scholarly journals The application of a non-linear back-propagation neural network to study the mass balance of Grosse Aletschgletscher, Switzerland

2005 ◽  
Vol 51 (173) ◽  
pp. 313-323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Steiner ◽  
A. Walter ◽  
H.J. Zumbühl
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Linear Part ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Specific Area ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Input Variables

AbstractGlacier mass changes are considered to represent key variables related to climate variability. We have reconstructed a proxy for annual mass-balance changes in Grosse Aletschgletscher, Swiss Alps, back to AD 1500 using a non-linear back-propagation neural network (BPN). The model skill of the BPN performs better than reconstructions using conventional stepwise multiple linear regression. The BPN, driven by monthly instrumental series of local temperature and precipitation, provides a proxy for 20th-century mass balance. The long-term mass-balance reconstruction back to 1500 is based on a multi-proxy approach of seasonally resolved temperature and precipitation reconstructions (mean over a specific area) as input variables. The relation between the driving factors (temperature, precipitation) used and the reconstructed mass-balance series is discussed. Mass changes in Grosse Aletschgletscher are shown to be mainly influenced by summer (June–August) temperatures, but winter (December–February) precipitation also seems to contribute. Furthermore, we found a significant non-linear part within the climate–mass-balance relation of Grosse Aletschgletscher.

Using BPNN to Predict Number of Low-Income Households in Taiwan Based on Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rates for Real GDP

2014 ◽  
Vol 1044-1045 ◽  
pp. 1824-1827
Author(s):  
Yi Ti Tung ◽  
Tzu Yi Pai
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Low Income Households

In this study, the back-propagation neural network (BPNN) was used to predict the number of low-income households (NLIH) in Taiwan, taking the seasonally adjusted annualized rates (SAAR) for real gross domestic product (GDP) as input variables. The results indicated that the lowest mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and highest correlation coefficient (R) for training and testing were 4.759 % versus 19.343 %, 24429972.268 versus 781839890.859, 4942.669 versus 27961.400, and 0.945 versus 0.838, respectively.

Predicting Flow Stress of Four Types of Microalloyed Forging Steel at High Temperature by Artificial Neural Network Model

2017 ◽  
Vol 729 ◽  
pp. 75-79
Author(s):  
Hu Sen Jiang ◽  
Jin Wang ◽  
Li Hua Li ◽  
Hai Tao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
High Temperature ◽  
Flow Stress ◽  
Constitutive Model ◽  
Relative Error ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

Artificial neural network (ANN) gets a lot of applications in predicting flow stress of steels at high temperature. However, few studies have been devoted to simultaneously predict flow stress of several steels by ANN. The purpose of this paper is to determine the effect of ANN on simultaneously predicting flow stress of several steels. Based on the results of previous compression experiments of four types of microalloyed forging steel, using the mass percentage of major chemical composition of the steels, such as as C, Mn, Si and V, and deformation temperature, strain rate and strain as input variables, a three-layers back propagation neural network was established as the constitutive model for them. Standard statistical methods were employed to quantitatively measure the accuracy of predicted results by the model. The calculated correlation coefficient and the average relative error absolute value between the predicted values by the model and experimental values were 0.9982 and 2.4181%, respectively. In addition, the relative error between the two kinds of values was calculated, and for more than 89% samples, the relative error was within ± 5%. The results show that the developed constitutive model can predict the flow stress of the four types of microalloyed forging steel accurately and simultaneously.

scholarly journals Machine Learning and Time Series Models for VNQ Market Predictions

2021 ◽  
pp. 29-44
Author(s):  
Yu-Min Lian ◽  
Chia-Hsuan Li ◽  
Yi-Hsuan Wei
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
The United States ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average ◽  
Input Variables

Abstract This study compares the price predictions of the Vanguard real estate exchange-traded fund (ETF) (VNQ) using the back propagation neural network (BPNN) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. The input variables for BPNN include the past 3-day closing prices, daily trading volume, MA5, MA20, the S&P 500 index, the United States (US) dollar index, volatility index, 5-year treasury yields, and 10-year treasury yields. In addition, variable reduction is based on multiple linear regression (MLR). Mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) are used to measure the prediction error between the actual closing price and the models’ forecasted price. The training set covers the period between January 1, 2015 and March 31, 2020, and the forecasting set covers the period from April 1, 2020 to June 30, 2020. The empirical results reveal that the BPNN model’s predictive ability is superior to the ARIMA model’s. The predictive accuracy of BPNN with one hidden layer is better than with two hidden layers. Our findings provide crucial market factors as input variables for BPNN that might inspire investors in VNQ markets. JEL classification numbers: C32, C45, C53, G17. Keywords: Vanguard real estate ETF (VNQ), Back propagation neural network (BPNN), Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), Multiple linear regression (MLR).

Using Function Approximation to Determine Neural Network Accuracy

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-98
Author(s):  
R.F. Wichman ◽  
J. Alexander
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Function Approximation ◽  
High Reliability ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Accurate Method ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Degree Of Approximation ◽  
Feed Forward Back Propagation ◽  
Non Linear

Many, if not most, control processes demonstrate non-linear behavior in some portion of their operating range and the ability of neural networks to model non-linear dynamics makes them very appealing for control. Control of high reliability safety systems, and autonomous control in process or robotic applications, however, require accurate and consistent control and neural networks are only approximators of various functions so their degree of approximation becomes important. In this paper, the factors affecting the ability of a feed-forward back-propagation neural network to accurately approximate a non-linear function are explored. Compared to pattern recognition using a neural network for function approximation provides an easy and accurate method for determining the network's accuracy. In contrast to other techniques, we show that errors arising in function approximation or curve fitting are caused by the neural network itself rather than scatter in the data. A method is proposed that provides improvements in the accuracy achieved during training and resulting ability of the network to generalize after training. Binary input vectors provided a more accurate model than with scalar inputs and retraining using a small number of the outlier x,y pairs improved generalization.

scholarly journals Back Propagation Neural Network(BPNN) and Sigmoid Activation Function in Multi-Layer Networks

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 216
Author(s):  
Renas Rajab Asaad ◽  
Rasan I. Ali
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Logic Gate ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Main Idea ◽  
Activation Function ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Linear Threshold ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Hidden Layer ◽  
Sigmoid Activation Function

Back propagation neural network are known for computing the problems that cannot easily be computed (huge datasets analysis or training) in artificial neural networks. The main idea of this paper is to implement XOR logic gate by ANNs using back propagation neural network for back propagation of errors, and sigmoid activation function. This neural network to map non-linear threshold gate. The non-linear used to classify binary inputs (x1, x2) and passing it through hidden layer for computing coefficient_errors and gradient_errors (Cerrors, Gerrors), after computing errors by (ei = Output_desired- Output_actual) the weights and thetas (ΔWji = (α)(Xj)(gi), Δϴj = (α)(-1)(gi)) are changing according to errors. Sigmoid activation function is = sig(x)=1/(1+e-x) and Derivation of sigmoid is = dsig(x) = sig(x)(1-sig(x)). The sig(x) and Dsig(x) is between 1 to 0.

Application of Improved BP Neural Network in the Preparation Processing of the SrTiO3 Nanocrystalline

2007 ◽  
Vol 336-338 ◽  
pp. 2497-2500
Author(s):  
Qiang Luo ◽  
Qing Li Ren
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Raw Material ◽  
Learning Speed ◽  
Main Component Analysis ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Main Component

A three-layer back-propagation neural network model based on the non-linear relationship between the size of the SrTiO3 nanocrystalline and the technology factors, such as reaction time, reaction temperature, raw material adding amount of NaOH and SrCl2, and the rate of TiCl4/Hl, was established. Moreover, in order to accelerate the converging rate and avoid the non-converging situation, the momentum terms are introduced. Besides, the variable learning speed is adopted. At the same time, the input variables were pretreated by using the main component analysis firstly. And the results show that the improved back-propagation neural network model is very efficient for predication of the SrTiO3 nanocrystalline size.

Economic benefit of shale gas exploitation based on back propagation neural network

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 8823-8830
Author(s):  
Jiafeng Li ◽  
Hui Hu ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Qian Jin ◽  
Tianhao Huang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Shale Gas ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Linear Prediction ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Gas Well ◽  
Well Production

Under the influence of COVID-19, the economic benefits of shale gas development are greatly affected. With the large-scale development and utilization of shale gas in China, it is increasingly important to assess the economic impact of shale gas development. Therefore, this paper proposes a method for predicting the production of shale gas reservoirs, and uses back propagation (BP) neural network to nonlinearly fit reservoir reconstruction data to obtain shale gas well production forecasting models. Experiments show that compared with the traditional BP neural network, the proposed method can effectively improve the accuracy and stability of the prediction. There is a nonlinear correlation between reservoir reconstruction data and gas well production, which does not apply to traditional linear prediction methods

An Anatomy of a Hybrid Color Descriptor with a Neural Network Model to Enhance the Retrieval Accuracy of an Image Retrieval System

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shikha Bhardwaj ◽  
Gitanjali Pandove ◽  
Pawan Kumar Dahiya
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Image Retrieval ◽  
Hybrid System ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Retrieval Accuracy ◽  
Color Descriptor ◽  
Benchmark Datasets ◽  
Color Moment

Background: In order to retrieve a particular image from vast repository of images, an efficient system is required and such an eminent system is well-known by the name Content-based image retrieval (CBIR) system. Color is indeed an important attribute of an image and the proposed system consist of a hybrid color descriptor which is used for color feature extraction. Deep learning, has gained a prominent importance in the current era. So, the performance of this fusion based color descriptor is also analyzed in the presence of Deep learning classifiers. Method: This paper describes a comparative experimental analysis on various color descriptors and the best two are chosen to form an efficient color based hybrid system denoted as combined color moment-color autocorrelogram (Co-CMCAC). Then, to increase the retrieval accuracy of the hybrid system, a Cascade forward back propagation neural network (CFBPNN) is used. The classification accuracy obtained by using CFBPNN is also compared to Patternnet neural network. Results: The results of the hybrid color descriptor depict that the proposed system has superior results of the order of 95.4%, 88.2%, 84.4% and 96.05% on Corel-1K, Corel-5K, Corel-10K and Oxford flower benchmark datasets respectively as compared to many state-of-the-art related techniques. Conclusion: This paper depict an experimental and analytical analysis on different color feature descriptors namely, Color moment (CM), Color auto-correlogram (CAC), Color histogram (CH), Color coherence vector (CCV) and Dominant color descriptor (DCD). The proposed hybrid color descriptor (Co-CMCAC) is utilized for the withdrawal of color features with Cascade forward back propagation neural network (CFBPNN) is used as a classifier on four benchmark datasets namely Corel-1K, Corel-5K and Corel-10K and Oxford flower.

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