scholarly journals Forstwirtschaft oder die Strategie des a«muddling-through» (Essay)

2018 ◽  
Vol 169 (4) ◽  
pp. 189-193
Author(s):  
Roderich von Detten
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Forest Management ◽  
The Past ◽  
Basic Assumptions ◽  
Sustainability Strategy ◽  
The Future ◽  
Images Of The Future ◽  
Striking Contrast

Forestry or the strategy of muddling-through (essay) The claim of foresters to steer and manage forests in the long term (“sustainability strategy”) is in striking contrast to the indication that our forests present themselves, in effect, as a multiform conglomerate of planned and unforeseen, expected and accidental features. If one accepts the fact that the future is generally unknown and our images of the future are mere fiction, stemming from experiences and knowledge from the past, a comparative view on forest sciences and practice shows how differently both realms deal with uncertainty regarding the future. In the sciences, working with future models has become an established approach: based upon various suppositions and simplifications, they first and foremost inform about established, basic assumptions and expectations instead of leading to reliable prognoses. In contrast, long-term decision making in practical forest management is informed by the experience that the future will prove “different” and unexpected. Hence, the principle of sustainability cannot be based on a long-term strategy, but is characterized by a permanent process of intelligent muddling-through.

scholarly journals Extending management training for senior registrars

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 482-484 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elaine M. Gadd
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Medical Training ◽  
Management Training ◽  
Individual Case ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Individual

It is recognised that the consultants of the future will have a greater management role than those of the past. The Griffiths report (1983) regarded doctors as ‘natural managers’, although this has been challenged by some authors. They suggest that medical training, with its emphasis on the individual case and rapid decision-making (Higgins, 1989), leads to a very different perspective from the manager considering the often competing long-term needs of many individuals.

Decision making: How the past guides the future in frontal cortex

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. R303-R306
Author(s):  
Bharath Chandra Talluri ◽  
Anke Braun ◽  
T.H. Donner
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Frontal Cortex ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future

Forest Management Decision-Making: Art or Science?

1981 ◽  
Vol 57 (5) ◽  
pp. 233-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. H. Hall
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Forest Management ◽  
Simulation Modeling ◽  
Forest Planning ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Creative Design ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
Evaluation Techniques ◽  
Making Art

This paper describes an approach to forest management decision-making. Acknowledging both objective and subjective elements, the approach offers a methodology to encourage more creative design in forest planning. It uses the descriptive capabilities of simulation modeling in tandem with the prescriptive capabilities of graphical evaluation techniques, to facilitate the use and interpretation of technical forestry information in decision-making problems. It emphasizes a need for an overview of long-term resource behavior as a prerequisite to, and a framework for, forest planning.

scholarly journals V. Bryusov’s Letters to His Fiancée

Literary Fact ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 8-30
Author(s):  
Monika V. Orlova
Keyword(s):  
Young People ◽  
Full Text ◽  
Terminally Ill ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future ◽  
State Of Mind ◽  
First Time ◽  
The Village ◽  
The Relationship

The publication includes V.Ya. Bryusov’s letters to his fiancée I.M. Runt (1876 –1965) from June 9 to September 9, 1897. 11 correspondences, including the final telegram sent from Kursk, were written and sent from Aachen (Germany), Moscow and several Ukrainian localities. The letter 10 is accompanied by the full text of I.M. Runt’s only surviving letter to Bryusov, sent from Moscow to the village of Bolshye Sorochintsy and received by the poet a few months later at home. The relationship between the young people before the wedding were complicated. While the poet was preparing for the wedding in Moscow, he summed up the past contacts with “mes amantes”, and his state of mind was painful. Shortly before meeting his future wife, Bryusov broke up with the former governess of his family E.I. Pavlovskaya, who was terminally ill. A few days before the wedding he decided to go to say goodbye to Pavlovskaya to her homeland, Ukraine. In his letters to the future wife the poet tried to smooth out the tension of the situation, perhaps anticipating that he would be bounded with I.M. Runt 30 Литературный факт. 2021. № 2 (20) by a long-term relationship, where life and literature are closely interconnected. The letters are published for the first time.

scholarly journals The Art and Science of Planning a Garden's Future

2018 ◽  
pp. 3-7
Author(s):  
Ed Ikin
Keyword(s):  
Art And Science ◽  
Third Way ◽  
External Consultants ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future

Successful long-term plans for gardens require creativity and objectivity and need to include the insight of the horticultural teams caring for them. Garden plans take different forms and there are rival schools of thought about the merits of using external consultants or authoring exclusively in house. This essay makes the case for a ‘third way’, blending the skills of internal and external teams, and shows how the past can inspire the future.

Getting to the Future

2021 ◽  
pp. 109-128
Author(s):  
Michael K. MacKenzie
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
The Political ◽  
Collective Decision Making ◽  
Political Dynamics ◽  
The Future ◽  
Decision Making Processes ◽  
Electoral Cycles ◽  
Shared Futures ◽  
Deliberative Processes

This chapter makes three arguments in support of the claim that we need inclusive deliberative processes to shape the future in collectively intentional, mutually accommodating ways. First, inclusive collective decision-making processes are needed to avoid futures that favour the interests of some groups of people over others. Second, deliberative processes are needed to shape our shared futures in collectively intentional ways: we need to be able to talk to ourselves about what we are doing and where we want to get to in the future. Third, deliberative exchanges are needed to help collectivities avoid the policy oscillations that are (or may be) associated with the political dynamics of short electoral cycles. Effective processes of reciprocal reason giving can help collectivities maintain policy continuity over the long term—when continuity is justified—even as governments and generations change.

scholarly journals THE FUTURE ME, RETIREE: USING THE FUTURE SELF TO ENHANCE LONG-TERM FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (suppl_1) ◽  
pp. 693-693
Author(s):  
P Lemaster ◽  
A Faber ◽  
K Fernholz ◽  
K Finch ◽  
E Kransvik
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Financial Decision Making ◽  
The Future ◽  
Financial Decision ◽  
Future Self

scholarly journals Archaeology, climate, and global change in the Age of Humans

2020 ◽  
Vol 117 (15) ◽  
pp. 8250-8253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torben C. Rick ◽  
Daniel H. Sandweiss
Keyword(s):  
Interdisciplinary Research ◽  
Social Economic ◽  
Political Uncertainty ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
The Past ◽  
Cultural Systems ◽  
Human Ecodynamics ◽  
The Future ◽  
Shed Light

We live in an age characterized by increasing environmental, social, economic, and political uncertainty. Human societies face significant challenges, ranging from climate change to food security, biodiversity declines and extinction, and political instability. In response, scientists, policy makers, and the general public are seeking new interdisciplinary or transdisciplinary approaches to evaluate and identify meaningful solutions to these global challenges. Underrecognized among these challenges is the disappearing record of past environmental change, which can be key to surviving the future. Historical sciences such as archaeology access the past to provide long-term perspectives on past human ecodynamics: the interaction between human social and cultural systems and climate and environment. Such studies shed light on how we arrived at the present day and help us search for sustainable trajectories toward the future. Here, we highlight contributions by archaeology—the study of the human past—to interdisciplinary research programs designed to evaluate current social and environmental challenges and contribute to solutions for the future. The past is a multimillennial experiment in human ecodynamics, and, together with our transdisciplinary colleagues, archaeology is well positioned to uncover the lessons of that experiment.

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