Indonesia's Capital Market Reaction Election Events

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah terdapat peningkatan/penurunan aktivitas pasar modal sebelum pengumuman hasil Pemilihan Umum Presiden 2019, apakah terdapat peningkatan/penurunan aktivitas pasar modal setelah Pemilihan Umum Presiden 2019 dan sebelum pengumuman hasil Pemilihan Umum Presiden 2019, dan apakah terdapat peningkatan/penurunan aktivitas pasar modal setelah pengumuman hasil Pemilihan Umum Presiden 2019. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder. Dari analisis yang dilakukan pada 45 perusahaan yang tergabung dalam LQ45 yang dimulai dari 15 Maret sampai dengan 21 Juni 2019. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah uji statistik parametrik Repeated ANOVA. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa pengumuman hasil pemilu 2019 tidak memberikan pengaruh yang kuat terhadap pergerakan aktivitas pasar modal pada sebelum, saat dan sesudah hasil pemilu diumumkan, ini dibuktikan dari nilai Abnormal Return dan Trading Volume Activity dengan signifikansi sebesar 0,173 dan 0,520 yang lebih besar dari nilai α sebesar 0,05, sehingga dapat dikatakan bahwa tidak terdapat perbedaan yang signifikan Abnormal Return dan Trading Volume Activity pada kondisi sebelum, saat dan sesudah pengumuman hasil pemilu. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut, maka pengumuman hasil pemilu tidak memberikan pengaruh yang kuat terhadap pergerakan aktivitas pasar modal di bursa efek Indonesia. Para investor merasa yakin bahwa siapapun presiden yang terpilih akan memberikan dampak yang positif bagi negara.This study aims to Determine Whether there is an Increase / Decrease in capital market activity before the announcement of the results of the 2019 Presidential Election from, whether there is an Increase / Decrease in capital market activity after the 2019 Presidential Election and before the announcement of the results of the 2019 Presidential Election, and Whether there is an Increase / Decrease in capital markets activity after the announcement of the results of the 2019 Presidential Election. The Data used in this study are secondary data. From the analysis conducted on 45 companies incorporated in LQ45 starting from March 15 until June 21, 2019. The analytical tool used was the Repeated ANOVA parametric statistical tests. Results showed that the announcement of the 2019 election results did not have a strong influence on the movement of capital market activities before, when and after the election results were announced, this was evidenced from the Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity with a significance of 0,173 and 0,520 which was greater than the α value of 0:05, so it can be said that there is no significant difference Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity in conditions before, during and after the announcement of election results. Based on Reviews These results, the announcement of election results did not have a strong influence on the movement of capital market activities on the Indonesian stock exchange. Investors feel confident that whoever is Elected will have a positive impact on the country.

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Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity Before and After Presidential Election 2019 ( Study on LQ-45 stock on February-July 2019)

Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen ◽

10.24856/mem.v34i2.1064 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 34 (2) ◽

Author(s):

C H Asta Nugraha ◽

Suroto Suroto

Keyword(s):

Capital Market ◽

Presidential Election ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Composite Index ◽

T Test ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Paired Samples ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After

This study aims to find out the empirical evidence of Indonesia capital market investors’ reaction toward presidential election 2019. The population in this study is the companies’ stocks which are included in the LQ-45 index during this study. The data used is secondary data in the form of LQ-45 stocks and daily Composite index three days before and three days after the event. By implementing the one sample t-test and paired samples t-test, the result shows that there is a positive and significant abnormal return around the event especially on the third day (t+3) after the event. Moreover, there is an insignificant difference in the average of negative abnormal return and significant difference on the average of negative trading volume activity, before and after the presidential election 2019.Keywords: Capital Market, Event Study, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, Investors’ ReactionsPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menemukan bukti empiris reaksi investor pasar modal Indonesia terhadap peristiwa pemilihan presiden 2019. Populasi penelitian ini adalah saham-saham perusahaan yang konsisten tergabung dalam indeks LQ-45 selama periode penelitian. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder berupa harga saham LQ-45 dan IHSG harian tiga hari sebelum dan tiga hari setelah peristiwa. Uji statistik yang digunakan untuk menguji hipotesis adalah one sample t-test dan paired samples t-test. Hasil yang diperoleh menunjukkan terdapat abnormal return positif dan signifikan di sekitar peristiwa terutama pada hari ke-3 (t+3) setelah peristiwa. Selain itu, terdapat perbedaan rata-rata abnormal retrun negatif tidak signifikan dan terdapat perbedaan rata-rata trading volume activity negatif yang signifikan antara sebelum dan setelah peristiwa pemilihan presiden 2019. Kata Kunci: Pasar Modal, Studi Peristiwa, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, Reaksi Investor

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Indonesian Capital Market Reaction To The Announcement Of A Recession Due To The Pandemic Covid-19

Academia Open ◽

10.21070/acopen.5.2021.2136 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 5 ◽

Author(s):

Vani Aryani ◽

Nurasik

Keyword(s):

Capital Market ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Rank Test ◽

Volume Activity ◽

The Third ◽

Security Return ◽

Average Abnormal Return ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After

On November 5, 2020, Indonesia was declared a recession after the Central Statistics Agency announced that the Indonesian economy experienced a decline in the third quarter of 2020. The Indonesian economy experienced a decline in the third quarter of 2020, which was minus 3.49 percent. In the second quarter of 2020, the Indonesian economy was already minus 5.32 percent. The announcement of the recession event gave rise to various perceptions for capital market participants. So the purpose of this study is to find out and compare the differences in the average Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, and Security Return Variability of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The research method used is quantitative research with an event study approach. The type of data in this study is secondary data with data collection techniques using the documentation method. The sample used is IDX30 stock issuers on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period August 2020 - January 2021. The data analysis technique in this study is descriptive statistical analysis, paired t-test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. The results of this study indicate that: (1) there is a significant difference in the average abnormal return of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic. (2) there is a significant difference in the average Trading Volume Activity of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic. (3) there is no significant difference in the average Security Return Variability of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic.

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PEMILU SERENTAK DALAM KAITANNYA TERHADAP REAKSI PASAR MODAL DI INDONESIA

Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan ◽

10.23960/jak.v25i1.240 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 25 (1) ◽

pp. 54-64

Author(s):

Niken Kusumawardani

Keyword(s):

Capital Market ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Political Event ◽

The Public ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After ◽

Index Stock

This study aims to determine the effect of simultaneous elections in Indonesia, namely legislative and executive elections that occur simultaneously together with the reaction in the capital market. Market reaction is measured using trading volume activity and returns stock that occur within the timeframe before and after the holding of simultaneous elections, namely on the date before and after April 17, 2019. The population in this study is the issuer that actively trades its shares on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in Compass100 Index stock category. The research hypothesis was tested with an independent sample t-test using software SPPS26. Hypothesis testing results indicate a significant difference in trading volume activity that occurs before and after simultaneous elections. While the variable abnormal return there is no significant difference before and after the election simultaneously. This research is expected to be a reference for all parties concerned including the public towards a political event that occurs in this case specifically the simultaneous elections for decision making related to investment activities in stock instruments

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Efek Pemilu Presiden Terhadap Volume Perdagangan Saham di Pasar Modal Indonesia

Disclosure: Journal of Accounting and Finance ◽

10.29240/disclosure.v1i1.2938 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 1 (1) ◽

pp. 1

Author(s):

Citra Puspa Permata ◽

Muhammad Abdul Ghoni

Keyword(s):

Event Study ◽

Presidential Election ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Statistical Tests ◽

Average Difference ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Stock Trading ◽

Additional Information ◽

Significant Difference

The “reason for this research is to see the average difference of stock trading volume activity after and before the implementation of the Presidential Election. This research uses an event study, where the research is conducted for 7 working days after up to 7 working days before the implementation of the presidential election. This study uses additional information obtained from the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The information used in this test includes a list of LQ45 shares, daily trading volume, and number of shares outstanding. While the samples used are stocks that are included in the LQ45 list on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.”The results showed that from the results of statistical tests on the average difference of stock trading volume activity after and before the implementation of the presidential election, there was a significant difference to the average stock trading volume activity after and before the implementation of the presidential election.

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Abnormal Return dan Trading Volume Activity Saham-Saham LQ45 pada Peristiwa Pengumuman Kebijakan Quantitative Easing oleh Bank Sentral Amerika Serikat

Indonesian Treasury Review Jurnal Perbendaharaan Keuangan Negara dan Kebijakan Publik ◽

10.33105/itrev.v1i1.55 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 1 (1) ◽

pp. 11-21

Author(s):

Muhammad Falih Ariyanto

Keyword(s):

Capital Market ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Quantitative Easing ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Long Run ◽

Positive Abnormal Return ◽

International Event ◽

Market Test

This research is an empirical study to analyze international event and its impacts on Indonesian capital market. The international event in this study is expansionary monetary policy issued by the Federal Reserve in the form of quantitative easing policies that were announced in three stages, on 26 November 2008, 4 November 2010, and 14 September 2012 (Indonesia Stock Exchange trading day). The study analyzed the abnormal return and trading volume activity occured at each event period. Observation period in this study used 120-day estimation period and 11-day event period at each stage of the quatitative easing announcement. The event study was done in Indonesian capital market represented by 127 shares that are catagorized as LQ45 index and actively traded in each event period. The assumption that Indonesian capital market is co-integrated with international capital market can make the announcement of quantitative easing policy as positive information for investors in Indonesia. The analysis results show that a significant positive abnormal return around the event date and a significant increase in the intensity trading activities after the quantitative easing announcement, occured. The market test results show that Indonesian capital market has efficient information in a semi-strong form, so that the investors cannot use the published information to get profits (positive abnormal return) in a long run (around the date of the event only). Abstrak Penelitian ini merupakan studi empiris untuk menganalisis peristiwa internasional dan dampaknya terhadap pasar modal Indonesia. Peristiwa internasional yang diteliti adalah pengumuman kebijakan moneter ekspansif yang dikeluarkan oleh Bank Sentral Amerika Serikat, yaitu quantitative easing yang dilakukan dalam tiga tahapan pengumuman pada tanggal 26 November 2008, 4 November 2010 dan 14 September 2012 (hari perdagangan bursa di Indonesia). Penelitian dilakukan dengan menganalisis abnormal return dan trading volume activity yang terjadi disetiap periode peristiwa. Penelitian ini menggunakan periode pengamatan yang terdiri dari 120 hari periode estimasi dan 11 hari periode peristiwa disetiap tahapan pengumuman quantitative easing. Analisis studi peristiwa dilakukan pada pasar modal Indonesia yang diwakili oleh 127 saham yang pernah masuk dalam kategori indeks LQ45 dan secara aktif diperdagangkan disetiap periode peristiwa. Asumsi bahwa pasar modal Indonesia terkointegrasi dengan pasar modal internasional menyebabkan pengumuman kebijakan quantitative easing dapat menjadi informasi yang positif bagi pemodal di Indonesia. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa terjadi abnormal return positif yang signifikan di sekitar tanggal peristiwa dan peningkatan intensitas perdagangan yang signifikan setelah peristiwa pengumuman kebijakan quantitative easing. Hasil pengujian efisiensi pasar menunjukkan bahwa pasar modal Indonesia efisien secara informasi dalam bentuk setengah kuat sehingga pemodal tidak dapat menggunakan informasi yang dipublikasikan untuk mendapatkan keuntungan (abnormal return positif) dalam jangka waktu yang lama (hanya di sekitar tanggal peristiwa).

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ANALISIS PERBEDAAN ABNORMAL RETURN DAN TRADING VOLUME ACTIVITY SAHAM SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH PERISTIWA GEMPA DI YOGYAKARTA TANGGAL 27 MEI 2006 (Sudi Kasus pada Perusahaan Asuransi Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Jakarta)

IQTISHODUNA ◽

10.18860/iq.v2i2.227 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 2 (2) ◽

Author(s):

Lulu Nurul Istanti, SE., MM.,

Keyword(s):

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Mean Value ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After ◽

Insurance Firms ◽

The Mean ◽

Difference Test

This research presents an empirical analysis of difference between abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after earths-quake, in Yogyakarta at May 27, 2006. And examine its statistical properties. This research argues that there was difference between abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after quake. For this purpose, the mean difference test, using t-test, was applied to compare the mean value of abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after quake. The sample of this research consists of the insurance firms listed at the Jakarta Stock Exchange. Investigation on the sample firms involved periods of ten days before quake and ten days after quake. The results of this research indicate that there was no significant difference between the abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after quake. This evidence confirms that even did not positively influence abnormal return and trading volume activity as suggested theoretically.

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REAKSI PASAR MODAL INDONESIA TERHADAP PERISTIWA PENGESAHAN UU CIPTA KERJA 2020 (STUDI KASUS PERUSAHAAN YANG TERDAFTAR PADA LQ45)

Jurnal Bina Akuntansi ◽

10.52859/jba.v8i2.174 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 (2) ◽

pp. 168-188

Author(s):

Rya Indriani ◽

Mariana Mariana

Keyword(s):

Hypothesis Testing ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Abnormal Returns ◽

Job Creation ◽

Rank Test ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Security Return ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After

This study aims to analyze reaction of the Indonesian capital market about difference of average abnormal returns, trading volume activity, and security return variability between before and after the legalization of the Job Creation Act on October 5, 2020. This study used quantitative research with event study approach. The research sample is stocks registered in LQ45 with certain criteria determined used the purposing sampling method. Hypothesis testing used paired sample t-test and wilcoxon signed rank test. The results of the hypothesis testing show that: (1) There’s a significant difference in the average abnormal return between the period before and after the Job Creation Act legalization. (2) There’s no significant difference in the average trading volume activity between the periodsbefore and after the Job Creation Act legalization. (3) There’s a significant difference in the average security return variability between the period before and after the Job Creation Act legalization.Keywords: The Job Creation Act, Abnormal Return; Trading Volume Activity; SecurityReturn Variability

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Analisis Buyback Saham Tanpa Rapat Umum Pemegang Saham di PT. Aneka Tambang (Studi Pada Surat Edaran Nomor 3/SEOJK.04/2020)

AKUNTABILITAS Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu-Ilmu Ekonomi ◽

10.35457/akuntabilitas.v14i1.1429 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 14 (1) ◽

pp. 9-21

Author(s):

M. Boy Singgih Gitayuda

Keyword(s):

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Secondary Data ◽

Data Types ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Stock Trading ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After ◽

Stock Buyback ◽

Descriptive Approach

In early 2020, stock trading in Indonesia was under significant pressure, as indicated by the decline in the IHSG. This is due to the pressure and global economic slowdown due to the Covid-19 pandemic and weakening world oil prices. The purpose of this study was to find out how the effect of share buyback announcements without the RUPS on the response to the market at PT. Aneka Tambang Tbk. based on Surat Edaran OJK Nomor 3/SEOJK.04/2020. This research is structured with a quantitative method with a descriptive approach using secondary data types obtained from finance.yahoo.com and other relevant sources. This study will assess whether a significant difference is found before the announcement of the stock buyback and afterwards on the return, abnormal return, and trading volume activity of the stock. The results of the study stated that there was no significant difference before and after the announcement of the stock buyback on the return and abnormal return at PT. Aneka Tambang Tbk. However, a significant difference was found in the trading volume activity (TVA) before the announcement of the share buyback at PT. Aneka Tambang Tbk. and after.

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Reaksi Pasar Terhadap Peristiwa Pemilihan Presiden Indonesia 2019

E-Jurnal Akuntansi ◽

10.24843/eja.2019.v29.i03.p09 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 29 (3) ◽

pp. 1026

Author(s):

I Gede Aditya Baskara ◽

Made Gede Wirakusuma

Keyword(s):

Event Study ◽

Presidential Election ◽

Stock Prices ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Market Reaction ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Statistical Tests ◽

Abnormal Returns ◽

T Test ◽

Significant Difference

This research is an event study that aims to determine the market reaction arising from the 2019 Indonesian presidential election, against companies listed in the infrastructure stock sector on April 17, 2019, using the abnormal return indicator. This study uses secondary data in the form of daily stock prices per company during the period with the population of the infrastructure sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The statistical tests used to test hypotheses are descriptive statistical tests, normality tests and one sample t-test. The results of the one sample t-test on abnormal return is that there is no significant difference, which means the market does not respond to the event. These results indicate that the efficient market is not answered in the 2019 Indonesian presidential election due to the absence of abnormal returns in it. Keywords : Event Study, Market Reaction, Abnormal Return, 2019 Indonesian Presidential Election.

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REAKSI PASAR ATAS PANDEMI VIRUS CORONA PADA PERUSAHAAN LQ45 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

Jurnal Bisnis Terapan ◽

10.24123/jbt.v5i1.4029 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 5 (1) ◽

pp. 125-138

Author(s):

Nabiell Ghibran ◽

Lukman Effendy ◽

Indria Puspitasari Lenap

Keyword(s):

Event Study ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

T Test ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Paired Sample ◽

A Value ◽

Corona Virus ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After

Abstract The study was intended to analyze the reactions of Indonesia's capital markets on events Indonesia tested positive for the corona virus pandemic. The study adopted an 11-day period of event study analysis. The population in this study is the entire company listed on the LQ45 index at the Indonesian stock exchange in February - June 2020. Sampling taken in this study uses an impressive sampling technique. Samples obtained by criteria on this research account number 42 companies. Variables used in this study are abnormal return and trading volume of activity. The study used paired sample t-test analysis methods. The research indicates that there was no significant difference between average abnormal return before and after the Indonesia announcement was positive the corona virus pandemic. This is indicated by the results of the significant paired sample t-test that have a value of 0.924 > 0.05. Additionally, this study indicates that there was no significant difference in average trading volume activity before and after the events of the Indonesian announcement was positive that the corona virus pandemic. This is indicated by the results of the significant paired sample t-test that have a value of 0.936 > 0.05. Keywords : Event Study, Corona Virus Pandemic, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity

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