scholarly journals Dynamic Top Height Growth Models for Eight Native Tree Species in a Cool-Temperate Region in Northeast China

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 965
Author(s):  
Sandra-Maria Hipler ◽  
Heinrich Spiecker ◽  
Shuirong Wu

In this study, we developed dynamic top height growth models for the eight important Chinese tree species Larix gmelinii var. principis-rupprechtii, Pinus tabuliformis Carr., Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica Litv., Picea asperata Mast., Quercus mongolica Fisch. ex Ledeb, Betula platyphylla Suk., Betula dahurica Pall. and Populus davidiana Dode based on age-height relationships. For this purpose, commonly growth data from long-term observations of permanent experimental plots are used, which ideally cover all development stages from stand establishment to final harvest. As such data were not available in the research area of Hebei Province in Northeast China, we used stem analysis data as well as tree height and annual shoot length measurements. The dataset consisted of 72 stands, 233 dominant trees and 10,195 observations of stem discs and annual shoot length measurements. Five dynamic base-age invariant top height growth models were derived from four base models with the Generalized Algebraic Difference Approach and fitted to our age-height data using nested regression techniques. According to biological plausibility and model accuracy the Chapman–Richards model showed the best performance for Picea asperata. This selected model accounted for 99% of the total variance in age-height relationship with average absolute bias of 0.2322 m, root mean square error of 0.3337 m and of 0.9979, respectively. The distribution of the residuals was scattered around 0 and without visible trends, indicating that the fitness of the models was good. All developed models are able to generate top height growth curves representing the analyzed height growth data and can be utilized for predicting height growth on the base of current height and age of dominant trees. Additionally, they are the base for calculating the development of other relevant stand attributes such as basal area and volume growth. The determination of potential site productivity by the use of top height growth curves is a practical and convenient method for a simplified presentation of complex growth processes in stands and helps to create growth models, which facilitate implementing sustainable forest management practices in Mulan Forest.

Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 429
Author(s):  
Jaime Briseño-Reyes ◽  
José Javier Corral-Rivas ◽  
Raúl Solis-Moreno ◽  
Jaime Roberto Padilla-Martínez ◽  
Daniel José Vega-Nieva ◽  
...  

Lack of knowledge of individual tree growth in species-rich, mixed forest ecosystems impedes their sustainable management. In this study, species-specific models for predicting individual diameter at breast height (dbh) and total tree height (h) growth were developed for 30 tree species growing in mixed and uneven-aged forest stands in Durango, Mexico. Growth models were also developed for all pine, all oaks, and all other species of the genus Arbutus (strawberry trees). A database of 55,158 trees with remeasurements of dbh and h of a 5-year growth period was used to develop the models. The data were collected from 217 stem-mapped plots located in the Sierra Madre Occidental (Mexico). Weighted regression was used to remove heteroscedasticity from the species-specific dbh and h growth models using a power function of the tree size independent variables. The final models developed in the present study to predict dbh and total tree height growth included size variables, site factors, and competition variables in their formulation. The developed models fitted the data well and explained between 98 and 99% and of the observed variation of dbh, and between 77 and 98% of the observed variation of total tree height for the studied species and groups of species. The developed models can be used for estimating the individual dbh and h growth for the analyzed species and can be integrated in decision support tools for management planning in these mixed forest ecosystems.


Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1093
Author(s):  
Sandra-Maria Hipler ◽  
Benedikt Speicher ◽  
Lars Sprengel ◽  
Hans-Peter Kahle ◽  
Heinrich Spiecker ◽  
...  

A dendroclimatological approach was used to analyze growth responses of the tree species Pinus tabuliformis Carr., Larix gmelinii Rupr., Picea asperata Mast. and Quercus mongolica Fisch. ex Ledeb. in a region of temperate climate in Northeast China. Annual radial increment (ARI) measurements from stem cross-sections were used to identify the effects of precipitation, air temperature and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) on tree growth under monsoon-related conditions. We analyzed the ARI of 144 trees from 49 forest stands and applied response function and moving correlation analysis as well as a linear mixed-effects model to detect climate signal in the tree-ring series. Analyses of climate-growth relations confirmed the influence of monsoon intensities on ARI, especially in the months of May to July of the current year. Particularly in times of a weak monsoon, the preceding autumn months significantly affect the ARI. The positive effect of precipitation in times of a strong monsoon and the negative effect of air temperature-indicating increased evapotranspiration-in times of a weak monsoon alternate. An increase in drought sensitivity of the ARI was found, especially after long dry periods. The results revealed for L. gmelinii the highest climate sensitivity, with ARI more strongly influenced by precipitation in the monsoon-related months, whereas Q. mongolica was most drought tolerant and recovered quicker after growth depression. P. asperata and P. tabuliformis were located in between. Our findings provide evidence for a strong influence of the periodically fluctuating monsoon intensities on the ARI of all investigated tree species. Our results support decision-making for forest management under anticipated climate change, especially for tree species selection, in the climate sensitive region of Northeast China.


2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 194-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Nord-Larsen ◽  
Henrik Meilby ◽  
Jens Peter Skovsgaard

2002 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 66-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Brisco ◽  
Karel Klinka ◽  
Gordon Nigh

Abstract British Columbia's foresters currently use height growth curves developed with data from Montana to estimate the height and productivity of western larch (Larix occidentalis). The ability of the presently used curves to accurately predict the height growth of British Columbia's larch population is unknown. The production of new curves with local data could improve our ability to predict heights and allow increasingly precise yield projections in British Columbia. Data from 105 western larch stem analysis plots were collected from across the natural range of larch in British Columbia. The measured plots were naturally established, fire-origin, even-aged, and exhibited no indications of suppression or disease. A Richards function was fit to the data from each plot and used to generate height-age and site index information. Four models were fit to the plot data: conditioned logistic, Chapman Richards, conditioned Chapman Richards, and conditioned Weibull. The Chapman Richards model had the best fit to the data, although all four models had similar fit statistics. Overall, the Chapman Richards model is slightly more accurate at estimating heights than the currently used model. West.J. Appl. For. 17(2):66–74.


2014 ◽  
Vol 65 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 167-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nolwenn Regnault ◽  
Matthew W. Gillman ◽  
Ken Kleinman ◽  
Sheryl Rifas-Shiman ◽  
Jérémie Botton

Horticulturae ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 537
Author(s):  
Chih-Yu Hsieh ◽  
Shih-Lun Fang ◽  
Yea-Fang Wu ◽  
Yung-Chu Chu ◽  
Bo-Jein Kuo

In subtropical regions, tomato (Solanum lycopersicum) is mainly produced in autumn and winter. To enhance the off-season production of tomato, summer cultivation has become a prime objective. Grafting tomato scions onto eggplant (Solanum melongena) rootstocks is a key method to overcome the difficulties of tomato cultivation in summer. In this study, we collected seedling growth data over six growing seasons in Taiwan and established growth models by employing three commonly used sigmoid growth curves, namely the Gompertz, Richards, and Logistic curves. Cumulative temperature was introduced as an independent variable and its relationship with plant stem diameter determined. The R2 values of the growth models were 0.74–0.85 and 0.72–0.80 in calibration and validation, respectively. Performance did not differ markedly among models in the same growing season, but notable differences were observed among models for different growing seasons. In addition, the estimates of several model parameters differed significantly among the seasons; hence, separate models should be established for different seasons. The results of this study can be used in prediction of tomato and eggplant seedling growth and arrangement of the grafting schedule to improve the efficiency of seedling production in subtropical countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (12) ◽  
pp. 1589-1595
Author(s):  
Mariana del Pino ◽  
Virginia Fano ◽  
Paula Adamo

AbstractObjectivesIn general population, there are three phases in the human growth curve: infancy, childhood and puberty, with different main factors involved in their regulation and mathematical models to fit them. Achondroplasia children experience a fast decreasing growth during infancy and an “adolescent growth spurt”; however, there are no longitudinal studies that cover the analysis of the whole post-natal growth. Here we analyse the whole growth curve from infancy to adulthood applying the JPA-2 mathematical model.MethodsTwenty-seven patients, 17 girls and 10 boys with achondroplasia, who reached adult size, were included. Height growth data was collected from birth until adulthood. Individual growth curves were estimated by fitting the JPA-2 model to each individual’s height for age data.ResultsHeight growth velocity curves show that after a period of fast decreasing growth velocity since birth, with a mean of 9.7 cm/year at 1 year old, the growth velocity is stable in late preschool years, with a mean of 4.2 cm/year. In boys, age and peak height velocity in puberty were 13.75 years and 5.08 cm/year and reach a mean adult height of 130.52 cm. In girls, the age and peak height velocity in puberty were 11.1 years and 4.32 cm/year and reach a mean adult height of 119.2 cm.ConclusionsThe study of individual growth curves in achondroplasia children by the JPA-2 model shows the three periods, infancy, childhood and puberty, with a similar shape but lesser in magnitude than general population.


Author(s):  
Silvina Botta ◽  
Eduardo R. Secchi ◽  
Mônica M.C. Muelbert ◽  
Daniel Danilewicz ◽  
Maria Fernanda Negri ◽  
...  

Age and length data of 291 franciscana dolphins (Pontoporia blainvillei) incidentally captured on the coast of Rio Grande do Sul State (RS), southern Brazil, were used to fit growth curves using Gompertz and Von Bertalanffy growth models. A small sample of franciscanas (N = 35) from Buenos Aires Province (BA), Argentina, were used to see if there are apparent growth differences between the populations. Male and female franciscana samples from both areas were primarily (78–85%) <4 years of age. The Von Bertalanffy growth model with a data set that excluded animals <1 year of age provided the best fit to data. Based on this model, dolphins from the RS population reached asymptotic length at 136.0 cm and 158.4 cm, for males and females, respectively. No remarkable differences were observed in the growth trajectories of males and females between the RS and BA populations.


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. e035785
Author(s):  
Shukrullah Ahmadi ◽  
Florence Bodeau-Livinec ◽  
Roméo Zoumenou ◽  
André Garcia ◽  
David Courtin ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo select a growth model that best describes individual growth trajectories of children and to present some growth characteristics of this population.SettingsParticipants were selected from a prospective cohort conducted in three health centres (Allada, Sekou and Attogon) in a semirural region of Benin, sub-Saharan Africa.ParticipantsChildren aged 0 to 6 years were recruited in a cohort study with at least two valid height and weight measurements included (n=961).Primary and secondary outcome measuresThis study compared the goodness-of-fit of three structural growth models (Jenss-Bayley, Reed and a newly adapted version of the Gompertz growth model) on longitudinal weight and height growth data of boys and girls. The goodness-of-fit of the models was assessed using residual distribution over age and compared with the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). The best-fitting model allowed estimating mean weight and height growth trajectories, individual growth and growth velocities. Underweight, stunting and wasting were also estimated at age 6 years.ResultsThe three models were able to fit well both weight and height data. The Jenss-Bayley model presented the best fit for weight and height, both in boys and girls. Mean height growth trajectories were identical in shape and direction for boys and girls while the mean weight growth curve of girls fell slightly below the curve of boys after neonatal life. Finally, 35%, 27.7% and 8% of boys; and 34%, 38.4% and 4% of girls were estimated to be underweight, wasted and stunted at age 6 years, respectively.ConclusionThe growth parameters of the best-fitting Jenss-Bayley model can be used to describe growth trajectories and study their determinants.


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