Pengaruh Belanja Modal Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-55
Author(s):  
Puput Waryanto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
National Economic ◽  
Operational Expenditure

The purpose of the study was to investigate the influence of capital expenditure on economic growth in Indonesia. The reasons of the study were the inconsistency of previous research results in many countries, the difficulty of achieving national economic growth target, and the low ratio of capital expenditure to Gross Domestic Product (GDP). By using time series data from 1990 to 2015 in Indonesia, this research has proved that the capital expenditure has a significant positive effect on economic growth. On the other hand, the operational expenditure, which consisted of personnel expense, goods and services expenses, interest, subsidies, grants and social assistance, had not a significant effect on economic growth. This study has considered inflation as a control variable. Consequently, the central government should be able to pay attention on capital expenditure, both on its quantity and quality.   Abstrak         Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat seberapa besar pengaruh belanja modal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Beberapa hal yang melatarbelakangi penelitian ini adalah masih adanya ketidakkonsistenan hasil penelitian di berbagai negara, masih sulitnya pencapaian target pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional, masih rendahnya rasio belanja modal terhadap PDB. Dengan menggunakan data time series selama 26 tahun mulai 1990 s.d. 2015 di Indonesia, penelitian ini telah membuktikan bahwa belanja modal berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi, tetapi belanja operasi yang terdiri dari belanja pegawai, belanja barang, bunga, subsidi, hibah, dan bantuan sosial, tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penelitian ini telah mempertimbangkan variabel kontrol berupa inflasi. Berkaitan dengan hasil penelitian, pemerintah pusat hendaknya terus memperhatikan belanja modal, baik dari segi kuantitas maupun kualitas belanja modal.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah dan belanja modal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung tahun 2009-2018

SOROT ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 105
Author(s):  
Muhammad Dedy Palguno ◽  
Devi Valeriani ◽  
Suhartono Suhartono
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Local Revenue

Pertumbuhan Ekonomi adalah salah satu indikator penting untuk melihat keberhasilan pembangunan ekonomi pada suatu negara atau daerah. Suatu perekonomian dikatakan mengalami pertumbuhan ekonomi jika jumlah produksi barang dan jasanya meningkat dan produk domestik regional bruto merupakan salah satu indikator penting untuk mengetahui kondisi ekonomi di suatu daerah dalam suatu periode tertentu baik atas dasar harga berlaku maupun atas dasar harga konstan. Tujuan Penelitian adalah untuk melihat pengaruh pendapatan asli daerah (PAD) dan belanja modal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini merupakan data time series periode tahun 2009-2018. Analisis data yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi berganda untuk melihat seberapa besar pengaruh pendapatan asli daerah dan belanja modal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung. Hasil Penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan variabel PAD dan belanja modal berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Hasil pengujian secara parsial variabel pendapatan asli daerah berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pada variabel belanja modal hasil uji secara parsial tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi.Economic growth is one important indicator to see the success of economic development in a country or region. An economy is said to experience economic growth if the amount of production of goods and services increases and the gross regional domestic product is one of the essential indicators to determine the economic conditions in a region in a given period both based on current prices and constantly. The purpose of this study is to look at the effect of regional own-source revenue (PAD) and capital expenditure on economic growth. The data used in this study is Time Series data (time series) for the years 2009-2018. Analysis of the data used is multiple regression analysis to see how much influence the region's original income and capital expenditure on economic growth in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province. The results showed that simultaneous variables of PAD and capital expenditure had a significant positive effect on economic growth. The test results partially local revenue variables have a significant positive impact on economic growth. On the capital expenditure variable, the test results partly have no significant effect on economic growth.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERAN BELANJA MODAL DAN INVESTASI SWASTA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SERTA DAMPAKNYA PADA KESEJAHTERAAN MASYARAKAT

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Akhlis Priya Pambudy ◽  
Muhamad Imam Syairozi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Human Development Index ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Public Welfare ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of economic development is to improve public welfare. Many factors influenceeconomic growth, including sustainable development. This study is aimed to analyze the impactof capital expenditure and private investment on economic growth of the regency/municipalduring the period of 2010-2015 as well as the impact of economic growth on public welfareproxied by the human development index figures. Using WarpPLS, used purposive samplingmethode, testing is done for the 415 autonomous regional and 93 autonomous municipalsin Indonesia using time series data 2010-015. The results of this study shows that capitalexpenditure positively effect economic growth as well as private investment has positive effecton economic growth. Furthermore, the economic growth has been proven to improve publicwalfare.Keywords: capital expenditure, private investment, economic growth, public welfare

scholarly journals The Causal Nexus between Public Debt and Economic Growth, A Multivariate Time Series Analysis: Experience from a SAARC Nation

2020 ◽  
pp. 45-52
Author(s):  
Subroto Dey ◽  
Subrata Saha ◽  
Dipti Bhowmik
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multivariate Time Series ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Short Run

This research paper enquires about the topicality of the dependence of Bangladesh’s economy on public debt. Several authors examined the bearings of public debt and economic growth in different counties and they provided mixed results about the direction of the relation. This study is conducted to find out the causal relationship between public debt and growth from the perspective of Bangladesh’s economy, and we use export as a control variable. We excerpted annual time series data from the World Bank website (WDI), IMF, and fiscal year 1986 to 2018 data were gathered. One can treat budget deficit as the mother of public debt because the incarnation of the former usually precedents to the creation of the later. Several econometric tools have been behaved as Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Phillips – Peron (PP), Johansen co integration, Vector error correction model, and Granger casualty to explore short-run causality of public debt on growth.

scholarly journals Asean dan Pembangunan Ekonomi Maritim Kepulauan Riau – Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 16-27
Author(s):  
Akhirman Akhirman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Brunei Darussalam ◽  
National Economic ◽  
Asean Countries

This study aims to find out the Maritime Economic Development of ASEAN Countries and Riau Islands - Indonesia. ASEAN which was established on August 8, 1967 through the Bangkok Declaration by Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand. Then in 1984 he joined the State of Brunei Darussalam, in 1995 followed by the country of Vietnam, in 1997 the countries of Laos and Myanmar, and in 1998 joined the country of Cambodia. ASEAN in the Indonesian language known as Perbara or Perhimpunan Nations of Southeast Asia is a collaborative organization in the field of economy and geo-politics. The variables used in this study are Economic Growth, Export Rate. Inflation, and IPM. The data used is time series data, namely from 2014-2016. The analytical method used in this study is descriptive and econometric analysis. World Bank data, in 2017, predicts that there are three countries, namely Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar, which are predicted to have the most expansive economic growth after India in 2017-2019, and it is estimated that economic growth can reach 7%. while Indonesia in Quarter II 2017 grew 5.1 percent (BPS, 2017), while in 2013 it grew 5.58 percent. Riau Islands, a small town that captures part of NKRI in 2015 6.02 percent (yoy) economic growth, in the second quarter of 2017 must be willing with the lowest number two national economic growth, which is 2.02 percent which was the highest in Sumatra exceed national figures of 4.79 percent. (yoy). Suggestions given in this study include the need to think about a policy strategy that has potential economic areas to support sustainable export growth so that it can improve economic growth better.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Belanja Daerah Berdasarkan Klasifikasi Ekonomi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Kesejahteraan Masyarakat di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Kalimantan Barat Tahun 2010 - 2015

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 187
Author(s):  
Dwi Bambang Deswantoro ◽  
Asniar Ismail ◽  
Hendarmin Hendarmin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Social Welfare ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Social Assistance ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The Social ◽  
Personnel Expenditure

This study aims to examine and analyze the influence of local goverment expenditure based on economic classification consisting of personnel expenditure, capital expenditure, goods and services expenditure, grant expenditure and social assistance expenditure on economic growth and social welfare in the regency/city of West Borneo Province. The data in the study used panel data consisting of time series data (2010 -2015) and cross-section data (14 regency/city in West Borneo Province). Hypothesis testing in this study using multiple linear regression and path analysis. The results obtained personnel expenditure, capital expenditure, and social assistance expenditure have a positive and significant influence to economic growth, while grant expenditure has negative and significant influence to economic growth and Goods and services spending has a negative but insignificant influence to economic growth. Subsequently capital expenditure and economic growth have a positive and significant influence to the social welfare while the goods and services have negative and significant influence to the social welfare. Grant expenditure have negative influence and social assistance expenditure has a positive butinsignificant influence to social welfare.

Impact of Health and Agriculture Financing on Economic Growth in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (18) ◽  
pp. 37-58
Author(s):  
Rasaki Olufemi KAREEM ◽  
◽  
Olawale LATEEF ◽  
Muideen Adejare ISIAKA ◽  
Kamilu RAHEEM ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Federal Government ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Health Sector ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

The study focused on the impact of health and agriculture financing on economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2019. The study utilized the time series data which was extracted from Central Bank of Nigeria annual statistical bulletin. Unit Root test was performed with the use of Augmented Dickey-Fuller test in order to ascertain the stationarity of all the variables and they were all found to be stationary at order 1 in the two specified models (composite and disaggregated). Error Correction Model (ECM) was used to analyze the data in order to determine the speed of adjustment from the short run to the long run equilibrium state. Casualty test was used to confirm causal relationship among the variables of interests. The study revealed that Federal Government expenditure in Health sector has a significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria. Federal Government expenditure in Agricultural sector equally had a positive effect on economic growth but surprisingly not significant. Considering the disaggregated form, Federal Government capital expenditure in both Health and Agricultural sectors have positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth while Federal Government recurrent expenditure on health has a positive and statistically insignificant effect in economic. It was also revealed that there is causal relationship among the variables. Based on the findings, the study concluded that Federal Government Expenditure in Health Sectors and Agriculture Sectors have effect on economic growth in Nigeria.

CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH – A CASE STUDY OF PAKISTAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 139-164
Author(s):  
Saddam Hussain ◽  
Chunjiao Yu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Relationship Of

This paper explores the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Pakistan, applying techniques of co-integration and Hsiao’s version of Granger causality, using time series data over the period 1965-2019. Time series data of macroeconomic determi-nants – i.e. energy growth, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) growth and population growth shows a positive correlation with economic growth while there is no correlation founded be-tween economic growth and inflation rate or Consumer Price Index (CPI). The general conclu-sion of empirical results is that economic growth causes energy consumption.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL EKSPANSIF, KEBIJAKAN MONETER EKSPANSIF DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Fadhliah Yuniwinsah ◽  
Ali Anis
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Autoregression Model

This study examined the causality between expansionary fiscal policy, expansionary monetary policy and economic growth in Indonesia’s using a time series data with vector autoregression model (VAR) in the period of 1969-2018. The results of this study showed that are there is no causality between expansionary fiscal policy and expansionary monetary policy but there one-way relationship between them, it is the expansionary monetary policy gives influence to expansionary fiscal policy. There is no causality between expansionary fiscal policy and economic growth but there one-way relationship between them, It is economic growth gives influence to expansionary fiscal policy. And there is no causality between expansionary monetary policy and economic growth but there one-way relationship between them, it is economic growth gives influence to expansionary monetary policy.

scholarly journals Political Stability and its Impact on Economic Growth of Pakistan (1988-2018): A Time Series Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 273-282
Author(s):  
Majid Hussain Phul ◽  
Muhammad Saleem Rahpoto ◽  
Ghulam Muhammad Mangnejo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

This research paper empirically investigates the outcome of Political stability on economic growth (EG) of Pakistan for the period of 1988 to 2018. Political stability (PS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), total labor force (TLF) and Inflation (INF) are important explanatory variables. Whereas for model selection GDPr is used as the dependent variable. To check the stationary of time series data Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root (UR) test has been used,  and whereas to find out the long run relationship among variables, OLS method has been used. The analysis the impact of PS on EG (EG) in the short run, VAR model has been used. The outcomes show that all the variables (PS, GFCF, TLF and INF) have a significantly positive effect on the EG of Pakistan in the long run period. But the effect of PS on GDP is smaller. Further, in this research we are trying to see the short run relationship between GDP and other explanatory variables. The outcomes show that PS does not have such effect on GDP in the short run analysis. While GFCF, TLF and INF have significantly positive effect on GDP of Pakistan in the short run period.

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