the aftershocks to the north; (3) no aftershocks (ML ≧ 2.4) were observed significantly to the north of the main shock for the first 5 days of the sequence; and (4) the b-value (0.70 ± 0.17) for the aftershock sequence is not significantly different from the average b-value (0.88 ± 0.08) calculated for the Calaveras fault zone from 16 yr of data.


Geophysics ◽  
1994 ◽  
Vol 59 (9) ◽  
pp. 1327-1341 ◽  
Author(s):  
Douglas W. Oldenburg ◽  
Yaoguo Li

We develop three methods to invert induced polarization (IP) data. The foundation for our algorithms is an assumption that the ultimate effect of chargeability is to alter the effective conductivity when current is applied. This assumption, which was first put forth by Siegel and has been routinely adopted in the literature, permits the IP responses to be numerically modeled by carrying out two forward modelings using a DC resistivity algorithm. The intimate connection between DC and IP data means that inversion of IP data is a two‐step process. First, the DC potentials are inverted to recover a background conductivity. The distribution of chargeability can then be found by using any one of the three following techniques: (1) linearizing the IP data equation and solving a linear inverse problem, (2) manipulating the conductivities obtained after performing two DC resistivity inversions, and (3) solving a nonlinear inverse problem. Our procedure for performing the inversion is to divide the earth into rectangular prisms and to assume that the conductivity σ and chargeability η are constant in each cell. To emulate complicated earth structure we allow many cells, usually far more than there are data. The inverse problem, which has many solutions, is then solved as a problem in optimization theory. A model objective function is designed, and a “model” (either the distribution of σ or η)is sought that minimizes the objective function subject to adequately fitting the data. Generalized subspace methodologies are used to solve both inverse problems, and positivity constraints are included. The IP inversion procedures we design are generic and can be applied to 1-D, 2-D, or 3-D earth models and with any configuration of current and potential electrodes. We illustrate our methods by inverting synthetic DC/IP data taken over a 2-D earth structure and by inverting dipole‐dipole data taken in Quebec.


2003 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 703-712 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Z. Li ◽  
Z. Q. Bai ◽  
W. S. Chen ◽  
Y. Q. Xia ◽  
Y. R. Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract. The imminent prediction on a group of strong earthquakes that occurred in Xinjiang, China in April 1997 is introduced in detail. The prediction was made on the basis of comprehensive analyses on the results obtained by multiple innovative methods including measurements of crustal stress, observation of infrasonic wave in an ultra low frequency range, and recording of abnormal behavior of certain animals. Other successful examples of prediction are also enumerated. The statistics shows that above 40% of 20 total predictions jointly presented by J. Z. Li, Z. Q. Ren and others since 1995 can be regarded as effective. With the above methods, precursors of almost every strong earthquake around the world that occurred in recent years were recorded in our laboratory. However, the physical mechanisms of the observed precursors are yet impossible to explain at this stage.


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