scholarly journals Machine Learning Identifies Complicated Sepsis Course and Subsequent Mortality Based on 20 Genes in Peripheral Blood Immune Cells at 24 H Post-ICU Admission

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shayantan Banerjee ◽  
Akram Mohammed ◽  
Hector R. Wong ◽  
Nades Palaniyar ◽  
Rishikesan Kamaleswaran

A complicated clinical course for critically ill patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) usually includes multiorgan dysfunction and subsequent death. Owing to the heterogeneity, complexity, and unpredictability of the disease progression, ICU patient care is challenging. Identifying the predictors of complicated courses and subsequent mortality at the early stages of the disease and recognizing the trajectory of the disease from the vast array of longitudinal quantitative clinical data is difficult. Therefore, we attempted to perform a meta-analysis of previously published gene expression datasets to identify novel early biomarkers and train the artificial intelligence systems to recognize the disease trajectories and subsequent clinical outcomes. Using the gene expression profile of peripheral blood cells obtained within 24 h of pediatric ICU (PICU) admission and numerous clinical data from 228 septic patients from pediatric ICU, we identified 20 differentially expressed genes predictive of complicated course outcomes and developed a new machine learning model. After 5-fold cross-validation with 10 iterations, the overall mean area under the curve reached 0.82. Using a subset of the same set of genes, we further achieved an overall area under the curve of 0.72, 0.96, 0.83, and 0.82, respectively, on four independent external validation sets. This model was highly effective in identifying the clinical trajectories of the patients and mortality. Artificial intelligence systems identified eight out of twenty novel genetic markers (SDC4, CLEC5A, TCN1, MS4A3, HCAR3, OLAH, PLCB1, and NLRP1) that help predict sepsis severity or mortality. While these genes have been previously associated with sepsis mortality, in this work, we show that these genes are also implicated in complex disease courses, even among survivors. The discovery of eight novel genetic biomarkers related to the overactive innate immune system, including neutrophil function, and a new predictive machine learning method provides options to effectively recognize sepsis trajectories, modify real-time treatment options, improve prognosis, and patient survival.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shayantan Banerjee ◽  
Akram Mohammed ◽  
Hector R. Wong ◽  
Nades Palaniyar ◽  
Rishikesan Kamaleswaran

AbstractA complicated clinical course for critically ill patients admitted to the ICU usually includes multiorgan dysfunction and subsequent death. Owning to the heterogeneity, complexity, and unpredictability of the disease progression, patient care is challenging. Identifying the predictors of complicated courses and subsequent mortality at the early stages of the disease and recognizing the trajectory of the disease from the vast array of longitudinal quantitative clinical data is difficult. Therefore, we attempted to identify novel early biomarkers and train the artificial intelligence systems to recognize the disease trajectories and subsequent clinical outcomes. Using the gene expression profile of peripheral blood cells obtained within 24 hours of PICU admission and numerous clinical data from 228 septic patients from pediatric ICU, we identified 20 differentially expressed genes that were predictive of complicated course outcomes and developed a new machine learning model. After 5-fold cross-validation with ten iterations, the overall mean area under the curve reached 0.82. Using the same set of genes, we further achieved an overall area under the curve of 0.72 when tested on an external validation set. This model was highly effective in identifying the clinical trajectories of the patients and mortality. Artificial intelligence systems identified eight out of twenty novel genetic markers SDC4, CLEC5A, TCN1, MS4A3, HCAR3, OLAH, PLCB1 and NLRP1 that help to predict sepsis severity or mortality. The discovery of eight novel genetic biomarkers related to the overactive innate immune system and neutrophils functions, and a new predictive machine learning method provides options to effectively recognize sepsis trajectories, modify real-time treatment options, improve prognosis, and patient survival.Research in ContextEvidence before this studyTranscriptomic biomarkers have long been explored as potential means of earlier disease endotyping. Much of the existing literature has however focused on mortality and discrete outcomes. Additionally, much of prior work in this area has been developed on statistical methods, while recent means of selecting features have not been sufficiently explored.Added value of this studyIn this study, we developed a robust machine learning based model for identifying novel biomarkers of complicated disease courses. We found 20 highly stable genes that predict disease complexity with an average derivation AUROC of 0.82 and validation AUROC of 0.72 within critically ill children, using peripheral blood collected within 24 hrs of ICU admission.Implications of all the available evidenceEarlier identification of disease complexity can inform care management and targeted therapy. Therefore, the 20 gene candidates identified by our rigorous approach, can be used to identify, early in their ICU stay, patients who may ultimately develop significant organ dysfunction and complex care management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2068 (1) ◽  
pp. 012042
Author(s):  
A Kolesnikov ◽  
P Kikin ◽  
E Panidi

Abstract The field of logistics and transport operates with large amounts of data. The transformation of such arrays into knowledge and processing using machine learning methods will help to find additional reserves for optimizing transport and logistics processes and supply chains. This article analyses the possibilities and prospects for the application of machine learning and geospatial knowledge in the field of logistics and transport using specific examples. The long-term impact of geospatial-based artificial intelligence systems on such processes as procurement, delivery, inventory management, maintenance, customer interaction is considered.


2020 ◽  
pp. 799-810
Author(s):  
Matthew Nagy ◽  
Nathan Radakovich ◽  
Aziz Nazha

The volume and complexity of scientific and clinical data in oncology have grown markedly over recent years, including but not limited to the realms of electronic health data, radiographic and histologic data, and genomics. This growth holds promise for a deeper understanding of malignancy and, accordingly, more personalized and effective oncologic care. Such goals require, however, the development of new methods to fully make use of the wealth of available data. Improvements in computer processing power and algorithm development have positioned machine learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, to play a prominent role in oncology research and practice. This review provides an overview of the basics of machine learning and highlights current progress and challenges in applying this technology to cancer diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment recommendations, including a discussion of current takeaways for clinicians.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiuling Ma ◽  
Yong Shao ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Cheng Quan ◽  
Yanhui Zhu ◽  
...  

Aim: To investigate whether cervical cancer (CC) and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) can be screened by analyzing gene expression profiling of peripheral blood. Methods: RNA-sequencing analysis of blood was performed on 11 CC patients, 21 CIN patients and 19 healthy controls (H). Fifty-nine genes were validated by quantitative real-time PCR using blood samples from 46 H, 83 CC and 32 CIN patients. Results: There were significant differences in the expression levels of six genes between CC and H, five genes between CIN and H and four genes between CC and CIN (p < 0.05). Four genes discriminated cervical lesions from H with a sensitivity of 82.61%, a specificity of 87.83% and an area under the curve of 0.8981. Three genes discriminated CC from CIN with a sensitivity of 53.13%, a specificity of 96.39% and an area under the curve of 0.7786. Conclusion: Our findings provided a promising noninvasive quantitative real-time PCR diagnostic assay of CC and CIN.


2020 ◽  
pp. practneurol-2020-002688
Author(s):  
Stephen D Auger ◽  
Benjamin M Jacobs ◽  
Ruth Dobson ◽  
Charles R Marshall ◽  
Alastair J Noyce

Modern clinical practice requires the integration and interpretation of ever-expanding volumes of clinical data. There is, therefore, an imperative to develop efficient ways to process and understand these large amounts of data. Neurologists work to understand the function of biological neural networks, but artificial neural networks and other forms of machine learning algorithm are likely to be increasingly encountered in clinical practice. As their use increases, clinicians will need to understand the basic principles and common types of algorithm. We aim to provide a coherent introduction to this jargon-heavy subject and equip neurologists with the tools to understand, critically appraise and apply insights from this burgeoning field.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca O'Donovan ◽  
Emre Sezgin ◽  
Sven Bambach ◽  
Eric Butter ◽  
Simon Lin

BACKGROUND Qualitative self- or parent-reports used in assessing children’s behavioral disorders are often inconvenient to collect and can be misleading due to missing information, rater biases, and limited validity. A data-driven approach to quantify behavioral disorders could alleviate these concerns. This study proposes a machine learning approach to identify screams in voice recordings that avoids the need to gather large amounts of clinical data for model training. OBJECTIVE The goal of this study is to evaluate if a machine learning model trained only on publicly available audio data sets could be used to detect screaming sounds in audio streams captured in an at-home setting. METHODS Two sets of audio samples were prepared to evaluate the model: a subset of the publicly available AudioSet data set and a set of audio data extracted from the TV show Supernanny, which was chosen for its similarity to clinical data. Scream events were manually annotated for the Supernanny data, and existing annotations were refined for the AudioSet data. Audio feature extraction was performed with a convolutional neural network pretrained on AudioSet. A gradient-boosted tree model was trained and cross-validated for scream classification on the AudioSet data and then validated independently on the Supernanny audio. RESULTS On the held-out AudioSet clips, the model achieved a receiver operating characteristic (ROC)–area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86. The same model applied to three full episodes of Supernanny audio achieved an ROC-AUC of 0.95 and an average precision (positive predictive value) of 42% despite screams only making up 1.3% (n=92/7166 seconds) of the total run time. CONCLUSIONS These results suggest that a scream-detection model trained with publicly available data could be valuable for monitoring clinical recordings and identifying tantrums as opposed to depending on collecting costly privacy-protected clinical data for model training.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonardo Guerreiro Azevedo ◽  
Renan Souza ◽  
Raphael Melo Thiago ◽  
Elton Soares ◽  
Marcio Moreno

Machine Learning (ML) is a core concept behind Artificial Intelligence systems, which work driven by data and generate ML models. These models are used for decision making, and it is crucial to trust their outputs by, e.g., understanding the process that derives them. One way to explain the derivation of ML models is by tracking the whole ML lifecycle, generating its data lineage, which may be accomplished by provenance data management techniques. In this work, we present the use of ProvLake tool for ML provenance data management in the ML lifecycle for Well Top Picking, an essential process in Oil and Gas exploration. We show how ProvLake supported the validation of ML models, the understanding of whether the ML models generalize respecting the domain characteristics, and their derivation.


Author(s):  
Vineet Talwar ◽  
Kundan Singh Chufal ◽  
Srujana Joga

AbstractArtificial intelligence (AI) has become an essential tool in human life because of its pivotal role in communications, transportation, media, and social networking. Inspired by the complex neuronal network and its functions in human beings, AI, using computer-based algorithms and training, had been explored since the 1950s. To tackle the enormous amount of patients' clinical data, imaging, histopathological data, and the increasing pace of research on new treatments and clinical trials, and ever-changing guidelines for treatment with the advent of novel drugs and evidence, AI is the need of the hour. There are numerous publications and active work on AI's role in the field of oncology. In this review, we discuss the fundamental terminology of AI, its applications in oncology on the whole, and its limitations. There is an inter-relationship between AI, machine learning and, deep learning. The virtual branch of AI deals with machine learning. While the physical branch of AI deals with the delivery of different forms of treatment—surgery, targeted drug delivery, and elderly care. The applications of AI in oncology include cancer screening, diagnosis (clinical, imaging, and histopathological), radiation therapy (image acquisition, tumor and organs at risk segmentation, image registration, planning, and delivery), prediction of treatment outcomes and toxicities, prediction of cancer cell sensitivity to therapeutics and clinical decision-making. A specific area of interest is in the development of effective drug combinations tailored to every patient and tumor with the help of AI. Radiomics, the new kid on the block, deals with the planning and administration of radiotherapy. As with any new invention, AI has its fallacies. The limitations include lack of external validation and proof of generalizability, difficulty in data access for rare diseases, ethical and legal issues, no precise logic behind the prediction, and last but not the least, lack of education and expertise among medical professionals. A collaboration between departments of clinical oncology, bioinformatics, and data sciences can help overcome these problems in the near future.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy B Plante ◽  
Aaron M Blau ◽  
Adrian N Berg ◽  
Aaron S Weinberg ◽  
Ik C Jun ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Conventional diagnosis of COVID-19 with reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing (hereafter, PCR) is associated with prolonged time to diagnosis and significant costs to run the test. The SARS-CoV-2 virus might lead to characteristic patterns in the results of widely available, routine blood tests that could be identified with machine learning methodologies. Machine learning modalities integrating findings from these common laboratory test results might accelerate ruling out COVID-19 in emergency department patients. OBJECTIVE We sought to develop (ie, train and internally validate with cross-validation techniques) and externally validate a machine learning model to rule out COVID 19 using only routine blood tests among adults in emergency departments. METHODS Using clinical data from emergency departments (EDs) from 66 US hospitals before the pandemic (before the end of December 2019) or during the pandemic (March-July 2020), we included patients aged ≥20 years in the study time frame. We excluded those with missing laboratory results. Model training used 2183 PCR-confirmed cases from 43 hospitals during the pandemic; negative controls were 10,000 prepandemic patients from the same hospitals. External validation used 23 hospitals with 1020 PCR-confirmed cases and 171,734 prepandemic negative controls. The main outcome was COVID 19 status predicted using same-day routine laboratory results. Model performance was assessed with area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve as well as sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value (NPV). RESULTS Of 192,779 patients included in the training, external validation, and sensitivity data sets (median age decile 50 [IQR 30-60] years, 40.5% male [78,249/192,779]), AUROC for training and external validation was 0.91 (95% CI 0.90-0.92). Using a risk score cutoff of 1.0 (out of 100) in the external validation data set, the model achieved sensitivity of 95.9% and specificity of 41.7%; with a cutoff of 2.0, sensitivity was 92.6% and specificity was 59.9%. At the cutoff of 2.0, the NPVs at a prevalence of 1%, 10%, and 20% were 99.9%, 98.6%, and 97%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS A machine learning model developed with multicenter clinical data integrating commonly collected ED laboratory data demonstrated high rule-out accuracy for COVID-19 status, and might inform selective use of PCR-based testing.


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