scholarly journals Development of a Multilayer Deep Neural Network Model for Predicting Hourly River Water Temperature From Meteorological Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Abdi ◽  
Ashley Rust ◽  
Terri S. Hogue
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Water Temperature ◽  
River Water ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Single Layer ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Ecosystem Functions ◽  
River Water Temperature

Water temperature is a vital attribute of physical riverine habitat and one of the focal objectives of river engineering and management. However, in most rivers, there are not enough water temperature measurements to characterize thermal regimes and evaluate its effect on ecosystem functions such as fish migration. To aid in river restoration, machine learning-based algorithms were developed to predict hourly river water temperature. We trained, validated, and tested single-layer and multilayer linear regression (LR) and deep neural network (DNN) algorithms to predict water temperature in the Los Angeles River in southern CA, United States. For the single-layer models, we considered air temperature as the predictive feature, and for the multilayer models, relative humidity, wind speed, and barometric pressure were included in addition to air temperature as the considered features. We trained the LR and DNN algorithms on Google’s TensorFlow model using Keras artificial neural network library on Python. Results showed that multilayer predictions performed better compared to single-layer models by producing mean absolute errors (MAEs), that were 20% smaller (1.05°C), on average, compared to the single-layer models (1.3°C). The multilayer DNN algorithm outperformed the other model where the model’s coefficient of determination was 26 and 12% higher compared to the single-layer LR (the base model) and multilayer LR model, respectively. The multilayer machine learning algorithms, under proper data preparation protocols, may be considered useful tools for predicting water temperatures in sampled and unsampled rivers for current conditions and future estimations affected by different stressors such as climate and land-use change. River temperature predictions from the developed models provide valuable information for evaluating sustainability of river ecosystems and biota.

scholarly journals Changes in the Water Temperature of Rivers Impacted by the Urban Heat Island: Case Study of Suceava City

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrei-Emil Briciu ◽  
Dumitru Mihăilă ◽  
Adrian Graur ◽  
Dinu Iulian Oprea ◽  
Alin Prisăcariu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transfer ◽  
Water Temperature ◽  
Urban Heat Island ◽  
River Water ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Stream Water ◽  
Heat Island ◽  
Urban Heat ◽  
The City ◽  
River Water Temperature

Cities alter the thermal regime of urban rivers in very variable ways which are not yet deciphered for the territory of Romania. The urban heat island of Suceava city was measured in 2019 and its impact on Suceava River was assessed using hourly and daily values from a network of 12 water and air monitoring stations. In 2019, Suceava River water temperature was 11.54 °C upstream of Suceava city (Mihoveni) and 11.97 °C downstream (Tişăuţi)—a 3.7% increase in the water temperature downstream. After the stream water passes through the city, the diurnal thermal profile of Suceava River water temperature shows steeper slopes and earlier moments of the maximum and minimum temperatures than upstream because of the urban heat island. In an average day, an increase of water temperature with a maximum of 0.99 °C occurred downstream, partly explained by the 2.46 °C corresponding difference between the urban floodplain and the surrounding area. The stream water diurnal cycle has been shifted towards a variation specific to that of the local air temperature. The heat exchange between Suceava River and Suceava city is bidirectional. The stream water diurnal thermal cycle is statistically more significant downstream due to the heat transfer from the city into the river. This transfer occurs partly through urban tributaries which are 1.94 °C warmer than Suceava River upstream of Suceava city. The wavelet coherence analyses and ANCOVA (analysis of covariance) prove that there are significant (0.95 confidence level) causal relationships between the changes in Suceava River water temperature downstream and the fluctuations of the urban air temperature. The complex bidirectional heat transfer and the changes in the diurnal thermal profiles are important to be analysed in other urban systems in order to decipher in more detail the observed causal relationships.

scholarly journals Prediction of river water temperature using machine learning algorithms: a tropical river system of India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Rajesh ◽  
S. Rehana
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Water Temperature ◽  
River Water ◽  
River System ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Tropical River ◽  
Global Sensitivity ◽  
Model Complex ◽  
River Water Temperature

Abstract Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly adopted due to its ability to model complex and non-linearities between river water temperature (RWT) and its predictors (e.g., Air Temperature, AT). Most of these ML approaches have been applied using average AT without any detailed sensitivity analysis of other forms of AT (e.g., maximum and minimum). The present study demonstrates how new ML approaches, such as ridge regression (RR), K-nearest neighbors (KNN) regressor, random forest (RF) regressor, and support vector regression (SVR), can be coupled with Sobol’ global sensitivity analysis (GSA) to predict accurate RWT estimates with the most appropriate form of AT. Furthermore, the proposed ML approaches have been combined with the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), a data assimilation (DA) technique to improve the predicted values based on the measured data. The proposed modelling framework's effectiveness is demonstrated with a tropical river system of India, Tunga-Bhadra River, as a case study. The SVR has been noted as the most robust ML model to predict RWT at a monthly time scale compared with daily and seasonal. The study demonstrates how ML methods can be coupled with a global sensitivity algorithm and DA techniques to generate accurate RWT predictions in river water quality modelling.

scholarly journals PROUD-MAL: static analysis-based progressive framework for deep unsupervised malware classification of windows portable executable

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Khurram Jah Rizvi ◽  
Warda Aslam ◽  
Muhammad Shahzad ◽  
Shahzad Saleem ◽  
Muhammad Moazam Fraz
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Static Analysis ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Malware Detection ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Organizational Network ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
Feature Attention

AbstractEnterprises are striving to remain protected against malware-based cyber-attacks on their infrastructure, facilities, networks and systems. Static analysis is an effective approach to detect the malware, i.e., malicious Portable Executable (PE). It performs an in-depth analysis of PE files without executing, which is highly useful to minimize the risk of malicious PE contaminating the system. Yet, instant detection using static analysis has become very difficult due to the exponential rise in volume and variety of malware. The compelling need of early stage detection of malware-based attacks significantly motivates research inclination towards automated malware detection. The recent machine learning aided malware detection approaches using static analysis are mostly supervised. Supervised malware detection using static analysis requires manual labelling and human feedback; therefore, it is less effective in rapidly evolutionary and dynamic threat space. To this end, we propose a progressive deep unsupervised framework with feature attention block for static analysis-based malware detection (PROUD-MAL). The framework is based on cascading blocks of unsupervised clustering and features attention-based deep neural network. The proposed deep neural network embedded with feature attention block is trained on the pseudo labels. To evaluate the proposed unsupervised framework, we collected a real-time malware dataset by deploying low and high interaction honeypots on an enterprise organizational network. Moreover, endpoint security solution is also deployed on an enterprise organizational network to collect malware samples. After post processing and cleaning, the novel dataset consists of 15,457 PE samples comprising 8775 malicious and 6681 benign ones. The proposed PROUD-MAL framework achieved an accuracy of more than 98.09% with better quantitative performance in standard evaluation parameters on collected dataset and outperformed other conventional machine learning algorithms. The implementation and dataset are available at https://bit.ly/35Sne3a.

Survey of Machine Learning Algorithms to Detect Malware in Consumer Internet of Things Devices

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (04) ◽  
pp. 2150020
Author(s):  
Luke Holbrook ◽  
Miltiadis Alamaniotis
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Internet Of Things ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Cyber Attacks ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Iot Devices

With the increase of cyber-attacks on millions of Internet of Things (IoT) devices, the poor network security measures on those devices are the main source of the problem. This article aims to study a number of these machine learning algorithms available for their effectiveness in detecting malware in consumer internet of things devices. In particular, the Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest, and Deep Neural Network (DNN) algorithms are utilized for a benchmark with a set of test data and compared as tools in safeguarding the deployment for IoT security. Test results on a set of 4 IoT devices exhibited that all three tested algorithms presented here detect the network anomalies with high accuracy. However, the deep neural network provides the highest coefficient of determination R2, and hence, it is identified as the most precise among the tested algorithms concerning the security of IoT devices based on the data sets we have undertaken.

scholarly journals Machine learning analysis to predict the need for ankle foot orthosis in patients with stroke

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoo Jin Choo ◽  
Jeoung Kun Kim ◽  
Jang Hwan Kim ◽  
Min Cheol Chang ◽  
Donghwi Park
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Shoulder Abduction ◽  
Stroke Patients ◽  
Ankle Foot Orthosis ◽  
Affected Side ◽  
Foot Orthosis ◽  
Ankle Dorsiflexor

AbstractWe investigated the potential of machine learning techniques, at an early stage after stroke, to predict the need for ankle–foot orthosis (AFO) in stroke patients. We retrospectively recruited 474 consecutive stroke patients. The need for AFO during ambulation (output variable) was classified according to the Medical Research Council (MRC) score for the ankle dorsiflexor of the affected limb. Patients with an MRC score of < 3 for the ankle dorsiflexor of the affected side were considered to require AFO, while those with scores ≥ 3 were considered not to require AFO. The following demographic and clinical data collected when patients were transferred to the rehabilitation unit (16.20 ± 6.02 days) and 6 months after stroke onset were used as input data: age, sex, type of stroke (ischemic/hemorrhagic), motor evoked potential data on the tibialis anterior muscle of the affected side, modified Brunnstrom classification, functional ambulation category, MRC score for muscle strength for shoulder abduction, elbow flexion, finger flexion, finger extension, hip flexion, knee extension, and ankle dorsiflexion of the affected side. For the deep neural network model, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.887. For the random forest and logistic regression models, the AUC was 0.855 and 0.845, respectively. Our findings demonstrate that machine learning algorithms, particularly the deep neural network, are useful for predicting the need for AFO in stroke patients during the recovery phase.

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