scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON THE TOURISM SECTOR IN INDONESIA

Riset ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 389-401
Author(s):  
Jan Horas Veryady Purba ◽  
Ritha Fathiah ◽  
Steven Steven
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

The tourism is one of the strategic sectors and has an important role as a source of foreign exchange and encourages national economic growth. Since March 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic has begun to enter Indonesia, and the cumulative infection curve has not sloped, and is still increasing exponentially until now. This phenomenon has resulted in a contraction in the Indonesian economy or created negative economic growth, as well as creating very bad conditions for the tourism sector in Indonesia. This study aims to examine the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic on tourism and its implications for economic growth in Indonesia. The data used are quarterly time series data before and after the Covid-19 Pandemic (2018-2020). This study uses a regression equation model that is estimated by using ordinary least square (OLS). Secondary data used are data air transport and hotel accommodation, as a proxy for tourism variables. The results show that the Covid-19 Pandemic has a negative effect on Indonesian tourism, and has negative implications for Indonesia's GDP. From the simulation results, the findings of this study also calculate the amount of potential lost in the Turism and Indonesian economy during the Covid-19 Pandemic.

scholarly journals Effect of Foreign Aids on Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 194-204
Author(s):  
Isiaka Najeem Ayodeji ◽  
Makinde Wasiu Abiodun
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

This study investigated the impact of foreign aids on economic growth in Nigeria using time series data spanned from 1990 to 2017. The research considered the secondary data that were gathered from CBN statistical bulletin 2017 and World Bank Data Indictors. Ordinary Least Square techniques was adopted in the study and used Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test, co integration test, granger causality test, ECM to estimates data employed. The findings revealed that all the variables employed were stationary at first difference and integrated at the same order1(I), the co-integration test shows that variables are co-integrated at one co-integrating equation which means that there is a long run relationship. The Error Correction Model established that the error that caused disequilibrium in the short run is being corrected in the long-run at a speed of adjustment at 6%. The findings revealed real gross domestic product responds inversely to changes in official development assistance and foreign direct investment. Based on these findings the study concluded that foreign aids have a significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. Different diagnostic tests are applied in order to confirm the major assumption of multiple regression analysis like multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. Therefore, the study recommends among others that government needs to formulate strong and effective education and healthcare policies to facilitate and attract investment in the sectors and improve their efficiency in the long-run that will influence productivity.

scholarly journals PENGARUH INFLASI, LOAN TO DEPOSIT RATIO DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP NON PERFORMING LOAN PADA BPR SUMATERA BARAT

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 79
Author(s):  
Nurmi Siringo ◽  
Ali Anis ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
Significant Negative Effect ◽  
West Sumatra ◽  
Negative Effect

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, Loan To Deposit Ratio, and economic growth of the Non-Performing Loan in Rural Bank of West Sumatra.The type of data in this research is secondary data that is both quantitative and Time Series Data from the years 2005-2013. Data were analyzed with regression methods and estimation OLS (Ordinary Least Square).The results showed that: (1) inflation is not a significant negative effect on the Bank's Non-Performing Loan Rural West Sumatera (2) Loan To Deposit Ratio was not significant positive effect on Non-Performing Loans in the Bank Rural West Sumatera  (3) economic growth significant negative effect on Non-Performing Loans in the Rural Bank of West Sumatra, (4) inflation, Loan To Deposit Ratio and economic growth together significant effect on Non-Performing Loans in the Rural Bank of WestKeywords : Inflation, Loan To Deposit Ratio, economic growth.

scholarly journals PENGARUH KONSUMSI ENERGI DAN REZIM TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 401
Author(s):  
Zakiah Husna ◽  
Idris Idris
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Renewable Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Regime ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to determine the effect of energy consumption and regime on economic growth in Indonesia. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series data from 1988-2017, with documentation and library study data collection techniques obtained from relevant institutions and agencies. the variables used are economic growth (GDP), non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption and regime, the research methods used are: (1) Multiple Regression Analysis (OLS), (2) Classical Assumption Test results of research stating that: ( 1) non-renewable energy consumption has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (2) consumption of renewable energy has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (3) the energy regime has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (4) non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption and energy regime have a significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. so only the energy regime has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia.

Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan pengangguran terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Sumatera Selatan

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Novegya Ratih Primandari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Linear Regression Model ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

This research aims to analyze effect of economic growth, inflation and Unemployment on the Rate of Poverty in the Province of South Sumatera. This research used secondary data in the form of time series data from 2001-2017. The method used quantitative approach by applying a linear regression model with OLS estimation Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this study indicate that partially and simultaneously Economic Growth, Inflation and Unemployment have a significant effect on the Poverty Rate in the Province of South Sumatera.

scholarly journals Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth: Evidence from Selected West African Countries (Cameroon, Cape Verde, Nigeria and Senegal)

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muriel Adarkwa ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
West African ◽  
Cape Verde ◽  
Series Data ◽  
African Countries ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

Remittances from abroad play a key role in the development of many West African countries. Remittances tend to increase the income of recipients, reduce shortage of foreign exchange and help alleviate poverty. This research examines the impact of remittances on economic growth in four selected West African countries: Cameroon, Cape Verde, Nigeria and Senegal. Using developmentalist, structuralist and pluralist views on remittances, a linear regression was run on time series data from the World Bank database for the period 2000–2010. After a critical analysis of the impact of remittances on economic growth in these four countries, it was found that inflow of remittances to Senegal and Nigeria has a positive effect on these countries’ gross domestic product whereas for Cape Verde and Cameroon it had a negative effect. Cameroon benefitted the least from remittances and Nigeria benefitted the most within the period. One contribution of this study is the finding that remittance inflows need to be invested in productive sectors. Even if remittances continue to increase, without investment in productive sectors they cannot have any meaningful impact on economic growth in these countries.

scholarly journals The Effect Of Fiscal Decentralization And Economic Growth On Poverty In Gorontalo Province

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dahlia Destari Inayah Ali ◽  
Sri Endang Saleh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Fiscal Decentralization ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Section Data ◽  
Negative Effect

The implementation of fiscal decentralization policy has a good impact on the development of the potential and creativity of local governments. Effectiveness in managing the results of regional wealth will affect the original income of the region which can then be utilized for the welfare of the community. This study aims to determine the effect of fiscal decentralization and economic growth on poverty in Gorontalo Province. This research uses quantitative methods. The data used in this study were sourced from the Central Statistics Agency and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance so that the data in this study were secondary data using the econometrics method through a panel data regression equation in the form of a combination of 10-year time series data (2008-2017) and cross section data 6 Regency / City areas in Gorontalo Province. Estimation is done using the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The results of this study indicate that (1) Partially the degree of fiscal decentralization has a negative effect (unidirectional relationship) and significant on poverty means that the greater the fiscal decentralization variable will have an impact on reducing the level of poverty (2) Partially economic growth has a negative effect (unidirectional relationship) and significant to poverty means increasing economic growth can reduce poverty levels (3) Simultaneously the degree of fiscal decentralization and economic growth have a significant effect on poverty in Gorontalo Province. Keywords: fiscal decentralization, economic growth, poverty

scholarly journals Comparison of the impact of lending and inflation rates on economic growth in Vietnam and China

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 193-203
Author(s):  
Doan Van Dinh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Close Correlation ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Lending Rates ◽  
The Impact

Inflation and lending rates are two important macroeconomic indicators as they affect economic growth. The correlation between the inflation rate and the lending rate in Vietnam and China is analyzed to determine whether the lending rate causes inflation or not. An ordinary least square model (OLS) and a unit root test are applied to check the correlation and cointegration related to the inflation and lending rates to avoid spurious regression. The research time series data were collected from 1996 to 2017. The correlation of Vietnam’s variables is 56%, the correlation of China’s variables is 55%, which is a close correlation. The empirical cointegration test results for Vietnam and China are suitable for two research models. The relationship between these two indicators influences each other. In the short term, inflation stimulates economic growth through loose monetary policy through the lending rate. However, in the long term, if the money supply increases continuously, inflation will slow economic growth and increase bad debt. The empirical results are to make accurate forecasts and determine monetary policy for micro-managers who set the goal of sustainable economic growth and have a strategy for economic development in the short and long term.

scholarly journals Potential Tax Reforms and Kuwait Economic Growth

2019 ◽  
pp. 42-48
Author(s):  
K. Lawler ◽  
F. Ali Al-Sayegh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Tax Revenues ◽  
Oil Revenue ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this study is to identify whether tax reforms are viable in Kuwait in order to create more government income from sources other than oil. The study examines the relationship between the changes in tax revenues, changes in oil revenue and changes in GDP in Kuwait using time series data from 1998 to 2015. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) is used to check for the existence of a unit root. The cointegration test is applied to test for long term relationships between variables using the General Least Square (GLS) method of estimation. The results of the tests find that the impact of changes in tax revenues on changes in the GDP of Kuwait is insignificant. Therefore, Kuwait’s government could rationally implement tax reforms to have incremental sources of income other than oil revenue. Moreover, it is argued that the government might consider implementing broad based consumption taxes and value added taxes into the tax structure Kuwait, and to invest the revenues from those taxes in productive policies, to induce long term economic growth.

scholarly journals DINAMIKA PENDUDUK DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Adhitya Wardhana ◽  
Bayu Kharisma ◽  
Sarah Annisa Noven
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Infant Mortality ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to see the effect of population dynamics variables on economic growth in Indonesia. This study uses the Ordinary Least Square model with time series data from 1986 to 2016. The data used are population dynamics variables, such as number of fertilities, infant mortality, with the variable control are the amount of labor, savings and government expenditure on economic growth measured through Gross Domestic Product. The results os the study showed that the fertility amount in Indonesia has a negative effect on the amount of economic growth in Indonesia, which means that increasing population will reduce economic growth in Indonesia. then, variable infant mortality has a negative influence on economic growth in Indonesia. Fertility variables and the population of productive age have a positive effect on labor force participation rates. Control variables, like savings and government expenditure, also have a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia.

scholarly journals PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP KESEMPATAN KERJA DI PROVINSI SULAWESI TENGGARA

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 54
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nur Afiat
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Employment Opportunities

This study was conducted with the aim to determine the effect of Economic Growth Rate on Employment Opportunities in Southeast Sulawesi Province 2000-2015. This research is a type of Quantitative research using secondary data in the form of time series data, ie from 2000-2015. Data source was obtained from Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) and Bank Indonesia of Southeast Sulawesi Province. This study also uses multiple linear regression analysis tools with ordinary least square method (OLS) and then processed with application Eviews 8.0. The results of the study show that Economic Growth has a significant influence on Employment Opportunities in Southeast Sulawesi Province 2000-2015.

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