scholarly journals Short-Term Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on Feature Selection and Bias Compensation–LSTM Network

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3086
Author(s):  
Cai Tao ◽  
Junjie Lu ◽  
Jianxun Lang ◽  
Xiaosheng Peng ◽  
Kai Cheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Feature Selection ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Prediction Error ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Feature Selection Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Lstm Network ◽  
Bias Compensation

In this paper, a hybrid model that considers both accuracy and efficiency is proposed to predict photovoltaic (PV) power generation. To achieve this, improved forward feature selection is applied to obtain the optimal feature set, which aims to remove redundant information and obtain related features, resulting in a significant improvement in forecasting accuracy and efficiency. The prediction error is irregularly distributed. Thus, a bias compensation–long short-term memory (BC–LSTM) network is proposed to minimize the prediction error. The experimental results show that the new feature selection method can improve the prediction accuracy by 0.6% and the calculation efficiency by 20% compared to using feature importance identification based on LightGBM. The BC–LSTM network can improve accuracy by 0.3% using about twice the time compared with the LSTM network, and the hybrid model can further improve prediction accuracy and efficiency based on the BC–LSTM network.

scholarly journals Forecasting Day-Ahead Hourly Photovoltaic Power Generation Using Convolutional Self-Attention Based Long Short-Term Memory

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 4017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dukhwan Yu ◽  
Wonik Choi ◽  
Myoungsoo Kim ◽  
Ling Liu
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Local Context ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Pv Power Generation

The problem of Photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting is becoming crucial as the penetration level of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) increases in microgrids and Virtual Power Plants (VPPs). In order to improve the stability of power systems, a fair amount of research has been proposed for increasing prediction performance in practical environments through statistical, machine learning, deep learning, and hybrid approaches. Despite these efforts, the problem of forecasting PV power generation remains to be challenging in power system operations since existing methods show limited accuracy and thus are not sufficiently practical enough to be widely deployed. Many existing methods using long historical data suffer from the long-term dependency problem and are not able to produce high prediction accuracy due to their failure to fully utilize all features of long sequence inputs. To address this problem, we propose a deep learning-based PV power generation forecasting model called Convolutional Self-Attention based Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). By using the convolutional self-attention mechanism, we can significantly improve prediction accuracy by capturing the local context of the data and generating keys and queries that fit the local context. To validate the applicability of the proposed model, we conduct extensive experiments on both PV power generation forecasting using a real world dataset and power consumption forecasting. The experimental results of power generation forecasting using the real world datasets show that the MAPEs of the proposed model are much lower, in fact by 7.7%, 6%, 3.9% compared to the Deep Neural Network (DNN), LSTM and LSTM with the canonical self-attention, respectively. As for power consumption forecasting, the proposed model exhibits 32%, 17% and 44% lower Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) than the DNN, LSTM and LSTM with the canonical self-attention, respectively.

scholarly journals A multicriteria optimization approach for the stock market feature selection

2020 ◽  
pp. 44-44
Author(s):  
Dragana Radojicic ◽  
Nina Radojicic ◽  
Simeon Kredatus
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Multicriteria Optimization ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Order Book ◽  
Optimization Approach ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Data Vector ◽  
Support Resistance ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Lstm Network

This paper studies the informativeness of features extracted from a limit order book data, to classify market data vector into the label (buy/idle) by using the Long short-term memory (LSTM) network. New technical indicators based on the support/resistance zones are introduced to enrich the set of features. We evaluate whether the performance of the LSTM network model is improved when we select features with respect to the newly proposed methods. Moreover, we employ multicriteria optimization to perform adequate feature selection among the proposed approaches, with respect to precision, recall, and F? score. Seven variations of approaches to select features are proposed and the best is selected by incorporation of multicriteria optimization.

Performance evaluation for tool wear prediction based on Bi-directional, Encoder–Decoder and Hybrid Long Short-Term Memory models

2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Satish Kumar ◽  
Tushar Kolekar ◽  
Ketan Kotecha ◽  
Shruti Patil ◽  
Arunkumar Bongale
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Tool Wear ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Wear Prediction ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Tool Wear Prediction ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Purpose Excessive tool wear is responsible for damage or breakage of the tool, workpiece, or machining center. Thus, it is crucial to examine tool conditions during the machining process to improve its useful functional life and the surface quality of the final product. AI-based tool wear prediction techniques have proven to be effective in estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of the cutting tool. However, the model prediction needs improvement in terms of accuracy.Design/methodology/approachThis paper represents a methodology of fusing a feature selection technique along with state-of-the-art deep learning models. The authors have used NASA milling data sets along with vibration signals for tool wear prediction and performance analysis in 15 different fault scenarios. Multiple steps are used for the feature selection and ranking. Different Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) approaches are used to improve the overall prediction accuracy of the model for tool wear prediction. LSTM models' performance is evaluated using R-square, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) parameters.FindingsThe R-square accuracy of the hybrid model is consistently high and has low MAE, MAPE and RMSE values. The average R-square score values for LSTM, Bidirection, Encoder–Decoder and Hybrid LSTM are 80.43, 84.74, 94.20 and 97.85%, respectively, and corresponding average MAPE values are 23.46, 22.200, 9.5739 and 6.2124%. The hybrid model shows high accuracy as compared to the remaining LSTM models.Originality/value The low variance, Spearman Correlation Coefficient and Random Forest Regression methods are used to select the most significant feature vectors for training the miscellaneous LSTM model versions and highlight the best approach. The selected features pass to different LSTM models like Bidirectional, Encoder–Decoder and Hybrid LSTM for tool wear prediction. The Hybrid LSTM approach shows a significant improvement in tool wear prediction.

scholarly journals A Combined Method for MEMS Gyroscope Error Compensation Using a Long Short-Term Memory Network and Kalman Filter in Random Vibration Environments

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 1181
Author(s):  
Chenhao Zhu ◽  
Sheng Cai ◽  
Yifan Yang ◽  
Wei Xu ◽  
Honghai Shen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Error Compensation ◽  
Random Vibration ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Combined Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Mems Gyroscope ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Lstm Network

In applications such as carrier attitude control and mobile device navigation, a micro-electro-mechanical-system (MEMS) gyroscope will inevitably be affected by random vibration, which significantly affects the performance of the MEMS gyroscope. In order to solve the degradation of MEMS gyroscope performance in random vibration environments, in this paper, a combined method of a long short-term memory (LSTM) network and Kalman filter (KF) is proposed for error compensation, where Kalman filter parameters are iteratively optimized using the Kalman smoother and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, we performed a linear random vibration test to acquire MEMS gyroscope data. Subsequently, an analysis of the effects of input data step size and network topology on gyroscope error compensation performance is presented. Furthermore, the autoregressive moving average-Kalman filter (ARMA-KF) model, which is commonly used in gyroscope error compensation, was also combined with the LSTM network as a comparison method. The results show that, for the x-axis data, the proposed combined method reduces the standard deviation (STD) by 51.58% and 31.92% compared to the bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) network, and EM-KF method, respectively. For the z-axis data, the proposed combined method reduces the standard deviation by 29.19% and 12.75% compared to the BiLSTM network and EM-KF method, respectively. Furthermore, for x-axis data and z-axis data, the proposed combined method reduces the standard deviation by 46.54% and 22.30% compared to the BiLSTM-ARMA-KF method, respectively, and the output is smoother, proving the effectiveness of the proposed method.

scholarly journals Extraction of local and global features by a convolutional neural network–long short-term memory network for diagnosing bearing faults

2021 ◽  
pp. 095440622110165
Author(s):  
Zhang Chao ◽  
Wang Wei-zhi ◽  
Zhang Chen ◽  
Fan Bin ◽  
Wang Jian-guo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Condition Monitoring ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Vibration Signal ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Global Features ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Lstm Network

Accurate and reliable fault diagnosis is one of the key and difficult issues in mechanical condition monitoring. In recent years, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been widely used in mechanical condition monitoring, which is also a great breakthrough in the field of bearing fault diagnosis. However, CNN can only extract local features of signals. The model accuracy and generalization of the original vibration signals are very low in the process of vibration signal processing only by CNN. Based on the above problems, this paper improves the traditional convolution layer of CNN, and builds the learning module (local feature learning block, LFLB) of the local characteristics. At the same time, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is introduced into the network, which is used to extract the global features. This paper proposes the new neural network—improved CNN-LSTM network. The extracted deep feature is used for fault classification. The improved CNN-LSTM network is applied to the processing of the vibration signal of the faulty bearing collected by the bearing failure laboratory of Inner Mongolia University of science and technology. The results show that the accuracy of the improved CNN-LSTM network on the same batch test set is 98.75%, which is about 24% higher than that of the traditional CNN. The proposed network is applied to the bearing data collection of Western Reserve University under the condition that the network parameters remain unchanged. The experiment shows that the improved CNN-LSTM network has better generalization than the traditional CNN.

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