scholarly journals Analysis of Drought and Flood Disasters During 0–1950 AD in the Hexi Corridor, China, Based on Historical Documents

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xia Tang ◽  
Qi Feng

It is important to analyze the characteristics of drought and flood change in an arid area over a long timescale for the evolution of the environment. Historical documents were used to reconstruct a drought and flood grade series for the Hexi Corridor from 0 to 1950 AD. The moving average and wavelet transform processing methods were used to determine the temporal evolution characteristics of droughts and floods, as well as the corresponding relationships with climate change and human activities in the Hexi Corridor after 1000 AD. The results showed the occurrence of eight drought phases (370–410 AD, 790–870 AD, 1050–1150 AD, 1260–1340 AD, 1430–1570 AD, 1710–1770 AD, 1800–1890 AD, and 1910–1950 AD), five flood phases (320–360 AD, 1670–710 AD, 1730–1790 AD, 1810–1860 AD, and 1880–1950 AD), and 3 oscillation periods of drought and flood events. Climate change may have been the main factor inducing droughts and floods before 1580 AD, whereas human activities may have increased the frequency of droughts and floods after the 16th century. Therefore, quantifying the impacts of natural factors and human activities on droughts and floods can provide important theoretical guidance for the prevention and reduction of future disasters.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bing-Qi Zhu

Abstract. Dynamic changes of aeolian landforms and desertification under global warming in a middle-latitude desert belt, the Hexi Corridor in China, considered to be one of the source and engine area of sandstorms in China and Northern Hemisphere (NH), is a typical problem of climate change and landscape response, which need a comprehensive understanding of the history and forcing mechanisms of recent landform and environmental changes in the region. Based on the existing high-resolution satellite image interpretations, field investigations and observations, comprehensive evidences from geomorphological, aeolian-physical, granulometrical and geochemical analysis, this study discussed the formation of dune landforms, the mechanism of desertification and their environmental implications in the Hexi Corridor. The analytical results show that 80 % of the sand particles flow within a height of 20–30 cm near the surface, and about half of the sand particles flow within a height of 0.3–0.5 cm near the surface in the Hexi Corridor. The average height of the typical crescent-shaped dunes is about 6.75 m, and the minimum and maximum values are between 2.6 and 11.2 m. On the inter-annual and multi-year time scales, only the crescent-shaped dunes and chains of barchan dunes are moving or wigwagging in the study area, while the parabolic and longitudinal dunes did not move. Under the influence of wind speed, strong wind days and other factors, the dunes at the edge of the Minqin Oasis move the fastest, with a moving speed of about 6.2 m/a. Affected by the main wind direction and other factors, the dunes at the edge of the Dunhuang Oasis move the slowest, with a moving speed of about 0.8 m/a. The main factors affecting the dynamic changes of sandy dunes in the Hexi Corridor are the annual precipitation, the annual average wind speed and the number of annual strong wind days, of which the annual precipitation contributes the largest, indicating that the climate factors have a most important impact on the dynamic change of sand dunes. The cumulative curve of particle size frequency of dune sediments in the Hexi Corridor basically presents a three-segment model, indicating a saltation mode dominated under the action of wind, but superimposed with a small amount of coarser and finer particles dominated by the creeping and suspension models, which is obviously different from that of the Gobi sediments with a dominant two-segment mode. The palaeo-geographical, sedimentological and geochemical evidences indicate that dune sediments in the Hexi Corridor are mainly derived from locally or in-situ raised sandy sediments, which are mainly come from alluvial plains and ancient fluvial sediments, as well as ancient lake plains and lacustrine deposits, aeolian deposits in the piedmont denudation zones of the north and south mountains and modern fluvial sediments in the corridor. In geochemical compositions of major and trace elements, the dunes in the Hexi Corridor have certain similarities and differences to other sandy dunes in the northwest and northern deserts of China or aeolian loess in the Loess Plateau. Sandy dunes in the Hexi Corridor are relatively rich in iron and Co. Considering the proportion of fine particles on the surface, the coverage rate of surface salt crust, and the potential migration of erodible sandy materials, it can be concluded that the Gobi area in the west Hexi Corridor is not the main source area of sandstorms in the middle and east of the corridor, but the north probably is. In the past half century, the warming and humidification of local climate is the main cause of the reduction of sandstorms in the study area, and the Hexi Corridor has a potential trend of anti-desertification, which is mainly controlled by climate change but not human activities. For the oasis areas of the corridor, however, the effective measures to restrict desertification depend on human activities. Restriction of the decline of groundwater is the key to preventing desertification in oases, rather than water transfer from outer river basins.


2020 ◽  
Vol 101 (5) ◽  
pp. E508-E535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaogang He ◽  
Ming Pan ◽  
Zhongwang Wei ◽  
Eric F. Wood ◽  
Justin Sheffield

Abstract Hydrological extremes, in the form of droughts and floods, have impacts on a wide range of sectors including water availability, food security, and energy production. Given continuing large impacts of droughts and floods and the expectation for significant regional changes projected in the future, there is an urgent need to provide estimates of past events and their future risk, globally. However, current estimates of hydrological extremes are not robust and accurate enough, due to lack of long-term data records, standardized methods for event identification, geographical inconsistencies, and data uncertainties. To tackle these challenges, this article presents the development of the first Global Drought and Flood Catalogue (GDFC) for 1950–2016 by merging the latest in situ and remote sensing datasets with state-of-the-art land surface and hydrodynamic modeling to provide a continuous and consistent estimate of the terrestrial water cycle and its extremes. This GDFC also includes an unprecedented level of detailed analysis of drought and large-scale flood events using univariate and multivariate risk assessment frameworks, which incorporates regional spatial–temporal characteristics (i.e., duration, spatial extent, severity) and global hazard maps for different return periods. This Catalogue forms a basis for analyzing the changing risk of droughts and floods and can underscore national and international climate change assessments and provide a key reference for climate change studies and climate model evaluations. It also contributes to the growing interests in multivariate and compounding risk analysis.


“We regard the recent science –based consensual reports that climate change is, to a large extend, caused by human activities that emit green houses as tenable, Such activities range from air traffic, with a global reach over industrial belts and urban conglomerations to local small, scale energy use for heating homes and mowing lawns. This means that effective climate strategies inevitably also require action all the way from global to local levels. Since the majority of those activities originate at the local level and involve individual action, however, climate strategies must literally begin at home to hit home.”


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hendri Irwandi ◽  
Mohammad Syamsu Rosid ◽  
Terry Mart

AbstractThis research quantitatively and qualitatively analyzes the factors responsible for the water level variations in Lake Toba, North Sumatra Province, Indonesia. According to several studies carried out from 1993 to 2020, changes in the water level were associated with climate variability, climate change, and human activities. Furthermore, these studies stated that reduced rainfall during the rainy season due to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the continuous increase in the maximum and average temperatures were some of the effects of climate change in the Lake Toba catchment area. Additionally, human interventions such as industrial activities, population growth, and damage to the surrounding environment of the Lake Toba watershed had significant impacts in terms of decreasing the water level. However, these studies were unable to determine the factor that had the most significant effect, although studies on other lakes worldwide have shown these factors are the main causes of fluctuations or decreases in water levels. A simulation study of Lake Toba's water balance showed the possibility of having a water surplus until the mid-twenty-first century. The input discharge was predicted to be greater than the output; therefore, Lake Toba could be optimized without affecting the future water level. However, the climate projections depicted a different situation, with scenarios predicting the possibility of extreme climate anomalies, demonstrating drier climatic conditions in the future. This review concludes that it is necessary to conduct an in-depth, comprehensive, and systematic study to identify the most dominant factor among the three that is causing the decrease in the Lake Toba water level and to describe the future projected water level.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caihong Hu ◽  
Li Zhang ◽  
Qiang Wu ◽  
Shan-e-hyder Soomro ◽  
Shengqi Jian

Runoff reduction in most river basins in China has become a hotpot in recent years. The Gushanchuan river, a primary tributary of the middle Yellow river, Northern China, showed a significant downward trend in the last century. Little is known regarding the relative contributions of changing environment to the observed hydrological trends and response on the runoff generation process in its watershed. On the basis of observed hydrological and meteorological data from 1965–2010, the Mann-Kendall trend test and climate elasticity method were used to distinguish the effects of climate change and human activities on runoff in the Gushanchuan basin. The results indicate that the runoff in the Gushanchuan Basin has experienced significant declines as large as 77% from 1965 to 2010, and a mutation point occurred around 1997; the contribution rate of climate change to runoff change is 12.9–15.1%, and the contribution rate of human activities to runoff change is 84.9–87.1%. Then we divided long-term data sequence into two stages around the mutation point, and analyzed runoff generation mechanisms based on land use and cover changes (LUCC). We found that the floods in the Gushanchuan Basin were still dominated by Excess-infiltration runoff, but the proportion in 1965–1997 and 1998–2010 decreased gradually (68.46% and 45.83% in turn). The proportion of Excess-storage runoff and Mixed runoff has increased, which means that the runoff is made up of more runoff components. The variation law of the LUCC indicates that the forest area increased by 49.61%, the confluence time increased by 50.42%, and the water storage capacity of the watershed increased by 30.35%.


2009 ◽  
Vol 52 (6) ◽  
pp. 855-868 ◽  
Author(s):  
DuanYang Xu ◽  
XiangWu Kang ◽  
ZhiLi Liu ◽  
DaFang Zhuang ◽  
JianJun Pan

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 521
Author(s):  
Qinghe Zhao ◽  
Shengyan Ding ◽  
Xiaoyu Ji ◽  
Zhendong Hong ◽  
Mengwen Lu ◽  
...  

Human activities are increasingly recognized as having a critical influence on hydrological processes under the warming of the climate, particularly for dam-regulated rivers. To ensure the sustainable management of water resources, it is important to evaluate how dam construction may affect surface runoff. In this study, using Mann–Kendall tests, the double mass curve method, and the Budyko-based elasticity method, the effects of climate change and human activities on annual and seasonal runoff were quantified for the Yellow River basin from 1961–2018; additionally, effects on runoff were assessed after the construction of the Xiaolangdi Dam (XLD, started operation in 2001) on the Yellow River. Both annual and seasonal runoff decreased over time (p < 0.01), due to the combined effects of climate change and human activities. Abrupt changes in annual, flood season, and non-flood season runoff occurred in 1986, 1989, and 1986, respectively. However, no abrupt changes were seen after the construction of the XLD. Human activities accounted for much of the reduction in runoff, approximately 75–72% annually, 81–86% for the flood season, and 86–90% for the non-flood season. Climate change approximately accounted for the remainder: 18–25% (annually), 14–19% (flood season), and 10–14% (non-flood season). The XLD construction mitigated runoff increases induced by heightened precipitation and reduced potential evapotranspiration during the post-dam period; the XLD accounted for approximately 52% of the runoff reduction both annually and in the non-flood season, and accounted for approximately −32% of the runoff increase in the flood season. In conclusion, this study provides a basic understanding of how dam construction contributes to runoff changes in the context of climate change; this information will be beneficial for the sustainable management of water resources in regulated rivers.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Wang ◽  
Yunzhong Shen ◽  
Fengwei Wang ◽  
Weiwei Li

&lt;p&gt;Climate change has led to increased droughts and floods over mainland Australia, resulting in water scarcity, excessive surplus and socioeconomic losses. Therefore, it is of great significance to comprehensively evaluate droughts and floods from the meteorological and hydrological perspective. Firstly, we determine the Standard Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) by correlation analysis to represent the meteorological conditions. To characterize the hydrological conditions, we calculate the hydrological drought indices including Standard Runoff Index (SRI), Soil Moisture Deficit Index (SMDI), and Total Storage Deficit Index (TSDI), using the runoff and soil moisture data from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) and the Terrestrial Water Storage Change (TWSC) data from Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) respectively. Results show that the most severe hydrological drought over mainland Australia during the study period occurred from May 2006 to Jan. 2009 with the drought severity of -58.28 (cm months) and the most severe flood from Jun. 2010 to Jan. 2013 is with the severity of 151.36 (cm months). The comprehensive analysis of both meteorological and hydrological drought indices shows that both meteorological and hydrological drought indices can effectively detect the droughts and floods over mainland Australia. Moreover, the meteorological drought and flood are of higher frequency, while hydrological drought and flood have a relatively longer duration. Based on the cross-correlation analysis, we find that the SPEI can firstly reflect the droughts or floods over mainland Australia, and then the SRI, SMDI and TSDI reflect with the time lags of one, three and six months respectively. Furthermore, we calculate the frequency of drought and flood at the basin scale and find that SPEI and SMDI are equally sensitive to drought and flood, while TSDI is more sensitive to flood than drought. This study reveals the relationship between meteorological and hydrological conditions in mainland Australia in the last two decades and highlights its intensifying extreme climate conditions under the circumstances of the increasing temperature and complex changing precipitation.&lt;/p&gt;


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