scholarly journals A New and Simplified Approach for Estimating the Daily River Discharge of the Tibetan Plateau Using Satellite Precipitation: An Initial Study on the Upper Brahmaputra River

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (13) ◽  
pp. 2103
Author(s):  
Tian Zeng ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
Xiuping Li ◽  
Lei Song ◽  
Xiaotao Zhang ◽  
...  

Collecting in situ observations from remote, high mountain rivers presents major challenges, yet real-time, high temporal resolution (e.g., daily) discharge data are critical for flood hazard mitigation and river management. In this study, we propose a method for estimating daily river discharge (RD) based on free, operational remote sensing precipitation data (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), since 2001). In this method, an exponential filter was implemented to produce a new precipitation time series from daily basin-averaged precipitation data to model the time lag of precipitation in supplying RD, and a linear-regression relationship was constructed between the filtered precipitation time series and observed discharge records. Because of different time lags in the wet season (rainfall-dominant) and dry season (snowfall-dominant), the precipitation data were processed in a segmented way (from June to October and from November to May). The method was evaluated at two hydrological gauging stations in the Upper Brahmaputra (UB) river basin, where Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) coefficients for Nuxia (>0.85) and Yangcun (>0.80) indicate good performance. By using the degree-day method to estimate the snowmelt and acquire the time series of new active precipitation (rainfall plus snowmelt) in the target basins, the discharge estimations were improved (NSE > 0.9 for Nuxia) compared to the original data. This makes the method applicable for most rivers on the Tibetan Plateau, which are fed mainly by precipitation (including snowfall) and are subject to limited human interference. The method also performs well for reanalysis precipitation data (Chinese Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD), 1980–2000). The real-time or historical discharges can be derived from satellite precipitation data (or reanalysis data for earlier historical years) by using our method.

2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 837-849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. C. Gao ◽  
M. F. Liu

Abstract. High-resolution satellite precipitation products are very attractive for studying the hydrologic processes in mountainous areas where rain gauges are generally sparse. Four high-resolution satellite precipitation products are evaluated using gauge measurements over different climate zones of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) within a 6 yr period from 2004 to 2009. The four satellite-based precipitation data sets are: Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis 3B42 version 6 (TMPA) and its Real Time version (TMPART), Climate Prediction Center Morphing Technique (CMOPRH) and Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Network (PERSIANN). TMPA and CMORPH, with higher correlation coefficients and lower root mean square errors (RMSEs), show overall better performance than PERSIANN and TMPART. TMPA has the lowest biases among the four precipitation data sets, which is likely due to the correction process against the monthly gauge observations from global precipitation climatology project (GPCP). TMPA also shows large improvement over TMPART, indicating the importance of gauge-based correction on accuracy of rainfall. The four products show better agreement with gauge measurements over humid regions than that over arid regions where correlation coefficients are less than 0.5. Moreover, the four precipitation products generally tend to overestimate light rainfall (0–10 mm) and underestimate moderate and heavy rainfall (>10 mm). Moreover, this study extracts 24 topographic variables from a DEM (digital elevation model) and uses a linear regression model to explore the bias–topography relationship. Results show that biases of TMPA and CMORPH present weak dependence on topography. However, biases of TMPART and PERSIANN present dependence on topography and variability of elevation and surface roughness plays important roles in explaining their biases.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junyuan Fei ◽  
Jintao Liu

<p>Highly intermittent rivers are widespread on the Tibetan Plateau and deeply impact the ecological stability and social development downstream. Due to the highly intermittent rivers are small, seasonal variated and heavy cloud covered on the Tibetan Plateau, their distribution location is still unknown at catchment scale currently. To address these challenges, a new method is proposed for extracting the cumulative distribution location of highly intermittent river from Sentinel-1 time series in an alpine catchment on the Tibetan Plateau. The proposed method first determines the proper time scale of extracting highly intermittent river, based on which the statistical features are calculated to amplify the difference between land covers. Subsequently, the synoptic cumulative distribution location is extracted through Random Forest model using the statistical features above as explanatory variables. And the precise result is generated by combining the synoptic result with critical flow accumulation area.  The highly intermittent river segments are derived and assessed in an alpine catchment of Lhasa River Basin. The results show that the the intra-annual time scale is sufficient for highly intermittent river extraction. And the proposed method can extract highly intermittent river cumulative distribution locations with total precision of 0.62, distance error median of 64.03 m, outperforming other existing river extraction method.</p>


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 2329-2343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taylor Smith ◽  
Bodo Bookhagen ◽  
Aljoscha Rheinwalt

Abstract. High Mountain Asia (HMA) – encompassing the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding mountain ranges – is the primary water source for much of Asia, serving more than a billion downstream users. Many catchments receive the majority of their yearly water budget in the form of snow, which is poorly monitored by sparse in situ weather networks. Both the timing and volume of snowmelt play critical roles in downstream water provision, as many applications – such as agriculture, drinking-water generation, and hydropower – rely on consistent and predictable snowmelt runoff. Here, we examine passive microwave data across HMA with five sensors (SSMI, SSMIS, AMSR-E, AMSR2, and GPM) from 1987 to 2016 to track the timing of the snowmelt season – defined here as the time between maximum passive microwave signal separation and snow clearance. We validated our method against climate model surface temperatures, optical remote-sensing snow-cover data, and a manual control dataset (n = 2100, 3 variables at 25 locations over 28 years); our algorithm is generally accurate within 3–5 days. Using the algorithm-generated snowmelt dates, we examine the spatiotemporal patterns of the snowmelt season across HMA. The climatically short (29-year) time series, along with complex interannual snowfall variations, makes determining trends in snowmelt dates at a single point difficult. We instead identify trends in snowmelt timing by using hierarchical clustering of the passive microwave data to determine trends in self-similar regions. We make the following four key observations. (1) The end of the snowmelt season is trending almost universally earlier in HMA (negative trends). Changes in the end of the snowmelt season are generally between 2 and 8 days decade−1 over the 29-year study period (5–25 days total). The length of the snowmelt season is thus shrinking in many, though not all, regions of HMA. Some areas exhibit later peak signal separation (positive trends), but with generally smaller magnitudes than trends in snowmelt end. (2) Areas with long snowmelt periods, such as the Tibetan Plateau, show the strongest compression of the snowmelt season (negative trends). These trends are apparent regardless of the time period over which the regression is performed. (3) While trends averaged over 3 decades indicate generally earlier snowmelt seasons, data from the last 14 years (2002–2016) exhibit positive trends in many regions, such as parts of the Pamir and Kunlun Shan. Due to the short nature of the time series, it is not clear whether this change is a reversal of a long-term trend or simply interannual variability. (4) Some regions with stable or growing glaciers – such as the Karakoram and Kunlun Shan – see slightly later snowmelt seasons and longer snowmelt periods. It is likely that changes in the snowmelt regime of HMA account for some of the observed heterogeneity in glacier response to climate change. While the decadal increases in regional temperature have in general led to earlier and shortened melt seasons, changes in HMA's cryosphere have been spatially and temporally heterogeneous.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 5377
Author(s):  
Ata Amini ◽  
Abdolnabi Abdeh Kolahchi ◽  
Nadhir Al-Ansari ◽  
Mehdi Karami Moghadam ◽  
Thamer Mohammad

The present research was carried out to study drought and its effects upon water resources using remote sensing data. To this end, the tropical rainfall measuring mission (TRMM) satellite precipitation, the synoptic stations, and fountain discharge data were employed. For monitoring of drought in the study area, in Kermanshah province, Iran, the monthly precipitation data of the synoptic stations along with TRMM satellite precipitation datasets were collected and processed in the geographic information system (GIS) environment. Statistical indicators were applied to evaluate the accuracy of TRMM precipitation against the meteorological stations’ data. Standardized precipitation index, SPI, and normalized fountain discharge were used in the monitoring of drought conditions, and fountains discharge, respectively. The fountains were selected so that in addition to enjoying the most discharge rates, they spread along the study area. The evaluation of precipitation data showed that the TRMM precipitation data were of high accuracy. Studies in temporal scale are indicative of the strike of drought in this region to the effect that for most months of the year, frequency and duration in dry periods are much more than in wet periods. As for seasonal scales, apart from winter, the frequency and duration of drought in spring and autumn have been longer than in wet years. Moreover, the duration of these periods was different. A comparison between the results of changes in fountain discharges and drought index in the region has verified that the drought has caused a remarkable decline in the fountain discharges.


2014 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cuizhen Wang ◽  
Huadong Guo ◽  
Li Zhang ◽  
Shuangyu Liu ◽  
Yubao Qiu ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 306-317 ◽  

Window length is a very critical tuning parameter in Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) technique. For finding the optimal value of window length in SSA application, Periodogram analysis method with SSA for referencing on the selection of window length and confirm that the periodogram analysis can provide a good option for window length selection in the application of SSA. Several potential periods of Florida precipitation data are firstly obtained using periodogram analysis method. The SSA technique is applied to precipitation data with different window length as the period and experiential recommendation to extract the precipitation time series, which determines the leading components for reconstructing the precipitation and forecast respectively. A regressive model linear recurrent formula (LRF) model is used to discover physically evolution with the SSA modes of precipitation variability. Precipitation forecasts are deduced from SSA patterns and compared with observed precipitation. Comparison of forecasting results with observed precipitation indicates that the forecasts with window length of L=60 have the better performance among all. Our findings successfully confirm that the periodogram analysis can provide a good option for window length selection in the application of SSA and presents a detailed physical explanation on the varying conditions of precipitation variables.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eike Reinosch ◽  
Johannes Buckel ◽  
Jie Dong ◽  
Markus Gerke ◽  
Jussi Baade ◽  
...  

Abstract. Climate change and the associated rise in air temperature have affected the Tibetan Plateau to a significantly stronger degree than the global average over the past decades. This has caused deglaciation, permafrost degradation and increased precipitation, heavily changing the water balance of this region. Surface displacement processes are likely to change as the ground continues to warm up and as such it is vital to understand both seasonal and interannual processes dynamics. The Nam Co area is well suited to studying these processes via Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) time series analysis, due to its lack of higher vegetation and relatively thin snow cover. The short revisit time of the Sentinel-1 system further reduces the risk of temporal decorrelation, making it possible to produce surface displacement models with good spatial coverage. We created three different surface displacement models to study freeze-thaw processes, seasonal sliding and linear creep. Most slopes of the area are unstable, with velocities of 8 to 17 mm yr−1, and some landforms reach velocities of up to 18 cm yr−1. The monsoonal climate accelerates those movements during the summer months through high temperatures and heavy rainfall. The fastest moving landforms, some of which have been identified as rock glaciers, do not follow this seasonal pattern of accelerated velocity in summer, instead they follow a linear sliding pattern. It is unclear if this linearity is connected to the ice content in those landforms. Flat regions at Nam Co are mostly stable on a multiannual scale but some experience subsidence, which could be caused by permafrost degradation. We observe a very clear seasonal freeze-thaw cycle in the valleys, where thawing and subsequent freezing of the active layer cause a vertical oscillation of the ground of up to a few centimeters, especially near streams and other water bodies.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amber Ross ◽  
Craig D. Smith ◽  
Alan Barr

Abstract. The unconditioned data retrieved from automated accumulating precipitation gauges is inherently noisy due to the sensitivity of the instruments to mechanical and electrical interference. This noise, combined with diurnal oscillations and signal drift from evaporation of the bucket contents, can make accurate precipitation estimates challenging. Relative to rainfall, errors in the measurement of solid precipitation are exacerbated because the lower accumulation rates are more impacted by measurement noise. Precipitation gauge measurement post-processing techniques are used by Environment and Climate Change Canada in research and operational monitoring to filter cumulative precipitation time series derived from high-frequency, bucket-weight measurements. Four techniques are described and tested here: 1) the operational 15-minute filter (O15), 2) the Neutral Aggregating Filter (NAF), 3) the Supervised Neutral Aggregating Filter (NAF-S), and 4) the Segmented Neutral Aggregating Filter (NAF-SEG). Inherent biases and errors in the first two post-processing techniques have revealed the need for a robust automated method to derive an accurate noise-free precipitation time series from the raw bucket-weight measurements. The method must be capable of removing random noise, diurnal oscillations, and evaporative (negative) drift from the raw data. This evaluation focuses on cold-season (October to April) accumulating-precipitation-gauge data at 1-min resolution from two sources: a control (pre-processed time series) with added synthetic noise and drift; and raw (minimally-processed) data from several WMO Solid Precipitation Inter-Comparison Experiment (SPICE) sites. Evaluation against the control with synthetic noise shows the effectiveness of the NAF-SEG technique, recovering 99%, 100%, and 102% of the control total precipitation for low, medium, and high noise scenarios respectively. Among the filters, the fully-automated NAF-SEG produced the highest correlation coefficients and lowest RMSE for all synthetic noise levels, with comparable performance to the supervised and manually-intensive NAF-S method. Compared to the operational O15 method, NAF-SEG shows a lower bias in 37 of 44 real-world test cases, a similar bias in 5 cases, and a higher bias in 2 cases. The results indicate that the NAF-SEG post-processing technique provides substantial improvement over current automated techniques, reducing both uncertainty and bias in accumulating-gauge measurements of precipitation, with a 24-hour latency. Because it cannot be implemented in real time, we recommend that NAF-SEG be used in consort with a simple real-time filter, such as the operational O15 or similar filter.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (11) ◽  
pp. 2641-2654
Author(s):  
Jiapei Ma ◽  
Hongyi Li ◽  
Jian Wang ◽  
Xiaohua Hao ◽  
Donghang Shao ◽  
...  

AbstractGridded precipitation data are very important for hydrological and meteorological studies. However, gridded precipitation can exhibit significant statistical bias that needs to be corrected before application, especially in regions where high wind speeds, frequent snowfall, and sparse observation networks can induce significant uncertainties in the final gridded datasets. In this paper, we present a method for the production of gridded precipitation on the Tibetan Plateau (TP). This method reduces the statistical distribution error by correcting for wind-induced undercatch and optimizing the interpolation method. A gridded precipitation product constructed by this method was compared with previous products on the TP. The results show that undercatch correction is necessary for station data, which can reduce the distributional error by 30% at most. A thin-plate splines interpolation algorithm considering altitude as a covariate is helpful to reduce the statistical distributional error in general. Our method effectively inhibits the smoothing effect in gridded precipitation, and compared to previous products, results in a higher mean value, larger 98th percentile, and greater temporal variance. This study can help to improve the quality of gridded precipitation over the TP.


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